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Stocks
Kilroy Realty Corporation
KRC

KRC Kilroy Realty Corporation

Kilroy Realty Corporation · NYSE
Market Closed
34.90
▲ ⁦+0.14%⁩ (+0.05)
Market Cap$4.1B
Beta1.15
52w Low52w High
27.3645.03
Last Week
⁦-5.57%⁩
Last Month
⁦-3.70%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+1.57%⁩
Last Year
⁦-13.85%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall27
Weak — below market medianMomentum TrapF 6/9Better than 27% of Market stocks, per EL7's modelUnsustainable dividend (payout > 100%)
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
26
24.4x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
13
-3.8%▼7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
33
2.7%▼4.5%Bottom tier
▸
Safety
36
6.1x▼2.6xBottom tier
▸
Capital Return
70
6.19%▲2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
51
-8.2%▼2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
77
4▲3Top tier
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$35
Analyst target · 4 analysts
$38
⁦+9%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$31–$44⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
N/A (negative FCF)

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 4 analysts setting price target
$37.13
⁦+6.4%⁩
Current Price $34.90·Median $38.00
Low
$31.00
High
$44.00
Current price
$34.90
Average target
$37.13
Street summary

Slight Decline Amid Wider Analyst Divergence

The consensus price target remained stable at 37.13 with no change over the last 7 days, but declined by 0.31 points, or 0.83%, over the last 30 days from 37.44. Meanwhile, the number of participating analysts increased from 2 to 4, expanding the coverage base without improving the consensus; the current range is between 31 and 44, with a median of 38, compared with the current price of 34.9, reflecting clear room for disagreement in valuation.

As of 2026-09-11
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-0.8%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.29
Hold
Analyst coverage
⁦17 (+2)⁩
New coverage
Buy conviction
29%
Target dispersion
37%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time17 analysts rating
2
3
10
2
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.18 → 3.29
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-07-29
    Goldman Sachs
    Sell
  • = Reiterate2026-07-21
    Scotiabank
    Sector Perform
  • ⬆ Upgrade2026-06-16
    Bank of America Securities
    Buy
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    24.41x
    5.03x40.26x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    88.14x
    5.89x47.13x
    Very expensive
  • EV / EBITDA
    12.04x
    3.68x29.40x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    -9.0%
    -23.1%16.7%
    Near median
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    -3.8%
    -14.0%37.7%
    Below average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -22.3%
    -121.8%181.8%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    48.7%
    -5.0%81.8%
    Above average
  • ROIC
    2.7%
    -4.2%9.5%
    Above average
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    6.07x
    1.55x12.39x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    6.2%
    0.6%15.6%
    Moderate
  • Payout Ratio
    151.0%
    31.2%370.0%
    Moderate
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-28 data

Company Overview

Kilroy Realty Corporation owns and operates a portfolio of high-quality office properties and life sciences facilities across five U.S. markets, with a prominent presence in San Francisco, Los Angeles, San Diego, Seattle, Bellevue, and Austin. Its operating business is primarily generated by leasing space and collecting base rents, while it uses asset and land sales and capital recycling to improve portfolio quality and liquidity. As of June 30, 2026, portfolio occupancy, including KOP Phase 2, was approximately 77%, while signed leases that had not yet commenced exceeded one million square feet and more than $78 million in annual base rent.

In Q2 fiscal 2026, the company generated funds from operations of $0.92 per diluted share, including $0.05 per share from a non-recurring $5.9 million bankruptcy settlement related to 2023. Same-property cash net operating income grew 1.5%, while rents on comparable new and renewed leases increased 21% on a GAAP basis and 6.1% on a cash basis; the increases were 27.3% and 15.6%, respectively, for spaces that had remained vacant for 12 months or less. The latest quarterly EDGAR figures available in the context, for Q1 fiscal 2026, show revenue of $270.1 million, a net loss of $19.3 million, and a loss per share of $0.16, compared with revenue of $1.1 billion, net income of $276.1 million, and earnings per share of $2.32 in fiscal 2025.

The demand mix reflects clear differences across markets and industries: the artificial intelligence ecosystem represents approximately one-third of active demand in San Francisco, while additional demand comes from defense, aerospace, robotics, and advanced manufacturing in South Bay, and from life sciences companies at KOP Phase 2. The signed-not-commenced lease backlog is distinguished by 86% of it being triple-net leases, compared with 53% of the existing portfolio, and by annual base rent exceeding $75 per square foot, 30% above the portfolio average; this gives it a potentially greater impact on net operating income when the leases commence.

