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Harmony Biosciences Holdings, Inc.
HRMY

HRMY Harmony Biosciences Holdings, Inc.

Harmony Biosciences Holdings, Inc. · NASDAQ
Market Closed
41.52
▲ ⁦+1.02%⁩ (+0.42)
Market Cap$2.4B
Beta0.93
52w Low52w High
25.5243.49
Last Week
⁦+0.65%⁩
Last Month
⁦+7.15%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+31.85%⁩
Last Year
⁦+11.70%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall99
Excellent — top fifth of the marketSuper StockF 6/9Better than 99% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
85
13.4x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
82
24.3%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
95
16.1%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
86
—2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
80
—2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
83
2.2%▼2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
45
10▲3Around median
Fair Value
Current price$42
Analyst target · 5 analysts
$45
⁦+8%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$34–$70⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$129
⁦+210%⁩
Sees it clearly undervalued
⁦8.5⁩% discount · ⁦5⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods broadly agree — estimate range ⁦$45–$129⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 5 analysts setting price target
$48.50
⁦+16.8%⁩
Current Price $41.52·Median $45.00
Low
$34.00
High
$70.00
Current price
$41.52
Average target
$48.50
Street summary

Harmony Biosciences Price Target Review Analysis

Bullish tilt

Harmony Biosciences stock has seen an improvement in analyst outlook over the past thirty days, with the average price target rising by 9.41% to reach $48.5 compared to $44.33 at the beginning of August 2026. This increase reflects positive momentum bolstered by Wolfe Research initiating coverage of the stock with an 'Outperform' rating on August 26, indicating growing confidence in the company's ability to expand, despite a wide gap in analyst estimates ranging between $34 and $70, which reflects divergent views on fair value.

As of 2026-09-02
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+5.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.64
Buy
Analyst coverage
11
Buy conviction
64%
Mixed
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
87%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time11 analysts rating
2
5
3
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.55 → 3.64
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-26
    Wolfe Research
    Outperform
  • = Reiterate2026-08-05
    UBS
    Neutral
  • = Reiterate2026-08-05
    Deutsche Bank
    Hold
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    13.35x
    3.94x44.30x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    9.94x
    4.64x37.16x
    Very cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    7.84x
    3.77x30.13x
    Very cheap
  • FCF Yield
    14.5%
    -138.2%7.8%
    Exceptional
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    24.3%
    -56.9%93.8%
    Above average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -0.3%
    -160.1%130.2%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    75.4%
    12.8%90.7%
    Strong
  • ROIC
    16.1%
    -155.3%16.0%
    Exceptional
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-04 data

Company Overview

Harmony Biosciences Holdings, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company focused on treatments for sleep-wake disorders and rare central nervous system diseases. Its business model in Q2 fiscal 2026 relies almost entirely on WAKIX, a non-scheduled treatment for narcolepsy; its net revenue reached $261.3 million, the same as the company’s total reported net revenue for the period. The company seeks to expand this franchise through the pitolisant GR and pitolisant HD formulations and to diversify its portfolio through BP-205 and Phase 3 programs in Prader-Willi syndrome and Dravet and Lennox-Gastaut syndromes.

In Q2 fiscal 2026, revenue increased 30% year over year to $261.3 million from $200.5 million and rose 21% compared with the previous quarter. Net income reached $75.4 million, or $1.28 per diluted share, compared with $39.8 million and $0.68, respectively, a year earlier, while operating expenses declined to $108.8 million from $114.2 million. Cost of products sold was 24.2% of revenue, equivalent to an implied gross margin of 75.8%, compared with a cost ratio of 19% a year earlier.

Harmony ended Q2 fiscal 2026 with cash, cash equivalents, and investments of $962.5 million, compared with debt of $155 million, giving it the capacity to fund its clinical pipeline and business development transactions. For comparison, EDGAR data for fiscal 2025 showed revenue of $868.5 million, gross profit of $670.1 million, and net income of $158.7 million, while revenue for the twelve months ended in 2026 was approximately $899.1 million and net income was $145.6 million.

