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Stocks
Lineage, Inc.
LINE

LINE Lineage, Inc.

Lineage, Inc. · NASDAQ
Market Closed
37.75
▲ ⁦+0.96%⁩ (+0.36)
Market Cap$8.5B
Beta0.90
52w Low52w High
31.3345.37
Last Week
⁦-2.66%⁩
Last Month
⁦-8.71%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-14.26%⁩
Last Year
⁦-9.15%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall18
Poor — bottom quartile of the marketValue TrapF 4/9Better than 18% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
63
—17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
47
1.0%▼7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
32
1.2%▼4.5%Bottom tier
▸
Safety
34
7.7x▼2.6xBottom tier
▸
Capital Return
46
5.59%▲2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
47
1.4%▼2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
88
5▲3Top tier
Fair Value
Current price$38
Analyst target · 6 analysts
$45
⁦+19%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$35–$53⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$-1.06
⁦-103%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦8.3⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$-1.06–$45⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 6 analysts setting price target
$44.58
⁦+18.1%⁩
Current Price $37.75·Median $45.00
Low
$35.00
High
$53.00
Current price
$37.75
Average target
$44.58
Street summary

Stable Targets with Slight Improvement in Consensus

The consensus price target stood at 44.58 versus a current price of 37.59, with a wide range between 35 and 53 and a median average of 45, reflecting notable divergence among analysts. The consensus did not change over one or seven days, while it rose over 30 days by 0.36, or 0.81%, with no change in the number of analysts, which remained at six.

As of 2026-09-09
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+0.8%⁩
Average rating
★ 2.95
Hold
Analyst coverage
20
Buy conviction
30%
Rating activity · 30d
1↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
48%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time20 analysts rating
1
5
10
4
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months2.90 → 2.95
Recent analyst moves
  • ⬆ Upgrade2026-09-09
    Morgan Stanley
    Overweight
  • = Reiterate2026-08-17
    RBC Capital
    Outperform
  • = Reiterate2026-08-13
    Citigroup
    Neutral
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    —
    —
  • Forward P/E
    —
    —
  • EV / EBITDA
    16.21x
    3.68x29.40x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    5.7%
    -23.1%16.7%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    1.0%
    -14.0%37.7%
    Below average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    73.9%
    -121.8%181.8%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    32.0%
    -5.0%81.8%
    Near median
  • ROIC
    1.2%
    -4.2%9.5%
    Near median
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    7.66x
    1.55x12.39x
    Near median
  • Dividend Yield
    5.6%
    0.6%15.6%
    Moderate
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-05 data

Company Overview

Lineage, Inc. is a cold-chain infrastructure company that connects food producers, manufacturers, distributors, and retailers through temperature-controlled storage and logistics services. The company generates income from storage, rent, and freezing, as well as pallet-handling, transportation, and food services within the Global Integrated Solutions segment; its competitive position also depends on its facility network, automation, and wholly owned LinOS platform.

According to EDGAR filings, Lineage recorded revenue of $1.3 billion and gross profit of $417 million in fiscal Q1 2026, equivalent to a gross margin of approximately 32.1%, but incurred a net loss of $46 million and a loss per share of $0.18. In fiscal 2025, revenue totaled $5.4 billion and gross profit reached $1.7 billion, compared with a net loss of $100 million; fiscal 2026 trailing-twelve-month data show a net loss of $146 million and negative earnings per share of approximately $0.64.

In fiscal Q2 2026, adjusted EBITDA was approximately $320 million, and AFFO was approximately $198 million, or $0.76 per share, exceeding management and consensus expectations. The Global Warehouse segment generated net operating income of $367 million, with same-warehouse net operating income declining 2.9%, while Global Integrated Solutions generated net operating income of $61 million and an underlying margin of 19% after excluding a $7 million legal settlement. Same-warehouse economic occupancy increased 90 basis points year over year, but handling pallets declined 1.8%, and rent, storage, and freezing revenue per economic pallet decreased 0.7%.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Lineage raised its fiscal 2026 AFFO guidance to $2.80–$3.05 per share from $2.75–$3.00 and raised its same-warehouse net operating income growth range to negative 3% through flat, while keeping the midpoint of its adjusted EBITDA guidance unchanged despite the Big Bear fire.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

