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Stocks
Kimco Realty Corporation
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall50
Balanced — near the middle of the marketHigh FlyerF 7/9DistressBetter than 50% of Market stocks, per EL7's modelUnsustainable dividend (payout > 100%)
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
35
26.1x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
42
4.4%▼7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
56
4.2%▼4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
44
5.7x▼2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
45
4.44%▲2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
63
10.0%▲2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
78
8▲3Top tier
KIM

KIM Kimco Realty Corporation

Kimco Realty Corporation · NYSE
Market Closed
23.20
▼ ⁦-0.41%⁩ (-0.10)
Market Cap$15.6B
Beta0.97
52w Low52w High
19.7626.65
Last Week
⁦-3.68%⁩
Last Month
⁦-5.17%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-4.03%⁩
Last Year
⁦+4.91%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$23
Analyst target · 2 analysts
$28
⁦+21%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$25–$29⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$12
⁦-48%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦8.7⁩% discount · ⁦1⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$12–$28⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Monthly plan
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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 2 analysts setting price target
$27.10
⁦+16.8%⁩
Current Price $23.20·Median $28.00
Low
$25.00
High
$29.00
Current price
$23.20
Average target
$27.10
Street summary

Stable Targets with a Slight Improvement in Consensus

The average price target did not change over the last 1 or 7 days, remaining at 27.1, while the number of analysts increased from 1 to 2. Over the last 30 days, the consensus rose from 26.8 to 27.1, an increase of 0.3 or 1.12%, indicating a limited improvement in the outlook rather than a broad revision of the targets. The current target range is between 25 and 29, with a median of 28, reflecting a notable divergence among estimates even though all of them are above the current price of 23.285.

As of 2026-09-10
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+0.7%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.46
Hold
Analyst coverage
⁦24 (+1)⁩
New coverage
Buy conviction
38%
Target dispersion
17%
Analyst ratings over time24 analysts rating
2
7
15
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.52 → 3.46
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-11
    Goldman Sachs
    Neutral
  • = Reiterate2026-07-09
    UBS
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-06-29
    Raymond James
    Strong Buy
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    26.06x
    5.03x40.26x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    26.64x
    5.89x47.13x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    16.89x
    3.68x29.40x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    6.9%
    -23.1%16.7%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    4.4%
    -14.0%37.7%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    8.6%
    -121.8%181.8%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    54.8%
    -5.0%81.8%
    Above average
  • ROIC
    4.2%
    -4.2%9.5%
    Above average
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    5.72x
    1.55x12.39x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    4.4%
    0.6%15.6%
    Moderate
  • Payout Ratio
    115.7%
    31.2%370.0%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    1.24
    -0.883.10
    Above average
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-04 data

Company Overview

Kimco Realty Corporation is a real estate company listed on the NYSE under the ticker KIM, with a business model focused on owning and operating high-quality open-air shopping centers, particularly grocery-anchored centers in the suburbs of major metropolitan areas. The company generates its income primarily from rent and tenant-reimbursable charges, with additional sources including ancillary income from advertising, energy, electric vehicle charging, and temporary leasing; ancillary income represented approximately 1.8% of total revenue according to the fiscal year 2026 Q2 call. Kimco also uses mixed-use asset redevelopment and capital recycling to sell lower-growth assets and fund shopping centers with higher growth returns.

In fiscal year 2026 Q2, revenue reached $550.8 million, up 4.9%, and net income was $153.3 million, equivalent to a calculated net income margin of approximately 27.8%. Funds from operations totaled $309.2 million, or $0.46 per diluted share, compared with $297.6 million and $0.44 a year earlier, representing per-share growth of 4.5%. Same-property net operating income rose 3.5%, supported by higher minimum rents and improved net tenant reimbursements, while credit losses declined to 57 basis points from 89 basis points in fiscal year 2025 Q2.

