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Home
Stocks
Centrus Energy Corp.
LEU

LEU Centrus Energy Corp.

Centrus Energy Corp. · NYSE
Market Closed
152.31
▼ ⁦-8.18%⁩ (-13.56)
Market Cap$2.9B
Beta1.35
52w Low52w High
142.13464.25
Last Week
⁦-11.18%⁩
Last Month
⁦-19.56%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-16.53%⁩
Last Year
⁦-23.19%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall8
Poor — bottom quartile of the marketSucker StockF 4/8Grey zoneBetter than 8% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
6
78.9x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
35
8.5%▲7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
24
0.6%▼4.5%Bottom tier
▸
Safety
41
—2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
11
—2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
24
-8.3%▼2.9%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
81
9▲3Top tier
Fair Value
Current price$152
Analyst target · 6 analysts
$215
⁦+41%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$169–$300⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
N/A (negative FCF)

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 6 analysts setting price target
$223.78
⁦+46.9%⁩
Current Price $152.31·Median $215.00
Low
$169.00
High
$300.00
Current price
$152.31
Average target
$223.78
Street summary

Consensus Declines as the Estimate Range Widens

The consensus target price stood at 218, unchanged over the past week, but declined over 30 days by 20.29, or 8.51%, from 238.29, while the number of analysts remained at 6. This indicates a relative decline in optimism, although the consensus and median, at 218 and 211 respectively, remain above the current price of 165.87, while the low target is only 169, just above it, and the high target is 300, reflecting wide dispersion among the estimates.

As of 2026-09-10
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-1.6%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.78
Buy
Analyst coverage
18
Buy conviction
67%
High
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
86%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time18 analysts rating
2
10
6
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.81 → 3.78
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-03
    Jefferies
    BuyHold
  • = Reiterate2026-08-19
    UBS
    Neutral
  • = Reiterate2026-08-06
    Roth MKM
    Neutral
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Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    78.92x
    3.56x28.47x
    Very expensive
  • Forward P/E
    54.02x
    3.36x26.89x
    Very expensive
  • EV / EBITDA
    155.63x
    2.12x16.98x
    Very expensive
  • FCF Yield
    -4.9%
    -21.0%15.7%
    Near median
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    8.5%
    -19.7%63.1%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -68.6%
    -141.8%256.7%
    Below average
  • Gross Margin
    23.7%
    7.8%72.1%
    Below average
  • ROIC
    0.6%
    -12.7%20.6%
    Near median
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    2.29
    -1.814.34
    Above average
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-06 data

Company Overview

Centrus Energy operates in uranium enrichment and nuclear fuel services through two main segments: the LEU segment, which sells low-enriched uranium and separative work unit services, SWU, and the Technical Solutions segment, which includes HALEU activities and government technical contracts. The company targets three interconnected markets: LEU fuel for commercial reactors, U.S. national security needs, and HALEU fuel for advanced reactors, while partially funding the expansion of its domestic capacity through cash flows from its brokerage business, government contracts, and customer prepayments.

In Q2 of fiscal 2026, revenue reached $176.1 million, an increase of 14% year over year, and gross profit was $49.9 million, with a gross margin of approximately 28.3%. The LEU segment generated revenue of $153.4 million, or about 87% of total revenue, up 22% year over year, compared with $22.7 million for Technical Solutions, or about 13%, down 21% year over year. The LEU segment's results included uranium sales of $53.4 million, while the volume of SWU sold declined 23% and its average price increased 3%.

Net income in Q2 of fiscal 2026 was approximately $16.8 million and diluted earnings per share were $0.77, compared with net income of $28.9 million and earnings per share of $1.59 in Q2 of fiscal 2025. Operating income was $10.4 million, while adjusted net income reached $38.7 million and adjusted earnings per share were $1.77. For comparison, fiscal 2025 recorded revenue of $448.7 million, gross profit of $117.5 million, and net income of $77.8 million.

