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Stocks
Independence Realty Trust, Inc.
IRT

IRT Independence Realty Trust, Inc.

Independence Realty Trust, Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
15.19
▼ ⁦-0.26%⁩ (-0.04)
Market Cap$3.6B
Beta0.95
52w Low52w High
14.6018.18
Last Week
⁦-6.92%⁩
Last Month
⁦-9.21%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-4.10%⁩
Last Year
⁦-16.12%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall27
Weak — below market medianSucker StockF 6/9DistressBetter than 27% of Market stocks, per EL7's modelUnsustainable dividend (payout > 100%)
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
21
84.4x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
50
3.5%▼7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
38
2.0%▼4.5%Bottom tier
▸
Safety
42
6.3x▼2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
62
4.54%▲2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
38
-3.4%▼2.9%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
63
33Around median
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$15
Analyst target · 1 analysts
$19
⁦+25%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$19–$20⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$-1.81
⁦-112%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦8.6⁩% discount · ⁦1⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$-1.81–$19⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Monthly plan
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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 1 analysts setting price target
$19.33
⁦+27.3%⁩
Current Price $15.19·Median $19.00
Low
$19.00
High
$20.00
Current price
$15.19
Average target
$19.33
Street summary

Stable Targets with Limited Positive Support

Bullish tilt

The consensus price target remained stable at 19.33 with no change over the past day, 7 days, or 30 days, while the number of analysts remained at one. This indicates an absence of recent target revisions, while the 19–20 range reflects the apparently limited dispersion, although caution is warranted because the coverage base is very small compared with the number of analysts participating in some revenue and earnings estimates.

As of 2026-09-10
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.00
Buy
Analyst coverage
14
Buy conviction
79%
High
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
7%
Analyst ratings over time14 analysts rating
3
8
3
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.86 → 4.00
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-10
    Citigroup
    Market Outperform
  • = Reiterate2026-08-05
    RBC Capital
    Outperform
  • ⬆ Upgrade2026-07-14
    Barclays
    Overweight
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Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    84.39x
    5.03x40.26x
    Expensive
  • Forward P/E
    105.49x
    5.89x47.13x
    Very expensive
  • EV / EBITDA
    16.06x
    3.68x29.40x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    3.6%
    -23.1%16.7%
    Above average
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    3.5%
    -14.0%37.7%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    63.6%
    -121.8%181.8%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    -53.1%
    -5.0%81.8%
    Weak
  • ROIC
    2.0%
    -4.2%9.5%
    Near median
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    6.34x
    1.55x12.39x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    4.5%
    0.6%15.6%
    Moderate
  • Payout Ratio
    370.0%
    31.2%370.0%
    High
  • Altman Z-Score
    0.84
    -0.883.10
    Near median
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-04 data

Company Overview

Independence Realty Trust is a real estate investment trust focused on multifamily residential communities in Sun Belt and Midwest markets, generating revenue primarily from residential unit rents, along with other property revenue. It supports its model through unit renovations and community repositioning; renovated units are intended to compete with newer properties at a lower price, and renovations achieved a 16% return on investment in the first half of fiscal 2026. The company also added a community WiFi program as a new revenue source, launching it in 19 communities during May and June 2026 before the full rollout in July.

In the second quarter of fiscal 2026, IRT recorded revenue of $167.2 million, net income of $3.4 million, and earnings per share of $0.01, compared with revenue of $165.3 million and a net loss of $68 thousand in the first quarter of fiscal 2026. Core FFO per share was $0.28, while same-store net operating income grew 1.2% and same-store revenue grew 0.9%, with other property revenue leading growth with a 7.3% increase. The available EDGAR data did not include a figure for gross profit or its margin, but same-store operating expenses increased only 0.5%, and average occupancy was 95%.