What's Driving the Stock

  • WAKIX posted record quarterly revenue of $261.3 million in Q2 fiscal 2026, representing year-over-year growth of 30%, prompting management to maintain its fiscal 2026 revenue guidance of $1 billion to $1.04 billion.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

The average number of patients using WAKIX rose to 8,950, an increase of approximately 450 patients from Q1 fiscal 2026; this was the brand’s second-largest quarterly increase in seven years, while additions exceeded 400 patients in four of the last five quarters through August 4, 2026.
  • Harmony expanded its sales, field support, and reimbursement teams by approximately 20% ahead of Q2 fiscal 2026, launched a new electronic prescription portal, and modified reimbursement support procedures in a market that management estimates includes approximately 170 thousand people with narcolepsy, with a diagnosis rate below 50% and brand penetration of approximately 20%.
  • The Phase 1 single ascending dose study of BP-205, which included 72 volunteers and nine dose cohorts ranging from 0.2 to 6 milligrams, showed absorption within 30 to 75 minutes, a mean half-life of approximately 25 hours, and dose-proportional drug exposure, supporting the potential for once-daily dosing.
  • The following dated catalysts include data from the multiple-dose study of BP-205 in Q4 fiscal 2026, data from the Phase 1-b study in sleep-deprived volunteers in early 2027, and a target regulatory decision date for pitolisant GR of April 1, 2027.
  • Harmony is conducting five Phase 3 registrational studies and expects data in mid-2027 for pitolisant HD in narcolepsy and idiopathic hypersomnia, TEMPO data in Prader-Willi syndrome, and EPX-100 data in Dravet and Lennox-Gastaut syndromes.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +Harmony’s business combines profitability and growth; Q2 fiscal 2026 revenue increased 30%, and net income jumped to $75.4 million from $39.8 million, while annual WAKIX guidance was maintained at $1 billion to $1.04 billion.
    • +WAKIX still has room for penetration according to management’s estimates, as it serves an average of only 8,950 patients within a narcolepsy market of approximately 170 thousand people, while its insurance coverage exceeds 80% of covered lives and the diagnosis rate remains below 50%.
    • +The balance of $962.5 million in cash, cash equivalents, and investments, compared with $155 million of debt, provides internal funding for the clinical pipeline and potential transactions in sleep-wake disorders, epilepsy, and rare central nervous system diseases between 2028 and 2032.
    • +The pitolisant GR and pitolisant HD formulations, the BP-205 program, and five Phase 3 studies could gradually reduce the company’s reliance on WAKIX; the composition-of-matter patent for BP-205 also extends to 2043, with the potential to add a patent term extension.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Reported revenue in Q2 fiscal 2026 depends on WAKIX, as its net sales of $261.3 million equaled the company’s total reported net revenue; therefore, any decline in demand or insurance coverage or the arrival of alternative treatments could directly affect financial performance.
    • −BP-205 faces competition from other orexin-2 receptor agonists, and management acknowledged that it may not be the first to reach the market for type 1 or type 2 narcolepsy or idiopathic hypersomnia; therefore, its efficacy, safety, and once-daily dosing advantage must be demonstrated clinically, not only in early pharmacokinetic data.
    • −Cost of products sold increased to 24.2% of Q2 fiscal 2026 revenue from 19% a year earlier, primarily due to new royalties associated with the Novitium licensing agreement; this reduced the implied gross margin from 81% to 75.8% despite revenue growth.
    • −BP-205 remains at an early stage, and cases of insomnia and frequent urination appeared in the 15-day multiple-dose study, although management described them as transient and neither severe nor persistent; incidence and discontinuation rates were also unavailable during the August 4, 2026 call, leaving the tolerability profile incomplete until detailed data are released.
    • −The clinical pipeline carries timing and execution risks; data from the TEMPO study in Prader-Willi syndrome were delayed until mid-2027 because of the disease’s limited prevalence and the difficulty patients faced in meeting the sleepiness criterion, while several other programs depend on readouts scheduled for 2027 and regulatory decisions expected in 2028.
    • −WAKIX exclusivity remains subject to a legal dispute with one generic drug applicant following settlements with six of seven applicants; Harmony is defending the 197 and 947 patents in one lawsuit and, together with Novitium, filed another lawsuit against AET Pharma US and Sandoz concerning the 920 patent, despite management’s confidence that exclusivity will continue through March 2030.