What's Driving the Stock

  • The backlog increased at the end of Q2 of fiscal 2026 to $4.5 billion and extends through 2040, divided between $3.7 billion in the LEU segment and $0.8 billion in Technical Solutions. This includes approximately $3 billion of LEU and HALEU enrichment sales, of which $2.4 billion is under definitive agreements, following a quarterly increase of approximately $600 million from commercial agreements.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • Centrus signed a $900 million task order with the U.S. Department of Energy to support the deployment of large-scale production capacity as part of its LEU and HALEU expansion, providing non-dilutive, non-debt financing. The company also completed all HALEU production requirements under the demonstration contract two weeks ahead of schedule, after producing approximately two metric tons of HALEU UF6 under contract for the government.
  • On August 6, 2026, the company entered into a definitive contract with X-energy to provide LEU and HALEU enrichment services in support of Xe-100 reactors and TRISO-X fuel. It also signed a letter of intent with Oklo to supply up to five Aurora facilities with HALEU fuel for several years beginning in 2029, and management says HALEU commitments generally include prepayments that could provide additional non-dilutive financing.
  • Management reaffirmed its fiscal 2026 guidance for revenue between $450 million and $500 million and total capital expenditures between $350 million and $500 million. It raised its net hiring target in Piketon from more than 100 to more than 175 employees, while maintaining its target of adding at least 100 net employees in Oak Ridge and completing the first centrifuge there during fiscal 2026.
  • Centrus is targeting placing the first new capacity from the expansion into service in 2029 and is working in parallel with the Department of Energy on arrangements to operate the existing 16-centrifuge HALEU cascade commercially. It has entered into contracts with approximately 75% of suppliers classified as critical, with a target of reaching 100% during fiscal 2026.
  • LEU contracts benefit from a market that management said is experiencing demand exceeding supply, as the average price of SWU sold increased 3% year over year in Q2 of fiscal 2026 despite a 23% decline in volume. Management believes limited new capacity until approximately 2029, together with reactor restarts and the expansion of nuclear capacity, supports long-term order and pricing momentum.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +A $4.5 billion backlog extending through 2040 provides long-term visibility, while the removal of financial conditions from conditional LEU enrichment contracts strengthens the executability of commercial commitments. Unrestricted liquidity of $1.9 billion at the end of Q2 of fiscal 2026 supports near-term capital requirements, according to management's assessment.
    • +Centrus has an early operational foothold in HALEU; it has produced approximately two metric tons of HALEU UF6 under contract, completed the requirements of the demonstration contract two weeks ahead of schedule, and then moved on to building commercial commitments with X-energy and Oklo. The dual-use nature of the centrifuges allows capacity to be directed between LEU and HALEU according to confirmed commitments.
    • +The $900 million task order from the Department of Energy and expected prepayments under HALEU contracts reduce the need to rely entirely on debt or equity issuance to fund the expansion. Entering into contracts with 75% of critical suppliers and purchasing larger commitments also help secure costs and capture economies of scale.
    • +Revenue in Q2 of fiscal 2026 showed year-over-year growth of 14% to $176.1 million, driven by 22% growth in the LEU segment to $153.4 million. The established commercial LEU business and brokerage activity provide the company with a cash flow base while it builds the new domestic capacity targeted for 2029.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −The expansion requires significant capital expenditures of between $350 million and $500 million in fiscal 2026, while total spending in Q2 was only approximately $82.2 million, meaning management expects a clear acceleration in the pace of spending. The first new capacity is also not targeted before 2029, so the timing of manufacturing, installation, and supply chain qualification remain fundamental execution factors.
    • −Profitability declined in Q2 of fiscal 2026 despite revenue growth; gross profit fell to $49.9 million from $53.9 million, net income dropped to $16.8 million from $28.9 million, and diluted earnings per share declined to $0.77 from $1.59. The pressure came from a $12.8 million increase in selling, general, and administrative expenses and a $7.5 million increase in advanced technology costs, with some non-capitalizable readiness expenses expected to continue.
    • −The average cost of SWU sold increased 13% year over year in Q2 of fiscal 2026, while the average selling price increased only 3%, highlighting margin sensitivity to contract mix and inventory costs. The LEU segment's cost of sales also increased 36% to $101.8 million because of higher uranium sales, a mix that may increase revenue without a corresponding improvement in gross profit.
    • −Results are highly volatile between quarters, according to management's warning, because of the timing of deliveries and contract mix; revenue in Q2 of fiscal 2026 was approximately $176.1 million, compared with $76.7 million in Q1 of fiscal 2026. The volume of SWU sold also declined 23% year over year, and Technical Solutions revenue fell 21% because of a $5.9 million decrease in revenue from the HALEU operations contract.
    • −Part of the backlog remains less firm than definitive contracts; of approximately $3 billion in the LEU and HALEU enrichment backlog, only $2.4 billion is under definitive agreements. The Oklo arrangement announced in Q2 of fiscal 2026 is also a letter of intent that precedes a definitive contract, and the company did not disclose delivery volumes, prices, or detailed commitment structures for the X-energy and Oklo contracts.

