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Illumina, Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall78
Strong — clearly above market medianHigh FlyerF 8/9SafeBetter than 78% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
20
38.4x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
27
4.9%▼7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
90
13.5%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
77
1.2x▲2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
61
—2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
93
89.5%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
38
12▲3Bottom tier
ILMN

ILMN Illumina, Inc.

Illumina, Inc. · NASDAQ
Market Closed
206.45
▲ ⁦+2.57%⁩ (+5.18)
Market Cap$31.2B
Beta1.46
52w Low52w High
88.00231.81
Last Week
⁦-3.19%⁩
Last Month
⁦+7.64%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+27.01%⁩
Last Year
⁦+106.53%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$206
Analyst target · 7 analysts
$215
⁦+4%⁩
See it fairly priced
Range ⁦$155–$260⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$63
⁦-69%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦10.9⁩% discount · ⁦2⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$63–$215⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 7 analysts setting price target
$210.67
⁦+2.0%⁩
Current Price $206.45·Median $215.00
Low
$155.00
High
$260.00
Current price
$206.45
Average target
$210.67
Street summary

Slight Increase in ILMN Target Price Consensus with Clear Divergence

The average price target for Illumina rose to 210.67 from 204.5 over one day, an increase of 3.02%, and to 210.67 from 200.14 over 7 and 30 days, an increase of 5.26%, with no change in the number of analysts, which remains at 7. With the current price at 205, the consensus remains modestly higher, while the range is between 155 and 260 and the median is 215, reflecting significant variation in estimates.

As of 2026-09-09
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+5.3%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.38
Hold
Analyst coverage
21
Buy conviction
52%
Mixed
Target dispersion
51%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time21 analysts rating
4
7
6
1
3
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.26 → 3.38
Recent analyst moves
  • ⬇ Downgrade2026-08-05
    Deutsche Bank
    Hold
  • = Reiterate2026-08-03
    Citigroup
    Sell
  • = Reiterate2026-07-31
    Bernstein
    Market Perform
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    38.37x
    3.94x44.30x
    Near median
  • Forward P/E
    35.22x
    4.64x37.16x
    Near median
  • EV / EBITDA
    27.94x
    3.77x30.13x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    3.0%
    -138.2%7.8%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    4.9%
    -56.9%93.8%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -32.0%
    -160.1%130.2%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    66.4%
    12.8%90.7%
    Above average
  • ROIC
    13.5%
    -155.3%16.0%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    1.16x
    0.60x5.10x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    6.24
    -38.7417.53
    Strong
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-30 data

Company Overview

Illumina develops genetic sequencing platforms, tools, and services, and generates revenue from sales of instruments such as NovaSeq X and MiSeq i100, from consumables used by its installed instrument base, and from data and analytics services. The company is expanding the scope of its platform through clinical applications that include oncology, therapy selection, and residual disease monitoring, in addition to multiomics offerings such as StrataMap Spatial, SomaScan, and SomaSeq, and BioInsight services aimed at AI-enabled drug discovery.

In fiscal Q2 2026, revenue reached 1.16 billion dollars, up 9.5% year over year and 6.5% organically, while organic growth outside China was 8.1%. The financial statements recorded gross profit of 770 million dollars, net income of 207 million dollars, and earnings per share of 1.35 dollars, while the company reported non-GAAP diluted earnings per share of 1.31 dollars, a non-GAAP gross margin of 68.2%, and an operating margin of 22.5%.

Sequencing consumables were the largest source of revenue in fiscal Q2 2026 at 775 million dollars, with 5% year-over-year growth, followed by services and other revenue at 154 million dollars, with 14% growth, then sequencing instruments at 125 million dollars, with 31% growth, and microarrays and other revenue at 105 million dollars, with reported growth of 21%. Clinical markets account for approximately 65% of sequencing consumables revenue, and these consumables grew 15% in clinical applications outside China, compared with a 7% decline in research and applied markets.

What's Driving the Stock

  • The number of NovaSeq X instruments placed exceeded 95 in fiscal Q2 2026, compared with the previous long-term outlook of 50 to 60 instruments per quarter, and approximately 70% of placements were directed toward clinical uses; clinical customers typically require six to nine months to reach a normalized consumables utilization rate.
  • Sequencing instrument revenue rose 31% year over year to 125 million dollars in fiscal Q2 2026, driven by sales of NovaSeq X and MiSeq i100, while gigabase output on connected high- and mid-throughput instruments grew by more than 30%. The volume transition rate to NovaSeq X reached 83%, while the revenue transition rate was 59%, and the share of clinical volumes on the platform reached 78%.
  • Illumina raised its reported revenue guidance for fiscal 2026 to a range of 4.60 to 4.64 billion dollars, an increase of 50 million dollars at the midpoint, and also raised diluted earnings per share guidance to 5.30-5.40 dollars. The company expects organic growth outside China to exceed 5% and clinical consumables growth in the mid-teens.
  • Billion Cell Atlas began generating revenue after Illumina delivered more than 300 million cells and added three partners following the end of fiscal Q2 2026, bringing the total to six pharmaceutical company partners. BioInsight income appears within services revenue, while most multiomics products, such as TruPath and single-cell products, appear within consumables revenue.
  • In summer 2026, the company launched the StrataMap Spatial platform and placed a research workflow for whole-genome residual disease monitoring into early access with selected customers. Management expects new products to add one to two percentage points to growth in fiscal 2027, alongside consumables utilization growth resulting from the expansion of the NovaSeq X installed base.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +The buying case rests on growth shifting toward recurring clinical uses; clinical sequencing consumables grew 15% outside China in fiscal Q2 2026, growth in the United States and Canada exceeded 20%, and clinical markets account for approximately 65% of this consumables revenue.
  • +Expansion of the NovaSeq X installed base could convert instrument sales into consumables revenue over several quarters, as placements exceeded 95 instruments during the quarter and clinical customers typically require six to nine months to reach normalized utilization.
  • +Financial performance supports improving profitability and liquidity; the non-GAAP operating margin reached 22.5%, and free cash flow was 162 million dollars in fiscal Q2 2026, with guidance for an operating margin of approximately 24% in fiscal Q3 2026.
  • +BioInsight, Billion Cell Atlas, StrataMap Spatial, SomaScan, and SomaSeq provide the company with growth sources beyond core genetic sequencing. Billion Cell Atlas has already begun generating revenue, and its number of pharmaceutical company partners reached six after three partners were added following the end of fiscal Q2 2026.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The average analyst price target is 200.14 dollars, with a consensus rating of “Buy” and a wide target range of 155 to 230 dollars; the average is below the 52-week range high of 231.81 dollars, while the highest target nearly matches it. No current price-to-earnings ratio is available in the data, so the valuation rests on Illumina's ability to achieve its fiscal 2026 revenue guidance of 4.60-4.64 billion dollars and expand margins, while accounting for weakness in the research market and the wide range of analyst estimates.

