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Heartflow, Inc. Common Stock
HTFL

HTFL Heartflow, Inc. Common Stock

Heartflow, Inc. Common Stock · NASDAQ
Market Closed
49.88
▲ ⁦+9.65%⁩ (+4.39)
Market Cap$4.3B
Beta2.02
52w Low52w High
20.1351.78
Last Week
⁦+0.34%⁩
Last Month
⁦+69.95%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+60.90%⁩
Last Year
⁦+55.20%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall37
Weak — below market medianHigh FlyerF 5/8SafeBetter than 37% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
17
—17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
93
42.8%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
98
—4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
57
—2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
85
—2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
78
-17.1%▼2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
37
6▲3Bottom tier
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$50
Analyst target · 3 analysts
$45
⁦-10%⁩
See it slightly overvalued
Range ⁦$37–$55⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
N/A (negative FCF)

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 3 analysts setting price target
$44.57
⁦-10.6%⁩
Current Price $49.88·Median $45.00
Low
$37.00
High
$55.00
Current price
$49.88
Average target
$44.57
Street summary

Consensus Rises as Coverage Breadth Declines

The consensus price target rose to 44.57, increasing 4.06% over seven days and 20.46% over 30 days, but remained below the current price of 45.49. The consensus was unchanged over the last day, while the number of analysts fell from 6 to 3 over 30 days, making the improvement less broad in terms of the coverage base. The current range is between 37 and 55, with a median of 45, reflecting clear dispersion in estimates.

As of 2026-09-10
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+20.5%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.11
Buy
Analyst coverage
⁦9 (-3)⁩
Buy conviction
89%
High
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
36%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time9 analysts rating
2
6
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.17 → 4.11
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-09
    UBS
    Neutral
  • = Reiterate2026-08-14
    Piper Sandler
    Overweight
  • = Reiterate2026-08-14
    Benchmark
    Buy
Premium content
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-13 data

Company Overview

HeartFlow provides an artificial intelligence platform for diagnosing and managing coronary artery disease using coronary computed tomography angiography images. The company generates revenue primarily from FFRCT and Plaque analyses, while expanding the platform through Roadmap and PCI Navigator; FFRCT measures the functional impact of lesions, while Plaque identifies plaque burden and composition. In Q2 fiscal 2026, the United States accounted for $59.6 million in revenue, or approximately 93% of the total, and Plaque revenue was approximately $7.8 million, compared with $4.5 million from markets outside the United States and other revenue.

Q2 fiscal 2026 revenue was approximately $64.1 million, up 48% year over year and representing the fastest growth in eight quarters, while U.S. revenue grew 51%. Gross profit according to EDGAR reached $53.2 million, equivalent to a calculated gross margin of approximately 83.0%, while the non-GAAP margin reported on the call was 83.3% versus 75.6% in the comparable period. Despite this improvement, the company recorded a GAAP net loss of $15.7 million, or $0.18 per share.

The latest trailing-twelve-month data reflect revenue of $212.1 million and gross profit of $169.8 million, but the net loss remained elevated at $118.4 million. In Q2 fiscal 2026, the non-GAAP net loss decreased to $5.8 million from $17.6 million in the comparable period, while non-GAAP operating expenses improved to 96% of revenue versus 102%. HeartFlow ended the quarter with $246.8 million in cash and investments and is targeting cash flow profitability by mid-2028.

What's Driving the Stock

  • HeartFlow raised its fiscal 2026 revenue guidance to a range of $246–250 million, equivalent to annual growth of between 40% and 42%, following 48% revenue growth in Q2 fiscal 2026.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

