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Lindblad Expeditions Holdings, Inc.
LIND

LIND Lindblad Expeditions Holdings, Inc.

Lindblad Expeditions Holdings, Inc. · NASDAQ
Market Closed
25.67
▲ ⁦+1.50%⁩ (+0.38)
Market Cap$1.7B
Beta2.25
52w Low52w High
11.3735.00
Last Week
⁦+1.10%⁩
Last Month
⁦-22.31%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+11.80%⁩
Last Year
⁦+73.10%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall22
Poor — bottom quartile of the marketHigh FlyerF 6/9Better than 22% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
43
—17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
58
18.3%▲7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
70
13.0%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
39
2.7x▼2.6xBottom tier
▸
Capital Return
29
—2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
82
126.3%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
33
33Bottom tier
Fair Value
Current price$26
Analyst target · 1 analysts
$30
⁦+17%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$29–$37⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$12
⁦-53%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦13.3⁩% discount · ⁦1⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$12–$30⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 1 analysts setting price target
$31.50
⁦+22.7%⁩
Current Price $25.67·Median $30.00
Low
$29.00
High
$37.00
Current price
$25.67
Average target
$31.50
Street summary

Slight Decline in Target and Reduced Analyst Coverage

The consensus price target remained at 31.5 compared with 31.5 on September 9, but declined from 32.33 over the 7- and 30-day periods, down 0.83 or 2.57%. The current range between 29 and 37 reflects notable variation, with the current price at 25.29, while the number of analysts counted declined from two to one over 30 days, reducing the strength of the consensus signal.

As of 2026-09-10
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-2.6%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.80
Buy
Analyst coverage
⁦5 (-1)⁩
Buy conviction
80%
High
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
31%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time5 analysts rating
4
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.80 → 3.80
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-09
    Jefferies
    Hold
  • = Reiterate2026-07-24
    Deutsche Bank
    Hold
  • = Reiterate2026-06-29
    Benchmark
    Buy
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    —
    —
  • Forward P/E
    137.27x
    3.79x30.29x
    Very expensive
  • EV / EBITDA
    16.19x
    2.75x22.03x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    7.4%
    -30.9%16.2%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    18.3%
    -13.8%31.9%
    Strong
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -40.7%
    -156.9%135.6%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    34.7%
    12.0%66.5%
    Near median
  • ROIC
    13.0%
    -23.8%21.5%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    2.73x
    0.65x5.48x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-03 data

Company Overview

Lindblad Expeditions Holdings, Inc. operates marine expedition voyages and premium land-based experiences, generating revenue from occupancy, yield per guest night, land trips, as well as onboard services and pre- or post-voyage extensions. The business consists of the Lindblad Expeditions segment and the Land Experiences segment, and the company benefits commercially from its partnership with National Geographic and from a portfolio of land-experience brands whose founders retain ownership stakes and continue to manage them.

In Q2 FY2026, total revenue increased 18.6% to $199.2 million, compared with $167.9 million in Q2 FY2025. Lindblad segment revenue grew 16.4% to $129.2 million, representing about 65% of total revenue, while Land Experiences revenue grew 23% to $70 million, supported by a 13% increase in guest count and an 8% rise in revenue per guest.

Gross margin reached 48.5%, up 290 basis points, and adjusted EBITDA increased 30.7% to $32.5 million, with its margin improving 150 basis points to 16.3%. Nevertheless, the company recorded a net loss available to shareholders of $1.4 million, or $0.02 per share, compared with a loss of $9.7 million, or $0.18 per share, in Q2 FY2025; management said that excluding accelerated depreciation related to the planned retirement of National Geographic Sea Bird and National Geographic Sea Lion in Q4 FY2026 would have resulted in positive GAAP net income.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Occupancy increased to 91% from 86% despite an 11.9% increase in capacity, recording the highest Q2 occupancy in ten years, while net yield per guest night rose 4.3% to a Q2 record of $1,294.
  • Management raised FY2026 revenue guidance from $800–850 million to $830–860 million and increased the net yield growth range from 4%–5% to 4.5%–5.5%, while 2026 and 2027 bookings remain above comparable periods.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • The launch of 2028 programs generated twice the revenue in its first few weeks as the corresponding launch period for 2027 programs, and the plan includes a return to French Polynesia and expansion in European River Cruises and Amazon. Improved deployment and maintenance dry docks also reduced non-revenue days in the 2028 plan by 92 days compared with the 2026 plan.
  • External sales program revenue grew 44% year over year, and revenue from onboard services and extensions increased 28%. Following a company campaign in Australia and New Zealand, bookings from the region increased 44% during the subsequent six weeks compared with the preceding six weeks.
  • The Off the Beaten Path, Alaska Grandslam program, which covers all eight national parks in Alaska, sold out its initial operation and added departures within weeks. The company also launched women-only trips across 20 destinations, while expanded DuVine offerings combining walking and cycling recorded sales trends that management described as promising.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +Revenue growth of 18.6%, a 30.7% increase in adjusted EBITDA, and a 290-basis-point improvement in gross margin combine business expansion with clear operating leverage in Q2 FY2026.
    • +The 91% occupancy rate and a sixth consecutive quarter of record net yields confirm the company's ability to absorb additional capacity and increase yield, while 2027 bookings and the strong 2028 launch indicate that demand extends beyond FY2026.
    • +Free cash flow since the beginning of FY2026 increased 93% to $93.6 million, cash reached $364.9 million, and net leverage declined from 2.7 times at the end of Q1 to 2.2 times at the end of Q2, supporting organic investment, disciplined acquisitions, and debt reduction.
    • +Land Experiences growth of 23%, compared with 16.4% for the Lindblad segment, provides an additional growth path that does not depend exclusively on increasing ship voyages, with the land segment contributing about 35% of Q2 FY2026 revenue.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Management maintained FY2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance at $130–140 million despite raising revenue guidance to $830–860 million, because fuel prices remain elevated and it assumes a scenario in which oil approaches $100 per barrel during the remainder of the fiscal year.
    • −Fuel costs increased $2.7 million, or 64%, in Q2 FY2026 and rose to 5.3% of Lindblad segment revenue compared with 4.8% a year earlier, despite reducing fuel consumption by more than 3% while increasing capacity 12%. This makes profitability sensitive to continued geopolitical tensions and higher energy prices.
    • −The company expects available guest nights to remain approximately flat in the second half of FY2026, with mid-single-digit growth in Q3 and a mid-single-digit decline in Q4, after Q2 benefited from a 12% capacity increase. Therefore, a larger share of yield growth in FY2027 will have to come from pricing rather than occupancy, which management believes may normalize at around 90% or slightly higher.
    • −The company continues to report a loss under GAAP; its Q2 FY2026 loss was approximately $1.4 million, or $0.02 per share, and no current price-to-earnings ratio is available in the data. Moreover, the hypothetical shift to profitability in that quarter depends on excluding accelerated depreciation related to the retirement of two ships, rather than on reported net income.
    • −Management cited the risk of voyage cancellations due to uncertainty surrounding geopolitical events, while some departures added only six to nine months before sailing also face headwinds in the pricing mix because of a shorter-than-usual booking window.
    • −Net insider sales during the three months ending with the latest transaction on June 17, 2026, totaled approximately $2 million, through two sales and with no recorded purchases. This remains a weak standalone signal because insider sales may be prearranged, and the data do not explain the motivations for the transactions.

