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LifeStance Health Group, Inc.
LFST

LFST LifeStance Health Group, Inc.

LifeStance Health Group, Inc. · NASDAQ
Market Closed
12.97
▼ ⁦-0.23%⁩ (-0.03)
Market Cap$5.0B
Beta1.20
52w Low52w High
4.7713.28
Last Week
⁦+2.94%⁩
Last Month
⁦+21.67%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+70.43%⁩
Last Year
⁦+140.63%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall90
Excellent — top fifth of the marketHigh FlyerF 8/9Better than 90% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
19
92.6x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
89
20.4%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
57
3.2%▼4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
80
1.3x▲2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
81
—2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
99
86.8%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
24
4▲3Bottom tier
Fair Value
Current price$13
Analyst target · 5 analysts
$13
⁦+0%⁩
See it fairly priced
Range ⁦$9.00–$19⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$7.57
⁦-42%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦9.7⁩% discount · ⁦3⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$7.57–$13⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 5 analysts setting price target
$13.86
⁦+6.9%⁩
Current Price $12.97·Median $13.00
Low
$9.00
High
$19.00
Current price
$12.97
Average target
$13.86
Street summary

Target price consensus rises while dispersion remains high

Bullish tilt

Target price consensus rose to 13.86, an increase of 0.57 or 4.29% over 7 days, and an increase of 1.00 or 7.78% over 30 days, while the number of analysts remained at 5. This compares with a current price of 12.97; the median is 13, and the range is between 9 and 19, indicating a limited improvement in the overall outlook while a clear divergence among estimates persists.

As of 2026-09-11
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+7.8%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.00
Buy
Analyst coverage
11
Buy conviction
82%
High
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
77%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time11 analysts rating
2
7
2
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.10 → 4.00
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-10
    Barclays
    Overweight
  • = Reiterate2026-08-19
    BTIG
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-08-07
    BMO Capital
    Outperform
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    92.64x
    3.94x44.30x
    Very expensive
  • Forward P/E
    66.44x
    4.64x37.16x
    Very expensive
  • EV / EBITDA
    39.21x
    3.77x30.13x
    Expensive
  • FCF Yield
    3.9%
    -138.2%7.8%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    20.4%
    -56.9%93.8%
    Above average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    450.0%
    -160.1%130.2%
    Exceptional
  • Gross Margin
    33.6%
    12.8%90.7%
    Below average
  • ROIC
    3.2%
    -155.3%16.0%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    1.27x
    0.60x5.10x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-06 data

Company Overview

LifeStance Health Group operates an outpatient mental healthcare network in the United States, providing psychotherapy, psychiatry, and neuropsychological testing services, in addition to TMS and Spravato for treatment-resistant depression. Revenue growth depends on increasing visit volumes, expanding the base of clinicians and specialists, and raising revenue per visit through payer contracts, while leveraging existing centers and geographic expansion; the company was present in 33 states and approximately half of the 150 largest U.S. markets as of August 6, 2026.

In fiscal Q2 2026, revenue increased 26% to $435 million, driven by a 19% increase in visit volumes to 2.6 million visits and a 6% rise in total revenue per visit to $167. The number of clinicians reached 8,542 after adding 193 clinicians during the quarter, representing an 11% year-over-year increase, while average visits per clinician also rose 7% for the third consecutive quarter.

Profitability improved significantly in fiscal Q2 2026; center margin increased 41% to $153 million, or 35.2% of revenue, and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization jumped 94% to $66 million, with a margin of 15.2%, an increase of more than 500 basis points year over year. Net income reached $24 million, an improvement of $27 million, while free cash flow reached $88 million compared with $57 million in the corresponding period, with strong collections and favorable payroll timing contributing to the cash result.

What's Driving the Stock

  • On August 6, 2026, LifeStance raised its fiscal 2026 revenue range to between $1.685 billion and $1.725 billion, a $45 million increase at the midpoint, implying year-over-year growth of approximately 20% at the midpoint. It also raised its adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization range to $215–235 million, a $15 million increase at the midpoint.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

