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Home
Stocks
Kohl's Corporation
KSS

KSS Kohl's Corporation

Kohl's Corporation · NYSE
Market Closed
17.23
▲ ⁦+2.62%⁩ (+0.44)
Market Cap$2.0B
Beta1.42
52w Low52w High
11.3825.22
Last Week
⁦-3.31%⁩
Last Month
⁦-10.73%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+19.99%⁩
Last Year
⁦+6.56%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall54
Balanced — near the middle of the marketContrarianF 7/9Better than 54% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
94
7.3x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
30
-2.9%▼7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
66
4.9%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
39
6.5x▼2.6xBottom tier
▸
Capital Return
21
2.90%▲2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
50
41.5%▲2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
44
8▲3Around median
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$17
Analyst target · 2 analysts
$17
⁦-4%⁩
See it fairly priced
Range ⁦$9.00–$20⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$31
⁦+81%⁩
Sees it clearly undervalued
⁦10.7⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$17–$31⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Monthly plan
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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 2 analysts setting price target
$15.50
⁦-10.0%⁩
Current Price $17.23·Median $16.50
Low
$9.00
High
$20.00
Current price
$17.23
Average target
$15.50
Street summary

Analysis of Kohl's (KSS) Price Target Revisions

Bearish tilt

The price target for Kohl's stock has seen a notable positive revision over the past thirty days, with the average rising from $13 to $15.4, an increase of 18.46%. However, the current stock price (19.35) continues to trade at a premium above the average analyst target, suggesting a potential overvaluation compared to expert estimates. There is also significant dispersion in opinions between the low ($9) and the high ($20), reflecting uncertainty regarding future performance.

As of 2026-09-03
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+19.2%⁩
Average rating
★ 2.64
Hold
Analyst coverage
14
Buy conviction
14%
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
64%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time14 analysts rating
2
7
3
2
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months2.71 → 2.64
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-27
    Telsey Advisory Group
    Market Perform
  • = Reiterate2026-06-27
    Citigroup
    Positive
  • = Reiterate2026-06-08
    TD Cowen
    Hold
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    7.27x
    4.56x36.49x
    Very cheap
  • Forward P/E
    11.95x
    3.79x30.29x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    8.05x
    2.75x22.03x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    41.0%
    -30.9%16.2%
    Exceptional
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    -2.9%
    -13.8%31.9%
    Below average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    28.1%
    -156.9%135.6%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    40.0%
    12.0%66.5%
    Above average
  • ROIC
    4.9%
    -23.8%21.5%
    Above average
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    6.47x
    0.65x5.48x
    Above average
  • Dividend Yield
    2.9%
    0.1%5.9%
    Moderate
  • Payout Ratio
    21.1%
    8.9%99.8%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-26 data

Company Overview

Kohl's Corporation operates in omnichannel retail, generating revenue from the sale of apparel, footwear, home and beauty products, accessories, and toys through stores and digital platforms, alongside revenue from the Kohl's credit card business. Its assortment drivers include owned brands such as Sonoma, Tek Gear, FLX, and The Big One, as well as partnerships and national brands such as Sephora, Nike, Levi's, and Babies"R"Us. In fiscal 2025, the company recorded revenue of $15.5 billion, gross profit of $6.3 billion, net income of $272 million, and earnings per share of $2.38.

In quarter 2 of fiscal 2027, comparable sales declined 0.9%, with slight decreases in both transaction count and average transaction value, while store sales fell 2% and digital sales grew 2.8%. The company generated net income of $151 million and diluted earnings of $1.28 per share, compared with a published estimate of $0.57, while gross margin improved 305 basis points and selling, general, and administrative expenses declined 0.9%. However, approximately $100 million of the $150 million in tariff refunds reduced cost of goods sold; excluding this impact, the improvement in gross margin was only about 5 basis points.

