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Stocks
Liberty Energy Inc.
LBRT

LBRT Liberty Energy Inc.

Liberty Energy Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
20.96
▲ ⁦+0.96%⁩ (+0.20)
Market Cap$3.4B
Beta0.61
52w Low52w High
9.9034.48
Last Week
⁦+2.85%⁩
Last Month
⁦-2.92%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-32.93%⁩
Last Year
⁦+86.31%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall21
Poor — bottom quartile of the marketSucker StockF 3/8Grey zoneBetter than 21% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
42
28.2x▼17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
19
2.3%▼7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
20
0.7%▼4.5%Bottom tier
▸
Safety
55
1.1x▲2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
28
1.67%▼2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
39
86.7%▲2.9%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
74
6▲3Top tier
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$21
Analyst target · 2 analysts
$30
⁦+43%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$23–$40⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
N/A (negative FCF)

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 2 analysts setting price target
$31.29
⁦+49.3%⁩
Current Price $20.96·Median $30.00
Low
$23.00
High
$40.00
Current price
$20.96
Average target
$31.29
Street summary

Target Stability with a Slight Decline in Consensus

The consensus price target remained stable at $31.29 over one day and seven days, while over the last 30 days it declined from $31.86 to $31.29, a decrease of $0.57 or 1.79%. Although the high and low estimates are $40 and $23, respectively, the current sample includes only two analysts, reflecting a relatively wide range of estimates and limiting the strength of the consensus.

As of 2026-09-11
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-1.8%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.85
Buy
Analyst coverage
13
Buy conviction
62%
Mixed
Target dispersion
81%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time13 analysts rating
3
5
5
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.85 → 3.85
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-06-26
    UBS
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-06-03
    Goldman Sachs
    Neutral
  • = Reiterate2026-05-26
    UBS
    Buy
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Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    28.15x
    3.56x28.47x
    Above average
  • Forward P/E
    72.68x
    3.36x26.89x
    Very expensive
  • EV / EBITDA
    8.24x
    2.12x16.98x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    -9.0%
    -21.0%15.7%
    Near median
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    2.3%
    -19.7%63.1%
    Below average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -43.2%
    -141.8%256.7%
    Below average
  • Gross Margin
    18.5%
    7.8%72.1%
    Below average
  • ROIC
    0.7%
    -12.7%20.6%
    Near median
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    1.05x
    0.40x3.19x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    1.7%
    0.4%10.1%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    47.3%
    11.9%109.0%
    Moderate
  • Altman Z-Score
    2.38
    -1.814.34
    Above average
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-23 data

Company Overview

Liberty Energy Inc. provides oil and gas well completion services in North America, including hydraulic fracturing fleets, sand and chemical transportation, DigiPrime technologies, and AI-powered fuel optimization systems such as Forge. The company generates revenue from operating equipment, providing services, and selling products to customers, while expanding into distributed power generation and energy management through the LPI platform, data center projects, and large-load projects.

In Q2 FY2026, revenue reached $1.2 billion, up 16% sequentially from $1.0 billion in Q1 FY2026, driven by record fleet utilization, modest pricing improvement, and higher product sales. Gross profit was $208.3 million, representing a gross margin of approximately 17.4%, and net income rose to $43.1 million from $22.6 million, while earnings per share increased to $0.26 from $0.14. The company reported adjusted EBITDA of $151 million, but adjusted net income was limited to $14 million after excluding $29 million in tax-adjusted investment gains and accounting for transaction costs and other items.

