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Home
Stocks
KB Home
KBH

KBH KB Home

KB Home · NYSE
Market Closed
49.16
▲ ⁦+2.95%⁩ (+1.41)
Market Cap$3.0B
Beta1.34
52w Low52w High
44.0368.41
Last Week
⁦-5.61%⁩
Last Month
⁦-14.84%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-5.75%⁩
Last Year
⁦-25.42%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall37
Weak — below market medianValue TrapF 4/9SafeBetter than 37% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
85
11.8x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
7
-17.5%▼7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
44
4.3%▼4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
59
4.7x▼2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
68
2.03%▼2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
25
-16.7%▼2.9%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
42
11▲3Around median
Fair Value
Current price$49
Analyst target · 4 analysts
$57
⁦+16%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$50–$66⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$37
⁦-24%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦10.3⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$37–$57⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 4 analysts setting price target
$58.80
⁦+19.6%⁩
Current Price $49.16·Median $57.00
Low
$50.00
High
$66.00
Current price
$49.16
Average target
$58.80
Street summary

Slight Decline in Consensus While Dispersion Remains High

KB Home’s consensus price target fell to 58.8 from 61 over the last 30 days, a decline of $2.2 or 3.61%, despite the number of analysts covered increasing from 3 to 4. Compared with the current price of 49.16, the consensus indicates upside potential, but the estimate range between $50 and $66 reflects clear dispersion; the median at $57 is below the consensus.

As of 2026-09-11
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-3.6%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.13
Hold
Analyst coverage
⁦15 (+1)⁩
New coverage
Buy conviction
20%
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
33%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time15 analysts rating
2
1
9
3
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.21 → 3.13
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-10
    Citigroup
    Market Outperform
  • = Reiterate2026-06-25
    Barclays
    Overweight
  • = Reiterate2026-06-24
    UBS
    Buy
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    11.85x
    4.56x36.49x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    11.58x
    3.79x30.29x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    12.48x
    2.75x22.03x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    11.9%
    -30.9%16.2%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    -17.5%
    -13.8%31.9%
    Weak
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -44.9%
    -156.9%135.6%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    16.9%
    12.0%66.5%
    Weak
  • ROIC
    4.3%
    -23.8%21.5%
    Above average
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    4.67x
    0.65x5.48x
    Near median
  • Dividend Yield
    2.0%
    0.1%5.9%
    Moderate
  • Payout Ratio
    23.8%
    8.9%99.8%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    3.16
    -2.656.14
    Above average
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-06-23 data

Company Overview

KB Home builds and sells homes across multiple U.S. markets and increasingly relies on the build-to-order BTO model, under which the buyer selects the lot, floor plan, and finishes before construction begins. This model creates a backlog of homes sold before foundations are laid and gives the company clearer visibility into price, cost, and delivery timing; KBHS Home Loan also supports the financing process and was used by 83% of buyers who financed their purchases in Q2 fiscal 2026. The company owned or controlled more than 59 thousand lots at the end of that quarter, and its growth markets included Seattle, Boise, and Charlotte, alongside a measured return to Atlanta and the opening of Meridian in Henderson with five product lines.

In Q2 fiscal 2026, ended May 31, 2026, housing revenues were $1.11 billion, down 27% year over year, while net income was $27.3 million and diluted earnings per share were $0.43, compared with $107.9 million and $1.50 in the corresponding period. KB Home delivered approximately 2.4 thousand homes, down 23%, and the average selling price declined 5% year over year to $462 thousand, while the housing gross profit margin was 15.2% compared with 19.3%, and the adjusted margin excluding inventory-related charges was 15.7% compared with 19.7%. Homebuilding operating income reached $28.2 million, with a margin of 2.5%, compared with $131.5 million and a margin of 8.6% a year earlier.

The business mix shifted clearly toward BTO: this model represented 73% of 3.32 thousand net orders and 60% of deliveries in Q2 fiscal 2026, and management is targeting its share to reach approximately 70% of deliveries in Q4 fiscal 2026. Backlog totaled 4.53 thousand homes, up 26% sequentially, and 77% of the 3.99 thousand homes under construction were sold, while completed unsold inventory declined to 11% of total production compared with 25% in Q1 fiscal 2026. EDGAR figures for fiscal 2025 show revenues of $6.2 billion, net income of $428.8 million, and earnings per share of $6.15, while figures for the trailing twelve months ending during fiscal 2026 declined to revenues of $5.5 billion, net income of $272.1 million, and earnings per share of approximately $4.34.

