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Stocks
IonQ, Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall7
Poor — bottom quartile of the marketSucker StockF 3/9Better than 7% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
16
—17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
78
370.6%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
18
-42.0%▼4.5%Bottom tier
▸
Safety
30
—2.6xBottom tier
▸
Capital Return
40
—2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
36
2.7%▼2.9%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
45
6▲3Around median
IONQ

IONQ IonQ, Inc.

IonQ, Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
36.75
▼ ⁦-0.24%⁩ (-0.09)
Market Cap$13.7B
Beta3.30
52w Low52w High
25.8984.64
Last Week
⁦-2.36%⁩
Last Month
⁦-17.29%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-47.60%⁩
Last Year
⁦-9.82%⁩
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$37
Analyst target · 3 analysts
$61
⁦+66%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$49–$80⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
N/A (negative FCF)

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 3 analysts setting price target
$62.75
⁦+70.7%⁩
Current Price $36.75·Median $61.00
Low
$49.00
High
$80.00
Current price
$36.75
Average target
$62.75
Street summary

Slight decline in IonQ’s average target amid widening dispersion

IonQ’s average price target fell to 62.75, compared with 64.67 7 days ago and 64.75 30 days ago, representing declines of 2.97% and 3.09%, respectively. Meanwhile, the average remained unchanged over the last day, while the number of analysts included fell from 5 to 3 in the 7-day comparison, making the current comparison less comprehensive in terms of coverage. Current targets range from 49 to 80, with a median of 61, reflecting clear dispersion in estimates.

As of 2026-09-10
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-3.1%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.92
Buy
Analyst coverage
13
Buy conviction
85%
High
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
84%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time13 analysts rating
1
10
2
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.86 → 3.92
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-09
    Jefferies
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-09-09
    Cantor Fitzgerald
    Overweight
  • = Reiterate2026-09-09
    B. Riley
    Buy
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    —
    —
  • Forward P/E
    —
    —
  • EV / EBITDA
    18.06x
    4.52x36.15x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    -3.4%
    -54.8%10.8%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    370.6%
    -18.1%66.5%
    Exceptional
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -96.6%
    -155.3%193.7%
    Below average
  • Gross Margin
    36.3%
    12.9%79.5%
    Near median
  • ROIC
    -42.0%
    -63.6%26.5%
    Below average
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-05 data

Company Overview

IonQ is developing an integrated quantum platform encompassing quantum computing, quantum networking, security, and sensing, alongside atomic clocks and space-based optical communications. The company generates revenue from sales of complete computing systems and subsystems, quantum computing as a service QCaaS, application development, and networking, security, and sensing products; following the completion of its acquisition of SkyWater Technology on July 31, 2026, it added semiconductor design, manufacturing, and packaging to its value chain. In fiscal Q2 2026, 60% of revenue came from commercial customers unaffiliated with the U.S. government, approximately 50% from international customers, while multi-product sales represented roughly 25% of revenue.

IonQ reported revenue of $80.1 million in fiscal Q2 2026, up 287% year over year and approximately 20% above the company’s guidance, marking its fifth consecutive record quarter. Organic growth reached 132%, with deployments of fifth-generation Tempo systems at KISTI in South Korea and QuantumBasel in Switzerland serving as the largest drivers of the outperformance, while multi-product sales rose 40% year over year. The data did not include gross margin, but operating profitability remained clearly negative: GAAP operating expenses were approximately $417.3 million, adjusted EBITDA loss was $120.3 million, and GAAP net loss was approximately $1.9 billion.

Management raised IonQ’s fiscal 2026 revenue guidance to a range of $280–290 million, while continuing to expect organic revenue growth of approximately 100%. Remaining performance obligations reached $485 million at the end of fiscal Q2 2026, compared with $470 million in the previous quarter and $122 million a year earlier, providing the company with contractual visibility extending to revenue, a portion of which will be recognized more than one year later. This guidance does not include the company’s consolidated results with SkyWater, as management explained that it needs to complete the integration and account for the elimination of intercompany transactions before issuing consolidated guidance.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Fiscal Q2 2026 revenue of $80.1 million exceeded the market estimate of $49.74 million and rose 287% year over year, prompting management to raise fiscal 2026 revenue guidance to $280–290 million.
  • The semiconductor-based computing roadmap advanced with the receipt of the first fully integrated quantum processing units QPUs from SkyWater and their testing at the College Park facility; IonQ targets bringing 256-qubit systems online in 2027, while work began on taping out a 10,000-qubit chip design for manufacturing.
  • Deployment of fifth-generation Tempo systems drove organic revenue growth of 132% year over year, with subsystem shipments beginning to KISTI and a new machine being assembled at QuantumBasel next to the fourth-generation machine the institution previously purchased.
  • Remaining performance obligations increased to $485 million at the end of fiscal Q2 2026 from $122 million a year earlier, despite a portion being converted into revenue during the quarter, indicating replenishment of the contracted business base.
  • The approximately $1.8 billion acquisition of SkyWater expanded IonQ’s ability to design, manufacture, and package chips within U.S. facilities, while the acquisition of Nexus Photonics added technologies for integrating lasers, modulators, and optical systems at the chip level.
  • The company supported its expansion in national security and communications through a new contract with DARPA, the launch of a QKD product that operates over existing municipal fiber networks, and the deployment of 84 Skyloom optical communications terminals in orbit, double the number recorded a year earlier.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +The 287% year-over-year revenue growth and 132% organic growth combine tangible expansion in Tempo system deployments with broader sales across computing, security, networking, and sensing, rather than reliance on only one product.
  • +Remaining performance obligations of $485 million provide much stronger forward visibility than the $122 million level a year earlier, while the memoranda of understanding with Anduril and Sandia have not yet been included in these obligations or fiscal 2026 guidance.
  • +The integration of SkyWater gives the company direct control over QPU design, manufacturing, and packaging, with a tangible result already evident in the receipt of the first fully integrated QPU prototypes and the start of testing in preparation for bringing 256-qubit systems online in 2027.
  • +The diversity of the revenue model supports expansion opportunities within each customer; multi-product sales grew 40% year over year and represented approximately 25% of quarterly revenue, alongside growth in QCaaS, which management described as a high-margin business.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The analyst consensus rates IONQ stock as “Buy,” with an average price target of $64.67 and a wide range between $49 and $75; the average is below the 52-week high of $84.64 and above the low of $25.89. A price-to-earnings ratio is unavailable for the stock, which is consistent with the operating loss and large net loss in fiscal Q2 2026, so the valuation depends heavily on achieving revenue guidance of $280–290 million and successfully integrating SkyWater. The breadth of the analyst target range and the 52-week trading range indicates substantial disagreement over the value of the 256- and 10,000-qubit roadmap relative to spending, execution, and share-issuance dilution risks.

