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Stocks
Lincoln Electric Holdings, Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall68
Strong — clearly above market medianFalling StarF 6/9SafeBetter than 68% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
39
25.2x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
44
9.3%▲7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
81
22.1%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
77
1.1x▲2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
60
1.23%▼2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
47
13.2%▲2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
63
8▲3Around median
LECO

LECO Lincoln Electric Holdings, Inc.

Lincoln Electric Holdings, Inc. · NASDAQ
Market Closed
253.06
▲ ⁦+0.80%⁩ (+2.00)
Market Cap$13.7B
Beta1.22
52w Low52w High
216.22310.00
Last Week
⁦-7.16%⁩
Last Month
⁦-10.25%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-2.10%⁩
Last Year
⁦+2.14%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$253
Analyst target · 3 analysts
$300
⁦+19%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$275–$340⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$114
⁦-55%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦9.8⁩% discount · ⁦1⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$114–$300⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 3 analysts setting price target
$303.60
⁦+20.0%⁩
Current Price $253.06·Median $300.00
Low
$275.00
High
$340.00
Current price
$253.06
Average target
$303.60
Street summary

Lincoln Electric (LECO) Price Target Review Analysis

Lincoln Electric stock saw a downward adjustment in its average price target over the past week, with the consensus declining by 3.16% to reach $303.6 compared to $313.5 seven days ago. This decline in price targets reflects caution in near-term valuation, as the range of the three analysts' forecasts spans between $275 and $340, indicating a notable divergence in the fair value estimate for the stock, which is currently trading at $286.02.

As of 2026-08-17
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-3.2%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.50
Buy
Analyst coverage
12
Buy conviction
58%
Mixed
Target dispersion
26%
Analyst ratings over time12 analysts rating
1
6
4
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.33 → 3.50
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-10
    UBS
    Buy
  • ⬆ Upgrade2026-08-10
    Morgan Stanley
    UnderweightCautious
  • = Reiterate2026-05-05
    Barclays
    Overweight· $300.00
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    25.21x
    5.69x45.54x
    Near median
  • Forward P/E
    21.72x
    4.57x36.58x
    Near median
  • EV / EBITDA
    16.96x
    3.43x27.47x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    3.9%
    -32.7%11.5%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    9.3%
    -10.7%43.4%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    12.6%
    -128.3%132.7%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    36.0%
    8.6%54.6%
    Above average
  • ROIC
    22.1%
    -25.3%19.6%
    Exceptional
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    1.10x
    0.55x4.37x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    1.2%
    0.1%4.8%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    31.1%
    6.6%80.8%
    Moderate
  • Altman Z-Score
    7.45
    -5.667.97
    Strong
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-30 data

Company Overview

Lincoln Electric manufactures welding solutions, equipment, consumables, and automation systems, and divides its operations among Americas Welding, International Welding, and Harris Products Group. The company benefits from capital spending on standard welding equipment, automation cells, and larger projects, while consumables sales are linked to industrial production levels; in fiscal Q2 2026, automation sales reached $229 million, and equipment and automation volumes increased at mid-single-digit rates, compared with low-single-digit growth for consumables.

In fiscal Q2 2026, sales increased 12% to a record $1.220 billion, driven by a price increase of approximately 8%, volume growth of 2%, a 1.5% contribution from the Alloy Steel acquisition, and a positive 0.4% impact from currency translation. Gross profit according to EDGAR data was approximately $449.0 million, net income was $158.5 million, and diluted earnings per share were $2.88, while adjusted earnings per share increased 13% to $2.93. Gross margin declined 50 basis points to 36.8%, but adjusted operating income margin increased 50 basis points to a record 18.4%, with an incremental margin of 22%.

Americas Welding was the performance driver in fiscal Q2 2026; its sales increased approximately 11% and its adjusted EBIT margin reached 19.7%, compared with 4.5% sales growth for International Welding and a 210-basis-point decline in its margin to 10.6%. Harris Products Group increased its sales 27% due to a 34% price increase, and its adjusted EBIT margin reached 20.4%, although management expects it to return to a range of 18%–19% in the second half of fiscal 2026. On a last-twelve-month basis in 2026, the company recorded revenue of $4.5 billion, net income of $553.6 million, and earnings per share of approximately $10.05.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Volumes returned to growth in fiscal Q2 2026 after nine quarters of contraction; consolidated organic sales increased 10%, organic general fabrication sales grew by more than 30%, and organic Americas Welding equipment sales growth accelerated to a high-double-digit rate.
  • Automation recorded sales of $229 million in fiscal Q2 2026, with a record backlog and accelerating quotation activity spanning pre-engineered cells, collaborative robots, and light-vehicle platforms. Management expects automation sales to improve year over year at a high-single-digit to low-double-digit rate.
  • The company raised its fiscal 2026 net sales growth assumption to a low-double-digit rate and increased its expected organic growth range to a high-single-digit to low-double-digit rate, with approximately one-third of the growth coming from volume and two-thirds from price.
  • The improvement broadened across four of five end markets representing approximately 80% of revenue exposure; general fabrication grew by more than 30%, heavy industries and non-residential structural steel grew at mid-single-digit rates, and oil and gas sales in Americas Welding increased by approximately 30%.
  • Operations generated record cash flow of $254 million in fiscal Q2 2026, with cash conversion of 138% and a 100-basis-point improvement in working capital. The company also returned $120 million to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases and increased adjusted return on invested capital to 23%.
  • RISE 2030 initiatives target improvements in productivity, SG&A expense efficiency, and commercial effectiveness, and management estimates their cumulative impact on the company's margin at approximately 100–125 basis points through 2030, assuming gradual progress over five years.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Fiscal Q2 2026 demonstrated a broadening recovery in Americas Welding, where volumes grew 7%, equipment sales increased at a low-double-digit rate, and adjusted EBIT margin improved 110 basis points to 19.7%.
  • +The combination of a record automation backlog and improving OEM and rental customer spending on equipment provides greater revenue visibility and an opportunity for a better mix, particularly because 80% of the automation business is located within the Americas.
  • +The figures demonstrate that sales growth translated into earnings and cash: adjusted operating income increased 15%, adjusted earnings per share rose 13% to $2.93, and operating cash flow reached $254 million in fiscal Q2 2026.
  • +The increase in fiscal 2026 sales guidance, together with a targeted mid-twenties incremental margin for the second half, provides a path for continued earnings growth if the company maintains price-cost neutrality.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

