EL7.AI
Strategy BuilderCOT DataAdvanced NewsResearchNewEarnings CalendarEconomic Calendar
We use cookiesPrivacy Policy
EL7.AIEL7.AI

AI Financial Intelligence
Professional analysis of central bank decisions

© 2026 EL7.AI. All rights reserved.

Markets

  • News
  • Forex
  • Stocks
  • Crypto
  • Gold
  • Commodities
  • Indices
  • ETFs

Analysis

  • Fed
  • ECB
  • BLS
  • COT
  • Economic Calendar

Learn

  • Service Guide
  • Oil

Company

  • About
  • Contact
  • Data Methodology
  • AI Disclosure
  • Pricing
  • Enterprise
  • Terms
  • Privacy
  • Security
  • WhatsApp
Status data is currently unavailable

The information provided on EL7.AI is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.

Home
Stocks
Loar Holdings Inc.
LOAR

LOAR Loar Holdings Inc.

Loar Holdings Inc. · NYSE
Market Open
64.17
▼ ⁦-0.87%⁩ (-0.56)
Market Cap$6.1B
Beta0.56
52w Low52w High
53.1583.43
Last Week
⁦-0.57%⁩
Last Month
⁦-17.55%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+1.36%⁩
Last Year
⁦-16.10%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall41
Weak — below market medianFalling StarF 6/9Better than 41% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
12
89.5x▼17.6xBottom tier
▸
Growth
89
14.2%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
68
6.7%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
49
4.6x▼2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
16
—2.15%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
47
5.0%▲2.3%Around median
▸
Sentiment
64
33Around median
Fair Value
Current price$65
Analyst target · 5 analysts
$82
⁦+27%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$80–$88⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$25
⁦-62%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦10⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$25–$82⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

Compare in the screener
Premium content

Get Your Premium Account Now

  • Stock Deep Analysis
  • The Advanced News Platform
Recommended
Annual plan
$17/mo
Monthly plan
$29/mo

Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 5 analysts setting price target
$83.33
⁦+29.9%⁩
Current Price $64.17·Median $82.00
Low
$80.00
High
$88.00
Current price
$64.17
Average target
$83.33
Street summary

Loar (LOAR) Price Target Revision

The price target for Loar saw a decline in consensus over the last 24 hours, falling from 87 to 83.33 dollars by 4.22%, despite the number of analysts remaining steady at 5. This sudden downward adjustment indicates a more conservative stance by analysts, as the gap between the highest (88) and lowest (80) price targets has narrowed, reflecting increased certainty around a lower price range than what was expected last week.

As of 2026-08-26
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-4.2%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.00
Buy
Analyst coverage
5
Buy conviction
80%
High
Target dispersion
12%
Analyst ratings over time5 analysts rating
1
3
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.40 → 4.00
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-09
    Jefferies
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-06-25
    Citigroup
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-05-10
    Jefferies
    —· $75.00
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    89.49x
    5.62x44.96x
    Very expensive
  • Forward P/E
    41.60x
    4.56x36.47x
    Very expensive
  • EV / EBITDA
    37.61x
    3.41x27.30x
    Very expensive
  • FCF Yield
    1.8%
    -30.4%11.6%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    14.2%
    -10.9%44.4%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    56.7%
    -133.2%132.4%
    Strong
  • Gross Margin
    52.2%
    8.6%54.3%
    Strong
  • ROIC
    6.7%
    -25.7%19.6%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    4.56x
    0.54x4.33x
    Above average
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-06 data

Company Overview

Loar Holdings manufactures specialized, technically proprietary components for the aerospace and defense sectors, and its portfolio includes more than 25 thousand part numbers covering commercial aircraft, business aviation, general aviation, and military platforms. Its ability to generate revenue depends on designing, engineering, and qualifying products, then supplying them to original equipment manufacturers and the aftermarket throughout the life of the aircraft; its applications include brakes, sensors, switches, safety restraints, fans, and motors. Qualified products and sole-source positions in several applications provide opportunities for value-based pricing and for selling the same part across production and maintenance cycles spanning decades.

