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Stocks
Klarna Group plc
KLAR

KLAR Klarna Group plc

Klarna Group plc · NYSE
Market Closed
13.83
▲ ⁦+0.22%⁩ (+0.03)
Market Cap$5.2B
Beta1.94
52w Low52w High
12.0657.20
Last Week
⁦-2.95%⁩
Last Month
⁦-30.50%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-24.38%⁩
Last Year
—
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall6
Poor — bottom quartile of the marketSucker StockF 0/8Better than 6% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
18
—17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
74
47.3%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
20
——Bottom tier
▸
Safety
22
——Bottom tier
▸
Capital Return
20
—2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
29
—2.9%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
85
11▲3Top tier
Fair Value
Current price$14
Analyst target · 6 analysts
$17
⁦+23%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$15–$27⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
N/A (negative FCF)

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 6 analysts setting price target
$18.67
⁦+35.0%⁩
Current Price $13.83·Median $17.00
Low
$15.00
High
$27.00
Current price
$13.83
Average target
$18.67
Street summary

A Clear Decline in the Average Price Target

Bearish tilt

KLAR's average price target fell to 18.67 from 22.57 over the last 30 days, a decline of 3.90 or 17.28%, while the change over the last 7 days was limited to -0.43%, and the number of analysts remained unchanged at 6. Although the average and median of 18.67 and 17 are above the current price of 13.88, the target range between 15 and 27 reflects notable variation in valuations.

As of 2026-09-09
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-17.3%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.50
Buy
Analyst coverage
22
Buy conviction
45%
Mixed
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 2↓
Target dispersion
87%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time22 analysts rating
1
9
12
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.75 → 3.50
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-08
    Loop Capital Markets
    Hold
  • = Reiterate2026-09-02
    Scotiabank
    Sector Perform
  • ⬇ Downgrade2026-08-25
    Wolfe Research
    OutperformPeer Perform
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    —
    —
  • Forward P/E
    34.15x
    2.76x22.06x
    Very expensive
  • EV / EBITDA
    18.73x
    3.07x24.55x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    -30.3%
    -19.9%19.1%
    Weak
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    47.3%
    -36.3%104.2%
    Above average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    22.9%
    -99.4%194.2%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    57.2%
    23.5%98.3%
    Near median
  • ROIC
    -2.1%
    -36.5%24.6%
    Above average
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-18 data

Company Overview

Klarna Group plc, listed on the NYSE under the ticker KLAR, provides a consumer payments and credit ecosystem covering three spending patterns. Pay in Full includes recurring purchases under $75 and generates revenue from payment fees, subscriptions, and deposit interest, while Pay Later offers short-term, interest-free installments for purchases between $75 and $500, and Fair Financing provides fixed-term installments for purchases between $500 and $10,000. The company also generates revenue from transaction and service fees, interest income, and gains on the sale of receivables, while using loan sale arrangements to reduce capital consumption.

In Q2 FY2026, revenue rose 27% to $1.042 billion, compared with an 18% increase in gross merchandise volume to $36.6 billion. Transaction margin dollars reached $446 million, up 42%, and accounted for 42.8% of revenue after improving by approximately 450 basis points, while adjusted operating income was $91 million and net income was $9 million, or $0.01 per share, compared with a loss of $0.14 per share in the comparable period. Non-transaction operating expenses grew 16% to $419 million, a rate below the growth in revenue and transaction margin.