  • −

Valuation

The analyst consensus on LECO is Neutral, with an average price target of $303.6 and a wide range of $275 to $340, while Morgan Stanley raised its target to $283 following the fiscal Q2 2026 results. The average target is close to the upper end of the 52-week range of $310, reflecting a high expectation that the recovery in the Americas will continue, but the breadth of the target range keeps the risks of European weakness and margin declines at International Welding and Harris within the valuation equation. The data does not include a valid price-to-earnings multiple that can be used as an additional anchor.

HoldAnalyst target: $303.6(+20.0%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-29; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove LECO's record results in fiscal Q2 2026?

Sales increased 12% to $1.220 billion, driven by a price increase of approximately 8%, volume growth of 2%, and a 1.5% contribution from the Alloy Steel acquisition. Americas Welding led the improvement with 7% volume growth, while organic general fabrication sales growth exceeded 30%. Adjusted earnings per share increased 13% to $2.93, while adjusted operating income margin reached 18.4%.

How important is the automation business to Lincoln Electric's growth?

Automation sales reached $229 million in fiscal Q2 2026, and volumes increased at a mid-single-digit rate. The company has a record backlog, with improving demand for pre-engineered cells and collaborative robots and accelerating quotation activity related to light-vehicle platforms for 2027 and beyond. Management expects annual automation sales growth within a high-single-digit to low-double-digit range, with 80% of this activity located in the Americas.

What is Lincoln Electric's fiscal 2026 sales outlook?

Management raised its net sales growth assumption to a low-double-digit rate after achieving low-double-digit growth since the beginning of fiscal 2026. It also expects organic growth between a high-single-digit and low-double-digit rate, with a mix consisting of approximately one-third volume and two-thirds price. The company is targeting a mid-twenties incremental margin for the second half, with price-cost neutrality in Q3 and Q4.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

The recovery remains geographically uneven; International Welding volumes contracted by approximately 5% in fiscal Q2 2026 due to weak European industrial activity and lower EMEA demand following advance purchases in Q1, while the segment's adjusted EBIT declined 13% and its margin fell 210 basis points to 10.6%.
  • −Margin improvement remains exposed to inflation, mix, and costs; gross margin declined 50 basis points to 36.8%, and the company recorded a negative price-cost gap of 10 basis points and LIFO expense of $4.2 million, with an expected LIFO burden of $10 million for fiscal 2026.
  • −Fiscal 2026 guidance includes significant reliance on pricing, as management expects two-thirds of organic growth to come from price and only one-third from volume. This makes achieving price-cost neutrality in Q3 and Q4 sensitive to continued inflation in energy, logistics, and certain metals, as well as any new changes in trade policies.
  • −Harris Products Group profitability may decline from the level recorded in fiscal Q2 2026; its 20.4% EBIT margin benefited from a tariff refund, while management expects a lower range of 18%–19% for the second half at metal prices prevailing at the time of the call.
  • −The resumption of fighting in the Middle East poses an operational risk to International Welding, as management expects a negative impact of between $6 million and $7 million per quarter, after the impact in fiscal Q2 2026 was limited to $2–3 million during the ceasefire.
  • −The analyst target range of $275–$340 reflects meaningful divergence in valuation estimates, while the average target of $303.6 is close to the top of the 52-week range of $310; therefore, reaching the upper end of valuations depends on a continued volume recovery and achievement of margin targets. A single insider sale with net proceeds of $232,214.45 during the three months ended with the latest transaction on June 16, 2026 adds only a weak signal, because insider sales may be prearranged unless the data states otherwise.
  • Where are LECO's main operational weaknesses concentrated?

    Pressures are concentrated in International Welding, where volumes contracted by approximately 5% in fiscal Q2 2026 and adjusted EBIT margin declined to 10.6%. Management expects the segment's full-year margin to be between 10% and 11% due to weak EMEA demand and operational efficiency challenges, while the Middle East conflict could cause a negative impact of $6–7 million per quarter. In Harris Products Group, the company expects the margin to decline from 20.4% in Q2 to 18%–19% in the second half after the tariff refund benefit ends.

    What is the quality of Lincoln Electric's earnings and cash flow?

    Net income according to EDGAR was approximately $158.5 million and diluted earnings per share were $2.88 in fiscal Q2 2026. The company generated record operating cash flow of $254 million, equivalent to cash conversion of 138% during the quarter and 95% since the beginning of the fiscal year. It also spent $31 million on capital expenditures, returned $120 million to shareholders, and achieved an adjusted return on invested capital of 23%.

    How do analysts view LECO's stock valuation?

    The analyst consensus is Neutral, and the average price target is $303.6, with a low target of $275 and a high target of $340. Morgan Stanley raised its target to $283 after the announcement of the fiscal Q2 2026 results, but this target remains below the consensus average. The consensus average is close to the top of the 52-week range of $310, making continued volume growth and margin improvement essential factors in justifying higher valuations.