What's Driving the Stock

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

Leasing volume reached approximately 370 thousand square feet in Q2 fiscal 2026 and approximately 944 thousand square feet fiscal year-to-date, an increase of more than 40% over the first six months of 2025, alongside the return of GAAP and cash rent spreads to positive territory for the first time in nearly two years.
  • The total square footage covered by future leasing pipeline transactions increased 34% between the end of Q1 and June 30, 2026, while letters of intent and advanced-stage deals jumped approximately 77%. The signed-not-commenced lease backlog also exceeded one million square feet and $78 million in annual base rent, with a notable increase in leases scheduled to commence during 2027.
  • Active demand for space in San Francisco exceeded 10 million square feet, a level not recorded since 2019, while effective market rents increased approximately 15% year over year. During fiscal 2026 through the date of the call, 7.5 million square feet were leased in the city and available supply declined by 4.5 million square feet, with only 20 to 25 high-quality options remaining for large spaces among more than 25 active tenants.
  • At KOP Phase 2, touring activity increased from 317 thousand square feet in Q1 fiscal 2026 to more than 800 thousand square feet in Q2, and the company executed a 38 thousand-square-foot lease with Olema Pharmaceuticals. There are also eight market requirements exceeding 100 thousand square feet each and approximately 25 tenants seeking spaces between 20 thousand and 70 thousand square feet.
  • The company strengthened liquidity and financial flexibility by increasing its revolving credit facility from $1.1 billion to $1.25 billion and extending its maturity to July 2030, and by increasing its term loan from $200 million to $250 million and extending it to July 2031, with a 20-basis-point pricing improvement. Available liquidity was approximately $1.6 billion, and in July 2026 it repaid $200 million of private placement notes ahead of their scheduled maturity in October 2026.
  • Management maintained fiscal 2026 funds from operations guidance at $3.49 to $3.63 per diluted share and same-property net operating income growth guidance of 0.25% to 1.25%. Reaching the high end requires accelerating rent commencements during fiscal 2026, particularly from move-in-ready spaces, while the path around the midpoint of the range depends heavily on capital recycling in the second half.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +The signed-not-commenced lease backlog provides tangible growth visibility: more than one million square feet and $78 million in annual base rent, averaging more than $75 per square foot and with 86% triple-net leases, which could make the impact of these lease commencements on net operating income greater than that of higher occupancy alone.
    • +Leasing economics show genuine improvement that extends beyond increased inquiries; rents increased 21% on a GAAP basis and 6.1% on a cash basis in Q2 fiscal 2026, while free-rent concessions declined from approximately one month for each year of lease term to approximately half a month for the group of leases executed during the quarter.
    • +The San Francisco portfolio benefits from shrinking high-quality supply and active demand rising to more than 10 million square feet, with the artificial intelligence ecosystem representing approximately one-third of the demand pipeline. Demand strength has spread to multi-tenant assets in SoMa, where touring activity increased approximately 65% quarter over quarter in Q2 fiscal 2026.
    • +Available liquidity of approximately $1.6 billion, together with extended facility maturities and improved pricing, gives the company greater capacity to fund space improvements, manage maturities, and pursue selective acquisition opportunities. It has also sold $348 million of assets fiscal year-to-date in 2026 and has land sales under contract worth $165 million, approximately half of which are expected to close in late 2026 or early 2027.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Portfolio occupancy remained low at 77% as of June 30, 2026, down 60 basis points from the previous quarter, after the departures of two large tenants exerted approximately 140 basis points of pressure. Tenant retention was 27.9% in Q2 fiscal 2026 and 30% fiscal year-to-date including subtenants, so converting the leasing pipeline into actual occupancy remains necessary to stabilize income.
    • −The company's largest market exposure is concentrated in San Francisco, making its results sensitive to the continuation of the demand and rent recovery there despite broader activity in other markets. Approximately one-third of active demand in San Francisco is also tied to the artificial intelligence ecosystem, so leasing momentum could weaken if company formation or expansion within that ecosystem slows.
    • −KOP Phase 2 faces execution and funding risks despite increased touring activity; management explained that life sciences lease execution timelines remain long and the timing of converting interest into executed leases is uncertain. The project is expected to represent the main component of approximately $150 million in development spending in fiscal 2026, and it is also the primary driver of the estimated $21 million to $24 million drag on net operating income from development properties.
    • −Current rents do not support the economics of developing Flower Mart as an office or residential project, so the company expects to stop capitalizing expenses at the end of 2026. Determining the mix, use, and ownership path depends on completing work with the City of San Francisco on revised plans, while the length of time the site remains without viable development could result in continued carrying costs.
    • −2027 expirations include approximately one million square feet, with the most significant concentrated in the DIRECTV/AT&T lease at Kilroy Airport Center during Q4 fiscal 2027. Although the remaining expirations are more dispersed, the company is still evaluating whether to re-lease or sell the campus, leaving a potentially significant impact on occupancy and asset value.