During the twelve-month period ended in 2026, revenue was $666.8 million, net income was $43.5 million, and earnings per share were approximately $0.184, compared with revenue of $657.7 million, net income of $56.6 million, and earnings per share of $0.24 in fiscal 2025. Operationally, the pricing mix varied geographically in the second quarter of fiscal 2026: new lease spreads were 2.3% in the Midwest, negative 3.8% in the Sun Belt, and negative 3.2% in the West. Meanwhile, renewal spreads increased to 4.1%, lifting blended same-store lease growth to 1.3%.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Improving pricing is the most prominent operating driver: same-store new lease spreads moved from negative 3.9% in the first quarter to negative 2.7% in the second quarter of fiscal 2026, then to negative 1.1% in July 2026 and became slightly positive after 65% of expected August 2026 activity had been signed.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • Demand is accelerating, with prospective customers up 5% year over year during 2026 and the increase reaching approximately 20%–25% in July 2026, while the percentage of new leases accompanied by concessions declined from approximately 52% in March and April to 23% in July. In Atlanta specifically, concession use declined from 60%–70% in March and April to approximately 17% in July, and new lease spreads shifted from negative 3.4% in the second quarter to positive 2% in July.
  • The WiFi program contributed approximately $400 thousand in incremental revenue in the second quarter of fiscal 2026, and the company is targeting $5 million to $5.5 million in 2026 revenue from it and approximately $3 million in net operating income. Penetration was approximately 70% in July 2026, and management expects it to reach 80%–85% by the end of fiscal 2026, with an addition of at least $0.01 to Core FFO per share in fiscal 2027.
  • IRT raised the midpoint of its fiscal 2026 same-store net operating income growth guidance by 70 basis points to 1.5%, equivalent to an additional $2.5 million, and maintained its same-store revenue growth guidance at 1.7%. According to management, 87% of the year's revenue growth has been achieved or contracted, while the remaining leases need blended spreads of 1.6% or better to achieve the guidance.
  • The company completed 1,026 renovated units during the first half of fiscal 2026 at a 16% return and is on track for a range of 2,000–2,500 units during the year. Unit renovation time declined from 30–35 days at the program's launch to less than 20 days, enabling management to target increasing future volume to 3,000–4,000 units annually without the same pressure on occupancy.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +The pricing recovery has become visible across a larger number of markets; the number of markets with positive new lease spreads increased from 7 in the second quarter of fiscal 2026 to 11 in July and 13 as of the August 4, 2026 call, while occupancy remained stable at 95%.
    • +The WiFi program provides a defined and measurable growth path, with an expected $5 million to $5.5 million in revenue and approximately $3 million in net operating income in fiscal 2026, followed by an additional contribution of at least $0.01 to Core FFO per share in fiscal 2027.
    • +The renovation program is generating high returns of 16% in the first half of fiscal 2026, and according to management, renovated units increased same-store net operating income by more than 20% annually through a combination of rent premiums and lower maintenance and unit preparation costs.
    • +Financial discipline improved, with the midpoint of expected fiscal 2026 operating expense growth reduced from 3.4% to 2%, while Fitch revised the outlook in June 2026 from stable to positive, and both Fitch and S&P affirmed the BBB rating.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −The Tisdale at Lakeline Station remains weaker than the original assumptions; its average occupancy was 36% in the second quarter of fiscal 2026 and then 42% in July 2026, while pricing came in below initial underwriting assumptions with greater use of concessions, reducing the forecast for non-same-store net operating income.
    • −Pricing remains fragile in parts of the portfolio despite the improvement; Sun Belt communities recorded new lease spreads of negative 3.8% in the second quarter of fiscal 2026, and concession use in July was approximately 40%–42% in Dallas and approximately 40% in Tampa. Management's guidance also assumes that new lease spreads will remain near negative 0.5% through the end of fiscal 2026 due to seasonality.
    • −The increase in same-store net operating income guidance did not translate into an increase in Core FFO per share guidance, as its midpoint remained at $1.14 after the improvement was offset by a $2 million increase in interest expense and a $2 million decline in non-same-store net operating income. The higher interest expense reflects the sensitivity of results to SOFR rates and temporary debt levels, despite the target of reducing net debt to EBITDA to the mid-5x range by the end of fiscal 2026.
    • −Accounting net income remains weak relative to revenue: the second quarter of fiscal 2026 recorded net income of only $3.4 million on revenue of $167.2 million, while net income for the twelve-month period ended in 2026 declined to $43.5 million from a previous reading of $48.1 million and was $56.6 million in fiscal 2025.
    • −Competition from new communities and the concessions associated with them could constrain rent premiums and renovation returns; management stated that new construction in prior years had already pressured premiums on renovated units, and concession rates remain high in Dallas and Tampa despite the decline in new supply.
    • −No usable price-to-earnings ratio is available, while the narrow range of analyst targets is between $19 and $20, close to the upper end of the 52-week range of $18.18; this makes the positive valuation case heavily dependent on the realization of the rent recovery and fiscal 2026 guidance. Insiders also recorded three sales totaling a net 24,800 shares over the three months through the latest transaction on August 3, 2026, with no purchases, but this is a weak standalone signal because the context does not specify whether the sales were prearranged.