    Valuation

    The average analyst price target is $48.5, compared with a wide target range of $34 to $70 and a consensus rating of “Buy”; the average target is approximately 19% above the 52-week range high of $40.87, while the lowest target is approximately 17% below it. No published price-to-earnings ratio is available in the provided data, so the valuation rests on continued WAKIX growth and clinical pipeline success, while the wide target range reflects uncertainty surrounding revenue concentration, competition, clinical results, and the exclusivity dispute.

    BuyAnalyst target: $48.5(+16.8%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-01; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What is the main revenue driver for HRMY stock?

    WAKIX is Harmony’s main commercial driver and generated net sales of $261.3 million in Q2 fiscal 2026, equal to the company’s total reported net revenue. Its sales increased 30% year over year and 21% compared with the previous quarter, while the average patient count reached 8,950. Management maintained its fiscal 2026 WAKIX revenue guidance of $1 billion to $1.04 billion.

    Why is BP-205 important to Harmony’s growth story?

    BP-205 is an orexin-2 receptor agonist that Harmony is developing for sleep-wake disorders and broader central nervous system indications. In the Phase 1 study reported on August 4, 2026, the drug showed a time to maximum concentration of 30 to 75 minutes and a mean half-life of approximately 25 hours, with no serious or severe treatment-related events recorded in the single-dose study. Defined milestones include multiple-dose data in Q4 fiscal 2026, a readout from the sleep-deprived volunteer study in early 2027, and the initiation of multiple Phase 2 studies in mid-2027.

    Does Harmony have sufficient funding to develop its drug pipeline?

    Harmony ended Q2 fiscal 2026 with cash, cash equivalents, and investments of $962.5 million, compared with debt of $155 million. The quarter generated net income of $75.4 million, or $1.28 per diluted share, and management indicated that it expects cash flow to remain strong. The company intends to direct liquidity toward BP-205, pitolisant programs, and EPX-100, as well as potential licensing or acquisition transactions in central nervous system diseases.

    When is the expected protection for WAKIX set to expire?

    Management says its multilayered patent strategy supports WAKIX exclusivity through March 2030, including six months of pediatric exclusivity that the company expects to obtain. Harmony reached settlements with six of the seven generic drug applicants, but it remains involved in two legal proceedings with the remaining applicant and its marketing partner. The company also filed patents for the pitolisant GR and pitolisant HD formulations that could extend the pitolisant franchise into the 2040s, but the continuation of current exclusivity remains tied to the outcomes of the ongoing disputes.

    What other key clinical programs should HRMY followers monitor?

    The regulator accepted the pitolisant GR filing for full review, and the company set April 1, 2027 as the target decision date. Harmony expects results in 2027 from the two ONSTRIDE studies of pitolisant HD, TEMPO results in Prader-Willi syndrome, and results from the ARGUS and LIGHTHOUSE studies of EPX-100 in Dravet and Lennox-Gastaut syndromes. These programs represent five Phase 3 registrational studies, with regulatory decisions expected for some pitolisant HD and EPX-100 programs in 2028.

    What is the clearest financial risk in the Q2 fiscal 2026 results?

    The most prominent risk is revenue concentration in WAKIX, which generated $261.3 million and equaled total reported quarterly revenue. Cost of products sold also increased from 19% to 24.2% of revenue due to new royalties under the Novitium agreement, reducing the implied gross margin to 75.8%. Reducing this concentration depends on the success of BP-205, the pitolisant formulations, and other clinical programs, with most of their critical milestones scheduled between 2027 and 2028.