BuyAnalyst target: $64.67(+76.0%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-29; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove IonQ’s revenue growth in fiscal Q2 2026?

Revenue reached $80.1 million, up 287% year over year and approximately 20% above the company’s guidance. The largest driver was the deployment of fifth-generation Tempo quantum computing systems, with shipments beginning to KISTI and a system being assembled at QuantumBasel. Organic revenue rose 132%, while multi-product sales grew 40% and represented approximately 25% of quarterly revenue.

How does the SkyWater acquisition change IonQ’s business model?

IonQ completed the transaction on July 31, 2026, for $741 million in cash and 24 million shares, for a total value of approximately $1.8 billion. The acquisition adds semiconductor design, manufacturing, and packaging capabilities, enabling the company to support IonQ’s roadmap and sell foundry services to other quantum companies. SkyWater generated revenue of $442 million in 2025, but as of the August 5, 2026 call, IonQ had not issued consolidated financial guidance for the two companies.

What is the status of IonQ’s quantum chip roadmap?

In fiscal Q2 2026, the company received the first fully integrated QPUs manufactured at SkyWater and began testing them at the College Park facility. IonQ targets bringing 256-qubit systems online in 2027, after previous prototypes demonstrated the quality metrics required for this chip. At the same time, the company began work on taping out a 10,000-qubit chip design for manufacturing, but it remains within the development and testing process.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • −The core operations continue to consume substantial cash; IonQ reported an adjusted EBITDA loss of $120.3 million and GAAP operating expenses of $417.3 million in fiscal Q2 2026, including $160.6 million for research and development.
  • −GAAP net loss reached approximately $1.9 billion in fiscal Q2 2026, of which approximately $1.6 billion was a non-cash impact from the revaluation of warrants, making net income and earnings per share volatile and limiting their usefulness in measuring operating performance.
  • −The integration of SkyWater involves clear accounting and operational risks; management has not yet issued consolidated guidance and expected IonQ’s annual spending with SkyWater to total approximately $120 million in fiscal 2026 before eliminating reciprocal revenue and costs between the two companies.
  • −The SkyWater acquisition included the payment of $741 million in cash and the issuance of 24 million shares, placing pressure on cash resources and diluting shareholder ownership, while the benefit of the $1.8 billion transaction depends on successful integration and converting foundry capabilities into commercial and technological acceleration.
  • −The growth roadmap depends on difficult technical execution, as the integrated QPUs are still being tested, and the company targets bringing 256-qubit systems online in 2027 while developing a 10,000-qubit chip; any delay in testing or manufacturing could postpone these programs’ transition to revenue.
  • −A conventional price-to-earnings ratio is unavailable for the stock, while the 52-week range extends from $25.89 to $84.64, reflecting high sensitivity to growth and execution expectations. Insiders also recorded three sales and no purchases during the three months ending with the latest transaction on June 18, 2026, for net sales of approximately $513.2 thousand, but these sales are a weak standalone signal because they may have been prearranged unless the data proves otherwise.
  • Does IonQ rely primarily on U.S. government contracts?

    No; 60% of fiscal Q2 2026 revenue came from commercial customers unaffiliated with the U.S. government. Approximately 50% of revenue also came from international customers, supported by system deployments at KISTI in South Korea and QuantumBasel in Switzerland. Nevertheless, national security programs remain important and include a new contract with DARPA and work with the U.S. Space Development Agency under the HALO Europa contract.

    Has IonQ become profitable?

    Fiscal Q2 2026 results do not reflect operating profitability; adjusted EBITDA loss was $120.3 million. The company recorded a GAAP net loss of approximately $1.9 billion, including an approximately $1.6 billion non-cash impact related to the revaluation of warrants. GAAP operating expenses were also approximately $417.3 million, including $160.6 million for research and development.

    What are the most important figures to monitor in IONQ’s next results?

    The first figure is IonQ’s revenue trajectory toward its fiscal 2026 guidance of $280–290 million, while continuing to target organic growth of approximately 100%. The second is the development of remaining performance obligations from the $485 million level recorded at the end of fiscal Q2 2026. Investors should also monitor consolidated guidance following SkyWater, the elimination of approximately $120 million in expected annual spending between the two companies, and progress in testing the 256-qubit chip.