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Home
Stocks
Lowe's Companies, Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall39
Weak — below market medianContrarianF 6/9Better than 39% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
71
16.6x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
39
8.2%▲7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
71
26.1%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
34
3.2x▼2.6xBottom tier
▸
Capital Return
62
2.41%▲2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
13
-19.8%▼2.9%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
46
21▲3Around median
LOW

LOW Lowe's Companies, Inc.

Lowe's Companies, Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
196.82
▲ ⁦+0.12%⁩ (+0.23)
Market Cap$110.2B
Beta0.85
52w Low52w High
195.06293.06
Last Week
⁦-1.51%⁩
Last Month
⁦-11.04%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-8.96%⁩
Last Year
⁦-26.84%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$197
Analyst target · 8 analysts
$255
⁦+29%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$232–$276⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$185
⁦-6%⁩
Sees it slightly overvalued
⁦8.1⁩% discount · ⁦2⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$185–$255⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 8 analysts setting price target
$256.38
⁦+30.3%⁩
Current Price $196.82·Median $254.50
Low
$232.00
High
$276.00
Current price
$196.82
Average target
$256.38
Street summary

Average Price Target Declines While Ratings Remain Unchanged

Bearish tilt

LOW’s average price target fell to 256.38, down $0.33 over one week and $14.25 over 30 days, or 5.27%. The number of analysts remained at 8, meaning the decline reflects lowered estimates within the same sample rather than a change in coverage scope. With a current price of 196.56, all listed targets remain above it, but the target range of 232 to 276 reflects a clear divergence in analysts’ conviction, while the average is close to the median of 254.5.

As of 2026-09-10
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-5.3%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.77
Buy
Analyst coverage
35
Buy conviction
69%
High
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
22%
Analyst ratings over time35 analysts rating
5
19
10
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.63 → 3.77
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-09
    Bernstein
    Outperform
  • = Reiterate2026-08-21
    Guggenheim
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-08-20
    Morgan Stanley
    Overweight
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    16.62x
    4.56x36.49x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    15.07x
    3.79x30.29x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    12.22x
    2.75x22.03x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    7.3%
    -30.9%16.2%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    8.2%
    -13.8%31.9%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -2.8%
    -156.9%135.6%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    33.1%
    12.0%66.5%
    Near median
  • ROIC
    26.1%
    -23.8%21.5%
    Exceptional
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    3.20x
    0.65x5.48x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    2.4%
    0.1%5.9%
    Moderate
  • Payout Ratio
    40.1%
    8.9%99.8%
    Moderate
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-19 data

Company Overview

Lowe's sells home improvement, building, and maintenance products through stores and digital channels, serving do-it-yourself (DIY) customers, professional (Pro) customers, and Home Services customers. Its Total Home strategy combines assortment, inventory, rapid fulfillment, loyalty, and services, while DIY accounts for more than 60% of the company's business, making discretionary household spending a critical factor in its results. The company is expanding its presence among larger professional customers through Foundation Building Materials (FBM) and Artisan Design Group (ADG), while its Home Services business targets replacement projects that homeowners prefer to have the company perform.

In quarter 2 of fiscal year 2027, sales reached $26 billion, up 8.3% year over year, and comparable sales increased 0.2%; growth in Pro, Online, and Home Services offset weak discretionary DIY spending and unfavorable weather during the Memorial Day holiday. Comparable average ticket increased 2.3%, driven by modest price inflation and Pro strength, but comparable transactions declined 2.1%. 9 of 13 merchandise departments generated positive comparable sales, with strength in building materials, appliances, paint, kitchens and baths, lawn and garden, and tools.