Transaction and service revenue was $707 million, interest income was $266 million, and gains on sales were $69 million in Q2 FY2026. Geographically, the United States generated $376 million in revenue, up 37%, and $7.9 billion in gross merchandise volume, up 27%, while markets outside the United States recorded $666 million in revenue and $28.8 billion in volume. At the product level, Fair Financing reached $4.7 billion in volume, up 82%, and accounted for 13% of total volume, while Pay Later grew 13% and Pay in Full contributed $3.6 billion in volume.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Improved transaction economics increased transaction margin dollars in Q2 FY2026 by 42% to $446 million, while transaction costs rose only 17% to $596 million and credit loss provisions declined to 0.52% of gross merchandise volume from 0.55% in the previous quarter.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • Fair Financing grew 82% to $4.7 billion in gross merchandise volume and expanded to 256 thousand merchants from 151 thousand in November 2025, while its growth in the United States more than doubled, supporting an increase in the U.S. transaction margin from 14% to 23% of revenue.
  • The number of paid subscribers reached 2 million, eight times the level a year earlier, and subscription revenue increased by more than 600%; this gives Klarna a high-margin recurring revenue source that does not require corresponding growth in gross merchandise volume.
  • Klarna Card reached 6.5 million active users across 16 countries, compared with 1.3 million a year earlier, extending the use of Pay in Full, Pay Later, and Fair Financing to in-store purchases and deepening customer spending across the company's products.
  • The JPMorgan Payments integration went live on August 6, 2026, enabling merchants on a platform that processes $2.6 trillion in payments annually to offer the Klarna suite without a new integration. Apple Upgrade also supports the expansion of the large-purchase strategy, and management expects it to contribute positively to adjusted operating income during FY2026.
  • The company expects FY2026 transaction margin dollars of between $1.62 billion and $1.65 billion and adjusted operating income of between $280 million and $300 million, compared with only $65 million of adjusted operating income in FY2025, despite lowering its volume and revenue outlook.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case5 pts

    • +Q2 FY2026 demonstrated clear operating leverage, as transaction margin grew 42% compared with 16% growth in non-transaction operating expenses, and approximately $0.56 of every additional dollar of transaction margin reached the operating line.
    • +Growth sources are expanding beyond Pay Later; Fair Financing grew 82%, subscription revenue increased by more than 600%, and active Klarna Card users jumped from 1.3 million to 6.5 million within a year.
    • +Credit quality improved alongside growth, as loss provisions declined to 0.52% of volume, and delinquencies of more than 30 days fell by approximately 20 basis points quarter over quarter in Fair Financing and approximately 30 basis points in Pay Later in the United States.
    • +U.S. expansion provides a higher-return growth driver after regional revenue grew 37% and transaction margin dollars increased 126% in Q2 FY2026, supported by integrations with JPMorgan, Adyen, Worldline, Worldpay, Fiserv's Clover, and the Apple Upgrade program.
    • +Net insider purchases during the three months ended August 26, 2026, totaled approximately $9.9 million through one purchase with no recorded sales, a supportive signal that does not replace an assessment of operating performance and outlook risks.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −The volume outlook depends significantly on Germany, Klarna's largest market by volume, where weakness in discretionary consumer spending led management to assume only very marginal increases for the remainder of FY2026; this concentration makes weakness in a single market consequential for consolidated growth.
    • −Klarna lowered its FY2026 gross merchandise volume outlook to $149–151 billion from more than $155 billion and reduced its revenue outlook to $4.08–4.16 billion from more than $4.34 billion. Approximately $600 million of the volume reduction was related to currency, while the remainder was primarily associated with Europe and Germany.
    • −Transaction margin dollar growth is expected to slow in the second half of FY2026 to approximately 23% at the midpoint of the outlook, compared with 42% in the first half, due to a difficult comparison with the previous Fair Financing expansion and currency effects. The Q3 FY2026 outlook also indicates limited adjusted operating income of between $5 million and $15 million due to investment and stock-based compensation.
    • −Reaching the midpoint of the annual volume outlook requires significant seasonal acceleration in Q4 FY2026 after expected volume of between $35 billion and $36 billion in Q3, and the operating outlook depends on executing several integrations with payment service providers and the Apple Upgrade program before the peak season.
    • −Growth in Fair Financing and the Apple Upgrade program entails longer credit and funding exposure than short-term Pay Later products. Despite improved delinquencies and provisions, Klarna carries Apple Upgrade receivables as financing receivables and decides whether to sell them based on available economics, leaving credit and funding risks in place.
    • −The neutral analyst consensus and the absence of a reported price-to-earnings multiple reflect continued uncertainty about the sustainability of profitability, particularly after the company recorded a net loss of $294 million and negative earnings per share of $0.79 in FY2025. The wide range of analyst targets between $15 and $27 also indicates significant divergence in valuation estimates.

