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Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals, Ltd.
KNSA

KNSA Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals International, plc

Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals International, plc · NASDAQ
Market Closed
76.27
▼ ⁦-0.27%⁩ (-0.21)
Market Cap$5.8B
Beta0.09
52w Low52w High
32.8981.97
Last Week
⁦-4.53%⁩
Last Month
⁦-0.31%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+44.29%⁩
Last Year
⁦+125.99%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall95
Excellent — top fifth of the marketHigh FlyerF 7/8Better than 95% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
14
75.5x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
97
58.9%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
92
11.4%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
92
—2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
25
0.00%▼2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
99
132.5%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
43
6▲3Around median
Fair Value
Current price$76
Analyst target · 5 analysts
$90
⁦+18%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$71–$99⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$81
⁦+6%⁩
Sees it undervalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦12⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods broadly agree — estimate range ⁦$81–$90⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 5 analysts setting price target
$86.40
⁦+13.3%⁩
Current Price $76.27·Median $90.00
Low
$71.00
High
$99.00
Current price
$76.27
Average target
$86.40
Street summary

Stable Price Target Despite a Decline in the Number of Analysts

The average price target remained unchanged at 86.4 over the last 30 days, despite the number of analysts included declining from 6 to 5. This means that the overall direction of the estimates remained stable, while sample consistency declined slightly. The current range is between 71 and 99, with a median of 90, reflecting a notable dispersion in valuations compared with the current price of 76.48.

As of 2026-09-10
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.13
Buy
Analyst coverage
⁦8 (-1)⁩
Buy conviction
100%
High
Target dispersion
37%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time8 analysts rating
1
7
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.13 → 4.13
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-07-29
    Wedbush
    Outperform
  • = Reiterate2026-07-29
    Citigroup
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-07-23
    Goldman Sachs
    Buy
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    75.51x
    3.94x44.30x
    Very expensive
  • Forward P/E
    41.16x
    4.64x37.16x
    Above average
  • EV / EBITDA
    60.71x
    3.77x30.13x
    Very expensive
  • FCF Yield
    2.9%
    -138.2%7.8%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    58.9%
    -56.9%93.8%
    Strong
  • EPS Growth YoY
    1920.0%
    -160.1%130.2%
    Exceptional
  • Gross Margin
    79.3%
    12.8%90.7%
    Strong
  • ROIC
    11.4%
    -155.3%16.0%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    0.0%
    0.0%3.9%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-28 data

Company Overview

Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals International is a biopharmaceutical company focused on inhibiting the IL-1 alpha and IL-1 beta pathway, with its commercial business led by ARCALYST for the treatment of recurrent pericarditis. The company is working to expand this franchise through KPL-387, an investigational once-monthly therapy that entered the Phase 3 PASTORALE study, and through KPL-1161, which the company aims to develop with quarterly dosing.

In Q2 FY2026, ARCALYST revenue reached approximately $243.6 million, up 55% year over year and more than $29 million from the previous quarter, the largest absolute quarterly increase since the drug's launch more than five years ago. Operating income was $27.2 million and net income was $25.4 million, while ARCALYST collaboration profit rose 68% to $176.1 million, meaning it grew faster than sales despite higher research and development, marketing, and collaboration costs.