    Valuation

    The stock has a consensus “Buy” rating, with an average price target of $32.33 and a target range of $29 to $37; the average is about 7.6% below the 52-week range high of $35, while the highest target exceeds that high. No price-to-earnings ratio is available because of the continuing reported loss, and the wide 52-week range of $11.37 to $35 is consistent with the contrast between accelerating revenue and cash flow on one hand, and fuel risks and unchanged adjusted earnings guidance on the other.

    BuyAnalyst target: $32.33(+25.9%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-01; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What drove LIND's growth in Q2 FY2026?

    Revenue increased 18.6% to $199.2 million, driven by 16.4% growth in the Lindblad segment to $129.2 million and 23% growth in Land Experiences to $70 million. The Lindblad segment absorbed an 11.9% increase in capacity while occupancy rose from 86% to 91%. Net yield per guest night also increased 4.3% to $1,294, while the land segment benefited from 13% growth in guests and an 8% increase in revenue per guest.

    Did Lindblad Expeditions become profitable in Q2 FY2026?

    The company recorded a net loss available to shareholders of $1.4 million, or $0.02 per share, in Q2 FY2026. This represents an improvement of $8.3 million compared with a loss of $0.18 per share in Q2 FY2025. Management said the company would have generated positive GAAP net income without the accelerated depreciation related to the planned retirement of National Geographic Sea Bird and National Geographic Sea Lion in Q4 FY2026.

    What is Lindblad Expeditions' guidance for FY2026?

    Management raised its expected FY2026 revenue range to $830–860 million, from $800–850 million previously. It also raised guidance for net yield growth per available guest night to 4.5%–5.5% from 4%–5%. In contrast, it maintained adjusted EBITDA guidance at $130–140 million because of higher fuel costs, while expecting capacity to remain approximately flat during the second half of the fiscal year.

    How strong are Lindblad's bookings for FY2027 and FY2028?

    Management said on August 3, 2026, that FY2027 bookings were ahead of FY2026 bookings in both the expedition and land-experience segments. The launch of 2028 programs generated twice the revenue in its first few weeks as the corresponding launch period for 2027 programs, while management acknowledged that this pace may normalize as the booking curve progresses. The 2028 programs include a return to French Polynesia and expansion in European River Cruises and Amazon, and they also have 92 fewer non-revenue operating days compared with the 2026 programs.

    How do fuel prices affect LIND's earnings?

    Fuel costs increased by $2.7 million, or 64%, in Q2 FY2026 and came to represent 5.3% of Lindblad segment revenue compared with 4.8% a year earlier. This occurred despite reducing fuel consumption by more than 3% while increasing capacity 12%. Management bases its FY2026 adjusted earnings guidance on scenarios that include oil remaining near $100 per barrel during the remainder of the fiscal year, and therefore did not raise the adjusted earnings range despite increasing the revenue forecast.

    What is Lindblad Expeditions' liquidity and debt position?

    The company ended Q2 FY2026 with total cash of $364.9 million, an increase of $75.2 million from the end of FY2025. Cash generated from operations reached $108.5 million, and free cash flow since the beginning of FY2026 increased 93% to $93.6 million, while the company used $14.9 million in investing activities primarily related to maintenance of owned ships. Net leverage declined from 2.7 times at the end of Q1 FY2026 to 2.2 times at the end of Q2, and management prioritizes organic investment and disciplined accretive investments ahead of debt reduction or opportunistic share repurchases.