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Stocks
JetBlue Airways Corporation
JBLU

JBLU JetBlue Airways Corporation

JetBlue Airways Corporation · NASDAQ
Market Closed
4.40
▲ ⁦+0.23%⁩ (+0.01)
Market Cap$1.7B
Beta1.74
52w Low52w High
3.876.62
Last Week
⁦-5.17%⁩
Last Month
⁦-27.51%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-18.52%⁩
Last Year
⁦-16.19%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall9
Poor — bottom quartile of the marketSucker StockF 4/9DistressBetter than 9% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
34
—17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
28
4.0%▼7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
31
-3.6%▼4.5%Bottom tier
▸
Safety
25
53.7x▼2.6xBottom tier
▸
Capital Return
92
—2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
34
15.1%▲2.9%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
39
11▲3Bottom tier
Fair Value
Current price$4.40
Analyst target · 5 analysts
$6.00
⁦+36%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$4.50–$8.00⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
N/A (negative FCF)

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 5 analysts setting price target
$6.11
⁦+38.9%⁩
Current Price $4.40·Median $6.00
Low
$4.50
High
$8.00
Current price
$4.40
Average target
$6.11
Street summary

Slight Decline in Consensus Amid Rising Uncertainty

The average price target fell to 6.11 from 6.29 over one day and seven days, and to 6.11 from 6.39 over 30 days, a decline of 2.86% and 4.38%, respectively. At the same time, the number of analysts decreased from 7 to 5, making the comparison less consistent and indicating reduced consensus clarity. The current target range is between 4.5 and 8, with a median of 6, compared with the current price of 4.4.

As of 2026-09-11
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-4.4%⁩
Average rating
★ 2.41
Sell
Analyst coverage
⁦17 (-2)⁩
Buy conviction
0%
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 1↓
Target dispersion
80%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time17 analysts rating
10
4
3
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months2.65 → 2.41
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-10
    Goldman Sachs
    Sell
  • = Reiterate2026-08-24
    TD Cowen
    Hold
  • ⬇ Downgrade2026-08-17
    Seaport Global
    BuyNeutral
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    —
    —
  • Forward P/E
    —
    —
  • EV / EBITDA
    67.58x
    3.43x27.47x
    Very expensive
  • FCF Yield
    -68.0%
    -32.7%11.5%
    Weak
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    4.0%
    -10.7%43.4%
    Below average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -125.5%
    -128.3%132.7%
    Weak
  • Gross Margin
    46.8%
    8.6%54.6%
    Strong
  • ROIC
    -3.6%
    -25.3%19.6%
    Near median
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    53.72x
    0.55x4.37x
    Financial risk
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    0.45
    -5.667.97
    Near median
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-28 data

Company Overview

JetBlue Airways Corporation operates an airline network focused on leisure travel, particularly from New York, New England, and South Florida to Florida, the Caribbean, and Latin America. Its commercial engine relies on selling main cabin tickets and generating higher yields from the premium Mint and EvenMore products, alongside the TrueBlue loyalty program, co-branded credit cards, and travel services through JetBlue Vacations, TrueBlue Travel, and the Paisly platform. The company is refocusing its network under the JetForward plan, directing net capacity growth in the second half of fiscal year 2026 to Fort Lauderdale.

In quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026, revenue reached $2.7 billion and the net loss was $247 million, equivalent to a loss of $0.66 per share and an approximate negative net margin of 9.1%. Compared with quarter 1 of fiscal year 2026, revenue increased from $2.2 billion and the loss declined from $319 million, but the company remained far from profitability. Revenue per available seat mile increased 10.9% year over year, driven by demand for Mint and EvenMore, improvement in the main cabin, and higher fares without evidence of material demand elasticity, according to management.

On a latest-twelve-month basis in fiscal year 2026, the latest data recorded revenue of $9.5 billion, a net loss of $886 million, and a loss of approximately $2.36 per share, compared with revenue of $9.1 billion and a net loss of $602 million in fiscal year 2025. This shows that revenue improvement has not yet translated into net profit. In quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026, unit cost excluding fuel increased only 2.4%, while pricing and capacity actions recovered approximately 50% of the increase in fuel costs.