The performance mix was uneven in quarter 2 of fiscal 2027: home increased 1%, owned brands 3%, juniors' apparel 10%, and toys by double digits, while Kohl's Marketplace grew 88%. In contrast, Sephora at Kohl's declined 4% and women's apparel 1.5%, while the children's and accessories businesses were broadly flat; accessories increased by mid-single digits excluding Sephora. These figures show that the operational improvement is being driven by specific categories and cost discipline, while core sales have not yet returned to growth.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Kohl's raised its fiscal 2026 guidance to adjusted earnings per share of between $1.80 and $2.40 and an adjusted operating margin of between 3.5% and 4%, with comparable sales expected to range from a 1.5% decline to flat compared with fiscal 2025.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • Earnings per share of $1.28 in quarter 2 of fiscal 2027 were more than double the published estimate of $0.57, but the new guidance includes a benefit of approximately $0.65 per share from tariff refunds, making the quality of the earnings increase a key factor for the stock.
  • Kohl's Marketplace grew 88% in quarter 2 of fiscal 2027, and the company said that including its gross merchandise value growth would have improved comparable sales by 65 basis points, from a 0.9% decline to a 0.2% decline.
  • The assortment rebuild is showing uneven but tangible momentum, with owned brands up 3%, juniors' apparel up 10%, and toys up by double digits, alongside a 6% increase in owned-brand inventory depth and the expansion of FLX to all stores in June 2026.
  • The company is investing in expanding productive categories during the second half of fiscal 2026, including completing 56 additional Babies"R"Us stores in September 2026 and adding fine jewelry cases to 350 locations in quarter 4, bringing the total number of equipped locations to 549 stores.
  • The financial position improved, with cash and equivalents reaching $821 million and no borrowings under the ABL facility. The company also repurchased $113 million of debt year to date at a $15 million discount and resumed its share repurchase program with a plan of approximately $100 million during 2026.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +The positive scenario is based on improved operational and balance-sheet discipline; inventory declined 3%, selling, general, and administrative expenses fell 0.9% in quarter 2 of fiscal 2027, and the net cash position improved by more than $700 million compared with the corresponding period.
    • +Owned brands and Kohl's card customers are regaining momentum, with owned-brand sales rising 3% and card-customer sales increasing by more than 1% in quarter 2 of fiscal 2027, both important elements of the value and credit-revenue strategy.
    • +Growth in new channels provides room to improve sales without a major expansion of the traditional assortment; Marketplace grew 88%, digital sales rose 2.8%, and store pickup now accounts for more than 20% of digital demand.
    • +Liquidity gives the company the ability to invest and return capital simultaneously; it expects operating cash flow of between approximately $950 million and $1 billion, capital expenditures of between $350 million and $400 million, and share repurchases of about $100 million during 2026.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Underlying demand remains weak; comparable sales declined 0.9% in quarter 2 of fiscal 2027, store sales fell 2%, and average transaction value and transaction count declined slightly, while management expects continued financial pressure on its low- to middle-income customers.
    • −Sephora at Kohl's faces competitive pressure from the expanded distribution of several of its major brands, which led to a 4% sales decline in quarter 2 of fiscal 2027. Management expects the weaker year-to-date performance to continue until new brands scale and the impact of expanded distribution is lapped.
    • −A large portion of the jump in earnings and margin depends on a nonrecurring benefit; of the $150 million in tariff refunds, cost of goods sold benefited by approximately $100 million, and gross margin improved by only about 5 basis points rather than 305 basis points when excluding this impact.
    • −The guidance does not establish a clear return to growth, as Kohl's expects fiscal 2026 comparable sales to range from a 1.5% decline to flat, and it also expects the margin impact in the fall to turn negative because of reinvestment in pricing, media, and store wages.
    • −The outlook carries execution risks related to inventory and assortment; women's apparel declined 1.5% after some owned products sold out faster than expected, and the company is relying on increasing apparel depth by low double digits while reducing the number of choices by high double digits to achieve better availability without building unproductive inventory.
    • −The valuation remains subject to significant volatility, with analyst price targets ranging from $9 to $20 versus a 52-week range of $11.38 to $25.22, while the consensus rating is Neutral. Insider activity also recorded three sales and zero purchases, with net sales of $759,750.01 during the three months ending with the latest transaction on August 3, 2026, although such sales may be prearranged and are not sufficient on their own to establish deteriorating fundamentals.

    Valuation

    The average analyst price target is $15.4 within a wide range of $9 to $20, with a Neutral consensus; even the highest target remains below the 52-week range peak of $25.22, reflecting clear caution compared with the stock's highest valuation during the year. Material published on August 26, 2026 estimated the price-to-earnings ratio at approximately 7.6 times, but this apparent discount is associated with weak underlying margins, as the operating margin was 3.9% and the net margin was 1.8% according to the material, and with part of the raised earnings guidance relying on a tariff benefit of approximately $0.65 per share.

    HoldAnalyst target: $15.4(-10.6%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-01; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    Why did KSS earnings exceed expectations in quarter 2 of fiscal 2027?

    Kohl's generated diluted earnings of $1.28 per share, compared with a published estimate of $0.57, and recorded net income of $151 million. Gross margin benefited by approximately $100 million from total tariff refunds of $150 million, alongside expense reductions in stores, headquarters, and the credit business. Gross margin therefore improved 305 basis points, but the improvement was only about 5 basis points when excluding the impact of the tariff refunds.

    Did Kohl's sales return to growth in quarter 2 of fiscal 2027?

    Core sales did not return to growth, as comparable sales declined 0.9% and store sales fell 2%, with slight decreases in transaction count and average transaction value. In contrast, digital sales increased 2.8% and Marketplace grew 88%. If Marketplace gross merchandise value growth had been included in comparable sales, the decline would have been 0.2% instead of 0.9%.

    What are the most important categories supporting the improvement in KSS's business?

    Home sales increased 1% in quarter 2 of fiscal 2027, supported by decor, small appliances, and brands such as Shark, Ninja, and KitchenAid. Owned brands grew 3%, juniors' apparel achieved a 10% increase, and toys rose by double digits, led by LEGO and K-Pop Demon Hunters. Accessories also increased by mid-single digits excluding Sephora, supported by jewelry and impulse-purchase products.

    What is the problem with Sephora at Kohl's, and what is the company's plan to address it?

    Sephora at Kohl's sales declined 4% in quarter 2 of fiscal 2027 because of the expanded distribution of several major brands and a slowdown in skincare following a difficult comparison with previous launches. The company plans to add fragrance towers to 250 stores in November 2026 and seasonal gift outposts in 130 stores, alongside brands such as Givenchy, Emi Jay, and Topicals. Nevertheless, management said the weakness recorded year to date may continue until the new brands reach greater scale and the impact of expanded distribution is lapped.

    What is Kohl's outlook for fiscal 2026?

    The company expects comparable sales to range from a 1.5% decline to flat compared with fiscal 2025. It expects an adjusted operating margin of between 3.5% and 4% and adjusted earnings per share of between $1.80 and $2.40, including a tariff benefit of approximately $0.65 per share. It also expects capital expenditures of between $350 million and $400 million and operating cash flow of between approximately $950 million and $1 billion, with no additional future tariff refunds included.

    How is Kohl's using its liquidity during 2026?

    Cash and equivalents totaled $821 million at the end of quarter 2 of fiscal 2027, and the company had not drawn on its ABL facility. Kohl's repurchased $113 million of debt year to date at a $15 million discount, reducing long-term debt to its lowest level since 2007, according to management. It also plans to repurchase approximately $100 million of shares during 2026, paid $14 million in dividends during the quarter, and declared a dividend of $0.125 per share payable on September 23, 2026.