EL7.AI
Strategy BuilderCOT DataAdvanced NewsResearchNewEarnings CalendarEconomic Calendar
We use cookiesPrivacy Policy
EL7.AIEL7.AI

AI Financial Intelligence
Professional analysis of central bank decisions

© 2026 EL7.AI. All rights reserved.

Markets

  • News
  • Forex
  • Stocks
  • Crypto
  • Gold
  • Commodities
  • Indices
  • ETFs

Analysis

  • Fed
  • ECB
  • BLS
  • COT
  • Economic Calendar

Learn

  • Service Guide
  • Oil

Company

  • About
  • Contact
  • Data Methodology
  • AI Disclosure
  • Pricing
  • Enterprise
  • Terms
  • Privacy
  • Security
  • WhatsApp
Status data is currently unavailable

The information provided on EL7.AI is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.

Home
Stocks
Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall87
Excellent — top fifth of the marketHigh FlyerF 4/9DistressBetter than 87% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
49
32.0x▼17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
91
26.6%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
63
5.6%▲4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
56
2.0x▲2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
39
0.89%▼2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
99
132.7%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
45
12▲3Around median
HPE

HPE Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company

Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company · NYSE
Market Closed
62.09
▲ ⁦+12.42%⁩ (+6.86)
Market Cap$82.2B
Beta1.44
52w Low52w High
19.8464.25
Last Week
⁦+19.79%⁩
Last Month
⁦+14.17%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+36.48%⁩
Last Year
⁦+159.99%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$62
Analyst target · 6 analysts
$68
⁦+9%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$54–$86⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$48
⁦-23%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦10.8⁩% discount · ⁦9⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$48–$68⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

Compare in the screener
Premium content

Get Your Premium Account Now

  • Stock Deep Analysis
  • The Advanced News Platform
Recommended
Annual plan
$17/mo
Monthly plan
$29/mo

Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 6 analysts setting price target
$67.75
⁦+9.1%⁩
Current Price $62.09·Median $67.50
Low
$54.00
High
$86.00
Current price
$62.09
Average target
$67.75
Street summary

Target stability with a slight decline in consensus

The consensus target price did not change over the last day or seven days, remaining at 67.75 with six analysts. Over 30 days, the consensus declined from 69.13 to 67.75, a decrease of 1.38 or 2%, coinciding with an increase in the number of analysts from five to six; this suggests a slightly more conservative bias despite the consensus remaining above the current price of 55.23. The range between 54 and 86 also reflects a wide divergence in estimates.

As of 2026-09-10
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-2.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.86
Buy
Analyst coverage
⁦22 (+1)⁩
New coverage
Buy conviction
64%
Mixed
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
52%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time22 analysts rating
5
9
8
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.64 → 3.86
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-03
    Piper Sandler
    Neutral
  • = Reiterate2026-09-03
    Jefferies
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-09-03
    Barclays
    Overweight
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    32.00x
    6.87x54.92x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    15.54x
    5.19x41.53x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    16.11x
    4.52x36.15x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    5.0%
    -54.8%10.8%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    26.6%
    -18.1%66.5%
    Above average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    128.2%
    -155.3%193.7%
    Strong
  • Gross Margin
    36.0%
    12.9%79.5%
    Near median
  • ROIC
    5.6%
    -63.6%26.5%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    1.95x
    0.26x3.22x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    0.9%
    0.0%3.9%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    26.5%
    4.4%96.7%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    1.50
    -10.9113.66
    Above average
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-09-02 data

Company Overview

Hewlett Packard Enterprise sells infrastructure and technology solutions to enterprises, sovereign entities, and cloud service providers, and organizes its business into two main segments: Networking and Cloud & AI. The Networking segment includes Campus & Branch solutions, routing, data center switching, security, and AI-powered network operating software, while Cloud & AI includes traditional servers, AI systems, storage, private cloud, and GreenLake services; HPE Financial Services also provides financing that helps customers make infrastructure and AI investments.

In the third quarter of fiscal 2026, record revenue reached $12.2 billion, up 34% year over year, while net income according to EDGAR data was approximately $1.5 billion and GAAP earnings per share were $1.06. The company also reported a non-GAAP gross margin exceeding 40%, non-GAAP operating profit of $2 billion, an operating margin of 16.2%, adjusted earnings per share of $1.11, and free cash flow of $958 million.