What's Driving the Stock

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • The shift to BTO is the most prominent operating driver: it accounted for 73% of net orders in Q2 fiscal 2026, and management says its gross margin is typically about four percentage points higher than sales of homes built for inventory within the same community and product.
  • Backlog increased to 4.53 thousand homes at the end of Q2 fiscal 2026, up 26% sequentially and 45% since the beginning of fiscal 2026, and more than 80% of expected Q3 fiscal 2026 deliveries were already in that backlog.
  • KB Home expects to deliver 2.6–2.8 thousand homes and generate housing revenues between $1.2 and $1.35 billion in Q3 fiscal 2026, with a housing gross margin between 16.0% and 16.6% before inventory-related charges; it also expects to deliver 10.5–11 thousand homes and generate housing revenues between $4.9 and $5.3 billion in fiscal 2026.
  • The construction time for BTO homes declined by eight days sequentially to 100 days in Q2 fiscal 2026, the company’s best level in more than a decade, enabling it to sell homes during the summer and deliver them before the end of the same fiscal year while improving cost leverage.
  • The number of active communities reached 280 at the end of Q2 fiscal 2026, up 11% year over year, but management expects it to decline to 270–280 at the end of Q3. Conversely, higher-priced, higher-margin Northern California communities are expected to support the delivery mix in the second half of fiscal 2026, while the company plans to open its first community in Atlanta in early fiscal 2027.
  • The company returned more than $90 million to shareholders in Q2 fiscal 2026, including the repurchase of 1.4 million shares for $75 million and dividends of approximately $15 million, and plans to repurchase $50–100 million of shares in Q3 fiscal 2026. Book value per share was approximately $62, with $775 million remaining under the board’s repurchase authorization.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +KB Home’s shift to the BTO model could improve earnings quality because 73% of net orders in Q2 fiscal 2026 were build-to-order and because management measures a margin advantage of approximately four percentage points for BTO compared with homes built for inventory.
  • +The backlog of 4.53 thousand homes provides greater delivery visibility, particularly because 77% of homes under construction were sold and more than 80% of Q3 fiscal 2026 deliveries were in backlog at the end of Q2.
  • +Operating efficiency supports the potential for margin improvement, as BTO construction time declined to 100 days, and management expects the adjusted gross margin to rise from 15.7% in Q2 fiscal 2026 to a range of 16.0%–16.6% in Q3, followed by further improvement in Q4.
  • +The company has financial flexibility to invest and return capital, with total liquidity of $1.12 billion and no debt maturities before June 2027; in Q2 fiscal 2026, it invested approximately $500 million in land and returned more than $90 million to shareholders.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

  • −Housing demand remains exposed to affordability pressures, high mortgage rates, and weak consumer confidence; the absorption rate was four net orders per community per month in Q2 fiscal 2026, and the company had to adjust prices in certain communities during April 2026 to improve affordability.
  • −Financial activity declined sharply in Q2 fiscal 2026: housing revenues fell 27%, deliveries declined 23%, and the average selling price decreased 5% year over year, while net income dropped to $27.3 million from $107.9 million and earnings per share fell to $0.43 from $1.50.
  • −Profitability faced substantial pressure, as the housing gross profit margin declined to 15.2% from 19.3%, and the homebuilding operating margin fell to 2.5% from 8.6% in Q2 fiscal 2026 due to pricing pressure, the higher relative cost of land, and weaker operating leverage. Even the expected fiscal 2026 range of 16.1%–16.5% before inventory-related charges remains contingent on higher volume, a greater BTO mix, and an improved West Coast mix.
  • −Additional cost and tax-regulatory pressures emerged in fiscal 2026, including higher lumber costs, expenses related to the planned headquarters relocation to Tempe in 2027, and the expiration of energy tax credits for homes delivered after June 30, 2026. The company also recorded inventory-related charges of $5.6 million in Q2, including a $3.1 million impairment associated with one community.
  • −A shrinking land position could limit community growth if the company does not find deals that meet its targeted returns; analysts noted on the call that the lot count had declined by more than 20% from its peak four to five quarters earlier, while management said the land market had not yet adjusted sufficiently to add lots at scale in most markets. The company already expects the number of active communities to decline from 280 at the end of Q2 to a range of 270–280 at the end of Q3 fiscal 2026.
  • −Insider transactions provide a weak negative trading signal rather than independent operating evidence, as their net sales totaled $16.7 million during the three months ended August 6, 2026, with eight sales and no purchases. Insider sales may have been prearranged, and the data do not clarify whether these transactions were executed under predetermined plans.

