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Home
Stocks
Intel Corporation
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall19
Poor — bottom quartile of the marketMomentum TrapF 6/9SafeCongress buyingBetter than 19% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
14
—18.2xBottom tier
▸
Growth
68
7.5%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
32
-1.0%▼4.5%Bottom tier
▸
Safety
57
1.6x▲2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
18
0.00%▼2.10%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
86
305.6%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
90
28▲3Top tier
INTC

INTC Intel Corp.

Intel Corp. · NASDAQ
Market Open
104.47
▲ ⁦+9.05%⁩ (+8.67)
Market Cap$483.2B
Beta2.24
52w Low52w High
24.05142.35
Last Week
⁦+16.77%⁩
Last Month
⁦+4.67%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+5.34%⁩
Last Year
⁦+324.50%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$96
Analyst target · 11 analysts
$110
⁦+15%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$60–$200⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$2.83
⁦-97%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦13.3⁩% discount · ⁦7⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$2.83–$110⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 11 analysts setting price target
$109.67
⁦+5.0%⁩
Current Price $104.47·Median $110.00
Low
$60.00
High
$200.00
Current price
$104.47
Average target
$109.67
Street summary

Intel (INTC) Price Target Analysis

Data shows a cautious stability in the analysts' outlook for Intel, with the average price target settling at $110.3, representing a premium over the current price ($91.67). However, there is a sharp Analyst Dispersion ranging from a low of $60 to a high of $200, reflecting significant uncertainty regarding the fair valuation. Over the past thirty days, the consensus has declined slightly by 0.1% in conjunction with a new analyst initiating coverage on the stock.

As of 2026-09-03
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-0.7%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.27
Hold
Analyst coverage
⁦48 (+1)⁩
New coverage
Buy conviction
29%
Rating activity · 30d
2↑ · 2↓
Mixed
Target dispersion
134%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time48 analysts rating
2
12
32
1
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months2.80 → 3.27
Recent analyst moves
  • ⬆ Upgrade2026-09-08
    UBS
    NeutralBuy
  • ⬆ Upgrade2026-09-08
    Raymond James
    Outperform
  • ⬇ Downgrade2026-09-08
    BMO Capital
    Market Perform
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    —
    —
  • Forward P/E
    50.50x
    5.23x41.81x
    Expensive
  • EV / EBITDA
    45.81x
    4.60x36.80x
    Above average
  • FCF Yield
    0.6%
    -56.3%10.3%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    7.5%
    -18.0%68.8%
    Below average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    56.2%
    -157.8%193.7%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    38.6%
    13.2%79.6%
    Near median
  • ROIC
    -1.0%
    -63.2%26.5%
    Above average
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    1.61x
    0.26x3.28x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    0.0%
    0.0%3.9%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    3.56
    -11.3113.68
    Above average
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-23 data

Company Overview

Intel Corp. designs and manufactures computing solutions, combining its x86 processor franchise, personal computer and server products, foundry and advanced packaging operations, and custom chip design. In fiscal Q2 2026, the Client Computing and Physical AI group generated $8.9 billion in revenue, while Data Center and AI revenue was approximately $6.3 billion and Intel Foundry revenue was approximately $5.8 billion, including $293 million from external foundry customers; segment figures include internal transactions and therefore cannot be added directly to arrive at the company’s consolidated revenue. The company also generates revenue from Xeon 6, Core and Arc products, Intel 18A platforms, ASIC designs, and EMIB-T advanced packaging.

