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Home
Stocks
Leidos Holdings, Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall58
Balanced — near the middle of the marketContrarianF 7/9SafeBetter than 58% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
88
12.0x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
56
3.3%▼7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
76
14.6%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
63
2.5x▲2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
38
1.31%▼2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
12
-24.6%▼2.9%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
41
10▲3Around median
LDOS

LDOS Leidos Holdings, Inc.

Leidos Holdings, Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
128.86
▼ ⁦-0.53%⁩ (-0.69)
Market Cap$16.2B
Beta0.55
52w Low52w High
98.86205.77
Last Week
⁦-3.68%⁩
Last Month
⁦-7.36%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+0.83%⁩
Last Year
⁦-29.73%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$129
Analyst target · 8 analysts
$155
⁦+20%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$132–$170⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$275
⁦+113%⁩
Sees it clearly undervalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦2⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods broadly agree — estimate range ⁦$155–$275⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 8 analysts setting price target
$152.75
⁦+18.5%⁩
Current Price $128.86·Median $155.00
Low
$132.00
High
$170.00
Current price
$128.86
Average target
$152.75
Street summary

Slight Decline in LDOS Stock's Average Price Target

Leidos's average price target fell to 152.75, compared with 155.29 7 days ago and 156.50 30 days ago, a decline of 1.64% and 2.4%, respectively. The number of analysts remained at 8, and the average was unchanged over the last day. At a current price of 128.86, the target range is between 132 and 170, while the median is 155, reflecting notable variation among estimates.

As of 2026-09-11
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-2.4%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.59
Buy
Analyst coverage
17
Buy conviction
41%
Mixed
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
29%
Analyst ratings over time17 analysts rating
3
4
10
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.63 → 3.59
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-08
    TD Cowen
    Hold
  • = Reiterate2026-08-12
    Goldman Sachs
    Neutral
  • = Reiterate2026-08-11
    Citigroup
    Buy
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    12.02x
    6.87x54.92x
    Very cheap
  • Forward P/E
    10.13x
    5.19x41.53x
    Very cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    9.50x
    4.52x36.15x
    Very cheap
  • FCF Yield
    13.4%
    -54.8%10.8%
    Exceptional
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    3.3%
    -18.1%66.5%
    Below average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    1.1%
    -155.3%193.7%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    17.7%
    12.9%79.5%
    Weak
  • ROIC
    14.6%
    -63.6%26.5%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    2.55x
    0.26x3.22x
    Near median
  • Dividend Yield
    1.3%
    0.0%3.9%
    Moderate
  • Payout Ratio
    15.8%
    4.4%96.7%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    3.13
    -10.9113.66
    Above average
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-04 data

Company Overview

Leidos Holdings operates in defense technology, national security, health, space, energy, cybersecurity, digital modernization, and air traffic management, generating revenue from developing systems and products and executing contracts and technical services for government and commercial customers. Its One Leidos strategy combines hardware, software, systems integration, and operational expertise, while its business is divided across the Defense, Health, Homeland, and Intel and Digital segments; in Q2 FY2026, Homeland led growth with increases of 32% overall and 15% organically, while Defense grew 6% organically and Health revenue contracted after the fourth vendor was fully onboarded under the VBA medical disability examinations contract.

In Q2 FY2026, revenue according to EDGAR was approximately $4.6 billion, up a reported 7% year over year and 4% organically, while gross profit was $817 million, representing a calculated margin of approximately 17.8%. Net income reached $354 million, equivalent to a calculated net margin of approximately 7.7%, and earnings per share according to EDGAR were approximately $2.81, while adjusted earnings per share were $3.26. The company also recorded adjusted EBITDA of $631 million and a margin of 13.8%, along with operating cash flow of $793 million and free cash flow of $761 million.

