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Home
Stocks
The Coca-Cola Company
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall85
Excellent — top fifth of the marketHigh FlyerF 7/9Better than 85% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
27
26.5x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
45
6.5%▼7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
88
15.0%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
67
1.9x▲2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
63
2.31%▲2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
90
28.8%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
68
14▲3Top tier
KO

KO The Coca-Cola Company

The Coca-Cola Company · NYSE
Market Closed
88.29
▲ ⁦+0.52%⁩ (+0.46)
Market Cap$379.9B
Beta0.34
52w Low52w High
65.3592.49
Last Week
⁦+0.06%⁩
Last Month
⁦+2.09%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+5.62%⁩
Last Year
⁦+30.11%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$88
Analyst target · 6 analysts
$95
⁦+8%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$86–$104⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$51
⁦-43%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$51–$95⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 6 analysts setting price target
$95.75
⁦+8.4%⁩
Current Price $88.29·Median $95.00
Low
$86.00
High
$104.00
Current price
$88.29
Average target
$95.75
Street summary

Coca-Cola price targets remain stable with limited divergence in outlook

The average price target remained unchanged over one day or one week, while it edged down over the last 30 days from 95.82 to 95.75, despite the number of analysts increasing from 5 to 6. The current range is between 86 and 104, with a median of 95, reflecting a relatively clear divergence in estimates compared with the current price of 87.83; the lower bound is close to the price, while the average and upper bound point to greater upside potential.

As of 2026-09-10
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-0.1%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.00
Buy
Analyst coverage
⁦24 (+1)⁩
New coverage
Buy conviction
79%
High
Target dispersion
20%
Analyst ratings over time24 analysts rating
7
12
4
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.15 → 4.00
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-07-29
    Bernstein
    Market Perform
  • = Reiterate2026-07-29
    TD Cowen
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-07-29
    Piper Sandler
    Overweight
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    26.51x
    4.61x36.85x
    Near median
  • Forward P/E
    25.97x
    3.86x30.86x
    Expensive
  • EV / EBITDA
    24.34x
    2.86x22.90x
    Expensive
  • FCF Yield
    4.0%
    -37.4%14.9%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    6.5%
    -16.7%29.2%
    Above average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    18.1%
    -135.4%136.3%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    61.9%
    9.2%67.5%
    Strong
  • ROIC
    15.0%
    -29.3%20.8%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    1.90x
    0.61x4.86x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    2.3%
    0.9%8.3%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    61.3%
    15.9%176.6%
    Moderate
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-28 data

Company Overview

The Coca-Cola Company, listed on the NYSE under the ticker KO, operates through a global beverage system spanning more than 200 countries and territories, generating revenue through a portfolio that includes Trademark Coca-Cola, Sprite, Fuze Tea, Powerade, fairlife, FRESCA, Gold Peak, smartwater, Simply, and Mr. Pibb. Growth depends on increasing unit case volume, managing price and mix, product and packaging innovation, and locally executed global marketing in collaboration with bottling partners and retail outlets; in fiscal Q2 2026, organic revenue rose 6%, unit case volume grew 5%, and price and mix increased 2%.

In fiscal Q2 2026, reported revenue was $13.38 billion versus estimates of $13.16 billion, and net income reached $4.43 billion, while adjusted earnings per share rose 11% to $0.97. Comparable gross margin improved by approximately 120 basis points and comparable operating margin by approximately 90 basis points, supported by underlying expansion and favorable currency tailwinds, and free cash flow was approximately $6.9 billion, with net debt equal to 1.4 times earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization.

