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Home
Stocks
Linde plc
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall64
Balanced — near the middle of the marketFalling StarF 5/9SafeBetter than 64% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
28
30.1x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
32
6.6%▼7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
68
10.9%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
73
1.8x▲2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
44
1.33%▼2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
49
3.8%▲2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
95
15▲3Top tier
LIN

LIN Linde plc

Linde plc · NASDAQ
Market Closed
466.22
▲ ⁦+1.00%⁩ (+4.60)
Market Cap$215.7B
Beta0.73
52w Low52w High
387.78548.20
Last Week
⁦-4.36%⁩
Last Month
⁦-4.96%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-8.43%⁩
Last Year
⁦-1.53%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$466
Analyst target · 8 analysts
$563
⁦+21%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$525–$612⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$136
⁦-71%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦1⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$136–$563⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 8 analysts setting price target
$563.44
⁦+20.9%⁩
Current Price $466.22·Median $563.00
Low
$525.00
High
$612.00
Current price
$466.22
Average target
$563.44
Street summary

Relatively stable with a slight downward bias in LIN price targets

The consensus price target declined from 566.25 to 563.44 over the past 7 and 30 days, a decrease of 2.81 or 0.5%, while the change over one day was very limited at just 0.12. The number of analysts remained unchanged at 8, suggesting that the decline reflects a limited adjustment in estimates rather than a broad shift in coverage. The current range is between 525 and 612, compared with a current price of 466.22, reflecting a notable divergence between the targets.

As of 2026-09-11
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-0.5%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.93
Buy
Analyst coverage
27
Buy conviction
78%
High
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
19%
Analyst ratings over time27 analysts rating
5
16
5
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.92 → 3.93
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-11
    Bernstein
    Outperform
  • = Reiterate2026-09-11
    UBS
    Outperform
  • = Reiterate2026-09-10
    KeyBanc
    Overweight
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    30.08x
    4.94x39.51x
    Near median
  • Forward P/E
    25.00x
    3.70x29.59x
    Expensive
  • EV / EBITDA
    18.21x
    2.62x20.92x
    Above average
  • FCF Yield
    2.3%
    -21.3%8.9%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    6.6%
    -21.2%90.4%
    Below average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    10.2%
    -249.5%198.4%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    45.6%
    7.6%58.9%
    Strong
  • ROIC
    10.9%
    -52.6%20.2%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    1.78x
    0.22x3.72x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    1.3%
    0.2%5.5%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    39.7%
    4.7%147.8%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    3.73
    -11.4212.56
    Above average
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-31 data

Company Overview

Linde plc is the world’s largest industrial gases company according to the data provided, and generates revenue from gas sales under supply contracts, on-site customer gas projects, and equipment and plant sales, in addition to equipment and hardgoods in the packaged gases business. The company targets the electronics and semiconductors, healthcare, food and beverage, manufacturing, aerospace, metals and mining, and chemicals and energy sectors. Long-term contracts and the project backlog support future gas sales, while lower-margin equipment and hardgoods sales may temporarily pressure the profitability mix.

In Q2 of fiscal year 2026, revenue reached $9.3 billion, up 9% year over year and 6% sequentially, and net income according to EDGAR filings was approximately $1.9 billion, with earnings per share of $4.15. Meanwhile, adjusted earnings per share as presented by management reached $4.50, representing 10% year-over-year growth. Operating margin reached 29.5%, down 60 basis points year over year, or 30 basis points excluding cost pass-through, while the reported net profit margin was 20.43%.

