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Stocks
Life Time Group Holdings, Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall62
Balanced — near the middle of the marketMomentum TrapF 8/9DistressCongress buyingBetter than 62% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
33
22.4x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
82
12.7%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
49
5.5%▲4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
37
4.6x▼2.6xBottom tier
▸
Capital Return
30
—2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
95
53.8%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
53
7▲3Around median
LTH

LTH Life Time Group Holdings, Inc.

Life Time Group Holdings, Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
41.50
▲ ⁦+0.05%⁩ (+0.02)
Market Cap$9.3B
Beta1.48
52w Low52w High
24.1446.80
Last Week
⁦-4.58%⁩
Last Month
⁦-5.27%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+24.18%⁩
Last Year
⁦+47.27%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$42
Analyst target · 5 analysts
$54
⁦+29%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$46–$64⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
N/A (negative FCF)

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 5 analysts setting price target
$54.67
⁦+31.7%⁩
Current Price $41.50·Median $53.50
Low
$46.00
High
$64.00
Current price
$41.50
Average target
$54.67
Street summary

Near-Complete Stability in LTH Targets Amid Expanded Coverage

The consensus price target for Life Time stock remained stable at 54.67, unchanged over the last 7 days, while declining marginally by 0.27% over the last 30 days from 54.82 to 54.67. In contrast, the number of analysts covered increased from 3 to 5, expanding coverage but not clearly changing the overall direction. The target range is between 46 and 64, with a median of 53.5, compared with the current price of 41.5, reflecting a notable divergence among estimates.

As of 2026-09-11
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-0.3%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.14
Buy
Analyst coverage
⁦14 (+2)⁩
New coverage
Buy conviction
100%
High
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
43%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time14 analysts rating
2
12
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.07 → 4.14
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-18
    Morgan Stanley
    Overweight
  • = Reiterate2026-08-04
    UBS
    Buy
  • ⬇ Downgrade2026-08-03
    UBS
    Buy
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    22.43x
    4.56x36.49x
    Near median
  • Forward P/E
    25.66x
    3.79x30.29x
    Above average
  • EV / EBITDA
    15.41x
    2.75x22.03x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    -1.6%
    -30.9%16.2%
    Above average
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    12.7%
    -13.8%31.9%
    Above average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    81.4%
    -156.9%135.6%
    Strong
  • Gross Margin
    48.0%
    12.0%66.5%
    Above average
  • ROIC
    5.5%
    -23.8%21.5%
    Above average
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    4.58x
    0.65x5.48x
    Near median
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    1.69
    -2.656.14
    Near median
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-30 data

Company Overview

Life Time Group Holdings operates a network of “Life Time Athletic Country Club” clubs that combine fitness memberships with training, family and sports activities, spa services, and food and beverages. The revenue model relies primarily on membership dues, followed by members’ in-center spending through Dynamic Personal Training, Life Spa, Pilates, and other offerings; the company also uses CTR and Hybrid XT programs included in membership to attract members and increase engagement and retention, while new clubs target fewer membership units, ranging from 3,000 to 4,000, at higher dues and with a more comprehensive experience.

In Q2 fiscal 2026, revenue increased 13.7% to $866.0 million, and comparable-center revenue grew 9.1%, driven by a 3.1% improvement in membership mix, 2.9% from pricing, 2.9% from in-center businesses, and 0.2% from volume. Gross profit was $412.3 million, representing a gross margin of approximately 47.6%, and net income increased 40.6% to $101.4 million, while adjusted net income was $109.8 million, up 30.6%.