Productivity and hiring are simultaneous growth drivers; visits per clinician increased 7% year over year, while the clinician base grew 11% to 8,542 in fiscal Q2 2026. The company still uses only about 70% of the available time offered by clinicians, leaving room to increase appointments by improving conversion and clinic scheduling.
  • Total revenue per visit increased 6% to $167 in fiscal Q2 2026, which management attributed primarily to agreed-upon price increases with payers. Based on the visibility provided by midyear contracts, the company’s fiscal 2026 outlook now assumes mid-single-digit growth in revenue per visit instead of a low-to-mid-single-digit range.
  • Specialty services generated approximately $50 million in revenue in fiscal 2025, and management expects them to grow by approximately 40% in fiscal 2026, with TMS and Spravato as the main contributors. The company continued adding Spravato locations and treatment chairs during fiscal Q2 2026, while data from approximately 140 thousand patients showed that at least 75% achieved clinically meaningful improvement across different generations and regions.
  • Geographic expansion represents an additional growth avenue; in fiscal Q2 2026, the company completed a small tuck-in acquisition that expanded psychotherapy and psychiatry services in Arizona. Management prefers small acquisitions to enter new markets, while using greenfield organic expansion when a suitable deal is unavailable.
  • The company ended fiscal Q2 2026 with $226 million in cash and $259 million in net long-term debt, with net leverage of 0.2 times. After using approximately $97 million of the initial repurchase program, the board of directors approved a new $100 million share repurchase authorization on August 6, 2026.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +The growth model combines expanding human capacity with improving its utilization; the clinician base increased 11%, visits rose 19%, and revenue per visit grew 6% in fiscal Q2 2026, producing revenue growth of 26% instead of relying on a single factor.
    • +Fiscal Q2 2026 results demonstrate strong operating leverage, as adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization increased 94%, and its margin expanded by more than 500 basis points to 15.2%. The company also targets a mid-teens margin by fiscal 2028, within a long-term ambition ranging between 15% and 20%.
    • +Specialty services provide the company with a faster growth avenue than the core business; management expects this business to grow by approximately 40% in fiscal 2026 after generating nearly $50 million in revenue in fiscal 2025. The center footprint allows TMS and Spravato to be added gradually while leveraging the existing operating infrastructure.
    • +The balance sheet provides flexibility to fund expansion, investment, and share repurchases; cash reached $226 million and net leverage was 0.2 times at the end of fiscal Q2 2026. This came after spending $49 million on share repurchases during the quarter and generating $88 million in free cash flow.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Fiscal Q3 2026 guidance points to potential sequential deceleration; the revenue range of $420–440 million has a midpoint of $430 million versus $435 million in Q2, while the adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization range is $49–59 million versus $66 million. These pressures are linked to additional investments in technology, artificial intelligence, marketing, clinical operations, and compensation, which could reduce margins in the second half of fiscal 2026.
    • −The company’s transition to a new EHR system during fiscal 2027 entails direct execution risk for a network of more than 8,500 clinicians. Management acknowledged on August 6, 2026, that the transition would be implemented in waves and could cause a short-term decline in clinician productivity, while scheduling and implementation details were still in the planning stage.
    • −Part of the growth in revenue per visit depends on successful negotiations with payers; management attributed the 6% year-over-year increase in fiscal Q2 2026 primarily to contracts and pricing. The focus also remained on commercial insurance, with very limited exposure to fee-for-service Medicaid and Medicare, making continued pricing improvement dependent on the company’s relationships with commercial payers.
    • −The expansion of specialty services remains at an early stage, and management said the primary constraint on accelerating TMS and Spravato is its internal ability to refine the operating model and address differences across states and payer environments. Any future expansion into psychedelic services also depends on FDA approval and the availability of appropriate insurance reimbursement.
    • −Stock-based compensation may limit the economic impact of repurchases; the company expects stock-based compensation expense of between $60 million and $70 million in fiscal 2026, alongside substantial share repurchase programs. Investors need to compare the actual reduction in share count with the amount of funds used, rather than viewing the $100 million repurchase authorization in isolation from dilution.

    Valuation

    The average analyst price target is $13.29, compared with a wide target range of $9 to $19 and a consensus rating of “Buy,” while the average is only approximately 2.5% above the 52-week range high of $12.965. The absence of a displayed price-to-earnings ratio, despite trailing twelve-month earnings per share of approximately $0.059, reflects that the valuation depends heavily on continued revenue growth and margin expansion; the large gap between the lowest and highest targets also reveals material uncertainty regarding the speed at which this can be achieved.

    BuyAnalyst target: $13.29(+2.5%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-30; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What drove LifeStance’s growth in fiscal Q2 2026?

    Revenue increased 26% to $435 million in fiscal Q2 2026. Visit volumes increased 19% to 2.6 million visits, while total revenue per visit rose 6% to $167. The company also added 193 clinicians, bringing the total to 8,542, and visits per clinician increased 7% year over year for the third consecutive quarter.

    What is LFST’s fiscal 2026 outlook following the August 6, 2026 results?

    The company raised its revenue range to $1.685–1.725 billion, with the midpoint indicating year-over-year growth of approximately 20%. It raised its center margin range to $570–594 million and its adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization range to $215–235 million. The midpoint of the adjusted earnings range implies a margin of 13.2% and year-over-year expansion of more than 200 basis points.

    How important are TMS and Spravato to LifeStance’s growth?

    TMS and Spravato are among the services for treating treatment-resistant depression, alongside the neuropsychological testing business. Specialty services generated approximately $50 million in revenue in fiscal 2025, and management expects them to grow by approximately 40% in fiscal 2026. The company added Spravato locations and new treatment chairs during fiscal Q2 2026, but described the expansion process as still being in the early stages of testing and improving the operating model.

    Has LifeStance achieved profitability and cash generation?

    The company reported net income of $24 million in fiscal Q2 2026, an improvement of $27 million from the corresponding period. Adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization reached $66 million, with a margin of 15.2%, representing year-over-year expansion of more than 500 basis points. Free cash flow also reached $88 million, but benefited from payroll timing, with payments of approximately $60 million, including payroll and the 401(k) plan match, expected to affect fiscal Q3 2026.

    What is the impact of the EHR system planned for fiscal 2027?

    During fiscal 2026, LifeStance began preparing to transition to a new EHR provider, with implementation planned to begin in fiscal 2027. Management expects the system to improve front- and back-office operations, the patient and clinician experience, and provide better tools and data for clinical care. Conversely, implementation will occur in waves because there are more than 8,500 clinicians, and management acknowledged the possibility of a short-term decline in productivity during the transition.

    What are the main factors in valuing LFST shares without relying on a real-time price?

    The average analyst target is $13.29, with a low target of $9 and a high target of $19, and a consensus rating of “Buy.” The average target is slightly above the 52-week range high of $12.965, while the range starts at $4.77. No specific price-to-earnings ratio appears in the data despite trailing twelve-month earnings per share of approximately $0.059, so the valuation is primarily linked to the company’s ability to maintain approximately 20% revenue growth in fiscal 2026 and achieve its targeted margin expansion.

    −
    Net insider sales during the three months ended August 14, 2026, totaled approximately $161.1 million, with eight sales and no purchases recorded. This represents a weaker trading signal than the operational and financial risks, because insider sales may be prearranged unless otherwise stated.