In fiscal Q2 2026, net sales reached $171.6 million, with reported growth of 39.4%, while pro forma growth was 17% and organic growth was 12%. Commercial original equipment sales rose 28%, commercial aftermarket sales 12%, and defense sales 8%, driven particularly by the Boeing 787, A320 family, and 737 family platforms. Adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization reached $69.4 million, up 47.4%, and its margin reached 40.5% versus 38.3% a year earlier, while adjusted earnings per share reached $0.38 versus estimates of $0.31.

GAAP net income remained flat year over year in fiscal Q2 2026 because growth in operating income was offset by higher interest expense and amortization of acquired intangible assets. Gross margin declined 60 basis points due to the amortization of LMB and Harper Engineering assets; excluding this non-cash impact, the margin would have risen 100 basis points. EDGAR data for fiscal 2025 shows revenue of $496.3 million, gross profit of $261.3 million, and net income of $72.1 million, while revenue for the twelve-month period ending in 2026 was approximately $537.7 million and net income was $68.0 million.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Loar raised its calendar year 2026 guidance to sales of between $665 million and $675 million, adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization of between $265 million and $270 million at a margin of approximately 40%, and adjusted earnings per share of between $1.32 and $1.36; this guidance assumes no additional acquisitions are completed.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • Organic business opportunities under development reached approximately $750 million in potential revenue over five years, an increase of approximately $50 million from the figure reported in May 2026. The company secured initial orders providing visibility into approximately $200 million in cumulative revenue over the same period, after converting about 25% of the opportunity pipeline into won business.
  • Commercial original equipment growth of 28% in fiscal Q2 2026 was the strongest demand driver, benefiting from supply chain improvements and increased activity on the Boeing 787, A320 family, and 737 family. For calendar year 2026, management expects high double-digit growth in this market, compared with low double-digit growth in the aftermarket and mid-single-digit growth in defense.
  • In fiscal Q2 2026, the company achieved its sixteenth consecutive quarter of record sequential growth in adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization. The margin for this metric also increased 220 basis points to 40.5%, supported by operating leverage, productivity, value-based pricing, and profitable new business wins.
  • In 2026, Beadlight, LMB, and Harper Engineering were making contributions above management's expectations at the time of acquisition. Beadlight is benefiting from collaboration with SCHROTH, while demand for fans and motors supports LMB's expansion, and Harper is benefiting from sole-source positions on several Boeing 787 products and higher production rates.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +Fiscal Q2 2026 combines organic growth of 12% with an expansion in the adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization margin to 40.5%, indicating that increased sales translated into profit growth faster than revenue growth.
    • +A portfolio exceeding 25 thousand part numbers and exposure across original equipment, aftermarket, and defense provide operational diversification, while qualified and technically proprietary products give the company recurring revenue throughout the aircraft life cycle and opportunities for value-based pricing.
    • +The conversion of approximately $200 million from a $750 million organic business pipeline into initial orders represents a defined growth driver over five years, and management is targeting the contribution of new business to organic growth to approach 3% rather than 1%.
    • +Operating cash flow less capital expenditures reached approximately 1.9 times net income during the first half of 2026, while management set capital expenditures for calendar year 2026 at approximately $20 million, or about 3% of sales.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −The debt-funded acquisition strategy weighs on reported profit; debt reached 3.1 times earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, and GAAP net income remained flat in fiscal Q2 2026 despite higher revenue because of increased interest and amortization of acquired assets.
    • −Organic growth in fiscal Q2 2026 was 12%, well below reported sales growth of 39.4%, illustrating that acquisitions contributed a significant portion of the reported expansion. Aftermarket growth also slowed to approximately 12%–13% in 2026 from 19% in 2025, as some customers reduced their typical orders from eight units to six units and their inventory declined from five to seven months to three to five months.
    • −Loar's ability to meet demand represents an execution risk; on 2026-08-06, management said demand for fans, motors, safety restraints, and brakes exceeded its expectations and that these businesses require additional investment to catch up with demand. It also acknowledged that new business production is moving through a learning curve and that its revenue will not materialize in a straight line.
    • −Defense sales remain volatile because of the timing of government customer orders, even though they rose 8% in fiscal Q2 2026. The company expects mid-single-digit growth in this market in calendar year 2026, slower than its expectations for commercial original equipment and the aftermarket.
    • −Gross margin declined 60 basis points in fiscal Q2 2026 due to higher non-cash amortization associated with LMB and Harper Engineering. Although the margin would have risen 100 basis points excluding this impact, continued acquisitions may maintain a meaningful gap between operational improvement and reported accounting earnings.
    • −Analyst targets range from $80 to $88, while the average target is $83.33, slightly below the 52-week range high of $83.43. This proximity between the average valuation and the annual high makes the stock sensitive to any failure to achieve the raised guidance or maintain the adjusted earnings margin of approximately 40%.

