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Home
Stocks
Invitation Homes Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall47
Balanced — near the middle of the marketMomentum TrapF 7/9DistressBetter than 47% of Market stocks, per EL7's modelUnsustainable dividend (payout > 100%)
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
34
25.3x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
45
6.7%▼7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
33
3.5%▼4.5%Bottom tier
▸
Safety
43
5.3x▼2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
70
4.32%▲2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
61
-0.2%▼2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
78
8▲3Top tier
INVH

INVH Invitation Homes Inc.

Invitation Homes Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
27.54
▼ ⁦-0.07%⁩ (-0.02)
Market Cap$16.4B
Beta0.84
52w Low52w High
24.2531.38
Last Week
⁦-5.46%⁩
Last Month
⁦-9.32%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-5.97%⁩
Last Year
⁦-9.94%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$28
Analyst target · 4 analysts
$32
⁦+16%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$27–$35⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$13
⁦-53%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦8.1⁩% discount · ⁦2⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$13–$32⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 4 analysts setting price target
$31.55
⁦+14.6%⁩
Current Price $27.54·Median $32.00
Low
$27.00
High
$35.00
Current price
$27.54
Average target
$31.55
Street summary

Slight Decline in Consensus While the Outlook Remains Cautiously Positive

The consensus target price fell to 31.55 from 31.67 over one and seven days, and to 31.55 from 31.85 over 30 days, representing declines of 0.12 and 0.30, respectively. Nevertheless, the consensus and median remain above the current price of 28.18, while the range between 27 and 35 reflects clear variation among analysts. The number of analysts in the latest daily comparison also fell from 7 to 4, narrowing the breadth of the consensus base.

As of 2026-09-09
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-0.9%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.76
Buy
Analyst coverage
25
Buy conviction
52%
Mixed
Target dispersion
29%
Analyst ratings over time25 analysts rating
6
7
12
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.65 → 3.76
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-06
    Citigroup
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-08-03
    Oppenheimer
    Outperform
  • = Reiterate2026-07-14
    Barclays
    Overweight
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    25.27x
    5.03x40.26x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    33.20x
    5.89x47.13x
    Near median
  • EV / EBITDA
    15.65x
    3.68x29.40x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    5.5%
    -23.1%16.7%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    6.7%
    -14.0%37.7%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    22.5%
    -121.8%181.8%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    4.0%
    -5.0%81.8%
    Below average
  • ROIC
    3.5%
    -4.2%9.5%
    Above average
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    5.34x
    1.55x12.39x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    4.3%
    0.6%15.6%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    109.0%
    31.2%370.0%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    1.21
    -0.883.10
    Above average
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-30 data

Company Overview

Invitation Homes Inc. is a real estate company focused on owning, leasing, and managing single-family homes, deriving its primary income from rents, lease fees, and value-added services, alongside third-party property management and construction lending. It also grows its portfolio through purchases from homebuilders, ResiBuilt projects, and joint ventures, while recycling capital through home sales and share repurchases. In Q2 FY2026, average occupancy was 97.1%, average tenant tenure exceeded 40 months, and the tenant retention rate in the same-store portfolio was approximately 77%.

In Q2 FY2026, revenue was $747.5 million, compared with $734.1 million in Q1 FY2026, while net income increased to $218.8 million from $160.5 million, and earnings per share were $0.37. Net income represented approximately 29.3% of revenue, while trailing 12-month net income was $660.6 million on revenue of $2.9 billion. At the operating cash flow level, core FFO per share increased 5% year over year to $0.51, and AFFO per share increased approximately 6% to $0.44.

Core same-store revenue grew 1.6% year over year in Q2 FY2026, and same-store net operating income increased 1.5%, with core operating expenses growing only 1.9%. Renewal rent growth was 3.3%, new lease rent growth was 1.1%, and blended growth was 2.7%, while value-added services income increased 9% year over year. In capital allocation, the company sold 657 wholly owned homes for approximately $309 million and purchased 196 homes from builder partners for approximately $74 million during the same quarter.