    Valuation

    The average analyst price target is $37.44, within a wide range of $31 to $44, while the highest target is close to the upper end of the 52-week range of $45.03, with the lower end of that range at $27.36. The “Neutral” consensus reflects a balance between improving leasing and the future lease backlog on one hand, and 77% occupancy and the risks associated with KOP Phase 2, Flower Mart, and the DIRECTV/AT&T expiration on the other; the absence of a displayed price-to-earnings multiple also makes analyst targets and the 52-week range clearer valuation references in the provided data.

    HoldAnalyst target: $37.44(+7.3%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-31; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What is the most important driver of KRC's growth after Q2 fiscal 2026?

    The clearest driver is the commencement of signed leases that had not yet begun, which exceeded one million square feet and $78 million in annual base rent as of June 30, 2026. Their annual base rent exceeds $75 per square foot, 30% above the portfolio average. In addition, 86% are triple-net leases compared with 53% of the existing portfolio, giving them a greater impact on net operating income when rent collection begins.

    Has the San Francisco office market recovered enough to support KRC?

    Active demand in San Francisco exceeded 10 million square feet in Q2 fiscal 2026, the highest level since 2019, while effective rents increased approximately 15% year over year. A total of 7.5 million square feet was leased fiscal year-to-date in 2026, alongside a 4.5 million-square-foot decline in available supply. However, rents in KRC's San Francisco portfolio remain above the market, although management said the gap had narrowed during the two quarters preceding the call.

    How important is artificial intelligence-related demand to KRC's portfolio?

    The artificial intelligence sector represents approximately one-third of the active demand pipeline in San Francisco according to the July 28, 2026 call, but it is not the only source of demand. Management cited rapid expansions, including Anthropic's 249 thousand-square-foot lease at 500 Howard followed by another 72 thousand-square-foot lease at 405 Howard. One move-in-ready space tenant at 201 Third also expanded into part of an additional floor during Q2 fiscal 2026, illustrating that some demand is progressing from company formation to subsequent expansion.

    What was the status of KOP Phase 2 in Q2 fiscal 2026?

    Touring activity at the project increased from 317 thousand square feet in Q1 fiscal 2026 to more than 800 thousand square feet in Q2. KRC executed a 38 thousand-square-foot lease with Olema Pharmaceuticals and said that all unleased space in the multi-tenant building was receiving active interest. However, life sciences lease execution timelines remain long, and KOP Phase 2 will be the main component of expected development spending of approximately $150 million in fiscal 2026.

    What is the largest lease expiration that could affect KRC during 2027?

    2027 expirations total approximately one million square feet, with the largest portion coming from the DIRECTV/AT&T lease at Kilroy Airport Center during Q4 fiscal 2027. Excluding that lease, there is another expiration of approximately 80 thousand to 90 thousand square feet, after which individual sizes fall below 50 thousand square feet. The company is evaluating multiple options for the campus, including re-leasing or disposing of it, without announcing a final decision on the July 28, 2026 call.

    What is KRC's fiscal 2026 guidance, and what could change the outcome?

    The company maintained funds from operations guidance at $3.49 to $3.63 per diluted share and same-property net operating income growth guidance of 0.25% to 1.25%. The chief financial officer explained that excluding the non-recurring benefit of $0.05 per share from the Q2 fiscal 2026 run rate and then extending that rate leads approximately to the midpoint of the range. Reaching the high end depends on accelerating rent commencements during 2026, while the pace of asset sales and capital recycling represents the main source of variability in the second half.

  • −The $0.92 per share in funds from operations in Q2 fiscal 2026 includes a non-recurring benefit of $0.05 per share, while fiscal 2026 guidance assumes a slowdown from the $1.83 total generated in the first half. Approaching the high end of the $3.49 to $3.63 range depends on accelerating rent commencements, while the pace of dispositions and capital recycling will affect the final result.