Adjusted EBITDA was $246.5 million in Q2 fiscal 2026, up 16.8%, and its margin improved 80 basis points to 28.5%. The company ended the quarter with approximately 860,000 center memberships, up 1.2%, but the mix was more important than the count: eligible medical memberships declined 18.9% by 20,600 memberships, while all other memberships increased 4.2% by 30,900, helping total membership dues revenue grow 13.3%. On a last-twelve-month basis, as reported in the 2026 data, the company recorded revenue of $3.2 billion, net income of $414.9 million, and earnings per share of approximately $1.82, compared with revenue of $3.0 billion and net income of $373.7 million in fiscal 2025.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Life Time raised its fiscal 2026 comparable-center revenue growth guidance to a range of 7.9%–8.3% from 6.9%–7.5%, after Q2 fiscal 2026 growth of 9.1% exceeded its expectations due to membership acquisition and in-center business performance.
  • Average monthly dues increased 12.3% year over year to $245, and average revenue per center membership increased 11.8% to $993; the company attributes this to an improved membership mix and execution of its pricing strategy, rather than volume growth alone.
  • In-center businesses contributed 2.9 percentage points to comparable-center revenue growth, up from 2.3 points, with double-digit year-over-year growth in Dynamic Personal Training and Life Spa and improved personal training penetration, trainer revenue, and trainer productivity.
  • The company targets opening 14 clubs in fiscal 2026, of which it had opened 7 as of July 30, 2026, and designated Q4 fiscal 2026 for opening the remaining seven. It also targets 12–14 clubs in fiscal 2027, 10 of which were under construction at the time of the July 30, 2026 call, making the impact of the late-2026 opening wave more visible in the following year.
  • The rollout of CTR, a group training program using Pilates reformers, is accelerating, with a target of approximately 60 locations by the end of fiscal 2026 and the potential to accommodate it in 80%–90% of clubs over time. Management said CTR classes achieve the highest occupancy rate among its programs and create waitlists, while Hybrid XT was in fewer than approximately 20 locations and remains in the early stages of rollout.
  • Sale-leaseback transactions completed in April 2026 generated approximately $200 million, and the company targets $400 million for all of fiscal 2026. These proceeds support the goal of generating positive annual free cash flow while funding the club-opening program.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Q2 fiscal 2026 demonstrates clear operating leverage: revenue growth of 13.7% was accompanied by net income growth of 40.6% and adjusted EBITDA growth of 16.8%, in addition to adjusted EBITDA margin expanding to 28.5%.
  • +The strategy of upgrading the membership mix is successfully increasing revenue per customer; although total memberships grew only 1.2%, dues revenue increased 13.3%, average monthly dues rose 12.3%, and non-medical memberships increased 4.2%.
  • +New clubs and the CTR and Hybrid XT programs provide measurable growth paths: the company targets 14 openings in fiscal 2026 and 12–14 openings in fiscal 2027, while CTR has waitlists and is targeting approximately 60 locations by the end of fiscal 2026.
  • +In-club spending sources are expanding, as Dynamic Personal Training and Life Spa achieved double-digit year-over-year growth, and in-center businesses contributed 2.9 percentage points to comparable-center growth. Management also believes CTR can introduce a broader segment to higher-priced private and semi-private Pilates services.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The analyst consensus is “Buy,” with an average target of $54.67 and a wide range between $46 and $64; the average is approximately 15.7% above the 52-week range high of $47.235, while the highest target exceeds that high by approximately 35.5%. No earnings multiple is available in the data despite earnings per share of approximately $1.82 over the last twelve months in the 2026 data, so the stock’s valuation remains more dependent on continued comparable-center growth, margin improvement, and successful club openings, balanced against the wide range of analyst targets and the intensity of capital expenditures.

BuyAnalyst target: $54.67(+31.7%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-29; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove LTH’s results in Q2 fiscal 2026?

Revenue increased 13.7% to $866.0 million, while comparable-center revenue grew 9.1%. A 3.1% improvement in membership mix, 2.9% from pricing, 2.9% from in-center businesses, and 0.2% from volume contributed to this growth. Net income increased 40.6% to $101.4 million, while adjusted EBITDA margin improved 80 basis points to 28.5%.

How is Life Time achieving strong growth despite limited membership growth?

Life Time ended Q2 fiscal 2026 with approximately 860,000 memberships, up only 1.2%, but non-medical memberships increased 4.2% by 30,900 memberships. In contrast, the company reduced eligible medical memberships by 18.9%, or 20,600 memberships, to improve the mix and control the club experience. As a result, average monthly dues increased 12.3% to $245, and total dues revenue increased 13.3%.