BuyAnalyst target: $200.14(-3.1%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-28; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove ILMN's fiscal Q2 2026 results?

Illumina's revenue reached approximately 1.16 billion dollars, up 9.5% year over year, with organic growth outside China of 8.1%. Sequencing instrument revenue rose 31% to 125 million dollars after the placement of more than 95 NovaSeq X instruments and continued MiSeq i100 momentum. Clinical sequencing consumables also grew 15% outside China, and the United States and Canada recorded growth exceeding 20%.

Why is the NovaSeq X installed base important to Illumina's growth?

The share of volumes transitioned to NovaSeq X reached 83% in fiscal Q2 2026, compared with a 59% revenue transition, while 78% of clinical volumes were on the platform. The company expects the transition of clinical volumes to reach the 80%-85% range by the end of fiscal 2026. Clinical customers typically require six to nine months after instrument installation to reach normalized utilization, so elevated installations could support consumables revenue during fiscal 2027.

What is Illumina's fiscal 2026 guidance following the second-quarter results?

The company raised its reported revenue guidance to a range of 4.60-4.64 billion dollars, an increase of 50 million dollars at the midpoint. It also raised diluted earnings per share guidance to 5.30-5.40 dollars, representing year-over-year growth of 11% at the midpoint and 14% excluding the impact of acquisitions. It expects organic growth outside China to exceed 5%, with a non-GAAP operating margin of between 23.4% and 23.6%.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • −Sequencing consumables revenue in research and applied markets declined 7% outside China in fiscal Q2 2026, and the company continues to expect a mid- to high-single-digit decline during fiscal 2026. Despite improved activity in the latter part of the quarter, management said the timing of this market's recovery remains unpredictable.
  • −Illumina excludes Greater China from its organic growth metric for the rest of the world because it was placed on China's unreliable entity list, making the headline growth figures not inclusive of that market and highlighting ongoing regulatory and geographic exposure.
  • −Gross margin faced higher-than-expected freight and memory costs in fiscal Q2 2026, while inventory also increased to secure critical components for several quarters. The company maintained its fiscal 2026 operating margin guidance at 23.4%-23.6% despite raising revenue guidance, meaning the increase in sales did not translate into a comparable increase in margin guidance.
  • −Fiscal Q3 2026 guidance includes organic growth outside China of approximately 4.5%, compared with 8.1% growth in fiscal Q2 2026, with instrument growth expected to moderate because of difficult comparisons following several quarters of elevated NovaSeq X placements. The company also expects organic sequencing instrument growth outside China to remain in the low single digits during fiscal 2026.
  • −Analyst targets range from 155 to 230 dollars, a spread of 75 dollars that reflects significant differences in estimates of the growth and margin trajectory. The stock's 52-week range also extends from 88 to 231.81 dollars, and no current price-to-earnings ratio is available in the data, reducing the usefulness of traditional price-to-earnings comparisons.
  • −Net insider activity during the three months ended August 27, 2026, was negative 341.5 million dollars, with no purchases recorded versus 58 sales. This is a secondary trading signal and not independent evidence of business deterioration because insider sales may be prearranged unless disclosures indicate otherwise.
Have Illumina's AI and multiomics businesses begun generating revenue?

Billion Cell Atlas within BioInsight began recording revenue by fiscal Q2 2026 after the company delivered more than 300 million cells. Illumina added three pharmaceutical company partners after the end of the quarter, bringing the total to six, and this revenue appears within services. It also launched StrataMap Spatial in summer 2026, while products such as TruPath and single-cell products typically appear within consumables revenue.

What are the main operational risks facing ILMN stock?

Sequencing consumables in research and applied markets declined 7% outside China in fiscal Q2 2026, and the company expects them to continue declining in the mid- to high-single digits during the year. Illumina also incurred higher memory and freight costs and increased inventory to secure critical components for several quarters. In addition, the organic growth metric for the rest of the world excludes Greater China because the company was placed on China's unreliable entity list.

What do Illumina's liquidity and share repurchase policy look like?

Fiscal Q2 2026 generated cash flow from operations of 201 million dollars and free cash flow of 162 million dollars after capital expenditures of 39 million dollars. The company repurchased 0.9 million shares for approximately 122 million dollars at an average of 129.07 dollars per share, and it had approximately 1.8 billion dollars remaining under existing authorizations. It ended the quarter with approximately 1.17 billion dollars in cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments, compared with total debt of 1.99 billion dollars and a total debt-to-EBITDA ratio of approximately 1.6 times.