Underlying net sales grew 4% year over year, split evenly between volume growth and pricing, with additional contributions of 2% from currency, 1% from acquisitions, 1% from engineering, and 1% from cost pass-through. Electronics was the fastest-growing end market, rising 18% year over year, supported by new projects and demand for AI-related hardware, while aerospace and data center-related construction led the improvement in manufacturing. For fiscal year 2025, Linde recorded revenue of $34.0 billion and net income of $6.9 billion, after which the trailing twelve-month figures within fiscal year 2026 rose to revenue of $35.4 billion and net income of $7.2 billion.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Linde raised the low end of its fiscal year 2026 earnings-per-share guidance by $0.10 to a range of $17.70 to $17.90, representing growth of between 8% and 9% excluding an assumed positive currency impact of 1%. It also set fiscal year 2026 Q3 guidance at between $4.45 and $4.55 per share, representing year-over-year growth of between 6% and 8%.
  • The gas sales project backlog increased by $1 billion to a record $8.1 billion following a new electronics win in the western United States. Management expects to start up more than 20 projects with investments of approximately $1.3 billion during the remainder of fiscal year 2026, with the backlog remaining in the 8 range at year-end.
  • On July 31, 2026, Linde announced a $1 billion investment to expand its industrial gases complex in Phoenix, Arizona, under a long-term agreement to supply high-purity gases to one of the world’s largest semiconductor manufacturers. In addition, its joint venture in Taiwan intends to invest approximately $800 million in air separation and hydrogen production units for semiconductor and advanced packaging facilities, and these projects are not included in Linde’s reported backlog.
  • The electronics end market grew 18% year over year in Q2 of fiscal year 2026, and management expected its momentum to continue through the remainder of the year. The increase is linked to projects that began production and higher demand for AI-related hardware, and management also sees additional opportunities in the United States, Taiwan, Korea, and China.
  • Signs of a recovery appeared in U.S. manufacturing; packaged gas sales grew at a mid-to-high single-digit rate, and hardgoods sales rose by more than 10% year over year. Aerospace contributed more than one-third of manufacturing growth in the quarter, while management confirmed that the space market opportunity is on track to exceed $1 billion by 2030.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Q2 of fiscal year 2026 combined 9% revenue growth with 10% adjusted earnings-per-share growth, along with an increase in the low end of fiscal year 2026 guidance, demonstrating the ability of earnings to advance despite homecare pressures and helium disruption.
  • +The record gas sales project backlog of $8.1 billion provides long-term growth visibility, and the projects target a double-digit unlevered after-tax internal rate of return. Projects typically take two or three years to execute, after which their margin contribution rises as capacity utilization increases.
  • +Semiconductor expansions give Linde direct exposure to demand for advanced nodes, advanced packaging, and AI-related hardware; the U.S. win added $1 billion to the backlog, alongside investments of $800 million through the Taiwan joint venture.
  • +Available cash flow, after deducting base capital expenditures, reached levels that management described as healthy, and the company deployed $6 billion of capital since the beginning of fiscal year 2026, split evenly between business investments and shareholder returns. Secured growth investments included $1.9 billion allocated to acquisitions and the project backlog.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

Analyst consensus on LIN shares is “Buy,” with an average price target of $566.25, a high of $612, and a low of $525; the average is approximately 3.3% above the top of the 52-week range of $548.20. The $87 spread between targets reflects differing assessments of the impact of the record project backlog versus Lincare pressure and helium disruptions, and the data do not provide a price-to-earnings ratio that can be used to confirm whether the valuation is low or high on an earnings basis.

BuyAnalyst target: $566.25(+21.5%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-26; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What were Linde’s key results in Q2 of fiscal year 2026?

Revenue reached $9.3 billion, up 9% year over year and 6% sequentially, while net income according to EDGAR was approximately $1.9 billion. Earnings per share according to EDGAR were $4.15, while management presented adjusted earnings per share of $4.50, up 10% year over year. Operating margin reached 29.5%, down 60 basis points year over year, or 30 basis points after excluding cost pass-through.

Why is Linde’s Arizona project important for LIN shares?

On July 31, 2026, Linde announced a $1 billion investment to expand its existing complex in Phoenix, Arizona. The investment is linked to a long-term agreement to supply high-purity industrial gases to one of the world’s largest semiconductor manufacturers, and the win added $1 billion to the gas sales project backlog. The project supports advanced-node facilities in the western United States, at a time when Linde’s electronics end market grew 18% year over year in Q2 of fiscal year 2026.

What is Linde’s earnings guidance for fiscal year 2026?

