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Stocks
HP Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall92
Excellent — top fifth of the marketSuper StockF 6/9DistressBetter than 92% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
88
13.5x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
33
8.1%▲7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
73
28.6%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
60
1.5x▲2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
75
3.36%▲2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
91
1.5%▼2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
49
9▲3Around median
HPQ

HPQ HP Inc.

HP Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
35.48
▲ ⁦+8.40%⁩ (+2.75)
Market Cap$32.4B
Beta1.21
52w Low52w High
17.5636.23
Last Week
⁦+10.91%⁩
Last Month
⁦+22.05%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+43.70%⁩
Last Year
⁦+22.18%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$35
Analyst target · 5 analysts
$26
⁦-28%⁩
See it clearly overvalued
Range ⁦$19–$33⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$47
⁦+32%⁩
Sees it clearly undervalued
⁦9.7⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$26–$47⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 5 analysts setting price target
$25.75
⁦-27.4%⁩
Current Price $35.48·Median $25.50
Low
$19.00
High
$33.00
Current price
$35.48
Average target
$25.75
Street summary

Improvement in consensus while dispersion remains high

The consensus price target rose from 19.83 to 25.75 over the last 30 days, an increase of 5.92 or 29.85%, and also increased by 4.21% over the last 7 days. The number of analysts did not change, and there was no adjustment over the last day. The current range is between 19 and 33, with a median of 25.5, reflecting clear dispersion in estimates compared with the current price of 35.48.

As of 2026-09-11
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+29.9%⁩
Average rating
★ 2.71
Hold
Analyst coverage
17
Buy conviction
12%
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
39%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time17 analysts rating
2
10
3
2
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.17 → 2.71
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-11
    RBC Capital
    Sector PerformOutperform
  • = Reiterate2026-09-10
    RBC Capital
    Sector Perform
  • = Reiterate2026-08-28
    Barclays
    Underweight
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    13.49x
    6.87x54.92x
    Very cheap
  • Forward P/E
    11.74x
    5.19x41.53x
    Very cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    9.19x
    4.52x36.15x
    Very cheap
  • FCF Yield
    12.1%
    -54.8%10.8%
    Exceptional
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    8.1%
    -18.1%66.5%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -4.0%
    -155.3%193.7%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    19.9%
    12.9%79.5%
    Below average
  • ROIC
    28.6%
    -63.6%26.5%
    Exceptional
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    1.49x
    0.26x3.22x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    3.4%
    0.0%3.9%
    High
  • Payout Ratio
    44.7%
    4.4%96.7%
    Moderate
  • Altman Z-Score
    1.69
    -10.9113.66
    Above average
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-26 data

Company Overview

HP Inc. operates through two main pillars: Personal Systems and Printing. Personal Systems includes commercial and consumer PCs, premium PCs, workstations, AI PCs, as well as peripherals and services such as WXP; commercial activity accounted for more than 70% of this segment's revenue in Q3 FY2026, while adjacent businesses generated approximately one-third of the segment's total profit. In Printing, the company generates revenue from hardware, supplies, subscriptions, and industrial printing, with a focus on tank printers that generate profit upfront and AI-powered solutions.

In Q3 FY2026, HP reported record third-quarter revenue of $15.7 billion, up 13% year over year according to the earnings call and up 12.5% according to the provided news, marking the ninth consecutive quarter of revenue growth. Net income according to EDGAR was approximately $661 million, GAAP earnings per share were $0.71, while adjusted earnings per share were $0.83, including $0.11 from tariff refunds. Adjusted gross margin was 18.8% and operating margin was 6.5%, with gross profit according to EDGAR of $2.9 billion.

Personal Systems was the primary mix driver, generating record third-quarter revenue of $11.8 billion and year-over-year growth of 18%, equivalent to approximately 75% of HP's total revenue, while its operating margin was 4.6%. Commercial Systems revenue increased 22% and Consumer Systems revenue increased 10%, but unit volumes declined, meaning pricing, a higher-value mix, and services offset lower volumes. Printing revenue declined 2%, and Supplies revenue declined 4% in constant currency, while Printing operating margin was 18.1%, benefiting significantly from tariff refunds.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Personal Systems growth of 18% lifted Q3 FY2026 revenue to $15.7 billion; the commercial category recorded growth of 22% and the consumer category 10%, with the commercial category accounting for more than 70% of segment revenue.
  • AI PCs represented 46% of the shipment mix in Q3 FY2026, and HP expects them to reach 50% by the end of FY2026, then 60%–70% in FY2027 and more than 70% in FY2028. The company also gained 2.6 points of premium PC share and 1.8 points of workstation share.
  • The new product wave includes HP ZGX Fury for running AI models locally, OmniBook Ultra 6 powered by the NVIDIA RTX Spark platform, and OmniDesk Mini, in addition to integrating HP Poly Lens into WXP. In June 2026, the company expanded Precise Print to more than 150 countries and says the service reduces paper use by up to 38% and ink use by up to 47%.
  • In Q3 FY2026, HP signed a three-year, $100 million strategic agreement with RRD for industrial printing and automation, and on August 26, 2026, it announced a multiyear cross-licensing agreement with Huawei covering Wi-Fi 7 patents.
  • Management raised the adjusted earnings per share range for FY2026 to $3.19–$3.29 from $2.90–$3.10 and raised its free cash flow outlook to $3.0–$3.2 billion. This followed the generation of approximately $1.6 billion in free cash flow in Q3 and more than $2.5 billion during the first nine months of FY2026.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Personal Systems growth of 18%, with commercial up 22% and consumer up 10%, provides numerical evidence of HP's ability to shift demand toward higher-value devices, even as the number of units sold declined.
  • +The rise in AI PCs to 46% of shipments, alongside expectations that they will reach 60%–70% in FY2027, positions HP to improve its mix through premium devices, workstations, and adjacent services, which already generate approximately one-third of Personal Systems' total profit.
  • +The company generated approximately $1.6 billion in free cash flow in Q3 FY2026 and raised its full-year outlook to $3.0–$3.2 billion, while committing to return approximately 100% of free cash flow to shareholders over time as long as gross leverage remains below two times and there are no opportunities with better returns.
  • +HP has growth avenues beyond traditional PCs, including the $100 million RRD agreement, 12 consecutive quarters of industrial printing revenue growth, 42% growth in tank printer units, and the expansion of Precise Print to more than 150 countries.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The average analyst target is $24.71, within a wide range of $19 to $32, and the overall consensus remains Neutral. The average target is approximately 23% below the 52-week range high of $32.19 and approximately 41% above its low of $17.56, illustrating the breadth of the stock's rerating range. Underperform ratings from Bank of America Securities and a Sell rating from Goldman Sachs temper the optimistic implication of the average target, particularly amid declining units and pressure on margins from memory costs.