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus on LEU is Neutral, with an average price target of $225 and a wide range between $185 and $300; the average is below the 52-week high of $464.25, and the highest analyst target itself is also below that level. No published price-to-earnings ratio is available, so the valuation depends more heavily on executing the $4.5 billion backlog and converting expansion investments into production capacity in 2029, weighed against the risks of margin pressure, significant capital expenditures, and stock volatility within a 52-week range of $142.13 to $464.25.

    HoldAnalyst target: $225(+47.7%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-31; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What was the source of Centrus Energy's revenue in Q2 of fiscal 2026?

    Centrus Energy generated total revenue of $176.1 million in Q2 of fiscal 2026. The LEU segment contributed approximately $153.4 million, or about 87% of the total, and its results included $53.4 million from uranium sales. The Technical Solutions segment recorded $22.7 million, or about 13% of revenue, after a year-over-year decline of 21% primarily associated with the HALEU operations contract.

    Why is Centrus Energy's backlog important for LEU stock?

    The backlog reached $4.5 billion at the end of Q2 of fiscal 2026 and extends through 2040. It is divided between $3.7 billion in the LEU segment and $0.8 billion in Technical Solutions and includes approximately $3 billion of LEU and HALEU enrichment sales. Of this latter amount, $2.4 billion is under definitive agreements, while the quarterly increase of approximately $600 million came from commercial agreements rather than the Department of Energy task order.

    What is the significance of the X-energy contract and the Oklo letter of intent for Centrus Energy?

    On August 6, 2026, Centrus announced a definitive contract to provide LEU and HALEU enrichment services to X-energy in support of Xe-100 reactors and TRISO-X fuel, without disclosing delivery dates or prices. It also signed a letter of intent with Oklo to supply up to five Aurora facilities with HALEU fuel for several years beginning in 2029, but the letter of intent precedes a definitive agreement. Management says HALEU commitments generally include prepayments, which could provide non-debt, non-dilutive financing for capacity expansion.

    When does Centrus expect to begin new commercial uranium enrichment capacity?

    Management is targeting placing the first new capacity into service during 2029, without committing to moving the date forward. During fiscal 2026, the company plans to complete the first centrifuge at the Oak Ridge facility, then ship centrifuges to Piketon for installation and preparation to begin enrichment. It is also working with the Department of Energy on arrangements that would permit the temporary commercial operation of the existing 16-centrifuge HALEU cascade.

    What were the main reasons for Centrus's lower earnings in Q2 of fiscal 2026?

    Net income declined to $16.8 million from $28.9 million in Q2 of fiscal 2025, despite a 14% increase in revenue. The company attributed the decline primarily to a $12.8 million increase in selling, general, and administrative expenses, driven by higher stock-based compensation, and a $7.5 million increase in advanced technology costs. Advanced technology expenses were $10.6 million and stock-based compensation was $17.7 million, while an $8.3 million increase in investment income offset part of the pressure.

    What is Centrus Energy's guidance for fiscal 2026?

    Centrus reaffirmed its fiscal 2026 revenue guidance of between $450 million and $500 million, with total capital expenditures between $350 million and $500 million. It raised its net hiring target in Piketon from more than 100 to more than 175 employees, while targeting the addition of at least 100 net employees in Oak Ridge. The targets also include entering into contracts with 100% of suppliers classified as critical, issuing an approved-for-construction package, and completing the first centrifuge in Oak Ridge during fiscal 2026.

  • −The 52-week range of $142.13 to $464.25 reflects wide price volatility, while the analyst consensus is Neutral and the average price target is only $225, with a target range of $185 to $300. The absence of a published price-to-earnings ratio also deprives investors of a traditional valuation anchor at a time when earnings are affected by expansion expenses and stock-based compensation.