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus is Buy, with an average target of $83.33 and a relatively narrow target range of $80 to $88, while Jefferies raised its target on 2026-08-10 from $75 to $88 and maintained its Buy rating. The average target is directly below the 52-week range high of $83.43, versus a low of $53.15, tying the valuation case to the sustainability of organic growth and achievement of the raised guidance while containing the impact of debt and amortization on net income.

    BuyAnalyst target: $83.33(+29.9%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-30; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What is driving Loar's growth in fiscal 2026?

    In fiscal Q2 2026, commercial original equipment sales rose 28%, aftermarket sales 12%, and defense sales 8%. The strongest increases came from the Boeing 787, A320 family, and 737 family as the production and supply chain environment improved. Organic growth was 12%, while net sales reached $171.6 million. The company also raised its calendar year 2026 sales guidance to a range of $665 million to $675 million.

    What is the significance of the $750 million organic business pipeline?

    The figure represents potential revenue opportunities that Loar expects to convert over five years, and it increased by approximately $50 million from the level reported in May 2026. By the 2026-08-06 call, the company had secured initial orders providing visibility into approximately $200 million in cumulative revenue. The opportunities include qualified brakes, sensors, switches, safety restraints, and the expansion of existing products to new customers and platforms. This revenue is not subject to long-term agreements but is fulfilled from one purchase order to the next after the product is qualified or certified.

    Did Loar's profit improve at the same pace as sales?

    Adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization rose 47.4% to $69.4 million in fiscal Q2 2026, and its margin reached 40.5%. Adjusted earnings per share reached $0.38, exceeding analyst estimates of $0.31. In contrast, GAAP net income remained flat because of higher interest expense and amortization of acquired intangible assets. Therefore, the improvement was clearer in adjusted metrics and cash flow than in accounting net income.

    How do Loar's acquisitions affect results and risks?

    Loar announced four acquisitions over approximately two years through 2026-08-06 and invested more than $1.1 billion in mergers and acquisitions. The businesses discussed included Beadlight, LMB, and Harper Engineering, and management said their contributions in 2026 exceeded its original expectations. The acquisitions contributed to cross-selling opportunities, such as Beadlight's collaboration with SCHROTH, and to Harper's growth associated with Boeing 787 products. However, debt financing raised leverage to 3.1 times earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, while also increasing interest expense and amortization and weighing on reported net income.

    What are the main operational risks to the 2026 guidance?

    On 2026-08-06, management identified the ability to keep pace with demand as an issue requiring investment, particularly in fans, motors, safety restraints, and brakes. The learning curve in producing new parts adds the possibility that the approximately $200 million in revenue will not materialize at a steady pace over five years. Defense orders also remain volatile from quarter to quarter because of government purchasing patterns, despite growing 8% in fiscal Q2 2026. In addition, interest on debt and amortization of acquired assets affect the translation of operational growth into GAAP net income.