Cloud & AI accounted for most of the quarterly mix, with revenue of $9 billion, growth of 25%, and an operating margin of 17%, supported by 35% growth in server revenue and AI systems revenue approaching $1.6 billion. The Networking segment generated revenue of $2.9 billion, up 10% on a normalized basis, with an operating margin of 22%; within the segment, Campus & Branch grew 8%, routing grew 23%, and security grew 12%, while data center networking revenue declined 6% due to shipment timing related to supply constraints.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Orders accelerated by 42% on a normalized basis in the third quarter of fiscal 2026, outpacing revenue growth, and the company recorded the highest orders and backlog in its history; AI systems orders also rose to $2.4 billion, up more than 30% sequentially, while their backlog increased 14% to a record level.
  • Networks for AI orders reached a quarterly record of $700 million, with triple-digit growth, and cumulative orders reached $2.2 billion, exceeding the fiscal 2026 target; HPE therefore raised its fiscal 2026 year-end target to a range of $2.5 billion to $3 billion.
  • HPE expanded its collaboration with Oracle to supply HPE Juniper routers and switches for a multiyear global buildout of multi-gigawatt AI infrastructure, using QFX products, AI-powered network operating software, and the Express 5-based PTX routing platform. After the end of the third quarter of fiscal 2026, the company also secured a $3.5 billion inference server deal with a hyperscaler customer for internal use.
  • The acquisition of Juniper Networks expanded the networking growth engine, with the plan to achieve annualized savings of $600 million by the end of fiscal 2028 remaining on track, while management said execution and integration costs were better than planned. In August 2026, a U.S. federal court approved the settlement with the Department of Justice, and Networking revenue in the second quarter of fiscal 2026 rose 148.2%, according to the provided news.
  • Management raised its outlook for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026 to revenue of $13.9 billion to $14.8 billion and adjusted earnings per share of $1.20 to $1.30, and raised its fiscal 2026 free cash flow forecast to at least $3.75 billion. For fiscal 2027, it expects consolidated revenue growth of 13% to 17%, earnings per share of $4.40 to $4.60, and free cash flow of at least $5 billion.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +HPE combines broad-based demand growth with improving operating profitability: revenue in the third quarter of fiscal 2026 rose 34%, non-GAAP operating profit reached $2 billion, and operating margin expanded 290 basis points sequentially to 16.2%. Net income according to EDGAR also increased from $624 million in the second quarter of fiscal 2026 to $1.5 billion in the third quarter of fiscal 2026.
  • +The integration of Juniper gives the company increasing exposure to higher-margin AI networking infrastructure, as Networking orders grew at 3.5 times the rate of its revenue and the segment's operating margin reached 22%. The Oracle deal, QFX and PTX products, and the direct liquid-cooled Tomahawk 6 switch support the opportunity to expand in AI data centers.
  • +AI growth extends beyond specialized system sales to traditional servers, storage, and private cloud; server revenue grew 35%, storage revenue increased 10%, and PCAI orders posted triple-digit growth in the third quarter of fiscal 2026. The number of GreenLake customers also grew 18% to 52,000, compared with 44,000 a year earlier.
  • +Cash generation and deleveraging capacity improved, as HPE generated operating cash flow of $1.6 billion and free cash flow of $958 million in the third quarter of fiscal 2026, and ended the quarter with a net leverage ratio of 1.8 times, below its target of 2 times. The company plans to return at least 75% of free cash flow to shareholders in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026.

Valuation

The average analyst target is $67.75, within a wide range of $54 to $86, compared with the stock's 52-week range of $19.84 to $64.25; the average target therefore sits slightly above the top of the 52-week range, while the highest target exceeds that high by a greater margin. The Buy consensus supports the growth outlook, but Morgan Stanley's reduction of its target from $71 to $69 adds a degree of caution, while the P/E multiple of 25.8 times and EV/EBITDA of 17.4 times cited in the September 2, 2026 news indicate that the valuation assumes continued AI growth and conversion of the record backlog into earnings and cash despite the expected moderation in margins.

BuyAnalyst target: $67.75(+9.1%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-04; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove HPE's results in the third quarter of fiscal 2026?

Revenue reached $12.2 billion, up 34% year over year, driven by traditional servers, AI systems, and Networking. Cloud & AI generated revenue of $9 billion, while Networking recorded $2.9 billion. Adjusted earnings per share were $1.11 and GAAP earnings per share were $1.06, with free cash flow of $958 million.

