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Lionsgate Studios Corp.
LION

LION Lionsgate Studios Corp.

Lionsgate Studios Corp. · NYSE
Market Open
10.74
▼ ⁦-5.29%⁩ (-0.60)
Market Cap$3.2B
Beta0.15
52w Low52w High
5.8816.55
Last Week
⁦-4.70%⁩
Last Month
⁦-10.43%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-25.16%⁩
Last Year
⁦+66.51%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall17
Poor — bottom quartile of the marketHigh FlyerF 5/9DistressBetter than 17% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
43
—17.6xAround median
▸
Growth
53
1.9%▼7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
71
10.9%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
21
12.9x▼2.6xBottom tier
▸
Capital Return
18
—2.15%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
66
85.9%▲2.3%Around median
▸
Sentiment
73
5▲3Top tier
Fair Value
Current price$11
Analyst target · 2 analysts
$17
⁦+58%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$15–$20⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$4.32
⁦-60%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦11⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$4.32–$17⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 2 analysts setting price target
$16.80
⁦+56.4%⁩
Current Price $10.74·Median $17.00
Low
$15.00
High
$20.00
Current price
$10.74
Average target
$16.80
Street summary

Target prices unchanged, with limited variation in confidence

Bullish tilt

Target prices did not change over one, seven, or thirty days; consensus remained at 16.8, with a median target of 17 and a range between 15 and 20, based on only two analysts. Comparing the current price of 11.345 with consensus, the outlook implied by the targets remains mathematically positive, but the wide range and small number of analysts limit the strength of the conclusion and indicate variation in the degree of confidence.

As of 2026-09-17
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.91
Buy
Analyst coverage
11
Buy conviction
64%
Mixed
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
47%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time11 analysts rating
3
4
4
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.00 → 3.91
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-14
    Citigroup
    Market OutperformOutperform
  • = Reiterate2026-08-07
    Seaport Global
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-08-06
    Morgan Stanley
    Overweight
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    —
    —
  • Forward P/E
    20.94x
    5.21x41.67x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    34.25x
    4.43x35.48x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    3.0%
    -54.9%10.7%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    1.9%
    -18.1%67.2%
    Below average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    61.9%
    -155.6%189.9%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    39.6%
    13.2%79.5%
    Near median
  • ROIC
    10.9%
    -63.6%26.8%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    12.86x
    0.26x3.23x
    Financial risk
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    -0.48
    -9.8713.97
    Near median
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-06 data

Company Overview

Lionsgate Studios Corp. operates as an entertainment content company focused on producing and licensing films and television series, and monetizing its library and intellectual property across theatrical exhibition, digital platforms, and subsequent windows. Its business spans the Motion Picture Group, television production, a library that generated $987 million in revenue during the twelve months ended in the first quarter of fiscal 2027, and 3 Arts, which manages talent and partners with Lionsgate on approximately 30 projects. The company benefits from franchises such as The Hunger Games, John Wick, and Power, and from converting new titles such as Michael and The Housemaid into box office, licensing, and subsequent digital viewing revenue.

In the first quarter of fiscal 2027, revenue rose 48% year over year to approximately $777 million, compared with the EDGAR figure of $776.6 million, while the company recorded a net loss of $28.8 million and diluted loss per share of $0.10. Operating income reached $26 million, representing an operating margin of approximately 3.3%, and adjusted operating income before depreciation and amortization totaled $79 million, or approximately 10.2% of revenue, while free cash flow was $129 million.

The Motion Picture Group was the largest driver in the first quarter of fiscal 2027, as its revenue more than doubled to $587 million and segment profit reached $105 million, the group’s highest first-quarter profit in the company’s history, supported by Michael and subsequent-window revenue from The Housemaid. By contrast, television recorded revenue of $189 million and segment profit of $10 million, with both declining year over year due to the timing of episode deliveries. Total studio segment profit before corporate general expenses therefore reached $115 million, while the contracted backlog increased 21% to $1.5 billion.

What's Driving the Stock

  • The primary quarterly surge came from films: the group generated revenue of $587 million and profit of $105 million in the first quarter of fiscal 2027, driven by the performance of Michael and continued subsequent-window revenue from The Housemaid.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • The $1.5 billion contracted backlog, up 21% year over year, supports future revenue, and management expects television profit to improve sequentially in the second quarter of fiscal 2027 and then accelerate in the second half.
  • Lionsgate licensed the first four Power series to Netflix for three years beginning in November 2026; the deal includes international licensing of all four titles and worldwide licensing of the original series, alongside expansion of the franchise through Power: Origins and Power: Legacy.
  • Management expects substantial growth in adjusted operating income before depreciation and amortization and free cash flow during fiscal 2027, supported by doubling drama episode deliveries, monetizing Michael and The Housemaid across subsequent windows, and releasing The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping in the third quarter of fiscal 2027.
  • Net debt improved by $121 million during the first quarter of fiscal 2027 to approximately $1.5 billion, and financial leverage declined to 4.3 times, supported by free cash flow of $129 million, unrestricted liquidity of $426 million, and $800 million of available capacity under the credit facility.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +The Motion Picture Group demonstrated its ability to convert content success into profits, as its revenue more than doubled and its profit reached $105 million in the first quarter of fiscal 2027, with Michael and The Housemaid contributing theatrical and subsequent-window revenue.
    • +The library provides a relatively recurring revenue base; it generated $987 million during the twelve months ended in the first quarter of fiscal 2027, while the $1.5 billion contracted backlog indicates future revenue equal to more than half of fiscal 2026 revenue of $2.6 billion.
    • +The company has a clear path for expanding its franchises, including more than 12 repeatable branded titles over three years, with four films having completed production, the Netflix deal for the Power franchise, and the release of The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping in the third quarter of fiscal 2027.
    • +The improving balance sheet is gradually reducing financial pressure; leverage fell to 4.3 times ahead of management’s expected timeline, and there are no significant near-term corporate debt maturities, according to the August 6, 2026 call.