On a trailing-twelve-month basis in FY2026, Leidos recorded revenue of $17.7 billion, gross profit of $3.2 billion, net income of $1.4 billion, and earnings per share of approximately $10.92. These results compare with revenue of $17.2 billion and net income of $1.4 billion in FY2025, showing that the latest increase was driven mainly by revenue growth while annual net income remained at approximately the same level. Net bookings in Q2 FY2026 were approximately $5 billion, bringing the book-to-bill ratio to 1.1x companywide and 2.2x in Defense.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Leidos raised the lower end of its FY2026 revenue guidance by $200 million, increasing the midpoint of the range by $100 million. It also raised the lower end of its adjusted earnings-per-share guidance by $0.10 and the midpoint by $0.05, and increased its operating cash flow guidance by $50 million. With expected capital expenditures reduced to approximately $250 million, implied free cash flow guidance increased by approximately $150 million, while adjusted EBITDA margin guidance remained in the mid-13% range.
  • The acceleration in Defense provides the stock with a clear operational catalyst; the segment's book-to-bill ratio was 2.2x in Q2 FY2026 and 1.9x over the trailing twelve months, and management expects high-single-digit growth for the segment in FY2026, or double-digit growth excluding the airborne intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance business that is undergoing a transition. Management also noted on 2026-08-04 that there were $12 billion in opportunities over the following twelve months and $23 billion in pending proposals, some of which were expected to be decided within 3 to 12 months.
  • Defense programs include an indefinite-delivery agreement worth more than $1 billion to deliver 3,000 low-cost, containerized munitions by 2030, as well as sensor payloads for an additional 18 missile-warning and tracking satellites under Golden Dome. Leidos is also participating in the testing phase of the Navy's medium unmanned surface vehicle, while management described the market for low-cost, containerized munitions as exceeding $44 billion over ten years.
  • Existing programs supported Defense's 6% organic growth in Q2 FY2026, with increased production of Integrated Air Defense and counter-unmanned aircraft programs. Management explained that the profitability of space payloads increased with each batch from Tranche 0 to Tranche 2, and that the maturation of radar programs and programs that entered the production phase is improving the profitability trajectory through 2030.
  • Liquidity enhances capital-allocation flexibility; the company generated $793 million in operating cash flow and $761 million in free cash flow in Q2 FY2026 and repaid $300 million of commercial paper associated with the Entrust acquisition. On 2026-07-31, the board of directors approved a quarterly dividend of $0.43 per share and authorization to repurchase up to 20 million shares, following $66 million of open-market share repurchases during the quarter.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Leidos combines 7% revenue growth with a 13.8% adjusted EBITDA margin and strong cash conversion of $761 million in free cash flow in Q2 FY2026, supporting operational investment, dividends, and share repurchases simultaneously.
  • +The Defense backlog provides strong forward visibility, as the book-to-bill ratio reached 2.2x in Q2 FY2026, while awards in the segment reached $5 billion fiscal year to date and $10 billion over 18 months. These bookings are based on specific programs in munitions, air defense, space, and unmanned maritime systems, rather than general forecasts not tied to contracts.
  • +The portfolio demonstrated an ability to offset weakness in Health; management raised its FY2026 guidance despite the suspension of VBA incentives and expects the rest of Leidos to deliver approximately 7% organic revenue growth and approximately 19% adjusted EBITDA growth during FY2026. It also expects Defense to accelerate and Homeland to continue growing, driven by commercial energy and domestic and international air traffic management.
  • +Authorization to repurchase up to 20 million shares, alongside the quarterly dividend of $0.43 per share, provides two direct channels for returning capital. This is supported by the decline in gross leverage to 2.5x at the end of Q2 FY2026 after the repayment of commercial paper associated with the Entrust acquisition.

Valuation

The analyst consensus is Buy, with an average price target of $155.29 and a range between $132 and $170. The average target is approximately 57.1% above the 52-week range low of $98.86, but approximately 24.5% below its high of $205.77, and even the highest target is approximately 17.4% below that high. This divergence points to a reassessment tied to the strength of Defense and cash flows on one hand, and pressure from VBA and the trend among some customers toward performing systems integration internally on the other.

BuyAnalyst target: $155.29(+20.5%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-29; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove LDOS's Q2 FY2026 results?

Leidos generated approximately $4.6 billion in revenue, up 7% year over year and 4% organically, while net income reached $354 million. The company recorded earnings per share according to EDGAR of $2.81 and adjusted earnings per share of $3.26. Homeland led growth with increases of 32% overall and 15% organically, while Defense grew 6% organically, supported by increased production of Integrated Air Defense and counter-unmanned aircraft programs.

Why is the Defense segment important to Leidos's future?

