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Stocks
Lockheed Martin Corporation
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall79
Strong — clearly above market medianContrarianF 6/9SafeBetter than 79% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
64
19.3x▼17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
62
7.2%7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
78
27.7%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
66
1.7x▲2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
61
2.60%▲2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
45
31.4%▲2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
78
16▲3Top tier
LMT

LMT Lockheed Martin Corporation

Lockheed Martin Corporation · NYSE
Market Closed
524.19
▼ ⁦-1.12%⁩ (-5.93)
Market Cap$121.0B
Beta0.11
52w Low52w High
437.25692.00
Last Week
⁦-1.38%⁩
Last Month
⁦-12.31%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-0.16%⁩
Last Year
⁦+14.69%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$524
Analyst target · 12 analysts
$674
⁦+29%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$575–$700⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$617
⁦+18%⁩
Sees it undervalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦2⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods broadly agree — estimate range ⁦$617–$674⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 12 analysts setting price target
$644.86
⁦+23.0%⁩
Current Price $524.19·Median $674.00
Low
$575.00
High
$700.00
Current price
$524.19
Average target
$644.86
Street summary

Moderate improvement in LMT targets with limited divergence

Bullish tilt

The consensus price target rose from 631.57 to 644.86 over the last 7 and 30 days, an increase of 13.29 or 2.1%, while the number of analysts remained at 12 with no change over the last day. The current price stands at 524.46, approximately 23% below the consensus, with a target range between 575 and 700; this reflects a positive bias, but with clear variation among estimates, while the median of 674 is higher than the consensus.

As of 2026-09-09
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+2.1%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.36
Hold
Analyst coverage
22
Buy conviction
32%
Rating activity · 30d
1↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
24%
Analyst ratings over time22 analysts rating
2
5
14
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.45 → 3.36
Recent analyst moves
  • ⬆ Upgrade2026-09-08
    UBS
    NeutralBuy
  • = Reiterate2026-09-02
    Jefferies
    Hold
  • = Reiterate2026-08-13
    Citigroup
    Buy
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    19.31x
    5.69x45.54x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    16.72x
    4.57x36.58x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    13.14x
    3.43x27.47x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    7.2%
    -32.7%11.5%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    7.2%
    -10.7%43.4%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    52.8%
    -128.3%132.7%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    11.8%
    8.6%54.6%
    Weak
  • ROIC
    27.7%
    -25.3%19.6%
    Exceptional
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    1.67x
    0.55x4.37x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    2.6%
    0.1%4.8%
    Moderate
  • Payout Ratio
    50.5%
    6.6%80.8%
    Moderate
  • Altman Z-Score
    3.51
    -5.667.97
    Above average
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-23 data

Company Overview

Lockheed Martin Corporation operates in four defense and aerospace segments: Aeronautics, Missiles and Fire Control, Rotary and Mission Systems, and Space. The company generates revenue from the production and support of platforms and programs such as F-35, F-16, C-130, PAC-3, THAAD, and Aegis, alongside radar, missile defense, classified space, and security programs, and its forward outlook is underpinned by government and multiyear contracts with the United States and its allies. The backlog reached a record $230 billion in fiscal 2026 Q2, an increase of approximately $64 billion year over year, with quarterly bookings of $65 billion and a book-to-bill ratio of 3.2 times.

In fiscal 2026 Q2, revenue reached $20.1 billion, an increase of $1.9 billion, or 11%, year over year, while net income was $1.8 billion and earnings per share were $7.94. Gross profit was $2.4 billion, equivalent to a gross margin of approximately 11.9%, while segment operating profit reached $2.2 billion and segment operating margin was 10.8%. Free cash flow rose to $2.9 billion from negative $150 million in the comparable period, supported by the timing of customer collections and lower tax payments.

Growth in fiscal 2026 Q2 was broad-based across the portfolio, led by Missiles and Fire Control, where sales increased 19% and profit rose 24%, while Space sales increased 6% and profit rose 2%. Higher F-35 production supported the Aeronautics segment, while munitions, radar, and strategic missile defense programs contributed to the rest of the growth. On a trailing twelve-month basis in 2026 data, revenue reached $77.0 billion, gross profit was $9.1 billion, net income was $6.3 billion, and earnings per share were approximately $27.20.

What's Driving the Stock

  • The record $230 billion backlog increased visibility into future revenue after the company recorded $65 billion in orders during fiscal 2026 Q2 and a book-to-bill ratio of 3.2 times.
  • Management raised fiscal 2026 revenue guidance to a range of $79.75–81.75 billion, representing 8% growth at the midpoint, compared with previous guidance of 5%, and also raised its segment operating profit target to $8.5–8.7 billion and earnings per share to $29.95–30.65.
  • Demand for missile defense supports long-term expansion; on August 11, 2026, the company received a $53.9 billion U.S. Army order for PAC-3 MSE missiles, and on August 31, 2026, U.S. missile supply agreements extending for seven years were announced.
  • Missiles and Fire Control programs are accelerating, with segment sales increasing 19% and profit rising 24% in fiscal 2026 Q2. The company expects annual sales of between $16.5 and $16.9 billion and profit of between $2.3 and $2.35 billion as munitions production continues to increase.
  • The company is expanding its technology opportunities through the lower-cost PAC-3 ACE, the Sanctum counter-drone system, which moved from concept to live-fire testing in less than 45 days, the Morpheus high-power microwave system, and a contract to develop a 500-kilowatt mobile laser.
  • Aeronautics and Space programs support diversified growth; the company delivered two F-16 aircraft and seven C-130 aircraft during fiscal 2026 Q2, secured a $1.6 billion F-35 spare parts contract, and was selected by the U.S. Space Force on August 14, 2026, among companies for space communications contracts.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +The $230 billion backlog provides substantial growth coverage, particularly with multiyear munitions contracts, the $53.9 billion PAC-3 MSE order, and seven-year missile supply agreements.
  • +Strong demand translated into actual results in fiscal 2026 Q2, with revenue growing 11% to $20.1 billion and free cash flow rising to $2.9 billion, prompting management to raise all key guidance metrics.
  • +Growth is not concentrated in a single program; Missiles and Fire Control led performance, while higher F-35 production, radar, missile defense, and Space programs supported the expected acceleration across all four segments in the second half of fiscal 2026.
  • +The company combines production-capacity expansion with the development of new solutions, investing $876 million in capital assets and research and development during fiscal 2026 Q2, with a total commitment of between $8 and $9 billion to expand munitions capacity over several years.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

