EL7.AI
Strategy BuilderCOT DataAdvanced NewsResearchNewEarnings CalendarEconomic Calendar
We use cookiesPrivacy Policy
EL7.AIEL7.AI

AI Financial Intelligence
Professional analysis of central bank decisions

© 2026 EL7.AI. All rights reserved.

Markets

  • News
  • Forex
  • Stocks
  • Crypto
  • Gold
  • Commodities
  • Indices
  • ETFs

Analysis

  • Fed
  • ECB
  • BLS
  • COT
  • Economic Calendar

Learn

  • Service Guide
  • Oil

Company

  • About
  • Contact
  • Data Methodology
  • AI Disclosure
  • Pricing
  • Enterprise
  • Terms
  • Privacy
  • Security
  • WhatsApp
Status data is currently unavailable

The information provided on EL7.AI is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.

Home
Stocks
Lear Corporation
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall87
Excellent — top fifth of the marketSuper StockF 6/9Grey zoneBetter than 87% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
94
12.2x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
45
3.5%▼7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
52
8.3%▲4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
67
1.7x▲2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
80
2.39%▲2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
62
10.6%▲2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
43
10▲3Around median
LEA

LEA Lear Corporation

Lear Corporation · NYSE
Market Closed
130.82
▲ ⁦+2.33%⁩ (+2.98)
Market Cap$6.4B
Beta1.28
52w Low52w High
96.04150.33
Last Week
⁦+4.51%⁩
Last Month
⁦+8.23%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-7.98%⁩
Last Year
⁦+16.03%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$131
Analyst target · 7 analysts
$137
⁦+4%⁩
See it fairly priced
Range ⁦$130–$155⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$170
⁦+30%⁩
Sees it clearly undervalued
⁦10.1⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$137–$170⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

Compare in the screener
Premium content

Get Your Premium Account Now

  • Stock Deep Analysis
  • The Advanced News Platform
Recommended
Annual plan
$17/mo
Monthly plan
$29/mo

Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 7 analysts setting price target
$138.67
⁦+6.0%⁩
Current Price $130.82·Median $136.50
Low
$130.00
High
$155.00
Current price
$130.82
Average target
$138.67
Street summary

Lear Corporation (LEA) Price Revision Analysis

Bullish tilt

Data has shown a gradual increase in analyst confidence regarding Lear stock over the past 30 days, with the average price target rising from 134.86 to 138.67, an increase of 2.83%. Interestingly, the minimum price target (130) remains higher than the current market price (122.84), indicating a collective conviction in a positive price gap, despite the number of analysts participating in the coverage remaining steady at 7.

As of 2026-08-07
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.38
Hold
Analyst coverage
16
Buy conviction
31%
Target dispersion
19%
Analyst ratings over time16 analysts rating
1
4
11
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.57 → 3.38
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-01
    Goldman Sachs
    Neutral
  • = Reiterate2026-07-13
    RBC Capital
    Sector Perform
  • ⬆ Upgrade2026-05-26
    TD Cowen
    HoldBuy
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    12.16x
    4.56x36.49x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    8.08x
    3.79x30.29x
    Very cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    6.16x
    2.75x22.03x
    Very cheap
  • FCF Yield
    13.2%
    -30.9%16.2%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    3.5%
    -13.8%31.9%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    25.1%
    -156.9%135.6%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    6.9%
    12.0%66.5%
    Weak
  • ROIC
    8.3%
    -23.8%21.5%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    1.70x
    0.65x5.48x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    2.4%
    0.1%5.9%
    Moderate
  • Payout Ratio
    29.2%
    8.9%99.8%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    2.81
    -2.656.14
    Above average
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-31 data

Company Overview

Lear Corporation is an automotive supplier that generates revenue through two main segments: Seating, which provides complete seats and thermal comfort solutions such as ComfortFlex, ComfortMax, and FlexAir, and E-Systems, which provides wiring harnesses, connection systems, and electronic products. In Q2 fiscal 2026, Seating generated revenue of $4.6 billion, representing approximately 74% of the company's revenue, compared with $1.6 billion, or approximately 26%, for E-Systems.