Fiscal Q2 2026 revenue was approximately $16.1 billion, up 25.42% year over year according to August 13, 2026 news, and $1.8 billion above the midpoint of management’s guidance. Gross profit according to EDGAR filings was approximately $6.5 billion, equivalent to a gross margin of about 40.4%, while the company recorded a GAAP net loss of $11.0 billion and a loss per share of $2.16; by contrast, management reported a non-GAAP gross margin of 41.8% and adjusted earnings per share of $0.42. AI-driven businesses contributed approximately 70% of revenue and grew by more than 70% year over year, while Data Center and AI revenue increased 59% year over year to $6.3 billion and operating profit reached $2.5 billion.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Accelerating server demand was the most prominent operating driver in fiscal Q2 2026; Data Center and AI revenue increased 59% year over year and 24% sequentially to $6.3 billion, and management described annual server growth as the strongest in the company’s history, with demand for Xeon 6 continuing to exceed supply.
  • Progress in Intel 18A supports manufacturing improvement; foundry output exceeded the internal target by approximately 25% and increased by more than 50% from the previous quarter in fiscal Q2 2026, while the unit cost of the core Panther Lake product fell by approximately 50% since the start of fiscal 2026, with an additional 20% reduction targeted during the remainder of the year.
  • The AI-enabled personal computing product base expanded in fiscal Q2 2026, as AI PC revenue grew 26% sequentially and came to represent two-thirds of client revenue, while Series 3 reached more than 400 designs, including 130 design wins for edge AI applications, alongside more than 40 designs for integrated Arc graphics.
  • The custom chip business provides an additional growth path; it approached an annual revenue run rate of $2 billion in fiscal Q2 2026 after revenue nearly tripled year over year, and management expects it to reach a $4 billion annual run rate within a timeframe it described as not far off, supported by collaboration with Fortinet on a security processor and an inference strategy with SambaNova.
  • Intel raised its fiscal 2026 capital expenditure forecast to more than $20 billion in response to demand signals and long-term customer agreements, with tool spending increasing by approximately 40% compared with fiscal 2025. These investments target Intel 3, Intel 18A, Intel 18A-P, and advanced packaging, alongside fiscal Q3 2026 revenue guidance of $15.8 billion to $16.8 billion and an adjusted gross margin of 42% at the midpoint.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Fiscal Q2 2026 marked the seventh consecutive quarterly beat of financial expectations according to management, with revenue of $16.1 billion and adjusted earnings per share of $0.42 versus prior guidance of $0.20, supported by improved manufacturing yields, pricing, and product mix.
  • +Demand for AI infrastructure provides direct leverage for the server business; Data Center and AI grew 59% year over year, generated an operating margin of 40%, and management expects strong double-digit growth in industry server units in fiscal 2026 and 2027, with momentum extending into 2028.
  • +The manufacturing trajectory showed measurable progress in fiscal Q2 2026, as Intel 18A yields and production cycles improved, Intel Foundry’s operating loss narrowed by $348 million sequentially to $2.1 billion, and Intel 18A-P entered pilot production, with pilot production for Intel 14A targeted for the second half of 2027 and high-volume production in 2028.
  • +Liquidity reported on July 23, 2026 was relatively strong, with operating cash flow of $7 billion during fiscal Q2 2026, approximately $30 billion in cash and short-term investments, and a $10 billion revolving credit facility. The net insider activity signal during the three months ending with the latest transaction on August 11, 2026 was also approximately $7.5 million toward buying, across one purchase and one sale.

Valuation

The analyst consensus is Neutral, with an average price target of $110.3, compared with a high target of $200 and a low target of $60; this wide range reflects substantial differences in assessments of the success of the operating and foundry recovery. The average target is approximately 22.5% below the 52-week range high of $142.35, while the stock’s range during the period extends from $23.68 to $142.35. No meaningful price-to-earnings ratio is available given the $11.3 billion loss for the twelve months ended in fiscal 2026, so the valuation depends heavily on achieving server growth and improving Intel Foundry, weighed against capital expenditure and ownership dilution risks.

HoldAnalyst target: $110.3(+5.6%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-26; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove Intel’s growth in fiscal Q2 2026?

Revenue reached $16.1 billion, up 25.42% year over year and $1.8 billion above the midpoint of management’s guidance. Data Center and AI revenue jumped 59% year over year to $6.3 billion, driven by cloud and enterprise computing demand and the acceleration of Xeon 6. AI PC revenue also grew 26% sequentially and came to represent two-thirds of Client Computing group revenue, while improved manufacturing yields, pricing, and product mix helped raise adjusted gross margin to 41.8%.

Did Intel return to profitability in fiscal Q2 2026?

No. EDGAR filings showed a GAAP net loss of $11.0 billion and a loss per share of $2.16. By contrast, the company reported adjusted earnings per share of $0.42 versus prior guidance of $0.20, with an adjusted gross margin of 41.8%. The difference between the two figures reflects the importance of distinguishing between accounting results and non-GAAP results when evaluating the recovery.