What's Driving the Stock

  • On July 30, 2026, Invitation Homes raised its FY2026 guidance for both core FFO and AFFO, bringing the midpoints of the respective ranges to $1.95 and $1.65 per share, based on first-half performance and share repurchases.
  • Rent pricing accelerated during the leasing season; renewal rent growth increased from just over 3% in April and May 2026 to 3.7% in June and 4.3% in July, while preliminary blended growth reached 3.4% in July 2026.
  • The company repurchased $100 million of shares in Q2 FY2026, bringing the total since December 2025 to $600 million, or approximately 22.8 million shares at an average of $26.30 per share. Management linked the program’s attractiveness to the asset valuation gap, as the average repurchase price implies a value of just over $270,000 per wholly owned home, compared with an actual average sale price of $450,000 per home during FY2026 through June 30.
  • Construction loan commitments, including deals under due diligence, totaled just under $350 million as of July 30, 2026, of which approximately 10% was funded. These loans typically target a high-single-digit return and also give Invitation Homes an opportunity to purchase the communities after construction is completed.
  • The enactment of the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act in July 2026 provided greater clarity for the company’s growth through new construction and homebuilder partnerships. After deal flow stagnated during the first half of FY2026, management began seeing smaller portfolios, often valued at less than $100 million, while the ResiBuilt project pipeline also began accelerating again.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +The company combines high occupancy of 97.1% in Q2 FY2026, blended rent growth of 2.7%, and a 1% year-over-year decline in controllable expenses, supporting stable cash flows despite moderate revenue growth.
  • +The capital recycling process shows a significant gap between the average home sale price of $450,000 and the average implied value of just over $270,000 per home in share repurchases, enabling the company to sell assets and repurchase $600 million of shares since December 2025.
  • +Invitation Homes ended Q2 FY2026 with more than $1.5 billion of available liquidity and a trailing 12-month net debt-to-adjusted EBITDA ratio of 5.4 times, with interest rates fixed or swapped on most debt and approximately 90% of wholly owned homes unencumbered.
  • +Multiple growth channels support capital allocation flexibility; the company maintained the midpoint of its guidance for home purchases from builder partners at $250 million and its guidance for purchases through joint ventures at $100 million, alongside a construction lending pipeline approaching $350 million.

▼ Selling Case7 pts

Valuation

The analyst consensus on INVH stock is “Buy,” with an average price target of $31.67 and a range of $27 to $35. The average target is approximately 1.6% above the 52-week range high of $31.16, while the breadth of the target range shows that analysts differ in their assessments of the impact of rent growth, tax risks, and the success of asset recycling. The raised FY2026 guidance and the $600 million share repurchase program should be weighed against same-store net operating income growth of 1.5% and ResiBuilt’s contribution falling below original expectations.

BuyAnalyst target: $31.67(+15.0%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-29; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

How did INVH perform in Q2 FY2026?

Invitation Homes reported approximately $747.5 million in revenue, $218.8 million in net income, and earnings per share of $0.37 in Q2 FY2026. Core FFO was also $0.51 per share, up 5% year over year, while AFFO was approximately $0.44 per share, up nearly 6%. Same-store properties recorded core revenue growth of 1.6% and net operating income growth of 1.5%.

What supports Invitation Homes’ rent growth?

Renewal rent growth was 3.3% in Q2 FY2026, compared with 1.1% for new leases and 2.7% blended growth. In July 2026, renewal growth accelerated to 4.3%, while preliminary blended growth reached 3.4%, despite occupancy declining seasonally to 96.5%. Management attributes these results to demand remaining healthy, declining build-to-rent supply, and improved lead conversion through a new customer relationship management platform and enhancements to the digital shopping experience.

Why is INVH repurchasing shares instead of buying more homes?