The portfolio's total pro rata occupancy reached 96.4%, with record small-shop occupancy of 92.9% and anchor occupancy of 97.8%. The company signed 461 leases covering 2.5 million square feet at a combined rent spread of 13.1%, including 161 new leases at a spread of 40.4%, while renewal and option spreads were 7%. Across the broader periods, the statements reported revenue of $2.1 billion and net income of $584.7 million in fiscal year 2025, compared with revenue of $2.2 billion and net income of $607.1 million during the twelve-month period ending in 2026 included in the data.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Kimco raised the lower end of its fiscal year 2026 funds from operations guidance to $1.83 per diluted share from $1.81, while maintaining the upper end at $1.84, and increased its same-property net operating income growth range to 3%–3.5% from 2.8%–3.5%.
  • Signed leases that have not yet commenced represent $95 million of annual base rent, including $75 million of incremental rent, and the company expects 48% of them to commence by the end of fiscal year 2026; it also raised its estimate of rent collected from them during fiscal year 2026 by 16% to $33 million.
  • Leasing activity reflects strong demand, as new lease spreads reached 40.4% in fiscal year 2026 Q2, marking the nineteenth consecutive quarter of double-digit spreads, alongside a 3% year-over-year increase in foot traffic and the addition of tenants such as Uniqlo, Teso Life, and Lowes Food.
  • The company raised its quarterly cash dividend by 12% to $0.28 per share, or $1.12 annually, based on growth in operating cash flows, earnings, and taxable income; this is a tangible indication of the board's confidence in the sustainability of cash flows.
  • Kimco recycled the proceeds from Costco leases with a compound annual growth rate below 1% and an unlevered internal rate of return below 6% into two grocery-anchored centers in South Florida, for which it expects an unlevered internal rate of return above 9% and cash flow growth more than 350 basis points higher.
  • The One Kimco operating model began on July 1, 2026, to unify leasing and asset management nationally at no additional cost, while weekly use of artificial intelligence tools exceeded 80% of employees and related initiatives generated savings equal to approximately five times the amount spent on them since the beginning of fiscal year 2026.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case5 pts

  • +The portfolio combines total occupancy of 96.4%, new lease spreads of 40.4%, and same-property net operating income growth of 3.5%, providing a clear foundation for rent and cash flow growth.
  • +Signed leases that have not yet opened provide tangible forward visibility, representing $75 million of incremental annual base rent, with $33 million expected to be collected during fiscal year 2026.
  • +Liquidity of $2.7 billion, including $700 million in cash, supports Kimco's ability to repay 2026 debt maturities and capitalize on acquisition opportunities, while consolidated net debt to earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization was 5.2 times.
  • +Capital recycling demonstrated the company's ability to improve growth quality without relying on external equity issuance to fund every transaction, as it converted Costco assets with an internal rate of return below 6% into grocery-anchored assets with an internal rate of return above 9% after accounting for operating costs.
  • +The increase in the quarterly dividend to $0.28 per share, alongside the raised funds from operations guidance and the improvement in credit losses to 57 basis points, strengthens the income case for shareholders within the bounds of reported performance.

Valuation

The analyst consensus on KIM is Neutral, with an average target of $27.10 and a range of $25 to $29; the average is only approximately 1.7% above the 52-week range high of $26.65, while the highest target exceeds that high by approximately 8.8%. No usable price-to-earnings ratio is available in the data, so the valuation is based on the Neutral target range and the 52-week range of $19.76–$26.65, balancing improvements in funds from operations and occupancy against tenant risks and the timing of capital recycling.

HoldAnalyst target: $27.1(+16.8%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-29; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove KIM's results in fiscal year 2026 Q2?

Kimco's revenue in fiscal year 2026 Q2 reached approximately $550.8 million, up 4.9%, and net income reached $153.3 million. Funds from operations rose 4.5% to $0.46 per diluted share, from $0.44 a year earlier. Growth came from higher minimum rents and improved net reimbursements, which increased same-property net operating income by 3.5%. Credit losses also declined to 57 basis points from 89 basis points in fiscal year 2025 Q2.

Can Kimco continue growing rents after occupancy reached high levels?

Total pro rata occupancy was 96.4%, small-shop occupancy reached a record 92.9%, and anchor occupancy was 97.8%. Nevertheless, the company signed 161 new leases covering 685 thousand square feet at a combined rent spread of 40.4% in fiscal year 2026 Q2. Signed leases that have not yet opened represent $95 million of annual base rent, including $75 million of incremental rent. Management expects 48% of this pipeline to commence by the end of fiscal year 2026, providing growth even with high physical occupancy.