How large was HPE's AI business in the third quarter of fiscal 2026?

AI systems revenue was approximately $1.6 billion, while orders reached $2.4 billion, up more than 30% sequentially. The backlog for these systems increased 14% to a record level, while management said the potential order pipeline was several times the backlog. After the quarter ended, HPE secured a $3.5 billion inference server deal with a hyperscaler customer for internal use.

How does the Juniper Networks acquisition change HPE's business mix?

Juniper expands HPE's presence in Campus & Branch, routing, data center switching, and AI-powered networking. In the third quarter of fiscal 2026, Networking revenue was $2.9 billion and its operating margin was 22%, while orders grew 36%, approximately 3.5 times the rate of revenue growth. HPE aims to achieve annualized savings of $600 million by the end of fiscal 2028, while QFX and PTX products and the Oracle deal support expansion in AI infrastructure.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

  • −Supply constraints remain the clearest operational obstacle, including DDR5, DDR4, NAND, and components tied to chip production capacity; they have already caused data center networking revenue to decline 6% despite strong orders. HPE doubled its networking component purchase commitments sequentially and increased inventory to $11.8 billion, raising the amount of capital tied up in inventory and cost risks if backlog conversion into revenue is delayed.
  • −Management expects gross margin to decline from the level exceeding 40% in the third quarter of fiscal 2026 toward historical levels because of a higher AI systems mix and normalization in traditional server pricing. It also expects Cloud & AI margin to fall from 17% in the third quarter to the mid-teens in the fourth quarter, then to approximately 13% in fiscal 2027, illustrating that high revenue growth does not guarantee the persistence of exceptional quarterly margins.
  • −Achieving the fiscal 2027 outlook depends partly on converting large deals and record backlog into shipments, including the $3.5 billion inference deal with a hyperscaler customer and the beginning of the Oracle deal within the outlook for both segments. Any delay in component availability or execution of these deals could widen the existing gap between orders and revenue.
  • −The P/E multiple of 25.8 times and EV/EBITDA of 17.4 times, as reported in the September 2, 2026 news, reflect a valuation that requires continued growth and backlog conversion into cash despite expectations of moderating margins. The valuation could therefore come under pressure if HPE fails to achieve the projected fiscal 2027 revenue growth of 13% to 17% or its free cash flow target of at least $5 billion.
  • −Although Morgan Stanley upgraded HPE on August 10, 2026 from Equal-weight to Overweight, the bank lowered its price target from $71 to $69. This modest reduction does not negate the positive view, but it shows that even the bullish valuation has become more cautious following the stock's rise and the market's increased sensitivity to margin sustainability.
  • −Net insider transactions during the three months ending with the latest transaction on July 22, 2026 were negative $3.1 million, with three sales and no purchases. This remains a weak signal on its own because insider sales may have been prearranged, and the context provides no evidence to the contrary.
What is HPE's outlook for fiscal 2027?

Management expects consolidated revenue growth of 13% to 17% in fiscal 2027, with Networking growth of 14% to 17% and Cloud & AI growth of 14% to 18%. It expects earnings per share of $4.40 to $4.60, operating profit growth of 14% to 18%, and a consolidated operating margin of 14% to 15%. It also targets free cash flow of at least $5 billion, representing expected annual growth of 33%.

Why might HPE's margins decline despite strong demand?

Management expects gross margin to moderate after exceeding 40% in the third quarter of fiscal 2026 because the sales mix will shift more heavily toward AI systems and because traditional server pricing and deal mix will normalize. It also expects Cloud & AI margin to decline from 17% in the third quarter to the mid-teens in the fourth quarter, then to approximately 13% in fiscal 2027. A higher Networking mix, Juniper savings, and the Catalyst program may offset some of this pressure, but they do not eliminate management's guidance for moderation.

What is the biggest obstacle to converting HPE's orders into revenue?

The primary obstacle is shortages of DDR5, DDR4, NAND, and other components affected by chip production capacity, constraints that management said on September 2, 2026 would persist. Due to supply-related shipment timing, data center networking revenue declined 6% in the third quarter of fiscal 2026 despite high-double-digit order growth in routing and data center switching. To address this, HPE entered into multiyear supply agreements, doubled its networking purchase commitments sequentially, and increased inventory to $11.8 billion.