| Factor | Score | Distribution | Value | Avg | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Valuation | 48 | 15.1x | 17.3x | Around median | |
Growth | 10 | -5.8% | 7.1% | Bottom tier | |
Quality | 48 | 5.1% | 4.5% | Around median | |
Safety | 79 | 1.2x | 2.6x | Top tier | |
Capital Return | 87 | 1.88% | 0.06% | Top tier | |
Momentum | 16 | -13.3% | -1.6% | Bottom tier | |
Sentiment | 73 | 5 | 3 | Top tier |
The floor: what the company is worth if growth stopped today
43% of today's price is what a buyer pays for growth that has not happened yet.
10-year US Treasury yield 4.96% as of 2026-10-22. Estimates computed from company data and analyst targets, not investment advice.
Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.
Hub Group provides transportation and logistics services including intermodal transportation, dedicated transportation, brokerage, final mile delivery, managed transportation, and warehousing services. The company generates revenue from the ITS segment, which includes intermodal and dedicated transportation, and the Logistics segment, which includes brokerage, final mile delivery, managed transportation, and other services; according to preliminary fiscal year 2025 results, ITS generated approximately $2.2 billion and Logistics generated approximately $1.6 billion, noting that these figures are rounded and the final results had not been completed as of the February 5, 2026 call.
According to EDGAR data, fiscal year 2025 Q3 revenue was approximately $934.5 million, net income was $28.6 million, and earnings per share were $0.47, equivalent to a calculated net margin of approximately 3.1%. For fiscal year 2025, preliminary results projected consolidated revenue of $3.7 billion, down 7% year over year, and operating cash flow of approximately $194 million, but the company warned on February 5, 2026 that the results were preliminary and could change materially as a result of an ongoing accounting review.
The operating mix showed clear divergence: intermodal volume increased 1% year over year in fiscal year 2025 Q4 and revenue per load was stable, while brokerage volume declined 10% and revenue per load declined 4%. Logistics revenue also declined by a high-single-digit percentage in the same quarter, while new business wins partially offset weak demand and the loss of certain customer locations.
The average analyst target is $44.5, within a range of $41 to $48, with a "Neutral" consensus; the average is approximately 16% below the 52-week high of $53.26 and approximately 35% above the low of $32.9. No reliable price-to-earnings ratio is available in the provided data, while the restatement of the first three quarters of fiscal year 2025, the lawsuit, and the Nasdaq notice reduce the reliability of historical earnings measures until the audited final results are issued.
Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-01; the live price is shown at the top of the page.
Hub Group said on February 5, 2026 that it had discovered an accounting error that improperly understated purchased transportation costs and accounts payable during the nine months ended September 30, 2025. The total understatement recorded during those periods was $77 million, but the company had not estimated the final correction amount that would be added to costs and accounts payable. It intends to include restated financial statements for fiscal year 2025 Q1, Q2, and Q3 in Form 10-K, with no impact expected on total cash or operating cash flows.
Intermodal volume increased 1% year over year in fiscal year 2025 Q4, while revenue per load was stable and increased 3% sequentially. Refrigerated volumes grew 150% and Mexico volumes grew 33%, while Local East declined 4% and Local West declined 1%. On-time performance also improved by 90 basis points, but volume declined 4% year over year in January 2026 because of a winter storm and a difficult comparison.
Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.
Debt was approximately $229 million and cash was approximately $113 million as of December 31, 2025, equivalent to net debt of approximately $116 million. Net debt declined by approximately $50 million compared with the end of fiscal year 2024, and preliminary operating cash flow was $194 million in fiscal year 2025. The company also spent approximately $45 million on capital expenditures and returned $44 million to shareholders, and it expects capital expenditures between $35 million and $45 million in fiscal year 2026.
An August 25, 2026 news report stated that a class-action lawsuit had been filed against Hub Group alleging securities fraud related to financial disclosures, allegations that had not been adjudicated in the provided context. On August 28, 2026, news reports stated that the company had received a formal noncompliance notice from Nasdaq because of the delayed filing of Form 10-Q. These developments come alongside a planned restatement of the first three quarters of fiscal year 2025, increasing risks related to internal controls, reporting quality, and compliance with listing rules.
Intermodal performance improved, with volumes growing 1% in fiscal year 2025 Q4, alongside 150% growth in refrigerated shipping and 33% growth in Mexico. At CFX, warehouse consolidation increased space utilization by 630 basis points, while managed transportation added new business and improved its productivity by 12%. The company was also completing the onboarding of large final mile delivery contracts, although delays and modest scope changes weakened fiscal year 2025 Q4 volumes.