In Q2 fiscal 2026, Lear's revenue increased 3% year over year to $6.2 billion, while gross profit according to EDGAR data was approximately $470.3 million, with a gross margin of approximately 7.6%. Net income was $192.8 million, with a net margin of approximately 3.1%, and earnings per share according to EDGAR reached $3.79, while adjusted earnings per share presented by management were $4.28, an increase of 23% year over year.

Core operating earnings were $313 million in Q2 fiscal 2026, an increase of 7%, while operating cash flow rose 55% to $461 million and free cash flow increased 69% to $288 million. At the segment level, Seating recorded an adjusted operating margin of 6.7%, unchanged year over year, while E-Systems' margin improved from 4.9% to 5.8% due to improved net operating performance. Fiscal 2025 revenue was approximately $23.3 billion, net income was $436.8 million, and earnings per share were $8.15.

What's Driving the Stock

  • On July 31, 2026, Lear raised the midpoint of its fiscal 2026 outlook to revenue of approximately $23.8 billion, core operating earnings of $1.14 billion, operating cash flow of approximately $1.3 billion, and free cash flow of $640 million; the revisions represent increases of $165 million in revenue, $25 million in core operating earnings, and $40 million in free cash flow compared with the previous outlook.
  • Since the beginning of fiscal 2026, the company has won approximately $2.9 billion in new business, including more than $2.3 billion in Seating and more than $500 million in E-Systems, with more than 50% involving new programs or share-takeaway programs from incumbent suppliers. The wins included three programs with Audi, a complete-seat program with Hyundai, a program with Leapmotor in South America, and wiring harnesses with BAIC and a Chinese luxury automaker.
  • The number of ComfortFlex, ComfortMax, and FlexAir awards increased to 45 applications after seven applications were added in Q2 fiscal 2026; 17 of these programs were in production, with 11 additional programs planned for launch before the end of fiscal 2026. The company's modular thermal comfort systems also became finalists for the 2026 Automotive News PACE Award.
  • Idea by Lear initiatives generated approximately $35 million in savings during the first half of fiscal 2026, with the company remaining on track toward its annual target of $75 million. Restructuring actions generated savings of $50 million through the end of Q2 fiscal 2026, compared with an annual target of $80 million.
  • Lear is targeting growth three to four percentage points above the market from 2028 to 2030, supported by a backlog that management described as strong, particularly in 2029. The new Audi programs begin near the end of 2028 and then ramp through 2029 and 2030, and management estimated their size at hundreds of millions of dollars and approximately 75% of the largest share-takeaway contract the company announced at the end of 2025.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Q2 fiscal 2026 showed simultaneous improvement in earnings and cash generation, as core operating earnings increased 7%, adjusted earnings per share rose 23%, and free cash flow grew 69%, reflecting growth beyond the 3% increase in revenue alone.
  • +The $2.9 billion in new business won since the beginning of fiscal 2026 provides better visibility into long-term growth, particularly because more than half relates to new programs or share-takeaway programs and more than 90% of E-Systems awards were in these two categories.
  • +Automation supports margin expansion without a significant expected increase in capital expenditure intensity; more than 200 automated sewing cells reduced labor in their applications by 50%, while more than 50 automated seat-preparation cells and more than 40 end-of-line testing cells generate combined annual savings of $14 million.
  • +Strong cash flows enable capital returns to shareholders, as Lear repurchased $100 million of shares in Q2 fiscal 2026 and $175 million in the first half, then raised its fiscal 2026 repurchase target to at least $350 million.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The analyst consensus on LEA is "Neutral," with an average price target of $138.67, within a range of $130 to $155. The average target is approximately 7.8% below the 52-week range high of $150.33, while the highest target exceeds that high by approximately 3.1%; this divergence reflects analysts balancing improved earnings, cash flows, and backlog on one side against weakness in China and the limited growth expected in fiscal 2027 on the other.

HoldAnalyst target: $138.67(+6.0%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-30; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove LEA's results in Q2 fiscal 2026?

Revenue increased 3% to $6.2 billion, driven by new Seating business including Xiaomi M6, M7, BMW iX3, and Jeep Cherokee. Core operating earnings were $313 million, an increase of 7%, while adjusted earnings per share rose 23% to $4.28. Operating cash flow also increased to $461 million and free cash flow to $288 million due to higher earnings and improvements in working capital and inventory.

