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IHS Holding Limited
IHS

IHS IHS Holding Limited

IHS Holding Limited · NYSE
Market Closed
8.47
▲ ⁦+0.00%⁩ (0.00)
Market Cap$2.9B
Beta0.73
52w Low52w High
5.718.95
Last Week
⁦+0.47%⁩
Last Month
⁦+1.44%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+1.19%⁩
Last Year
⁦+19.46%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall94
Excellent — top fifth of the marketSuper StockF 8/9Better than 94% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
86
20.2x▼17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
50
0.4%▼7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
95
17.8%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
47
1.9x▲2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
91
—2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
77
18.1%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
24
1▼3Bottom tier
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$8.47
Analyst target · 1 analysts
$11
⁦+27%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$5.00–$22⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$47
⁦+455%⁩
Sees it clearly undervalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦10⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods broadly agree — estimate range ⁦$11–$47⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 1 analysts setting price target
$11.75
⁦+38.7%⁩
Current Price $8.47·Median $10.75
Low
$5.00
High
$22.00
Current price
$8.47
Average target
$11.75
Street summary

IHS Holding Price Target Revision Analysis

Bullish tilt

IHS Holding stock has seen a strong upward revision in its average price target, with the consensus rising by 38.24% over the past 30 days, moving from $8.5 to $11.75. This increase places the price target above the current price of $8.33, reflecting growing optimism despite the stock's downgrade by TD Cowen to 'Hold' in February 2026.

As of 2026-08-18
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+38.2%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.75
Buy
Analyst coverage
4
Buy conviction
50%
Mixed
Target dispersion
201%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time4 analysts rating
1
1
2
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.00 → 3.75
Recent analyst moves
  • ⬇ Downgrade2026-02-18
    TD Cowen
    BuyHold
  • = Reiterate2026-02-18
    Williams Trading
    —· $8.50
  • = Reiterate2025-11-24
    Citigroup
    Buy
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    20.17x
    4.21x33.71x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    10.31x
    3.09x24.70x
    Very cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    4.16x
    2.57x20.60x
    Very cheap
  • FCF Yield
    21.3%
    -33.4%21.9%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    0.4%
    -16.2%48.2%
    Below average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    27.3%
    -464.8%138.2%
    Strong
  • Gross Margin
    55.8%
    11.3%77.5%
    Above average
  • ROIC
    17.8%
    -33.6%17.7%
    Exceptional
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    1.89x
    0.60x5.67x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2025-11-12 data

Company Overview

IHS Holding Limited operates telecommunications tower infrastructure in markets including Nigeria, Brazil, and other countries in Sub-Saharan Africa and Latin America. The company generates revenue by leasing sites to operators, adding new tenants and colocations at existing sites, amending leases in connection with the installation of additional equipment, and building new sites, alongside inflation- and energy-linked indexation provisions. Management focuses on organic growth, cost control, cash flow generation, and reducing leverage.

In Q4 FY2025, the company recorded revenue of $254.0 million and gross profit of $212.3 million, representing a calculated gross margin of approximately 83.6%, while the data did not include a net income or earnings per share figure for the quarter. For FY2025, revenue was $1.6 billion, gross profit was $876.6 million, net income was $143.6 million, and earnings per share were $0.42.

The Q3 FY2025 call shows significant concentration in Nigeria, which generated $268 million of the quarter's total revenue of $455.1 million, or approximately 59%, with adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization of $170 million and a margin of 63.3%. Consolidated adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization were $261 million at a margin of 57.5%, while the Latin America segment recorded organic growth of 11% and an increase of approximately 22% in adjusted earnings, driven primarily by Brazil.

What's Driving the Stock

  • On November 12, 2025, management raised its FY2025 guidance to revenue of between $1.72 billion and $1.75 billion, adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization of between $995 million and $1.015 billion, and adjusted levered free cash flow of between $400 million and $420 million.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