Gross margin in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2027 was approximately 33%, down 80 basis points, affected by margin dilution from the consolidation of FBM and ADG, while adjusted operating margin was 14%, down 62 basis points. GAAP diluted earnings per share reached $4.27, and adjusted earnings per share reached $4.40, with both figures including a benefit of $0.11 per share from tariff refunds. The company generated free cash flow of $3.1 billion, while EDGAR data for the twelve-month period ending in 2026 show revenue of $88.4 billion, net income of $6.6 billion, and earnings per share of approximately $11.86.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Digital sales grew 15.7% in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2027, marking the second consecutive quarter of growth exceeding 15%, supported by higher traffic and conversion, free delivery and same-day delivery options, and expansion of the digital marketplace. The Mylow AI agent has answered more than 25 million questions since its launch, and the online conversion rate of its users was three times that of customers who do not use it.
  • The Pro business continued to grow, led by small and medium-sized professional customers, with positive performance in rough plumbing, lumber, millwork, electrical, and paint. Rough plumbing recorded six consecutive quarters of growth, while the paint, electrical, and millwork categories delivered four or five consecutive quarters of positive performance.
  • MyLowe's Rewards membership exceeded thirty million members, and management said they shop more frequently and spend more per visit than nonmembers. Lowe's uses member offers, special events, and same-day fulfillment options to address customer price sensitivity without engaging in undisciplined discounting.
  • Lowe's expanded its assortment by adding more than 150 new DEWALT products, completing the rollout of Daltile in hard surfaces, and introducing Traeger in selected stores and online across the United States later in 2026. Appliances also recorded a seventh consecutive quarter of comparable sales growth, and the company is expanding its premium assortment from brands including Bosch, KitchenAid, LG SIGNATURE, Cafe, ZLINE, and Forno.
  • In the quarter ended July 31, 2026, the company received a benefit of approximately $80 million from tariff refunds, equivalent to 30 basis points of gross margin and $0.11 per share. Management said the amount represents a small portion of the IEEPA tariffs paid during the previous twelve to eighteen months, but it did not include any potential additional refunds in its second-half outlook because of uncertainty regarding their timing.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Lowe's combines five consecutive quarters of comparable sales growth with faster-growing drivers; digital sales increased 15.7% in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2027, and Pro and Home Services continued to grow despite weakness in the home improvement market.
  • +Mylow's effectiveness shows a measurable commercial impact, with usage exceeding 25 million questions and its users' conversion rate reaching three times that of nonusers, supporting the return on Lowe's investments in the digital experience and artificial intelligence.
  • +PPI productivity improvement initiatives provided expense discipline; the selling, general, and administrative expense rate improved by 14 basis points to 17.2% of sales, despite sales falling short of management's expectations and higher fuel, transportation, and energy costs.
  • +Liquidity supports the company's ability to invest and return capital; free cash flow reached $3.1 billion in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2027, cash and cash equivalents totaled $3.2 billion, and return on invested capital was 25.5%.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The average analyst price target is $256.71, within a wide range of $232 to $276, compared with a consensus rating of "Buy." The average target and highest target are below the top of the 52-week range of $293.06, while the stock's annual range extends from $199.4 to $293.06, reflecting a reassessment associated with weak DIY spending, the reduction in the fiscal year 2026 outlook, and margin pressures. The available information does not include a usable price-to-earnings ratio, so Lowe's valuation here is based on the target range and operating outlook rather than an earnings multiple.

BuyAnalyst target: $256.71(+30.4%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-27; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What were the key results for LOW in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2027?

Lowe's generated sales of $26 billion, up 8.3% year over year, and comparable sales increased 0.2%. Diluted earnings per share were $4.27 on a GAAP basis and $4.40 on an adjusted basis, with both figures including a $0.11 benefit from tariff refunds. Gross margin was 33%, and adjusted operating margin was 14%, down 80 and 62 basis points, respectively. The company also generated free cash flow of $3.1 billion during the quarter.

Why did Lowe's lower its fiscal year 2026 outlook?