HoldAnalyst target: $24.71(-30.4%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-28; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove HPQ's growth in Q3 FY2026?

HP's revenue was approximately $15.7 billion, with year-over-year growth of 13% according to the earnings call, driven primarily by an 18% increase in Personal Systems revenue to $11.8 billion. Commercial revenue grew 22% and consumer revenue grew 10%, with the commercial category accounting for more than 70% of segment revenue. Growth came despite declining units, as price increases, a higher-value mix, and adjacent services offset volume weakness.

How important are AI PCs to HPQ's business?

AI PCs represented 46% of HP's shipment mix in Q3 FY2026, and the company expects them to reach 50% by the end of FY2026. HP is targeting a mix of 60%–70% in FY2027 and more than 70% in FY2028. This direction is supported by products such as HP ZGX Fury and OmniBook Ultra 6, in addition to work with more than 150 software company partners to develop use cases that run locally on devices.

Did HPQ's FY2026 outlook improve?

HP raised its FY2026 adjusted earnings per share outlook to a range of $3.19–$3.29, compared with the previous range of $2.90–$3.10. The new range includes a positive impact of $0.19 from estimated tariff refunds. The company also raised its free cash flow outlook to $3.0–$3.2 billion after generating more than $2.5 billion during the first nine months of FY2026.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • −Approximately 75% of Q3 FY2026 revenue depends on the Personal Systems segment, making results highly sensitive to component prices, the PC replacement cycle, and customers' ability to absorb price increases.
  • −Personal Systems margin declined to 4.6% and fell below the long-term range due to higher memory and storage costs and variable compensation; management expects the Q4 FY2026 margin to be below the Q3 level, with input costs continuing to rise in FY2027, albeit at a slower pace.
  • −Personal Systems unit volume declined despite segment revenue growth of 18%, and HP's outlook aligns with an expected PC unit market decline in the high teens during the second half of 2026. The company also expects below-seasonal revenue performance in Q4 FY2026, highlighting the risk to demand elasticity from price increases.
  • −Printing faces a competitive market and structural pressure on volumes; segment revenue declined 2%, Supplies declined 4% in constant currency, and commercial revenue declined 1%, with particular weakness in the office market in North America and China. Management also expects the printing hardware market to decline by mid-single digits during the second half of 2026.
  • −The FY2026 earnings per share outlook includes a positive impact of $0.19 from estimated tariff refunds, while Q3 adjusted earnings per share included an impact of $0.11. Although earnings exceeded the high end of guidance even excluding the quarterly benefit, tariff refunds remain a nonrecurring factor that supported earnings and Printing margins.
  • −Analyst consensus remains Neutral with a wide target range of $19 to $32, while Bank of America Securities maintained an Underperform rating and Goldman Sachs maintained a Sell rating. This divergence reflects concerns about the sustainability of revenue growth amid declining units and margin pressure, and also makes the valuation vulnerable to changes in earnings expectations.
  • What is the biggest pressure on HPQ's margins after Q3 FY2026?

    The primary pressures are higher memory and storage costs and the flow-through of higher-cost inventory to the income statement. Personal Systems operating margin was 4.6%, below the long-term range, and management expects the Q4 FY2026 margin to be lower than the Q3 margin. The mitigation plan relies on repricing, qualifying new suppliers, redesigning products, improving platforms, and increasing the mix of premium PCs and adjacent services.

    How is HPQ's Printing business performing?

    Printing revenue declined 2% in Q3 FY2026, while Supplies revenue fell 4% in constant currency amid a competitive market and declining volumes. In contrast, tank printer units increased 42%, industrial printing recorded its twelfth consecutive quarter of revenue growth, and HP signed a three-year, $100 million agreement with RRD. Printing operating margin was 18.1%, but it benefited significantly from tariff refunds and was at the low end of the long-term range after excluding this benefit.