Plaque revenue in Q2 fiscal 2026 increased to $7.8 million, and management raised its full-year product guidance to $29–31 million and its target for activated accounts to approximately 1,250 accounts; coverage also reached approximately 78%, while the theoretically eligible case pool extends to nearly 60% of CCTA scans.
  • FFRCT continued to record strong utilization across existing and new accounts, with the cohort of 340 benchmark accounts added during fiscal 2025 continuing to ramp. The product is applicable to approximately 33% of CCTA scans, while management indicated that the average service price in Q2 fiscal 2026 was slightly above its expectations due to customer mix.
  • The company launched Plaque Staging in July 2026 after validating it in more than 23,000 patients with follow-up of up to 16 years, and presented eight datasets at the SCCT meeting covering more than 36,000 patients. HeartFlow was also selected as the exclusive Plaque provider for the NIH-funded PREEMPT study involving 1,500 patients.
  • Management raised its fiscal 2026 non-GAAP gross margin guidance to approximately 82%, benefiting from artificial intelligence automation, operating leverage from volume, and a higher contribution from Plaque. The broader self-processing initiative remains targeted for 2027, with a medium-term non-GAAP gross margin target of 85%.
  • Three randomized trials target high-risk asymptomatic patient markets, potentially increasing the available U.S. market from approximately $5 billion to nearly $11 billion. Enrollment in the trials for patients with coronary artery calcification and patients with prior myocardial infarction or PCI begins in Q4 fiscal 2026, followed by the trial for patients with prior plaque in Q1 fiscal 2027.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +Q2 fiscal 2026 showed broad-based acceleration, with revenue increasing 48% and U.S. revenue growing 51%, alongside contributions from Plaque, FFRCT, and new accounts.
    • +The expansion of Plaque within HeartFlow’s existing installed base provides clear growth leverage; the company is targeting approximately 1,250 activated accounts and annual product revenue of between $29 million and $31 million, while actual utilization remains below the eligibility ceiling of approximately 60% of CCTA scans.
    • +The financial model improved alongside expansion, with non-GAAP gross margin increasing by 770 basis points to 83.3% and the non-GAAP operating loss narrowing to $7.9 million from $11.5 million.
    • +The evidence base supports platform adoption; HeartFlow has more than 625 peer-reviewed publications and more than 200 clinical studies, while Plaque Staging is supported by clinical validation involving more than 23,000 patients, and the company uses a database exceeding 200 million CCTA images to develop Plaque Tracker and self-processing.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −HeartFlow has not yet achieved profitability; its GAAP net loss was approximately $15.7 million in Q2 fiscal 2026 and $118.4 million during the latest trailing-twelve-month period, while it does not target cash flow profitability before mid-2028.
    • −The business is highly geographically concentrated, with $59.6 million of the $64.1 million in Q2 fiscal 2026 revenue coming from the United States, making results highly dependent on adoption, coverage, and reimbursement policies in the U.S. market.
    • −The company faces competition from traditional standard-of-care tests and other providers of FFRCT and Plaque services; CCTA still represents only approximately 11% of the noninvasive testing market according to management, so expansion depends on changing diagnostic pathways and physician behavior, not merely gaining share within a mature market.
    • −Fiscal 2026 revenue growth guidance of between 40% and 42% indicates a slower pace than the 48% growth recorded in Q2 fiscal 2026, and management incorporated the usual seasonality of the CCTA market into its second-half outlook. PCI Navigator remains in a gradual rollout phase and currently generates no direct revenue for the company, while the broader rollout was deferred to 2027.
    • −The company remains exposed to unresolved legal and regulatory matters, including an ongoing intellectual property dispute and a civil investigative demand for which management provided no new update on the August 13, 2026 call. The proposed CMS framework for artificial intelligence-enabled medical software may also evolve through a multi-year process likely extending to 2029, despite management describing the near-term 2027 reimbursement proposals as positive.
    • −No price-to-earnings ratio is available because losses continue, limiting the ability to justify the $4.1 billion market capitalization based on current earnings. The wide 52-week range of $20.13 to $51.19 also increases valuation and volatility risks, even with revenue growth and improving margins.

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus is “Buy,” with an average price target of $42.83 and a target range of $37 to $45; both the average target and the highest target are below the 52-week high of $51.19. No price-to-earnings ratio is available because of the $118.4 million net loss during the latest trailing-twelve-month period, so the valuation depends more heavily on sustaining revenue growth of between 40% and 42% and achieving the targeted path to profitability. The 52-week range of $20.13 to $51.19 indicates high sensitivity to changes in growth and margin expectations and legal risks.

    BuyAnalyst target: $42.83(-14.1%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-31; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What drove HeartFlow’s growth in Q2 fiscal 2026?

    Revenue reached $64.1 million, up 48% year over year and representing the fastest growth in eight quarters. U.S. revenue grew 51% to $59.6 million, and Plaque contributed $7.8 million. Management attributed the performance to accelerating Plaque activation and utilization, continued strength in FFRCT, the addition of new accounts, and the ramp-up of the 340-account cohort added during fiscal 2025.

    How important is Plaque to HTFL stock growth?

    Plaque generated $7.8 million in revenue in Q2 fiscal 2026, and management raised its full-year revenue guidance to $29–31 million. The company is targeting approximately 1,250 activated accounts by the end of fiscal 2026, with coverage of approximately 78% and applicability to approximately 60% of CCTA scans. HeartFlow launched Plaque Staging in July 2026 following validation involving more than 23,000 patients and follow-up of up to 16 years.

    Is HeartFlow approaching profitability?

    The company recorded a GAAP net loss of $15.7 million in Q2 fiscal 2026, compared with a non-GAAP loss of $5.8 million. The non-GAAP loss decreased by approximately two-thirds from $17.6 million in the comparable period, while the non-GAAP operating loss narrowed to $7.9 million. Management is targeting cash flow profitability by mid-2028 and says that the $246.8 million balance of cash and investments is sufficient to fund operations through profitability.

    How could asymptomatic patients expand HeartFlow’s market?

    Management estimates that expansion into high-risk asymptomatic groups could add approximately $6 billion and increase the available U.S. market to nearly $11 billion. Two trials involving patients with coronary artery calcification and patients with prior myocardial infarction or PCI begin in Q4 fiscal 2026, and a trial involving patients with prior plaque begins in Q1 fiscal 2027. Each trial will enroll approximately 300–500 patients and aims to measure changes in physician management and outcomes through LDL and soft plaque, and use of the current technology does not require new FDA clearance according to management.

    What roles do FFRCT and PCI Navigator play in HeartFlow’s platform?

    FFRCT utilization remained strong in Q2 fiscal 2026, and it is applicable to approximately 33% of CCTA scans, while a new account requires approximately one year to reach near-full utilization. The product provides lesion-specific values, and management says it is supported by published prospective validation against the invasive standard. PCI Navigator was launched in fiscal 2026 to help interventional cardiologists plan before procedures, but it is currently free and is targeting a broader rollout in 2027.

    What are the main legal and regulatory risks facing HTFL?

    HeartFlow is involved in an ongoing intellectual property dispute that management said on August 13, 2026 typically follows a multi-year path. The company also provided no new update regarding the civil investigative demand, while affirming its full cooperation. Regarding reimbursement, management described the 2027 proposals for FFRCT and Plaque as stable and positive, but the longer-term CMS framework for artificial intelligence-enabled medical software may continue evolving through 2029.