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Stocks
Lamar Advertising Company
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall69
Strong — clearly above market medianHigh FlyerF 5/8Grey zoneBetter than 69% of Market stocks, per EL7's modelUnsustainable dividend (payout > 100%)
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
30
27.2x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
45
4.4%▼7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
92
12.5%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
45
5.5x▼2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
60
4.39%▲2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
80
28.4%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
41
33Around median
LAMR

LAMR Lamar Advertising Company

Lamar Advertising Company · NASDAQ
Market Closed
149.08
▲ ⁦+0.93%⁩ (+1.38)
Market Cap$15.1B
Beta1.22
52w Low52w High
114.45164.75
Last Week
⁦-1.60%⁩
Last Month
⁦-3.60%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-2.22%⁩
Last Year
⁦+16.88%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$149
Analyst target · 3 analysts
$161
⁦+8%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$151–$170⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$60
⁦-60%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦9.8⁩% discount · ⁦1⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$60–$161⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 3 analysts setting price target
$160.50
⁦+7.7%⁩
Current Price $149.08·Median $160.50
Low
$151.00
High
$170.00
Current price
$149.08
Average target
$160.50
Street summary

Lamar Advertising (LAMR) Price Revision Analysis

LAMR stock saw an increase in its average price target from $155 to $160 over the past thirty days, an increase of 3.23%. However, the stock is currently trading at $160.93, a level that already exceeds the average price target and analyst consensus ($160), suggesting that the current price may have exhausted most of the momentum generated by recent positive revisions.

As of 2026-08-07
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+2.2%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.17
Hold
Analyst coverage
6
Buy conviction
17%
Target dispersion
13%
Analyst ratings over time6 analysts rating
1
5
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.33 → 3.17
Recent analyst moves
  • ⬇ Downgrade2026-07-10
    Citigroup
    BuyNeutral
  • = Reiterate2026-05-14
    TD Cowen
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-05-08
    Morgan Stanley
    —· $160.00
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    27.15x
    5.03x40.26x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    24.04x
    5.89x47.13x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    22.49x
    3.68x29.40x
    Above average
  • FCF Yield
    4.7%
    -23.1%16.7%
    Above average
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    4.4%
    -14.0%37.7%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    27.8%
    -121.8%181.8%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    —
    —
  • ROIC
    12.5%
    -4.2%9.5%
    Exceptional
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    5.49x
    1.55x12.39x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    4.4%
    0.6%15.6%
    Moderate
  • Payout Ratio
    119.3%
    31.2%370.0%
    Moderate
  • Altman Z-Score
    1.91
    -0.883.10
    Strong
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-06 data

Company Overview

Lamar Advertising Company operates in outdoor advertising through static and digital billboards, transit and airport advertising, and logos, generating revenue from selling advertising space to local, regional, and national clients and through the programmatic channel. In Q2 fiscal 2026, local and regional sales accounted for 77.3% of billboard revenue, compared with 22.7% for national and programmatic business, while digital advertising represented approximately one-third of billboard revenue, demonstrating the business's reliance on a broad local base alongside the expansion of digital and national channels.

In Q2 fiscal 2026, revenue reached $616.75 million, exceeding expectations of $606.61 million, while acquisition-adjusted revenue grew 6.1% year over year. Net income was $164.60 million, and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization rose 9% to $303.40 million, with a record margin of 49.2%, up 110 basis points. Adjusted funds from operations also increased 10.1% to $247.9 million, and diluted AFFO per share rose 8.1% to $2.40, compared with $2.22 in Q2 fiscal 2025.

Growth was broad-based in Q2 fiscal 2026; acquisition-adjusted airport revenue rose 21.1%, digital revenue increased 15.4%, and national and programmatic business combined grew approximately 16%, compared with 3.4% growth in local and regional sales. All billboard regions recorded mid-single-digit growth, led by the Southwest at 7.7% and the Atlantic at 6.5%, while local and regional sales maintained a growth streak extending to 21 consecutive quarters.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Management raised its fiscal 2026 diluted AFFO per share guidance to a range of $8.75 to $8.90; the midpoint represents growth of approximately 7% compared with fiscal 2025, after Q2 fiscal 2026 results exceeded internal expectations and market consensus for revenue, adjusted operating earnings, and AFFO.
  • Acquisition-adjusted revenue growth accelerated during Q2 fiscal 2026 from 4.8% in April 2026 to approximately 5.5% in May and then 8% in June, and continued with momentum of 6% in July 2026. Growth during the first seven months of fiscal 2026 was 5.2%, while bookings indicated that 85% to 90% of the target for the remaining period had been completed.
  • Digital revenue rose 15.4% year over year, and same-board digital billboard revenue grew 6.5%, after 177 units were added since the end of fiscal 2025, bringing the total to 5,730 units at the end of Q2 fiscal 2026. The programmatic channel also grew by more than 50% and now represents approximately 10% of digital billboard revenue.
  • Specific sectors supported demand during Q2 fiscal 2026; services rose 15.4%, supported by attorneys and technology service providers, including companies in the artificial intelligence field, while financial services grew 9.7%, gaming 9.2%, building and construction 10.2%, and retail 6.5%. Political spending increased by more than $5 million year over year, and management expects it to reach the low- to mid-$30 million range in fiscal 2026, compared with approximately $29 million in the 2024 cycle.
  • Lamar spent more than $100 million through June 30, 2026, on approximately 30 billboard acquisitions and easement purchases, and expects cash spending to exceed $200 million during fiscal 2026. The company has total liquidity of $720 million and investment capacity exceeding $1 billion, while targeting AFFO-per-share-accretive deals.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +The business achieved a strong combination of revenue growth and improved profitability in Q2 fiscal 2026; acquisition-adjusted revenue grew 6.1%, acquisition-adjusted EBITDA rose 7.3%, and the margin reached a record level of 49.2%.
  • +The digital transformation provides a scalable growth driver, as digital advertising now represents approximately one-third of billboard revenue and its revenue rose 15.4%, alongside growth of more than 50% in the programmatic channel and an increase in the number of digital units to 5,730.
  • +The balance sheet supports investment and distribution flexibility; net debt to EBITDA was approximately 2.9 times, interest coverage was 7.1 times, and there were no maturities until the accounts receivable securitization in October 2027 or senior note maturities until February 2028.
  • +Management raised its fiscal 2026 AFFO guidance and recommended increasing the quarterly distribution from $1.60 to $1.65 per share, subject to board approval, while expecting a regular distribution of at least $6.50 per share during fiscal 2026.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The analyst consensus is "Buy," with an average price target of $160.50 and a target range of $151 to $170. The average target falls within the 52-week range of $114.45 to $166.33 and is approximately 3.5% below its high, while the highest target exceeds that high by approximately 2.2%; therefore, the targets reflect expectations for continued strong performance, but without a large gap above the stock's highest valuation within the annual range.