The book-to-bill ratio in Defense was approximately 2.2x in Q2 FY2026 and 1.9x over the trailing twelve months. Opportunities include an agreement worth more than $1 billion to deliver 3,000 low-cost munitions by 2030 and sensor payloads for an additional 18 satellites under Golden Dome. On 2026-08-04, management estimated the segment's opportunity pipeline over the following twelve months at approximately $12 billion, with high-single-digit growth expected in FY2026.

How significant are the risks from the VBA medical disability examinations contract for LDOS?

Health revenue contracted in Q2 FY2026 after the fourth vendor was fully onboarded under the VBA Medical Disability Examination Regions contract. The VA also decided to suspend incentive payments to all vendors for the remainder of FY2026, and Leidos expects Health revenue to remain around that quarter's level, with a non-GAAP operating income margin of approximately 20%. As of 2026-08-04, the draft request for proposals for the next competition had not been issued, so the terms of the new contract remained undefined despite management's expectation that some current contracts would be extended into 2027.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

  • −Health represents the most significant operational pressure, as its revenue contracted in Q2 FY2026 after the fourth vendor was fully onboarded under the VBA Medical Disability Examination Regions contract, while the VA suspended incentive payments to all vendors for the remainder of FY2026. Management expects the segment's revenue to remain around the Q2 FY2026 level for the rest of the year, with a non-GAAP operating income margin of approximately 20%.
  • −The VBA contract recompete remains a source of uncertainty because the draft request for proposals had not been issued as of 2026-08-04, so the economic terms and incentive structure of the next contract were unknown. Management views the Q4 FY2026 run rate as a potential starting point for 2027, but that remains dependent on extensions of the current contracts and the outcome of the competitive process.
  • −MHS GENESIS faces a change in scope as the Defense Health Agency moves toward purchasing commercial software directly and potentially performing part of the systems integration internally. Although Leidos continues to provide support and enhancements under a sole-source bridge contract, management acknowledged on 2026-08-04 a trend toward using internal capabilities across several government agencies, which could reduce some traditional integration services.
  • −Management identified Intel and Digital as one of the businesses most exposed to disruptions at the end of the government fiscal year or to a continuing resolution, even though its guidance does not assume a government shutdown. This makes the timing of contract awards and the conversion of pending proposals into bookings an influential factor in the pace of revenue.
  • −The range of analyst targets between $132 and $170 reveals considerable variation in valuation estimates, while the average target of $155.29 is approximately 24.5% below the 52-week range high of $205.77. This gap reflects that a return to the previous high requires overcoming concerns related to the VBA contract and the changing scope of MHS GENESIS, not merely continued growth in Defense.
  • −Net insider activity during the three months ended with the latest transaction on 2026-08-11 consisted of $1.4 million in sales across two transactions and no purchases. This remains a weak trading signal on its own because insider sales may be prearranged, and the available information does not establish otherwise.
How does MHS GENESIS affect Leidos's business?

Leidos developed and deployed the MHS GENESIS electronic health record system globally under the original ten-year contract, and management said the implementation was completed on time and within budget. The Defense Health Agency is considering purchasing the core software directly and performing some systems integration internally, while Leidos continues to support and enhance the system under a sole-source bridge contract. The company is also working on My Service Treatment Record across the Department of War and the VA, but it did not provide a specific financial estimate for this program on 2026-08-04.

What distinguishes Leidos's cash flows and capital allocation?

In Q2 FY2026, Leidos generated operating cash flow of $793 million and free cash flow of $761 million. The company repaid $300 million of commercial paper associated with the Entrust acquisition and ended the quarter with $6 billion in debt, $748 million in cash and cash equivalents, and gross leverage of 2.5x. On 2026-07-31, the board of directors approved a quarterly dividend of $0.43 per share and a new authorization to repurchase up to 20 million shares.

What does the analyst valuation of LDOS indicate?

The analyst consensus rates LDOS as Buy, with an average target of $155.29 and targets ranging from $132 to $170. The average target is approximately 24.5% below the 52-week range high of $205.77, while the highest target is approximately 17.4% below that high. The wide range highlights differing assessments between the strength of Defense bookings and cash flow on one hand, and uncertainty surrounding VBA and MHS GENESIS on the other.