Q3 FY2025 delivered constant-currency growth of approximately 9% and organic growth of approximately 7%, driven by inflation indexation, new colocations, lease amendments, and new sites, as well as the positive impact of currency movements, particularly the Nigerian naira.
  • The business generated adjusted levered free cash flow of $158 million in Q3 FY2025, up 81% year over year, with a cash conversion rate of 60.4%, while the consolidated net leverage ratio declined to 3.3 times from 3.9 times a year earlier.
  • IHS signed an agreement with TIM targeting the construction of up to 3,000 sites over five years in Brazil, including an initial minimum commitment of 500 sites over two years, supporting the company's expansion as 5G networks become denser in its Brazilian market.
  • In Nigeria, the company added more than 220 new colocations and integrated more than 1,750 lease amendments since June 2025, while the Latin America segment added more than 300 colocations and 280 new sites year over year during Q3 FY2025.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +The improvement in profitability and cash flow was clear in Q3 FY2025; adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization reached $261 million, while adjusted levered free cash flow reached $158 million, with the latter growing 81% year over year.
    • +The TIM agreement gives the company a defined growth path in Brazil of up to 3,000 sites over five years, while the Latin America segment delivered organic growth exceeding 11% and an increase of approximately 22% in adjusted earnings during Q3 FY2025.
    • +The net leverage ratio declined to 3.3 times as of September 30, 2025, before accounting for the initial $175 million payment from the Rwanda sale, which management estimated would initially reduce the ratio by approximately an additional 0.1 times.
    • +Management raised its FY2025 revenue, adjusted earnings, and adjusted free cash flow guidance, and specified expected organic revenue growth of 10% at the midpoint of the guidance range.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −A large portion of the business depends on Nigeria, which represented approximately 59% of Q3 FY2025 revenue; the exit of approximately 510 tenants and 980 lease amendments associated with the MTN Nigeria program also reduced revenue by approximately $8 million compared with the corresponding period.
    • −The Nine Mobile agreement involves customer and collection risks, as 2,576 tenants exited the sites in exchange for a contractual commitment to pay portions of historical overdue balances through July 2027, even though management expects the financial impact to be limited over the following years.
    • −Total external debt and lease liabilities under International Financial Reporting Standard 16 were approximately $3.9 billion as of September 30, 2025, and the average cost of debt was 8.3%, with bonds maturing at the end of 2026 and the end of 2027 and a bilateral dollar-denominated loan maturing in 2027.
    • −Reported results depend partly on currencies; Q3 FY2025 benefited from the appreciation of the naira, and management explained that the increase in guidance for the remainder of FY2025 was effectively attributable to stronger exchange-rate assumptions, making weakness in local currencies a downside risk to revenue and earnings translated into dollars.
    • −Cost and margin pressures emerged despite the strong results; the consolidated adjusted margin declined 100 basis points year over year, and Nigeria's margin fell 230 basis points to 63.3% due to cost of sales, administrative expenses, diesel, and electricity, while adjusted earnings in the Sub-Saharan Africa segment declined by slightly more than 1% because of higher regulatory fees.
    • −The wide range of analyst targets from $5 to $22 reveals substantial disagreement over value and risk, while the average target of $11.75 is approximately 31% above the top of the 52-week range of $8.95, increasing the valuation thesis's sensitivity to successful debt reduction and the delivery of expected cash flows and growth.

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus is “Buy,” with an average price target of $11.75, but the target range is extremely wide at $5 to $22, reflecting substantial variation in assessments of risk and potential outcomes. The average target is approximately 31% above the 52-week high of $8.95, while the data does not include a published earnings multiple that could serve as an additional valuation anchor; therefore, the realization of the expected value is particularly tied to continued leverage reduction and the sustainability of cash flow after currency effects and divestitures.

    BuyAnalyst target: $11.75(+38.7%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-31; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    How does IHS Holding Limited generate revenue?

    IHS generates revenue by leasing telecommunications towers and sites to operators, adding colocations and tenants to existing sites, and making lease amendments when additional equipment is installed. It also benefits from building new sites and from indexing certain contracts to inflation and energy. In Q3 FY2025, constant-currency growth of approximately 9% came from inflation indexation, colocations, lease amendments, and new sites.

    What were the key Q3 FY2025 results?

    Revenue was $455.1 million, adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization were $261 million, and the adjusted margin was 57.5%. Adjusted levered free cash flow reached $158 million, up 81% year over year, while capital expenditures were $77 million. The financial statements also recorded net income of $151.0 million and earnings per share of $0.44.

    Why is Nigeria important to IHS stock?

    Nigeria generated $268 million of Q3 FY2025 revenue, or approximately 59% of the quarter's total revenue. The segment generated adjusted earnings of $170 million and a margin of 63.3%, while adding more than 220 new colocations and integrating more than 1,750 lease amendments since June 2025. Conversely, the exit of tenants and lease amendments associated with the MTN Nigeria program reduced revenue by approximately $8 million compared with the corresponding period.

    What is the significance of the IHS agreement with TIM in Brazil?

    The agreement targets the construction of up to 3,000 sites in Brazil over five years, with an initial minimum of 500 sites over two years. IHS owns 8,506 towers in Brazil according to Q3 FY2025 data, making the agreement an extension of an existing platform rather than entry into a new market. During that quarter, the Latin America segment delivered organic growth exceeding 11% and an increase of approximately 22% in adjusted earnings.

    What is IHS's guidance for FY2025?

    On November 12, 2025, management raised the expected revenue range to $1.72–$1.75 billion and the adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization range to $995 million–$1.015 billion. It also raised adjusted levered free cash flow guidance to $400–$420 million and maintained capital expenditures at $240–$270 million, including an assumption of constructing 600 new sites. Management explained that the guidance implies organic revenue growth of 10% at the midpoint of the range and that the increase for the remainder of FY2025 was effectively based on stronger exchange-rate assumptions.

    Is IHS's debt position improving?

    The consolidated net leverage ratio was 3.3 times as of September 30, 2025, down 0.6 times year over year, while net debt was below $3.3 billion. Liquidity was $951 million, consisting of $651 million in cash and $300 million from an undrawn credit facility. After the Rwanda sale closed on October 9, 2025, and $175 million was received, management estimated an initial additional decline in the leverage ratio of approximately 0.1 times.