The business mix remained concentrated in ARCALYST, with the cash balance reaching $525.9 million and approximately $58 million in net cash generated during Q2 FY2026. By comparison, EDGAR filings for Q1 FY2026 show revenue of $214.3 million, gross profit of $193.5 million, net income of $22.6 million, and earnings per share of $0.27.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Kiniksa raised its FY2026 revenue guidance from a range of $930–945 million to $980–995 million after ARCALYST revenue reached $243.6 million in Q2 FY2026, reflecting strong demand and an expanding patient base.
  • ARCALYST penetration among patients with multiple recurrences increased to approximately 21% by the end of Q2 FY2026, compared with approximately 18% at the end of FY2025, with significant expansion potential remaining within this group.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • ARCALYST added approximately 450 new prescribers during Q2 FY2026, bringing the total number of prescribers since launch to more than 5,000. The number of repeat prescribers also increased by approximately 150 from the previous quarter, and approximately 29% of the base had prescribed the drug to two or more patients.
  • The Phase 3 PASTORALE study has already begun enrolling patients and administering KPL-387 at a monthly dose of 300 milligrams; Phase 2 data showed a median time of four days to treatment response, four days to pain improvement, and eight days to C-reactive protein normalization.
  • The company is targeting a potential commercial launch for KPL-387 during 2028–2029, while its market research showed that approximately 75% of patients preferred the therapy's target profile and approximately 92% of specialists indicated a high likelihood of prescribing it to new patients.
  • The direct-to-consumer Heart's Home campaign, launched in April 2026, the use of artificial intelligence and machine learning for physician targeting, and the publication of the 2025 ACC guidelines supported increases in new and repeat ARCALYST prescriptions.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +ARCALYST achieved year-over-year growth of 55% in Q2 FY2026, accompanied by a 68% increase in collaboration profit to $176.1 million, indicating meaningful improvement in the economics of the core commercial product.
    • +ARCALYST remains in the market-penetration phase despite having launched more than five years ago; penetration reached only approximately 21% of the multiple-recurrence segment, while more than 25,000 specialists manage patients with recurrent pericarditis, compared with more than 5,000 drug prescribers since launch.
    • +Cash of $525.9 million at the end of Q2 FY2026, along with approximately $58 million in net cash generated during the quarter, provided a base for funding ARCALYST expansion, the PASTORALE study, and KPL-1161 development.
    • +KPL-387 adds a separate clinical driver with a monthly dosing profile; rapid and sustained response at the 300-milligram dose supported its selection for Phase 3, with no additional benefit from the same dose every two weeks.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Commercial results depend heavily on ARCALYST, as the product was the source of the reported $243.6 million in revenue in Q2 FY2026; therefore, any slowdown in patient enrollment or treatment persistence could directly affect the company's growth.
    • −KPL-387 remains exposed to clinical development and execution risks because the announced data came from an interim analysis with limited disclosure, while the PASTORALE study must demonstrate a reduction in the risk of recurrent pericarditis in a randomized, placebo-controlled withdrawal design involving up to approximately 85 participants.
    • −Operating expenses increased year over year due to higher cost of goods, collaboration expenses, research and development, manufacturing, preclinical investments, and selling and administrative expenses; continued spending could pressure profitability if it is not matched by ARCALYST sales or successful clinical results.
    • −The target commercial profile for KPL-387 assumes that monthly dosing will differentiate it from other commercial and investigational therapies, but management acknowledged that the final outcome depends on Phase 3 data, making the commercial outlook for 2028–2029 uncertain.
    • −The average analyst target of $86.4 is above the 52-week range high of $82.94, while the highest target reaches $99; this increases valuation sensitivity to any failure to achieve FY2026 revenue guidance of $980–995 million or execute PASTORALE.
    • −Insider activity recorded one sale and net selling of $299,092.39 during the three months ending with the latest transaction on July 29, 2026; this is a weak trading signal on its own because insider sales may be prearranged, and the context provides no evidence of the transaction's motive.

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus is “Buy,” with an average target of $86.4 and a wide range between $71 and $99. The average target exceeds the 52-week range high of $82.94, reflecting high expectations for continued ARCALYST growth and KPL-387 success, but the breadth of the target range highlights uncertainty associated with revenue concentration and Phase 3 risk.

    BuyAnalyst target: $86.4(+13.3%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-30; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What was the primary driver of KNSA's revenue in Q2 FY2026?

    ARCALYST was the primary commercial driver, with revenue of $243.6 million in Q2 FY2026. This represented 55% year-over-year growth and an increase of more than $29 million from the previous quarter. The company attributed the growth to broader new and repeat prescribing, increased patient enrollment, and treatment persistence.

    How large is the ARCALYST growth opportunity within the recurrent pericarditis market?

    ARCALYST penetration among patients with multiple recurrences reached approximately 21% by the end of Q2 FY2026, up from approximately 18% at the end of FY2025. This group includes approximately 14,000 patients and accounted for nearly 80% of new prescriptions during the quarter. The first-recurrence group includes approximately 26,000 patients out of a total estimated market of approximately 40,000 patients and accounted for nearly 20% of ARCALYST prescriptions during the quarter.

    What did the Phase 2 KPL-387 data show?

    The monthly 300-milligram dose of KPL-387 showed a rapid onset of response and sustained efficacy throughout the monthly dosing period. The median time to treatment response and pain improvement was four days for each, and the median time to C-reactive protein normalization was eight days. The 300-milligram dose every two weeks was also effective, but it did not provide additional benefit compared with the monthly dose.

    How was the Phase 3 PASTORALE study designed?

    PASTORALE is an event-driven, randomized, placebo-controlled withdrawal study, and it had begun enrolling patients and administering doses by July 28, 2026. It will include up to approximately 85 participants experiencing recurrent pericarditis despite conventional oral therapies, and responders in the run-in phase will receive KPL-387 at a monthly dose of 300 milligrams or placebo during the withdrawal phase. The primary endpoint measures the time to the first confirmed recurrence of pericarditis, and the company is targeting a potential launch during 2028–2029 if the program succeeds.

    What is Kiniksa's FY2026 revenue guidance?

    Kiniksa raised its FY2026 revenue guidance to a range of $980–995 million, from $930–945 million previously. The increase followed ARCALYST revenue of $243.6 million in Q2 FY2026. The company also ended the quarter with a cash balance of $525.9 million and approximately $58 million in net cash generation.

    What are the key risks of investing in KNSA based on the available information?

    The first risk is that the commercial business depends heavily on ARCALYST, making results sensitive to prescribing trends and patient treatment persistence. KPL-387 also remains in Phase 3, and the announced Phase 2 data came from an interim analysis with limited detail, so the registrational endpoint has not yet been proven. In addition, research and development, manufacturing, marketing, and collaboration costs increased, while the analyst target range of $71 to $99 assumes widely varying outcomes for the commercial product and development pipeline.