How important are CTR and Hybrid XT to LTH’s growth?

CTR is a group training program using Pilates reformers, while Hybrid XT combines strength and fitness exercises and is linked to LT Games competitions. The company said on July 30, 2026, that CTR achieves the highest occupancy rate among its programs and that its classes create waitlists, with a target of approximately 60 locations by the end of fiscal 2026. Hybrid XT was in fewer than approximately 20 locations, and the company uses both programs within membership to increase member acquisition and engagement and support dues revenue.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

−
The expansion program requires high capital expenditures before new clubs mature; capital expenditures increased 18.6% to $263.3 million in Q2 fiscal 2026, exceeding operating cash flow of $209.6 million, with construction continuing for 2026 and 2027 openings. The positive free cash flow target depends partly on completing sale-leaseback transactions with total targeted proceeds of $400 million in fiscal 2026.
  • −The outlook for the second half of fiscal 2026 includes a slowdown from the 9.1% comparable-center revenue growth recorded in Q2; the midpoint of the updated annual guidance is 8.1%, and management attributed this to seasonality and conservatism in estimating summer activity. In addition, the seven club openings scheduled for Q4 fiscal 2026 will add pre-opening expenses and an early operating impact that pressures margins.
  • −MIORA remains in the incubation stage and does not make a material financial contribution across its six or seven locations; management acknowledged technical and operational challenges in the customer journey and declined to add locations before perfecting the model. It also described the peptide market associated with the service as new and requiring caution due to variation among compounding pharmacies and limited broad human research for some products.
  • −Eligible medical memberships declined 18.9% year over year by 20,600 memberships in Q2 fiscal 2026, and management expects their share of dues revenue to continue declining from approximately 3% by the end of fiscal 2026 to less thereafter. The company is currently offsetting this decline with higher-priced memberships, but the strategy’s continued success requires growth in regular memberships and pricing to remain sufficient to offset the excluded units.
  • −The available earnings multiple does not support a conventional valuation of the stock despite net income of $414.9 million over the last twelve months in the 2026 data, limiting the ability to compare price with earnings based on the provided information. The average analyst target of $54.67 is also approximately 15.7% above the 52-week range high of $47.235, meaning that achieving the target valuation assumes continued strong execution and margin expansion.
  • −Insider activity during the three months ending with the latest transaction on August 26, 2026, recorded net selling of $1.9 billion, with 52 sales and no purchases recorded. This is a weak trading signal on its own because insider sales may be prearranged, and the provided information does not explain the motives or terms of the transactions.
  • How many clubs does Life Time plan to open?

    Life Time targets opening 14 clubs in fiscal 2026, the high end of its initial range, and had opened 7 clubs by the July 30, 2026 call. The company scheduled the opening of the remaining seven clubs for Q4 fiscal 2026, so their full financial impact will be more visible in the following year. It also targets 12–14 clubs in fiscal 2027, 10 of which were under construction at the time of the call.

    Can Life Time fund its expansion as capital expenditures rise?

    Operating cash flow was $209.6 million in Q2 fiscal 2026, up 7.1%, while capital expenditures were $263.3 million, up 18.6%. In April 2026, the company completed sale-leaseback transactions that generated approximately $200 million, and it targets total proceeds of $400 million during fiscal 2026. Management expects these proceeds and strong operating cash flows to help generate positive free cash flow while continuing to open clubs, but the intensity of spending remains a factor to monitor.

    What is MIORA’s status, and what risks are associated with it?

    MIORA was operating across six or seven locations on July 30, 2026, and its contribution to revenue or EBITDA was not material. Management said it would not add new locations before addressing technology and operational challenges and perfecting the customer journey, despite seeing a significant expansion opportunity after improving the model. In peptides, it pointed to varying quality among compounding pharmacies and noted that some uses still lack broad human studies, so it is proceeding cautiously with the rollout within existing MIORA locations.