Geographic performance was broad-based but uneven in fiscal Q2 2026; volume grew 3% in North America alongside revenue and profit growth, and Latin America delivered balanced revenue growth and profit growth, while profit declined in Europe, the Middle East, and Africa due to the timing of investments. In Asia Pacific, volume grew in nearly all operating units, but comparable operating income declined as a result of investment in expanding the consumer base, particularly through affordability initiatives in India and the geographic mix impact associated with India and China growing faster than Australia, Japan, and Korea.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Demand associated with the FIFA World Cup was a direct driver in fiscal Q2 2026; activities were executed across more than 180 markets and more than 20 million retail outlets, and average beverage incidence exceeded 80% at tournament venues across 16 host cities, contributing to 5% volume growth for Trademark Coca-Cola, its strongest growth in 17 years excluding the recovery from the COVID pandemic, and 8% growth for Powerade.
  • Growth showed greater reliance on actual demand; unit case volume rose 5% in fiscal Q2 2026, versus a 2% contribution from price and mix, while pricing increased by 3 points and was offset by a negative 1-point mix impact. On a two-year basis, volume growth was 2%, placing the quarter's strength in the context of an easier comparison and tailwinds that included weather and the tournament.
  • The company raised its fiscal 2026 outlook after a strong first half; it now expects organic revenue growth of approximately 5%, currency-neutral comparable earnings per share growth excluding acquisitions and divestitures of between 7% and 8%, and total comparable earnings per share growth of between 9% and 10% compared with $3 in fiscal 2025.
  • Innovation supports momentum beyond the core brand; volume for the relaunched Mr. Pibb grew more than 20% in North America during fiscal Q2 2026 after the product was reformulated to include more caffeine and a stronger cherry flavor. The company also continues to expand Coca-Cola Zero Zero following its initial success in Europe, while management said fairlife grew 18% in fiscal Q1 2026 as capacity at the Webster facility continued to increase.
  • Regaining the Marriott contract after 34 years represents a new commercial opportunity for Coca-Cola's portfolio and its partners, including Monster within energy drink offerings. Management did not specify the contract's financial size or a numerical transition date, but described it as an additional partner that was not previously part of the system and affirmed its intention to offer the full portfolio across the Marriott network.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Fiscal Q2 2026 results combine 6% organic revenue growth, a 5% volume increase, and an 11% rise in adjusted earnings per share, with comparable gross margin expanding by approximately 120 basis points and comparable operating margin by approximately 90 basis points; these are indicators of operating growth that did not rely solely on price increases.
  • +The balance sheet provides significant flexibility, as net debt was 1.4 times earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, below the company's target range of 2 to 2.5 times, and free cash flow was approximately $6.9 billion in fiscal Q2 2026. Management said this expands its capacity to reinvest in the business and return capital to shareholders.
  • +The product portfolio demonstrated a broadening of growth sources during fiscal Q2 2026, with Trademark Coca-Cola growing 5%, Powerade 8%, and Mr. Pibb more than 20%, alongside strong growth for the fairlife, FRESCA, Gold Peak, smartwater, and Simply brands in North America. This operating diversity reduces quarterly performance's dependence on any single product.
  • +The raised fiscal 2026 outlook supports the positive thesis; management is targeting organic revenue growth of approximately 5% and total comparable earnings per share growth of between 9% and 10%. The outlook also includes currency tailwinds of approximately 1 point for comparable revenue and 3 points for comparable earnings per share.

Valuation

The average analyst price target is $95.75, within a relatively wide range of $86 to $104, with a consensus rating of “Buy.” The average target exceeds the 52-week range high of $92.49, and the highest target clearly exceeds that level as well, but the absence of an available price-to-earnings ratio prevents testing this optimism against a reliable earnings multiple; the 52-week range is between $65.35 and $92.49, while the risks of higher comparisons, the tax dispute, and divestitures remain counterweights to the positive outlook.

BuyAnalyst target: $95.75(+8.4%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-25; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

Why did KO stock results exceed expectations in fiscal Q2 2026?

The Coca-Cola Company's revenue was approximately $13.38 billion versus estimates of $13.16 billion, and net income reached $4.43 billion. Adjusted earnings per share rose 11% to $0.97, four cents above expectations. The performance came with 6% organic revenue growth and 5% unit case volume growth, alongside an improvement of approximately 120 basis points in comparable gross margin and approximately 90 basis points in comparable operating margin.

What is Coca-Cola's outlook for fiscal 2026?

During the July 28, 2026 call, the company targeted organic revenue growth of approximately 5%, at the high end of its previous range. It raised its forecast for currency-neutral comparable earnings per share growth excluding acquisitions and divestitures to between 7% and 8%. After accounting for currency and other factors, it expects comparable earnings per share growth of between 9% and 10% compared with $3 in fiscal 2025, although fiscal Q4 2026 includes six fewer days.