What's Driving the Stock

  • JetBlue expects quarter 3 of fiscal year 2026 capacity growth of between 3% and 6% and year-over-year revenue per available seat mile growth of between 12.5% and 16.5%, after it increased 10.9% in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • JetForward generated an incremental earnings-before-interest-and-taxes benefit of $165 million during the first half of fiscal year 2026, raising the cumulative benefit to $470 million, and management is targeting a benefit of at least $310 million during fiscal year 2026 and between $850 million and $950 million by the end of fiscal year 2027.
  • Revenue per available seat mile in Fort Lauderdale increased 11% in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026 despite capacity growth of approximately 40%, and the company expects to operate more than 150 daily flights from the airport by the end of 2026 or the beginning of 2027.
  • The updated premium card and BlueHouse benefits supported approximately 40% growth in new card acquisition and a 21% increase in loyalty revenue during quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026; in South Florida, new TrueBlue memberships increased 44%, and growth in co-branded card acquisition exceeded 100%.
  • BlueFirst represents the largest single initiative within JetForward, and management expects it to add approximately five percentage points to revenue per available seat mile when it reaches full capacity. The majority of fleet modifications are planned for completion by the end of 2027, while management expects the full contribution to emerge gradually in 2028 and beyond.
  • The company reinstated its fiscal year 2026 guidance, targeting revenue per available seat mile growth of between 10% and 12.5% and capacity growth of between 1.5% and 3.5%, with a negative operating margin ranging from 2% to 5%. It is also targeting earnings per share of at least $1 in fiscal year 2028, assuming jet fuel averages $3 per gallon and demand remains strong.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +JetForward provides quantitative evidence of operational improvement, with cumulative earnings-before-interest-and-taxes benefits reaching $470 million through the end of the first half of fiscal year 2026, with a target of approximately $1.2 billion annually by fiscal year 2028.
    • +The Fort Lauderdale expansion demonstrated a strong ability to absorb new capacity; revenue per available seat mile increased 11% despite an approximately 40% capacity increase in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026, alongside expanded connectivity to the Caribbean and Latin America.
    • +Growth in TrueBlue and co-branded cards provides an additional commercial revenue source beyond ticket prices, following a 21% increase in loyalty revenue and approximately 40% growth in new card acquisition in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026.
    • +BlueFirst, Blue Sky, and Paisly could gradually expand the company's margins; management estimates BlueFirst's impact at approximately five percentage points of revenue per available seat mile growth at full capacity, while its targets include no benefit from additional Paisly partners other than United.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −JetBlue remains materially unprofitable; the net loss reached $247 million in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026 and $886 million during the latest twelve months, while management expects a negative operating margin of between 2% and 5% for fiscal year 2026.
    • −The recovery plan remains sensitive to fuel and demand; the target of at least $1 in earnings per share in fiscal year 2028 was based on continued strong demand and average jet fuel of $3 per gallon, while the fuel assumption for fiscal year 2026 was approximately $3.49 per gallon.
    • −Returning to profitability requires substantial financing and investment before positive free cash flow is achieved; the company expects capital expenditures of approximately $850 million in fiscal year 2026 and completed $500 million in aircraft-secured financing at an average interest rate of 6.5%, with an average total debt cost of 6.8%.
    • −Net capacity growth in the second half of fiscal year 2026 is entirely concentrated in Fort Lauderdale, while capacity in the rest of the network declines year over year; this increases the recovery's dependence on continued strong demand and successful expansion in a single market, with constraints on international arrival facilities at the airport.
    • −Operational execution remains exposed to weather and air traffic control constraints; management described July 2026 as difficult because of storms and air traffic control staffing constraints, while the quarter 3 fiscal year 2026 guidance assumes the flight completion rate returns to historical levels during the remainder of the quarter.
    • −Insider activity during the three months ending with the latest transaction on July 30, 2026, recorded net sales of 456,449 shares across three sales and no purchases. This is a weak trading signal on its own because such sales may be prearranged unless otherwise stated.

    Valuation

    Analyst consensus is neutral, with an average price target of $6.39 and a wide range of $4.50 to $8, reflecting substantial divergence in estimates of the likelihood of a successful turnaround. The average target is close to the upper end of the 52-week range of $6.62, while the highest target exceeds that range and the lowest target is close to its low of $3.87. No valid price-to-earnings multiple is available because of the losses, so the valuation primarily depends on JetBlue's ability to transition from a loss of $886 million during the latest twelve months to sustainable operating profitability in fiscal year 2027 and earnings per share of at least $1 in fiscal year 2028.

    HoldAnalyst target: $6.39(+45.2%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-01; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    Why did JetBlue remain unprofitable despite revenue growth in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026?

    Revenue reached $2.7 billion in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026, but the company recorded a net loss of $247 million and a loss of $0.66 per share. Unit cost excluding fuel increased 2.4% year over year, and the company also faced high fuel prices, weather disruptions, and airspace constraints. Pricing and capacity actions recovered approximately 50% of the increase in fuel costs, but this was not sufficient to generate a net profit.

    What could return JetBlue to profitability?

    The plan depends on JetForward initiatives that generated $165 million in incremental earnings before interest and taxes in the first half of fiscal year 2026, raising the cumulative benefit to $470 million. The company is targeting a benefit of between $850 million and $950 million by the end of fiscal year 2027 and approximately $1.2 billion in fiscal year 2028. The drivers include BlueFirst, Blue Sky, improved revenue management, and cost reductions through digital tools, data science, and technology infrastructure modernization.

    How important is Fort Lauderdale to JBLU's strategy?

    Revenue per available seat mile in Fort Lauderdale increased 11% in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026 despite capacity growth of approximately 40%. JetBlue expects to exceed 150 daily flights from the airport by the end of 2026 or the beginning of 2027, with improved connectivity to the Caribbean and Central and South America. In South Florida, new TrueBlue memberships increased 44%, while co-branded card acquisitions more than doubled year over year.

    When could BlueFirst's impact appear in JetBlue's results?

    Management describes BlueFirst as the largest single initiative within JetForward and estimates its impact at full capacity at approximately five percentage points of revenue per available seat mile growth. The majority of aircraft modifications are scheduled for completion by the end of 2027, followed by completion of the rest of the fleet around the early part of 2028. Management said the impact in quarter 4 of fiscal year 2026 would be minimal and that reaching the full run rate is likely in late 2028 or during 2029.

    Does JetBlue have sufficient liquidity to execute its plan?

    JetBlue ended quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026 with cash and investment securities valued at $2.2 billion, equivalent to approximately 23% of latest-twelve-month revenue, in addition to an undrawn credit facility of $600 million. It completed $500 million in aircraft-secured financing at an average interest rate of 6.5%, with a $250 million expansion option on the same terms. In contrast, it expects capital expenditures of approximately $850 million in fiscal year 2026, so financing needs will remain tied to the trajectory of fuel and cash flow.