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus is Buy, with an average target of $19.33 and a narrow range between $19 and $20; the average is approximately 6.3% above the top of the 52-week range of $18.18, while the year's range extends from $14.60 to $18.18. No comparable price-to-earnings ratio is available, so IRT's valuation depends more clearly on Core FFO, the stability of its guidance at $1.14 per share for fiscal 2026, and the company's ability to convert improving rents and the WiFi program into sustainable growth despite higher interest expense and weakness at The Tisdale.

    BuyAnalyst target: $19.33(+27.3%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-31; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What drove IRT's results in the second quarter of fiscal 2026?

    Revenue was $167.2 million, net income was $3.4 million, and earnings per share were $0.01, while Core FFO per share reached $0.28. Same-store net operating income grew 1.2%, exceeding the original guidance midpoint of 0.8%, supported by 0.9% same-store revenue growth and a 7.3% increase in other property revenue. Bad debt also declined to 1.1% of revenue from 1.3% a year earlier, while same-store operating expenses increased only 0.5%.

    Did IRT's rents actually recover in fiscal 2026?

    The data show a gradual improvement, but the recovery was not even across all markets. Same-store new lease spreads improved from negative 3.9% in the first quarter to negative 2.7% in the second quarter of fiscal 2026, then to negative 1.1% in July and became slightly positive in August activity that was 65% completed. Meanwhile, Sun Belt spreads remained at negative 3.8% in the second quarter, while the Midwest recorded positive 2.3%, and the West shifted to positive 0.2% in July after negative 3.2% in the quarter.

    How much could the WiFi program add to IRT's results?

    The program contributed approximately $400 thousand in revenue in the second quarter of fiscal 2026 after launching in 19 communities in May and June. Management is targeting $5 million to $5.5 million in program revenue and approximately $3 million in net operating income during fiscal 2026. Penetration reached 70% in July, with expectations that it will reach 80%–85% by year-end, followed by an addition of at least $0.01 to Core FFO per share in fiscal 2027.

    How important is the unit renovation program to IRT's growth story?

    IRT completed 1,026 units in the first half of fiscal 2026 and is targeting the completion of 2,000–2,500 units during the year at a realized return of 16%. The company reduced unit completion time from 30–35 days to less than 20 days, reducing the program's impact on occupancy. Management believes this efficiency could enable volume to increase to 3,000–4,000 units annually, while renovated units generated more than 20% annual growth in same-store net operating income, according to the call.

    What are the main obstacles to achieving IRT's fiscal 2026 guidance?

    The company needs to achieve blended rent spreads of 1.6% or better on the remaining half of second-half leases, even though 87% of the year's revenue growth has been achieved or contracted. It also raised interest expense guidance by $2 million due to higher SOFR and temporary debt levels, which helped keep the midpoint of Core FFO guidance at $1.14 per share. The Tisdale adds execution risk after its occupancy reached 36% in the second quarter and 42% in July 2026, with stabilization expected in the first quarter of fiscal 2027.

    What do IRT's leverage and credit ratings look like?

    The company intends to use the proceeds from the sale of Stonebridge Crossing in Memphis to reduce debt and expects to end fiscal 2026 with a net debt-to-EBITDA ratio in the mid-5x range. In June 2026, Fitch revised its outlook from stable to positive, and both Fitch and S&P affirmed the BBB rating. However, management raised the midpoint of interest expense guidance by $2 million, showing that financing costs remain a meaningful factor in Core FFO growth.