BuyAnalyst target: $160.5(+7.7%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-29; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove LAMR's results in Q2 fiscal 2026?

Lamar's revenue reached approximately $616.75 million, exceeding expectations of $606.61 million, with acquisition-adjusted growth of 6.1%. Digital advertising led growth with an increase of 15.4%, while acquisition-adjusted airport revenue rose 21.1% and national and programmatic business combined increased approximately 16%. This helped raise adjusted EBITDA to $303.40 million and achieve a record margin of 49.2%.

How important are digital billboards and the programmatic channel to Lamar's growth?

Lamar ended Q2 fiscal 2026 with 5,730 digital units in operation, an increase of 177 units from the end of fiscal 2025. Digital revenue rose 15.4%, same-board digital billboard revenue grew 6.5%, and digitalization now represents approximately one-third of billboard revenue. Growth in the programmatic channel also exceeded 50%, and it now accounts for approximately 10% of digital billboard revenue.

What are Lamar's earnings and distribution expectations for fiscal 2026?

Management raised its diluted AFFO per share range to $8.75–$8.90 for fiscal 2026, an increase of $0.22 at the midpoint of the previous range. The midpoint of the new range represents growth of approximately 7% compared with fiscal 2025. Management also recommended increasing the quarterly distribution to $1.65 per share, subject to board approval, and expects a regular distribution of at least $6.50 per share during fiscal 2026.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • −The company carries consolidated debt of approximately $3.5 billion at an average interest rate of 4.5% and an average maturity of four years, while the $250 million accounts receivable securitization matures in October 2027; therefore, refinancing could become more expensive if market conditions do not remain favorable for the planned extension.
  • −Acquisition-adjusted expenses rose 5.1% in Q2 fiscal 2026, exceeding expectations by approximately 150 basis points, and management expects annual expense growth of approximately 4% instead of the previous lower framework. Despite the record quarterly margin, management said the fiscal 2026 margin may not reach 48%, while it temporarily paused the second phase of enterprise software upgrades to evaluate less costly alternatives.
  • −Achieving the targets for the second half of fiscal 2026 still depends on selling the remaining 10% to 15% of bookings, exposing results to any weakness in near-term demand. Moreover, the tailwinds from political spending and the World Cup may not necessarily recur at the same pace in subsequent periods, particularly as expected political spending for fiscal 2026 exceeds the approximately $29 million level from the 2024 cycle.
  • −Lamar intends to exceed $200 million in cash spending on acquisitions and easements during fiscal 2026, after spending more than $100 million through June 30, 2026. This program increases pricing discipline, execution, and integration risks, particularly given management's acknowledgment that larger deals attract more competitors.
  • −Real estate and entertainment remained slightly weaker than the other advertiser categories in Q2 fiscal 2026, demonstrating that demand strength was not entirely even across sectors. Continued weakness in these two categories could limit the broad-based growth achieved in services, retail, finance, gaming, and construction.
  • −The average analyst target is $160.50, approximately 3.5% below the 52-week range high of $166.33, while the highest target is only $170. The proximity of these benchmarks leaves limited room for a significant re-rating above the annual high unless Lamar continues to exceed revenue and AFFO expectations.
  • Can Lamar's balance sheet fund acquisitions?

    Total consolidated debt was approximately $3.5 billion at the end of Q2 fiscal 2026, with net debt to EBITDA of 2.9 times and interest coverage of 7.1 times. The company had total liquidity of $720 million, including $68 million in cash and $652 million available through the credit facility. Management says its investment capacity exceeds $1 billion, while it expects cash spending of more than $200 million on acquisitions and easements during fiscal 2026.

    What is the impact of political spending and technology clients on LAMR?

    Political spending increased by more than $5 million year over year in Q2 fiscal 2026, with approximately half of those funds directed to the digital platform. Management expects political spending to reach the low- to mid-$30 million range during fiscal 2026, compared with approximately $29 million in the 2024 cycle. At the same time, the services category rose 15.4%, supported by attorneys and technology service providers, including advertisers in the artificial intelligence field.

    What are the key risks for LAMR stock following Q2 fiscal 2026 results?

    Financial risks include debt of approximately $3.5 billion and the maturity of the accounts receivable securitization in October 2027, despite leverage declining to 2.9 times. Acquisition-adjusted expenses rose 5.1% during the quarter, while the fiscal 2026 margin may not reach 48%, according to management. Achieving the targets for the remaining period also requires selling 10% to 15% of bookings, alongside executing a cash acquisition program exceeding $200 million during fiscal 2026.