The company raised the low end of its fiscal year 2026 earnings-per-share guidance by $0.10 to a range of $17.70 to $17.90. This equates to growth of between 8% and 9% after excluding an assumed positive currency impact of 1%. Fiscal year 2026 Q3 guidance ranges from $4.45 to $4.55, representing year-over-year growth of between 6% and 8%, and the midpoint of the range assumes no economic improvement.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • −The U.S. homecare business Lincare pressured Americas segment profitability due to labor cost inflation and changes in reimbursement policies; management indicated that the impact in Q2 of fiscal year 2026 was approximately 30% higher than an estimate of $30 million, or about $39 million. Linde is evaluating the strategic fit of this business in part and in full, alongside operational and productivity measures to improve its performance, but the outcome of this evaluation was not resolved on the call.
  • −Consolidated operating margin declined to 29.5% in Q2 of fiscal year 2026, down 60 basis points year over year or 30 basis points excluding cost pass-through. Alongside Lincare, the U.S. hardgoods mix and lower-margin electronics equipment sales in Asia Pacific reduced margin levels, so the sequential recovery expected by management still needs to be demonstrated in subsequent results.
  • −The Strait of Hormuz disruption caused additional helium supply chain costs and made improved pricing dilutive to margin despite remaining positive in terms of dollar contribution. Asian countries that depend on Middle Eastern hydrocarbons also reduced industrial activity, particularly India, some Association of Southeast Asian Nations countries, and Australia, and to a lesser extent China, and management said normalization of the helium market could extend into the first part of 2027 even after the disruption is resolved.
  • −Fiscal year 2026 Q3 guidance implies earnings-per-share growth of between 6% and 8%, compared with adjusted growth of 10% in Q2, while the company raised only the low end of annual guidance and left the high end at $17.90. The midpoint of guidance assumes no economic improvement, while chemicals and energy markets remained approximately stable outside project contributions in Asia, leaving results exposed to economic weakness or continued inflation without offsetting growth.
  • −Converting the $8.1 billion project backlog into earnings requires the execution of more than 20 start-ups with investments of approximately $1.3 billion during the remainder of fiscal year 2026. Projects typically take two to three years to execute and then go through a ramp-up period before reaching their ultimate contribution, so the impact of substantial spending on revenue and margins may be delayed.
  • −The 52-week range for LIN shares is between $387.78 and $548.20, while analysts’ target range extends from $525 to $612 and the average is $566.25, only about 3.3% above the top of the 52-week range. With no price-to-earnings ratio available in the data, it is difficult to assess the margin of safety using a fixed earnings multiple, and reaching the higher targets requires successful margin expansion and backlog execution without setbacks.
How large is Linde’s project backlog, and how can it support growth?

The gas sales project backlog reached a record $8.1 billion in Q2 of fiscal year 2026, after the addition of a $1 billion U.S. electronics win. Management expects to start up more than 20 projects with investments of approximately $1.3 billion during the remainder of the year, while keeping the backlog in the 8 range at year-end. Projects typically take two to three years to execute, and the company targets a double-digit unlevered after-tax internal rate of return for them before their contribution gradually rises as capacity utilization increases.

What is the issue with the U.S. homecare business Lincare?

Lincare faced labor cost inflation and changes in the reimbursement environment, making it the largest source of pressure on the Americas segment margin during Q2 of fiscal year 2026. Management explained that the Americas margin, excluding Lincare and cost pass-through, would have increased by 20 basis points, and that the impact of the business was approximately $39 million according to the clarification provided in the questions and answers. Linde is implementing operational and productivity measures and continuing to prune the portfolio, while also evaluating the strategic fit of the business in part and in full without announcing a final decision.

How does the Strait of Hormuz disruption affect Linde’s business and helium?

Linde maintained supply to its contracted customers and signed long-term contracts with new customers, benefiting from the diversity of its sources and logistics capabilities. Helium pricing improved, but supply rerouting costs reduced its margin impact in Q2 of fiscal year 2026. Some Asian economies dependent on Middle Eastern hydrocarbons also reduced industrial activity, and management said the return of the helium market to a more normal state could extend into the first part of 2027.