Valuation

The analyst consensus on KBH is Neutral, with an average price target of $61 and a range between $56 and $66; the average is below the 52-week range high of $68.71 and above its low of $44.03. The data do not provide a published price-to-earnings ratio, but the decline in earnings per share from $6.15 in fiscal 2025 to approximately $4.34 during the latest trailing twelve-month period in fiscal 2026, alongside lower revenues and margins, explains the need to balance the analyst target against the risk of an earnings revaluation. The narrow target range between $56 and $66 and the Neutral consensus also reflect the market’s wait for evidence that the expected improvement in margins and deliveries in the second half of fiscal 2026 will materialize.

HoldAnalyst target: $61(+24.1%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-31; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What distinguishes KB Home’s build-to-order BTO model?

The BTO model allows the buyer to select the lot, floor plan, and finishes before construction begins, giving the home personalized value specific to the buyer. In Q2 fiscal 2026, BTO represented approximately 73% of 3.32 thousand net orders and 60% of deliveries. Management said the gross margin difference between BTO and homes built for inventory is typically approximately four percentage points, even within the same community and product. The company is targeting BTO to reach approximately 70% of deliveries in Q4 fiscal 2026.

Why did KB Home’s earnings decline in Q2 fiscal 2026?

Housing revenues declined 27% year over year to $1.11 billion due to a 23% decrease in the number of homes delivered and a 5% decline in the average selling price. The housing gross profit margin also declined to 15.2% from 19.3% due to pricing pressure, the higher relative cost of land, and weaker operating leverage. As a result, net income fell to $27.3 million from $107.9 million, and diluted earnings per share declined to $0.43 from $1.50. The company also recorded inventory-related charges of $5.6 million, including $3.1 million for the impairment of one community.

What is KB Home’s outlook for the remainder of fiscal 2026?

The company expects to deliver 2.6–2.8 thousand homes and generate housing revenues between $1.2 and $1.35 billion in Q3 fiscal 2026. It expects a housing gross margin between 16.0% and 16.6% before inventory-related charges, compared with an adjusted margin of 15.7% in Q2. For fiscal 2026, it expects to deliver 10.5–11 thousand homes, generate housing revenues between $4.9 and $5.3 billion, and achieve a gross margin between 16.1% and 16.5%. These expectations depend on higher volume, an increased BTO mix, and the contribution of higher-priced, higher-margin Northern California communities.

Do KB Home customers have the credit capacity to complete their home purchases?

KBHS Home Loan data for Q2 fiscal 2026 showed an average FICO score of 741 and average household income of approximately $136 thousand. The average cash down payment was 15%, or approximately $70 thousand, and 83% of financed buyers used the KBHS joint venture. Approximately half of customers were buying their first home, while cash buyers represented approximately 8% of deliveries. The cancellation rate remained stable, which management described as a reflection of buyers’ commitment and ability to close.

How do land and communities support KB Home’s growth?

The company owned or controlled more than 59 thousand lots at the end of Q2 fiscal 2026, with 38% of them controlled rather than directly owned. The number of active communities reached 280, up 11% year over year, after the company opened more than 70 communities during the first half of fiscal 2026. The company opened Meridian in Henderson with five product lines and plans to open Sandstone in North Las Vegas with four lines during fiscal 2026, while its first community in Atlanta is targeted to open in early fiscal 2027. However, management expects the community count to decline to 270–280 at the end of Q3 fiscal 2026 depending on the pace at which existing communities sell out.

What is KB Home’s position regarding liquidity, debt, and share repurchases?

KB Home ended Q2 fiscal 2026 with total liquidity of $1.12 billion, including $200 million in cash and $923 million available under an unsecured credit facility, with outstanding cash borrowings of $275 million. The debt-to-capital ratio was 34.1% compared with 30.3% at the end of fiscal 2025, and there are no debt maturities before June 2027. The company repurchased 1.4 million shares for $75 million during the quarter, bringing total repurchases since the beginning of fiscal 2026 to 2.2 million shares for $125 million. It also paid dividends of approximately $15 million and plans to repurchase $50–100 million of shares in Q3 fiscal 2026.