Improving occupancy represents an operational inflection point: same-warehouse economic occupancy increased 90 basis points year over year in fiscal Q2 2026, following larger declines during fiscal 2025, while the company completed most pricing discussions and expects a net increase of between 1% and 2%.
  • The company has 20 facilities under construction or in ramp-up and stabilization phases, in which it has invested $1.1 billion and from which it expects more than $134 million in incremental net operating income upon stabilization, with pre-leasing reaching 71%. The expected net operating income run rate from non-same facilities, excluding the impact of Big Bear, was approximately $20 million per quarter in fiscal Q3 and Q4 2026.
  • The LinOS platform expanded to 14 conventional facilities in fiscal Q2 2026, all of which achieved internal savings targets, with 20 conventional facilities targeted by the end of fiscal 2026. The company is targeting a $110 million EBITDA impact, with a limited impact in fiscal Q4 2026 and an increasing impact in fiscal 2027 and 2028.
  • A new major account in the confectionery category began operations in June 2026 and had a strong start, and management believes confectionery could become one of its top ten categories and represent hundreds of millions of dollars in revenue over time. Global Integrated Solutions also recorded underlying revenue growth of 5% after excluding the impact of the prior exit from the transportation business in Spain.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case5 pts

    • +The 90-basis-point year-over-year improvement in same-warehouse economic occupancy and the increases in AFFO and same-warehouse net operating income guidance indicate that operational stabilization in the first half of fiscal 2026 was stronger than management's original estimates.
    • +The development portfolio provides a quantified growth path, as it is expected to add more than $134 million in net operating income after the stabilization of 20 projects in which $1.1 billion has been invested, while the 71% pre-leasing rate reduces some demand risk.
    • +LinOS could expand Lineage's cost and service advantage; the platform has reached 14 conventional facilities that are achieving internal savings targets, in addition to being used in 25 fully automated facilities, while management is targeting a $110 million EBITDA impact.
    • +Geographic diversification provides some protection from weakness in the U.S. market, as management described the Asia-Pacific, Europe, and Canada businesses as sources of stability during fiscal 2025 and 2026, while the greatest pressures came from U.S. markets and international trade.
    • +Net insider buying during the three months ended with the latest transaction on August 7, 2026, totaled approximately 826,638 shares through one purchase and with no recorded sales, a supportive signal that does not replace an assessment of performance, cash flows, and leverage.

    ▼ Selling Case8 pts

    • −Lineage continues to report losses under GAAP; the net loss was $46 million in fiscal Q1 2026 and $146 million in fiscal 2026 trailing-twelve-month data, following a loss of $100 million in fiscal 2025, so there is no positive price-to-earnings multiple on which to rely.
    • −International trade volumes remain a material pressure, as container volumes declined 14% and same-warehouse handling pallets decreased 1.8% year over year in fiscal Q2 2026; international volumes represent approximately 15% of warehouse handling and carry high incremental margins, amplifying the impact of their weakness on earnings.
    • −Competition and excess supply continue to affect approximately 15% of Lineage's U.S. markets, and the company reduced its capacity by deactivating ten facilities in fiscal 2025 and five additional facilities in fiscal 2026, totaling approximately 2.5 million square feet, or about 1% of its U.S. capacity.
    • −Growth and margin expectations remain weak despite the relative improvement; management expects fiscal 2026 same-warehouse net operating income to range from a 3% decline to flat and total warehouse net operating income growth to range from negative 2% to positive 1%, with handling and service metrics expected to remain slightly lower and margins to decline slightly.
    • −Lineage lowered its fiscal 2026 Global Integrated Solutions net operating income growth guidance to negative 4% through negative 2% from a previous range of flat to positive 2%, following a $7 million legal settlement and temporary pressure from higher transportation prices that are passed through to customers with a lag.
    • −

    Valuation

    The average analyst price target is $45.18, within a wide range of $35 to $53, and the average is near the upper end of the 52-week range of $31.33–$45.75; the consensus is also neutral rather than buy. No positive price-to-earnings multiple is available because Lineage recorded net losses in fiscal 2025 and in fiscal 2026 trailing-twelve-month data, so the valuation effectively rests on AFFO, net operating income stabilization, and the successful reduction of leverage from approximately 6.0 times to the target range of 5.0 to 5.5 times.