How is Lear's business divided between Seating and E-Systems?

Seating generated revenue of $4.6 billion in Q2 fiscal 2026, representing approximately 74% of Lear's total revenue, and recorded an adjusted operating margin of 6.7%. E-Systems generated revenue of $1.6 billion, representing approximately 26% of the total, with a margin of 5.8%. E-Systems' margin improved from 4.9% in Q2 fiscal 2025, while Seating's margin remained stable year over year.

What is Lear's outlook for fiscal 2026?

On July 31, 2026, the company raised the midpoint of its revenue outlook to approximately $23.8 billion, compared with approximately $23.6 billion in the previous outlook. It also raised its core operating earnings outlook to $1.14 billion, with a margin of 4.8%, and projected operating cash flow of approximately $1.3 billion. The midpoint of the free cash flow outlook was $640 million, an increase of $40 million from the previous outlook.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • −Weakness in the Chinese automotive market represents a direct risk to volumes; domestic sales in China declined 20% during the first half of fiscal 2026, vehicle production in China fell 4% in Q2, and Lear increased its assumed share shift from global automakers to Chinese automakers from 1.5% to 3% in its fiscal 2026 outlook.
  • −The discontinuation of non-core electronic products in E-Systems will eliminate $90 million of revenue in fiscal 2026 and $235 million in fiscal 2027, obscuring part of the segment's operating improvement and weighing on its near-term growth trajectory.
  • −Management expects limited growth in fiscal 2027 despite a backlog exceeding $700 million, due to anticipated volume declines on important platforms including JLR, Ford Explorer, and Jeep Grand Wagoneer, along with expectations for flat volumes of GM full-size trucks and SUVs before they increase in 2028.
  • −The outlook for the second half of fiscal 2026 points to seasonal and operational deceleration, as the company expects revenue of approximately $11.7 billion, $289 million lower than in the first half, and an operating margin of 4.5%. It also projected a Q3 fiscal 2026 Seating margin in the low-to-mid 6% range and an E-Systems margin in the low 4% range, due to summer shutdowns and the timing of recoveries for higher copper prices.
  • −The fiscal 2026 outlook assumes no changes in tariff policies or broad industry disruptions, so changes to these assumptions could cause results to deviate. Management also explained that the low end of the outlook range accounts for potential economic weakness related to the continuing conflict in Ukraine and its effect on vehicle purchasing decisions in North America or Europe.
  • −Insiders recorded net sales of $8.5 million during the three months ended with the latest transaction on June 24, 2026, through nine sales and no purchases. This remains a secondary signal because insider sales may be prearranged, and the context provides no evidence to the contrary.
  • How exposed is LEA to weakness in the Chinese market?

    Domestic vehicle sales in China declined 20% during the first half of fiscal 2026, while vehicle production there fell 4% in Q2. Chinese automakers accounted for 44% of Lear's revenue in China, and management expects the percentage to reach 50% or more in fiscal 2027. The company has won $550 million in new business with Chinese automakers since the beginning of fiscal 2026, but it also said that its presence in programs exported from China remains below the targeted level.

    How could automation affect Lear's margins?

    The Idea by Lear initiative is targeting $75 million in savings in fiscal 2026 after generating approximately $35 million in the first half. The company has more than 200 automated sewing cells that reduce labor in their applications by 50%, in addition to more than 50 seat-preparation cells and more than 40 end-of-line testing cells that generate combined annual savings of $14 million. In-house equipment manufacturing capabilities have also reduced equipment costs by 20% or more. Management is targeting a net improvement of 40 basis points in Seating and 80 basis points in E-Systems in each of fiscal 2026 and 2027.

    Why does Lear expect limited growth in fiscal 2027 despite strong new contract wins?

    Management said growth in fiscal 2027 would be limited despite a backlog exceeding $700 million because the discontinuation of non-core electronic products will reduce revenue by approximately $235 million that year. It also expects pressure from volumes on the JLR, Ford Explorer, and Jeep Grand Wagoneer platforms, and from flat volumes in GM full-size programs during the model changeover. The company expects growth to accelerate thereafter, with a return to above-market growth in 2028 and the impact of a large number of new awards peaking in 2029.