    Valuation

    The average analyst price target is $19.14, with a wide range between $15 and $27 and a neutral consensus, and the average stands at only approximately 40% of the 52-week range high of $47.48. No reliable positive price-to-earnings multiple is available following the FY2025 loss of $294 million, so the valuation rests on the ability of Q2 FY2026 earnings and the adjusted operating income outlook of $280–300 million to translate into sustainable annual profitability despite the lowered volume and revenue outlook.

    HoldAnalyst target: $19.14(+38.4%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-30; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    How does Klarna generate revenue?

    Klarna generates revenue from transaction and service fees, interest income, and gains on the sale of receivables, in addition to subscriptions and deposit interest associated with its ecosystem. In Q2 FY2026, transaction and service revenue was $707 million, interest income was $266 million, and gains on sales were $69 million. Its products are divided among Pay in Full for purchases under $75, Pay Later for purchases between $75 and $500, and Fair Financing for purchases between $500 and $10,000.

    Why did Klarna lower its FY2026 outlook despite reporting quarterly profits?

    The company lowered its gross merchandise volume outlook to $149–151 billion from more than $155 billion and its revenue outlook to $4.08–4.16 billion from more than $4.34 billion. Management attributed approximately $600 million of the reduction in its volume outlook to currency movements and linked the remainder to a slowdown in Europe, particularly Germany, the company's largest market by volume. In contrast, it raised its transaction margin dollar outlook to $1.62–1.65 billion due to better economics per dollar of volume.

    How important is Fair Financing to KLAR's growth?

    Fair Financing is a fixed-term installment product for purchases between $500 and $10,000 and was Klarna's fastest-growing product in Q2 FY2026. Product volume rose 82% to $4.7 billion, it became available at 256 thousand merchants, and it accounted for 13% of the company's total volume. Management believes its higher-return mix was a primary reason transaction margin dollars grew 42% and the U.S. margin increased from 14% to 23% of revenue.

    Have Klarna's profitability and credit portfolio quality improved?

    Klarna recorded Q2 FY2026 net income of $9 million and earnings per share of $0.01, compared with a loss of $0.14 per share a year earlier. Adjusted operating income was $91 million, and transaction margin dollars increased to $446 million, reaching 42.8% of revenue. Provisions also declined to 0.52% of volume, while delinquencies of more than 30 days improved by approximately 20 basis points quarter over quarter in Fair Financing and approximately 30 basis points in Pay Later in the United States.

    What do the JPMorgan Payments and Apple partnerships add to Klarna?

    The JPMorgan Payments integration went live on August 6, 2026, allowing merchants on its platform to offer Pay in Full, Pay Later, and fixed-term installments through their existing setup. JPMorgan Payments processes $2.6 trillion in payments annually, giving Klarna a major distribution channel without requiring each merchant to complete a new integration. Apple Upgrade creates a direct relationship with new U.S. consumers, and Klarna treats its receivables as financing receivables and expects it to contribute positively to adjusted operating income during FY2026.

    What leadership changes has Klarna announced?

    Klarna announced that Chief Financial Officer Niclas Neglen and Chief Marketing Officer David Sandstrom will begin planned transitions in early 2027. Neglen remains Chief Financial Officer and a board member and continues to lead finance and investor relations during the transition period, and the company has begun searching for a New York-based Chief Financial Officer. Management also explained that Sandstrom will hand over marketing responsibilities during 2027 as planned and did not link these transitions to any change in its approach to funding, capital allocation, or U.S. expansion.