How did the FIFA World Cup affect Coca-Cola's sales?

The company executed its campaign across more than 180 markets and more than 20 million retail outlets, and through its partnership with Panini distributed more than one billion player stickers across more than 40 markets. Beverages achieved average incidence exceeding 80% at tournament venues across 16 host cities, and the campaign collected more than 25 million first-party data points and generated more than nine billion digital and social impressions. This activity contributed to 5% volume growth for Trademark Coca-Cola and 8% growth for Powerade during fiscal Q2 2026, while management acknowledged the difficulty of separating the tournament's full quantitative impact from other factors.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

  • −Consumer demand remains uneven across markets; on July 28, 2026, management noted continued pressure on lower-income consumers globally, cautious spending in China, a difficult environment in Mexico, and geopolitical disruptions in Asia and the Middle East. These conditions may require continued spending on lower-priced packages and revenue management to protect volumes.
  • −The strength of fiscal Q2 2026 includes factors that are difficult to fully replicate, including an easier comparison, favorable weather, and FIFA World Cup activation; while volume grew 5% in the quarter, its average growth over two years was only 2%. The second half also faces higher comparisons, and fiscal Q4 2026 includes six fewer days than the corresponding quarter of fiscal 2025.
  • −Investments in Asia Pacific led to a decline in comparable operating income and a negative price and mix impact, with value share losses recorded in India according to an analyst question. Management explained the region's 9-point price and mix impact as being split roughly equally among investment timing, affordability initiatives, and geographic mix, highlighting the cost of building the consumer base before realizing the long-term return.
  • −Divestitures may affect reported figures despite improvement in the underlying business; the company expects divestitures to represent a 2% to 3% headwind to comparable net revenue and approximately 1% to comparable earnings per share in fiscal 2026. This assumes completion of the pending sale of Coca-Cola Beverages Africa near the end of fiscal Q3 or during fiscal Q4 2026, subject to regulatory approvals.
  • −The dispute with the U.S. Internal Revenue Service remains an ongoing legal and financial risk; the company presented oral arguments before the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Eleventh Circuit at the end of June 2026, and the timing of the decision was unknown during the July 28, 2026 call, with a previously estimated range of between six months and 12 months. Management affirms its confidence in its position, but the potential adverse outcome is detailed in financial disclosures, and the call did not provide a figure that would allow it to be measured here.
  • −Insider transactions showed a strong selling signal during the three months ended with the latest transaction on August 10, 2026, with five sales, no purchases, and net sales of $9.8 million. This remains a weak trading signal on its own because insider sales may be prearranged, and the data did not explain the motivations or terms of the transactions.
How important is fairlife to KO's performance in fiscal 2026?

Management said fairlife grew 18% in fiscal Q1 2026 and that demand remained strong as capacity at the Webster facility increased. By the July 28, 2026 call, most production operations had resumed across the four U.S. facilities, and retail product availability remained largely unaffected. The company recorded no impact on fiscal Q2 2026 results and does not expect a material impact in the second half, while prioritizing keeping core products on shelves before expanding innovations.

What are the main legal and operational risks facing Coca-Cola?

The company is awaiting a decision from the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Eleventh Circuit in its dispute with the U.S. Internal Revenue Service following oral arguments at the end of June 2026, and the previously indicated timeframe was between six months and 12 months. Operationally, it faces pressure on lower-income consumers, caution in China, and difficulty in Mexico, in addition to disruptions in Asia and the Middle East. Comparable operating income also declined in Asia Pacific and in Europe, the Middle East, and Africa during fiscal Q2 2026 because of investment and its timing, despite volume and revenue growth across broad parts of these regions.

Is KO stock's valuation supported by analyst consensus?

Analyst consensus rates KO stock a “Buy,” with an average target of $95.75. Targets range from $86 to $104, while the 52-week range is between $65.35 and $92.49, so the average target exceeds the top of that range. The data does not provide a valid price-to-earnings ratio for comparison, making the stock's valuation more dependent on achieving the forecast of between 9% and 10% comparable earnings per share growth in fiscal 2026 and on the outcome of the tax dispute.