    HoldAnalyst target: $45.18(+19.7%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-29; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What is driving LINE stock's results in fiscal 2026?

    Results are being shaped by improving occupancy and continued weakness in trade-related handling. In fiscal Q2 2026, same-warehouse economic occupancy increased 90 basis points, while handling pallets declined 1.8% and container volumes fell 14%. Cost management and the development portfolio helped adjusted EBITDA reach $320 million and AFFO reach $0.76 per share, prompting management to raise annual AFFO guidance to $2.80–$3.05.

    Has Lineage's cold-storage business begun to stabilize?

    The August 5, 2026 call showed signs of stabilization, but not a full return to growth. Same-warehouse economic occupancy increased 90 basis points year over year, but same-warehouse net operating income declined 2.9% in fiscal Q2 2026. For fiscal 2026, management expects a range from a 3% decline to flat, with fiscal Q4 2026 growth approaching flat year over year according to its expectations.

    How important is LinOS to Lineage's growth?

    LinOS is a company-owned operating and automation platform used in its automated and conventional facilities. In fiscal Q2 2026, it expanded to 14 conventional facilities, and management said all of them were achieving internal savings targets, with 20 facilities targeted by the end of fiscal 2026. Lineage is targeting a $110 million EBITDA impact, but management clarified that the impact in fiscal Q4 2026 would not be significant and would increase in fiscal 2027 and 2028.

    How does the development portfolio affect LINE's earnings?

    Lineage has 20 facilities under construction or in gradual ramp-up and stabilization, with a cumulative investment of $1.1 billion. The company expects these projects to add more than $134 million in net operating income upon stabilization, and pre-leasing has reached 71%. It also expected a non-same-facility net operating income run rate of approximately $20 million per quarter in fiscal Q3 and Q4 2026 after excluding the impact of Big Bear.

    What is the financial impact of the Big Bear fire on Lineage?

    The Big Bear facility is approximately 500 thousand square feet and contains about 85 thousand pallet positions, equivalent to approximately 1% of the company's global capacity. On August 5, 2026, Lineage estimated that the fire would reduce adjusted EBITDA by approximately $15 million during fiscal Q3 and Q4 2026 due to lost revenue and customer and employee support costs. The guidance did not include any benefit from business interruption insurance, while the company said repair, remediation, and legal costs could not be precisely determined as of that date.

    Can Lineage's balance sheet fund growth?

    Lineage ended fiscal Q2 2026 with net debt of approximately $7.8 billion and liquidity of approximately $1.6 billion. Adjusted net debt to transaction-adjusted EBITDA was approximately 5.3 times, but reported leverage was approximately 6.0 times compared with a target of 5.0 to 5.5 times. Management explained that achieving the target could require disposition proceeds of slightly more than $1 billion, while remaining committed to maintaining an investment-grade balance sheet and funding high-return growth projects.

    The fire at the Big Bear facility, which represents approximately 1% of global capacity and contains about 85 thousand pallet positions, was estimated to create a $15 million drag on adjusted EBITDA in the second half of fiscal 2026, in addition to repair, remediation, and legal costs that could not be precisely determined during the August 5, 2026 call.
  • −Net debt was approximately $7.8 billion and liquidity approximately $1.6 billion at the end of fiscal Q2 2026, while reported leverage was approximately 6.0 times compared with a target range of 5.0 to 5.5 times; reaching the target range may require disposition proceeds of slightly more than $1 billion, with potential temporary dilution to AFFO while the proceeds are held in cash.
  • −The valuation carries an expectations-dispersion risk, as analysts' targets range from $35 to $53 with a neutral consensus, while no positive price-to-earnings multiple is available because of the losses; this makes the valuation more dependent on achieving net operating income stabilization, AFFO growth, and leverage reduction.