How does capital recycling affect KIM's growth?

Kimco sold Costco leases that had compound annual growth below 1% and an unlevered internal rate of return below 6%. It reinvested the proceeds tax-efficiently through a 1031 exchange into Walmart-anchored Pompano Marketplace for $53 million and Publix-anchored Sunshine Plaza for $56 million. The new assets target an unlevered internal rate of return above 9% and cash flow growth more than 350 basis points higher than the Costco assets. However, dispositions preceded some acquisitions in fiscal year 2026, so the timing of liquidity deployment remains relevant to short-term earnings.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

▼ Selling Case7 pts

  • −Performance remains exposed to retail tenant distress; Painted Tree lease rejections reduced total occupancy by 16 basis points and anchor occupancy by 23 basis points, while the company's first-half results were also being compared with the Party City, JOANN, and Big Lots bankruptcies in fiscal year 2025.
  • −Expectations for acceleration in the second half of fiscal year 2026 depend on continued consumer spending and tenant health; management explained that continued growth depends on consumer trends, the retailer environment, and interest rates, despite spending growth of 5.5% among middle-income consumers and 3.5% among lower-income consumers in the data discussed on the call.
  • −The timing of capital recycling may constrain short-term earnings growth because asset dispositions preceded acquisitions and because converting the Pompano investment from a loan with a fixed 8% yield into real estate ownership begins at a lower yield before growing at an expected compound annual rate of 3.5%–4% or more.
  • −The acquisition strategy faces strong competition for assets, as management described capitalization rates as highly competitive, with pricing converging among grocery-anchored centers, strip centers, power centers, and lifestyle centers, which may reduce opportunities to purchase assets at attractive returns.
  • −Growth financing carries leverage and potential dilution risks; Kimco issued $600 million of convertible senior notes with a 3.5% coupon due in 2031 and an initial conversion price of $32.36 per share, despite repurchasing 4.1 million shares for $104.7 million to limit potential dilution.
  • −Fiscal year 2026 Q3 results include a known charge of approximately $3.8 million, or roughly two-thirds of a cent per share, related to the repurchase of a portion of the Series N convertible preferred stock, and the impact will appear in net income and funds from operations.
  • −Valuation carries limited upside risk based on analyst sentiment, as the consensus is Neutral even though the average target of $27.10 is only approximately 1.7% above the 52-week range high of $26.65, while Goldman Sachs maintained its Neutral rating when it raised its target to $28 on August 12, 2026.
What is the significance of KIM's dividend increase in 2026?

The board declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.28 per share, equivalent to $1.12 annually. The increase represents 12% compared with the dividend declared in fiscal year Q3 of the previous year. Management linked the decision to growth in operating cash flows, earnings, and taxable income, alongside raising the fiscal year 2026 funds from operations guidance range to $1.83–$1.84 per share. Management explained that dividends equal 100% of taxable operating income, making their growth dependent on continued growth in distributable earnings.

Does the convertible note issuance weaken Kimco's balance sheet?

Kimco issued $600 million of convertible senior notes with a 3.5% coupon, due in 2031, and an initial conversion price of approximately $32.36 per share. The company used part of the structure to repurchase approximately 4.1 million common shares for $104.7 million to reduce potential dilution. It ended fiscal year 2026 Q2 with total liquidity of $2.7 billion, including $700 million in cash, and consolidated net debt to earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization of 5.2 times. It intends to use a significant portion of the cash to cover 2026 debt maturities, while potential conversion and refinancing risks remain factors to monitor.

What are the main tenant risks in KIM's portfolio?

Painted Tree lease rejections negatively affected total occupancy by 16 basis points and anchor occupancy by 23 basis points during fiscal year 2026 Q2. First-half comparisons also followed a wave of bankruptcies that included Party City, JOANN, and Big Lots in fiscal year 2025. In contrast, quarterly credit losses improved to 57 basis points and were 54 basis points since the beginning of fiscal year 2026. The company balances this risk by diversifying tenants and adding names such as Uniqlo, Teso Life, and Lowes Food to its portfolio.