During the twelve months ended in 2026, Liberty generated revenue of $4.2 billion, gross profit of $777.5 million, and net income of $122.4 million, compared with annual revenue of $4.0 billion and net income of $147.9 million in FY2025. The data does not disclose a numerical revenue breakdown between the completion and energy businesses, but management explained that the power generation business is not expected to have a material impact on the income statement before 2028, meaning current results still depend primarily on the completion business and its related services and products.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Q2 FY2026 revenue rose 16% sequentially to $1.2 billion due to record fleet utilization, modest pricing improvement, and higher product sales, while operations also recorded all-time highs in pumping hours, horsepower hours, and volumes of proppant pumped.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • Liberty is preparing to deploy a new DigiPrime fleet in Canada during the second half of 2026 for a customer it serves on both sides of the border; the fleet will replace older Tier 2 equipment rather than add net operating capacity to the Canadian market.
  • The company's proprietary slurry system began commercial operations across three sites, and at one Rockies Basin project, a line approximately 8 miles long replaces up to 200 sand trucks per day, with approximately 1.5 billion pounds of sand expected to be transported and nearly 30 thousand truck trips avoided over seven months.
  • Liberty's joint venture with PowerBridge is currently focused on Alpha Digital, a planned 2-gigawatt campus in West Texas; the first phase includes more than 300 megawatts, with initial generation expected to begin in Q4 2027 and development to continue during the first half of 2028, but tenant contracts and power purchase agreements were still under discussion as of July 23, 2026.
  • Management raised its 2026 capital expenditure outlook to approximately $1.5 billion to secure long-lead-time generation equipment and said that agreements with Bergen Engines, Wärtsilä, and other suppliers provide clear visibility into 3 gigawatts of capacity through the end of 2029, at an expected total cost of between $5 billion and $6 billion.
  • Liberty is targeting a cash payback period of between five and six years and an unlevered return of between 17% and 18% for its energy projects. It expects the business to begin having a material impact on the income statement in 2028 and the full impact of the targeted 3 gigawatts of capacity to emerge by the end of 2029.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +The core business demonstrated an operational recovery in Q2 FY2026, as revenue rose 16% sequentially and net income increased to $43.1 million, with earnings per share reaching $0.26, alongside record fleet utilization and very limited uncommitted capacity on the Q3 FY2026 schedule.
    • +DigiPrime, Forge, and the slurry system provide the company with tangible tools to reduce fuel consumption and logistics costs and improve asset utilization; the Rockies project provides specific operational evidence by replacing up to 200 truck trips per day and avoiding approximately 30 thousand trips over seven months.
    • +The energy platform provides a growth path beyond the hydraulic fracturing cycle, as Liberty plans to secure 3 gigawatts through the end of 2029 and is targeting an unlevered return of between 17% and 18%, while the alliance with SLB and the joint venture with PowerBridge expand access to data center and large-load projects.
    • +The company ended Q2 FY2026 with total liquidity of approximately $1 billion and $559 million in cash and intends to use non-recourse project financing that does not rely on the parent company's balance sheet after signing energy service agreements to recycle capital deposited for equipment.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −The completion business is tied to oil and gas prices and producers' spending decisions; management said on July 23, 2026, that large producers in the United States and Canada remained cautious about increasing activity due to commodity price volatility and economic uncertainty, while private producers that drove a significant portion of the increase in activity can reduce their programs quickly.
    • −Higher sand and chemical volumes and product sales did not translate into comparable margin expansion, as sand pricing remained weak and the incremental operating contribution on revenue was approximately 15% according to the question raised on the call; gross profit during the twelve months ended in 2026 also declined to $777.5 million from $799.5 million in the prior twelve-month period within the data.
    • −The energy expansion requires substantial capital spending before revenue emerges, as the company raised its 2026 spending estimate to $1.5 billion and expects to spend $5 billion to $6 billion to build 3 gigawatts; net debt increased by $157 million during Q2 FY2026 to $736 million, while management does not expect the energy business to have a material impact on the income statement before 2028.
    • −The Alpha Digital project carries contracting and execution risks, as no lease agreements had been signed as of the July 23, 2026 call and customer negotiations and power purchase agreements were still underway, despite the target of more than 300 megawatts in the first phase and the start of generation in Q4 2027.
    • −Energy projects are subject to permitting, grid interconnection, and ERCOT and PJM rule complexities; management noted a three- or four-month waiting period at ERCOT and said Alpha Digital's grid interconnection may occur during 2028, with the first phase relying on behind-the-meter generation to reduce the impact of interconnection delays.
    • −Insider activity during the three months ended with the latest transaction on August 4, 2026, recorded five sales versus one purchase, for net sales of approximately $631.4 thousand; this is a weak trading signal on its own because insider sales may be prearranged unless the data states otherwise.

    Valuation

    The average analyst price target is $31.29, within a wide range of $23 to $40, and the stock carries a consensus Buy rating; the average is below the 52-week range high of $34.478, while the highest target exceeds that high. No published price-to-earnings ratio is available in the data despite earnings per share of $0.73 during the twelve months ended in 2026, so the stock's valuation depends heavily on successfully converting the $1.5 billion in energy spending in 2026 into contracts and cash flows beginning in 2028, alongside a continued recovery in completion business margins.

    BuyAnalyst target: $31.29(+49.3%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-31; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What drove LBRT's results in Q2 FY2026?

    Liberty's revenue in Q2 FY2026 reached approximately $1.2 billion, up 16% sequentially from $1.0 billion. Management attributed the increase to record fleet utilization, modest pricing improvement, and higher product sales. Net income rose to $43.1 million and earnings per share increased to $0.26, while adjusted EBITDA reached $151 million.

    How important is the Alpha Digital project to LBRT stock?

    The joint venture with PowerBridge is currently focused on the planned 2-gigawatt Alpha Digital campus in West Texas. The first phase is expected to include more than 300 megawatts, with initial generation anticipated in Q4 2027 and development continuing during the first half of 2028. As of July 23, 2026, discussions with potential tenants were ongoing and neither lease agreements nor power purchase agreements had been signed, so converting the project into revenue remains dependent on securing commercial contracts.

    When could the energy business begin to materially affect Liberty's earnings?

    Management said some initial capacity within the first 300 megawatts could begin operating in late 2027, with construction extending into the first part of 2028. The company does not expect the power generation business to have a material impact on the income statement before 2028. It also expects the full impact of the targeted 3 gigawatts of capacity to emerge by the end of 2029, with a targeted cash payback period of five to six years and an unlevered return of between 17% and 18%.

    How will Liberty finance its 3-gigawatt energy plan?

    The company estimates the cost of building 3 gigawatts at approximately $5 billion to $6 billion and raised its 2026 capital expenditure outlook to nearly $1.5 billion. The plan includes paying deposits for long-lead-time equipment from Bergen Engines, Wärtsilä, and other suppliers, and power generation deposits reached $71 million in Q2 FY2026. Management explained that it intends to place the projects in special-purpose entities and use non-recourse project financing that does not rely on the parent company's balance sheet after signing energy service agreements, then recycle the liquidity into subsequent deposits.

    Have Liberty's hydraulic fracturing business margins improved?

    Pricing improved modestly and fleet utilization reached record levels in Q2 FY2026, but product sales did not produce the same increase in margins. Gross profit was $208.3 million on revenue of $1.2 billion, representing a gross margin of approximately 17.4%. Management said on July 23, 2026, that sand prices had not recovered meaningfully and that transporting record volumes of proppant was not accompanied by the desired margin improvement.

    What role do DigiPrime and slurry play in LBRT's growth?

    Liberty is building a DigiPrime fleet tailored for Canadian roads for delivery during the second half of 2026 to a customer it serves on both sides of the border. The fleet will replace older Tier 2 equipment rather than represent a net addition to operating capacity in Canada. The slurry system has begun commercial operations at three sites, and one Rockies project is expected to transport 1.5 billion pounds of sand and avoid approximately 30 thousand truck trips over seven months.