  • −

Valuation

The analyst consensus is “Buy,” with an average price target of $631.57, within a wide range of $575 to $700. The average is approximately 8.7% below the 52-week range high of $692, while the highest target slightly exceeds that high, and the breadth of the targets reflects differing estimates regarding the conversion of the backlog into profitable growth and margin and execution risks. No usable price-to-earnings ratio is available in the data, so the valuation is based on the target range and the 52-week range of $437.25–692 rather than an earnings multiple.

BuyAnalyst target: $631.57(+20.5%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-02; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove LMT’s fiscal 2026 Q2 results?

Lockheed Martin’s revenue in fiscal 2026 Q2 reached approximately $20.1 billion, an increase of 11% year over year, or 7% after excluding the impact of adjustments in the comparable period. Munitions programs in the Missiles and Fire Control segment led growth, with contributions from F-35 production, radar, and strategic missile defense programs. Net income was $1.8 billion and earnings per share were $7.94, while free cash flow reached $2.9 billion.

What is the significance of Lockheed Martin’s $230 billion backlog?

The backlog reached a record $230 billion in fiscal 2026 Q2, an increase of approximately $64 billion from the comparable period. The company recorded $65 billion in orders during the quarter, raising the book-to-bill ratio to 3.2 times. Multiyear contracts in missiles, radar, and Space support revenue visibility, but they also impose significant requirements to increase production capacity and meet delivery schedules.

What is Lockheed Martin’s fiscal 2026 guidance?

The company expects fiscal 2026 revenue of between $79.75 and $81.75 billion, equivalent to 8% growth at the midpoint compared with previous guidance of 5%. It raised its segment operating profit target to a range of $8.5–8.7 billion and earnings per share to $29.95–30.65. It also expects free cash flow of between $7.0 and $7.2 billion and capital expenditures of between $2.0 and $2.4 billion.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

A significant portion of demand depends on U.S. and allied government budgets and procurement decisions; management acknowledged that budget cycles and political leadership change, and that converting framework agreements into multiyear contracts requires finalizing delivery schedules and profit mechanisms.
  • −Simultaneous expansion across dozens of production lines creates execution and supply-chain risks; the company is required to double or multiply production of certain systems several times, while describing the two classified programs in Aeronautics and Missiles and Fire Control as requiring substantial technical work under ambitious execution schedules.
  • −Aeronautics profitability faces pressure from ramping F-35 production contracts, expanding sustainment work, and absorbing F-16 and C-130 challenges that emerged in fiscal 2026 Q1, so the company set the segment margin slightly below its previous guidance.
  • −New munitions contracts could dilute the Missiles and Fire Control segment margin by between 20 and 30 basis points during the years following fiscal 2026, because profit recognition rates rise gradually after risk-reduction milestones are passed and deliveries are completed.
  • −The company lowered fiscal 2026 Space segment profit guidance to $1.34–1.38 billion because of lower earnings from its stake in ULA related to the ongoing technical investigation into the Vulcan launch anomaly, despite expected sales of between $13.85 and $14.05 billion.
  • −Insider activity during the three months ending with the latest transaction on August 13, 2026, recorded nine sales and no purchases, for a net value of approximately negative $117.6 thousand; this remains a weak signal on its own because insider sales may be prearranged unless the data indicates otherwise.
  • How do PAC-3 and F-35 contribute to LMT’s growth story?

    PAC-3 supports the expansion of the Missiles and Fire Control segment, and the U.S. Army order for PAC-3 MSE missiles announced on August 11, 2026, reached approximately $53.9 billion. The company is also working on the lower-cost PAC-3 ACE to counter short-range ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and drones. In Aeronautics, higher F-35 production and sustainment volumes increased the segment’s expectations, and the company also secured a $1.6 billion F-35 spare parts contract.

    What are Lockheed Martin’s main margin risks?

    Segment operating margin was 10.8% in fiscal 2026 Q2, but the distribution of profitability among the segments remains uneven. Management expects slight pressure on the Aeronautics margin due to the F-35 ramp-up and F-16 and C-130 challenges, and it also expects dilution of between 20 and 30 basis points in Missiles and Fire Control margins during the initial expansion stages. In Space, profit guidance was lowered to $1.34–1.38 billion because of lower ULA earnings related to the investigation into the Vulcan launch anomaly.

    What new innovations could add growth to Lockheed Martin?

    The company developed the Sanctum counter-drone system using a Grizzly launcher, and the solution moved from concept to live-fire testing in less than 45 days. It also unveiled Morpheus, a drone equipped with high-power microwaves and designed to disable the electronics of hostile aircraft, in addition to the lower-cost PAC-3 ACE. The company also secured a contract to develop a 500-kilowatt mobile laser system, but management explained that opportunities from these solutions would be incremental to its expectations based on traditional programs.