    ▼ Selling Case5 pts

    • −Earnings strength depends on the success of a limited number of titles; management stated on August 6, 2026 that earnings can sometimes depend on the performance of three or four titles, while most of the improvement in the first quarter of fiscal 2027 came from Michael and The Housemaid, and the plan awaits the release of The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping in the third quarter.
    • −The television business remained weak in the first quarter of fiscal 2027, generating revenue of $189 million and profit of $10 million, with both declining year over year due to delivery timing. Achieving the growth outlook therefore requires execution of the plan to double drama episode deliveries and accelerate performance in the second half of fiscal 2027.
    • −Debt remains high despite the improvement, with net debt of approximately $1.5 billion and financial leverage of 4.3 times at the end of the first quarter of fiscal 2027; management also explained that the potential put option related to 3 Arts in the fourth quarter could add approximately half a turn to leverage before deleveraging resumes.
    • −Strong operating performance has not yet translated into sustainable net profitability; the company recorded a net loss of $28.8 million in the first quarter of fiscal 2027 and a loss of $198.3 million in fiscal 2026, following quarterly profit of $70.2 million in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026.
    • −The valuation carries execution risk because the average analyst price target of $16.8 is only slightly above the 52-week range high of $16.7, while price targets range from $15 to $20 and no positive price-to-earnings ratio is available because of the reported losses.

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus is “Buy,” with an average price target of $16.8 and a range of $15 to $20; the average is only slightly above the 52-week range high of $16.7. No positive price-to-earnings ratio is available as a basis for valuation, as Lionsgate recorded a net loss of $198.3 million in fiscal 2026 and a loss of $28.8 million in the first quarter of fiscal 2027, making the valuation heavily dependent on the realization of earnings and cash flow growth and lower financial leverage.

    BuyAnalyst target: $16.8(+56.4%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-31; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What drove LION’s results in the first quarter of fiscal 2027?

    Lionsgate Studios’ revenue rose 48% year over year to approximately $777 million in the first quarter of fiscal 2027. The Motion Picture Group led this growth with revenue of $587 million and segment profit of $105 million, supported by Michael and subsequent-window revenue from The Housemaid. Adjusted operating income before depreciation and amortization reached $79 million, while free cash flow totaled $129 million despite a net loss of $28.8 million.

    How important are Michael and The Hunger Games to Lionsgate’s earnings?

    Michael was the primary driver of the Motion Picture Group’s record performance in the first quarter of fiscal 2027 and continued to generate revenue through paid digital viewing and subsequent windows. Management said on August 6, 2026 that its contributions would continue throughout the remaining three quarters of fiscal 2027, alongside additional revenue from The Housemaid. The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping is scheduled to support the third quarter of fiscal 2027, but this concentration ties a significant portion of results to the success of a limited number of releases.

    How does Lionsgate benefit from its library and the Power deal with Netflix?

    The library generated revenue of $987 million during the twelve months ended in the first quarter of fiscal 2027, and Dirty Dancing, released 38 years ago according to the call, was the largest individual contributor in that quarter. A three-year deal to license the first four Power series to Netflix begins in November 2026 and includes all four titles internationally and the original series worldwide. Management believes international exposure through Netflix could expand the franchise’s audience before the rights to other titles such as Orange is the New Black, Mythic Quest, and Mad Men return to the distribution ecosystem in subsequent years.

    Is Lionsgate’s debt position improving?

    Net debt declined by $121 million during the first quarter of fiscal 2027 to approximately $1.5 billion. Financial leverage fell to 4.3 times, down approximately two turns since the end of March 2026, with $426 million of unrestricted cash and $800 million of available capacity under the credit facility. Management targets a range of 3 to 3.5 times in fiscal 2028 and below three times thereafter, but indicated that the potential put option related to 3 Arts in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2027 could temporarily increase leverage by approximately half a turn.

    What are the main risks of investing in LION shares?

    The main risk is that earnings depend on three or four content titles in some periods, according to management’s statement on the August 6, 2026 call, making film results vulnerable to variations in release performance. Television revenue and profitability also declined year over year in the first quarter of fiscal 2027 due to the timing of episode deliveries, while the annual outlook requires drama deliveries to double and profit to accelerate in the second half. Additional risks include financial leverage of 4.3 times, a quarterly net loss of $28.8 million, and the absence of a positive price-to-earnings ratio that can be used to value the shares based on current earnings.