How far had Intel 18A and Intel 14A progressed as of July 23, 2026?

Intel 18A output increased by more than 50% sequentially in fiscal Q2 2026 and exceeded the internal target by approximately 25%, with Panther Lake, Wildcat Lake, and the Clearwater Forest server product running on the node. Intel 18A-P entered pilot production, and management said it provides a 5% performance improvement compared with Intel 18A while maintaining design compatibility. For Intel 14A, the PDK 0.5 release was completed, and the PDK 0.9 release was targeted for October 2026, with pilot production targeted for the second half of 2027 and high-volume production in 2028.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

  • −The operating improvement has not yet translated into GAAP net profit; Intel recorded a net loss of $11.0 billion and a loss per share of $2.16 in fiscal Q2 2026, while the loss for the twelve months ended in fiscal 2026 was approximately $11.3 billion, making the path to accounting profitability a fundamental risk.
  • −Intel Foundry continues to drain earnings despite its improvement, recording an operating loss of $2.1 billion in fiscal Q2 2026 against segment revenue of $5.8 billion, while external customer revenue did not exceed $293 million. Narrowing this gap depends on continued improvements in yields and costs and converting customer engagement with Intel 14A and Intel 18A-P into actual commercial volumes.
  • −Supply constraints represent a direct risk to converting demand into revenue; management stated on July 23, 2026 that advanced logic chips, memory, substrates, and packaging were experiencing bottlenecks and that the company would not catch up with demand even during fiscal Q4 2026. Expanding server production also depends not only on front-end wafers, but on the availability of substrates, memory, and T-glass.
  • −The personal computer business faces cyclical weakness, as management expects PC consumption to decline by a low-double-digit percentage during fiscal 2026 because of higher memory prices and availability constraints. It expects client revenue to remain approximately flat in fiscal Q3 2026 before weakening in Q4, after the market benefited in fiscal 2025 from the Windows refresh cycle.
  • −Technological competition from AMD and ARM architectures remains; management acknowledged on the July 23, 2026 call that Intel still lags in some areas despite working to improve single-thread and multithread performance through Clearwater Forest, Diamond Rapids, and Coral Rapids. Any setback in the roadmap for these products or in turning Intel 14A into a competitive node could limit the recovery of server market share.
  • −Financing the expansion creates ownership dilution risks and pressure on cash flow; Intel increased its August 2026 equity offering from $15 billion to $20 billion and issued approximately 210.5 million shares at an offering price of $95 and a stated discount of 6.5%. At the same time, it raised fiscal 2026 capital expenditures to more than $20 billion and expects a much higher level in 2027, while management acknowledged that third-party investments in back-end production stages could make achieving positive free cash flow more difficult.
Why did Intel raise approximately $20 billion through an equity issuance in August 2026?

Intel allocated the offering proceeds to fund capital expenditures and working capital amid its expansion in manufacturing and AI projects. The offering size was increased from $15 billion to $20 billion and included approximately 210.5 million shares at an offering price of $95 and a stated discount of 6.5%. The issuance provides additional funding for a plan that includes capital expenditures exceeding $20 billion in fiscal 2026, but it dilutes the ownership stakes of existing shareholders and raises the threshold required to achieve an adequate return on capital.

What is Intel’s outlook for fiscal Q3 2026?

Management guided to revenue of $15.8 billion to $16.8 billion, with a midpoint of $16.3 billion. At that midpoint, it expects an adjusted gross margin of 42%, adjusted earnings per share of $0.38, and a tax rate of 11%. The company expects client revenue to remain approximately flat, with better growth in edge computing, while server growth remains constrained by the availability of chips, memory, substrates, and packaging.

What do Intel’s custom chip and advanced packaging businesses look like?

The custom chip business approached an annual revenue run rate of $2 billion in fiscal Q2 2026, after revenue nearly tripled year over year and grew approximately 20% sequentially. Management targets an annual run rate of $4 billion, and the announced progress includes collaboration with Fortinet to develop a security processor and with SambaNova on heterogeneous inference. In advanced packaging, management said the EMIB-T backlog is growing and that yields and reliability are meeting targets, with a focus on supporting customer production ramps in 2027.