The company has repurchased $600 million of shares since December 2025, including $100 million in Q2 FY2026. The average repurchase price for 22.8 million shares was approximately $26.30, implying a value of just over $270,000 per wholly owned home. Management compares this with an actual average sale price of $450,000 per home during FY2026 through June 30 and therefore considered repurchases one of the most attractive uses of capital.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • −Rental home supply remained elevated in certain markets during the second half of FY2026, even as supply growth slowed, and average occupancy declined from 97.1% in Q2 to 96.5% in July 2026. Management acknowledged that elevated summer move-outs increase the number of homes requiring preparation and re-leasing, creating execution risks for revenue and expenses.
  • −Property taxes remain a largely unresolved financial item in the second half of FY2026; Florida accounts for 41%, California 14%, and Georgia 14% of total property taxes. These three states collectively account for 70% of an expense category representing approximately 55% of total operating expenses, so actual assessments and bills could affect margins.
  • −Management expected ResiBuilt’s contribution to FY2026 earnings to fall below original estimates after projects scheduled to begin in the first half were delayed or canceled due to legislative uncertainty. As of July 30, 2026, it was unclear how much could be recovered during the second half of FY2026 rather than shifting the impact to FY2027.
  • −The company raised the midpoint of its FY2026 guidance for wholly owned home sales by $300 million to $850 million, while third-party property management fee income was approximately $4 million lower for the year through June 30, 2026, due to sales of homes managed on behalf of Starwood and a decline in the average home count. This increases the dependence of earnings-per-share growth on successfully redeploying sale proceeds into repurchases, loans, or accretive acquisitions.
  • −New lease rent growth slowed from 1.8% in June 2026 to 1.2% in July, and management expects it to moderate during the remainder of FY2026 due to seasonality. Given that same-store net operating income growth was only 1.5% in Q2, any further weakness in occupancy or new lease pricing could limit operating growth acceleration.
  • −Some implementing rules associated with the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act remain under development following its enactment in July 2026, although management believes the law allows continued growth through new products and homebuilders. This leaves some regulatory exposure when structuring scattered-home purchases and asset recycling strategies.
  • −Analyst valuations range from $27 to $35, an $8 spread reflecting meaningful disagreement over the stock’s value. The average target of $31.67 is also only approximately 1.6% above the 52-week range high of $31.16, making the achievement of a higher valuation dependent on guidance execution and rent improvement rather than a substantial gap between the target and the historical range high.
  • What are INVH’s key risks in the second half of FY2026?

    Management identified seasonal risks associated with elevated tenant turnover and the need to prepare and re-lease homes while supply remains high in some markets. Property taxes also had not been fully determined as of July 30, 2026, with 70% concentrated in Florida, California, and Georgia. In addition, the company expects ResiBuilt’s contribution to FY2026 earnings to be below original estimates because projects were delayed or canceled during the first half.

    What is the state of Invitation Homes’ liquidity and debt?

    Invitation Homes ended Q2 FY2026 with more than $1.5 billion of available liquidity and reduced its credit facility balance from $560 million on March 31 to $280 million on June 30. Its trailing 12-month net debt-to-adjusted EBITDA ratio was 5.4 times, slightly below the target range of 5.5 to 6 times. In July 2026, the company issued $500 million of senior notes due in 2032 with a 4.95% coupon and used the net proceeds to prepay approximately half of the 2017-1 securitization.

    What role do ResiBuilt and construction lending play in INVH’s growth strategy?

    ResiBuilt gives the company the ability to develop new communities and operate in Georgia, North Carolina, and Florida, either for its own account or with two joint venture partners. However, its expected contribution to FY2026 earnings declined from the original plan after legislative uncertainty disrupted projects during five of the first six months. Meanwhile, construction lending commitments totaled just under $350 million as of July 30, 2026, and these loans typically target high-single-digit returns with the option to purchase the communities after they stabilize.