The updated outlook reflected continued customer caution and weak spending on discretionary DIY projects, along with interest rates, inflation, fuel, and housing affordability pressures. FBM and ADG also face weak residential demand, with ADG having 100% exposure and FBM having 45% exposure to residential construction. The company therefore targets sales of approximately $92 billion, roughly flat comparable sales, and an adjusted operating margin of approximately 11.6%. Its adjusted earnings per share outlook is approximately $12.25 for fiscal year 2026, with an expected decline of approximately 7% in quarter 3 of fiscal year 2026 compared with the corresponding period.

Is Mylow having a tangible financial impact at Lowe's?
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

−
Weak DIY spending represents the primary risk because this category accounts for more than 60% of Lowe's business; comparable transactions declined 2.1% in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2027, and management said customers are deferring large discretionary projects and focusing on repair and maintenance.
  • −FBM and ADG face direct pressure from weak residential construction; ADG is fully exposed to this market, while FBM's residential exposure is approximately 45%. Management confirmed that continued weakness in homebuilding during the second half is pressuring revenue and earnings at both acquired companies.
  • −Lowe's updated its fiscal year 2026 outlook to the low end of its previous range, targeting sales of approximately $92 billion, roughly flat comparable sales, an adjusted operating margin of approximately 11.6%, and adjusted earnings per share of approximately $12.25. It also expects adjusted earnings per share in quarter 3 of fiscal year 2026 to decline approximately 7% from the corresponding period, with comparable sales roughly flat.
  • −Unit profitability declined during quarter 2 of fiscal year 2027; gross margin fell 80 basis points to 33%, and adjusted operating margin declined 62 basis points to 14%. Fuel and transportation pressures are expected to increase during the second half as the company moves into new cost layers, and the outlook does not include any additional tariff refunds to offset them.
  • −Price competition intensified in July 2026, particularly in grills, outdoor furniture, and live plants, after competitors used tariff refunds to lower prices and clear seasonal inventory. Lowe's chose not to match some of those offers to preserve financial discipline, creating a risk to units and market share if promotional competition persists longer than management expects.
  • −Net insider activity during the three months ended June 18, 2026, consisted of $5.8 million in sales, distributed across three sale transactions with no purchases. This remains a weak trading signal on its own because insider sales may be prearranged, and the available information provides no evidence to the contrary.
  • The number of questions Mylow has handled for customers and employees has exceeded 25 million since its launch. Management said the conversion rate of customers who use it while shopping online is three times that of those who do not. This coincided with digital sales growth of 15.7% in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2027, the second consecutive quarter in which digital growth exceeded 15%. Mylow works alongside improvements to Lowes.com, the app, free delivery and same-day delivery options, and the digital marketplace.

    How important are FBM and ADG to Lowe's strategy?

    Lowe's is using the two acquisitions to increase planned professional customer spending and expand its presence among larger Pro customers over the long term. However, ADG is fully exposed to residential construction, while FBM's residential exposure is approximately 45%, compared with 55% for FBM's commercial business. Management said on August 19, 2026, that weak homebuilding is pressuring revenue and earnings at both companies during the second half. At the same time, the FBM acquisition added approximately $500 million to inventory compared with the previous period.

    How do tariff refunds affect LOW's earnings?

    In the quarter ended July 31, 2026, Lowe's recorded a benefit of approximately $80 million from IEEPA tariff refunds. This benefit added approximately 30 basis points to gross margin and $0.11 to earnings per share, but it was largely offset by higher fuel and transportation costs. Management said the refund represents a small portion of the total tariffs paid during the previous twelve to eighteen months. The company did not include any potential additional refunds in its second-half outlook because of uncertainty regarding their timing.

    What supports Lowe's Pro sales despite weakness in the housing market?

    The Pro business continued to grow in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2027, led by small and medium-sized professional customers. Rough plumbing delivered six consecutive quarters of growth, while the paint, electrical, and millwork categories recorded four or five consecutive quarters of positive performance. Lowe's supports these customers through MyLowe's Pro Rewards and digital tools for planning, estimating, and business management, along with inventory and fulfillment. However, the company's survey showed stable backlogs among Pro customers as homeowners shifted toward smaller repair and maintenance projects instead of large remodeling projects.