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Stocks
Helmerich & Payne, Inc.
HP

HP Helmerich & Payne, Inc.

Helmerich & Payne, Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
44.04
▼ ⁦-1.17%⁩ (-0.52)
Market Cap$4.5B
Beta0.62
52w Low52w High
19.5048.17
Last Week
⁦-7.56%⁩
Last Month
⁦+18.80%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+12.26%⁩
Last Year
⁦+117.80%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall54
Balanced — near the middle of the marketTurnaroundF 5/9Grey zoneBetter than 54% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
71
—17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
41
16.6%▲7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
19
0.1%▼4.5%Bottom tier
▸
Safety
56
2.2x▲2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
37
0.57%▼2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
92
68.3%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
41
8▲3Around median
Fair Value
Current price$44
Analyst target · 3 analysts
$43
⁦-2%⁩
See it fairly priced
Range ⁦$41–$50⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$43
⁦-2%⁩
Sees it fairly priced
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦3⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods broadly agree — estimate range ⁦$43–$43⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 3 analysts setting price target
$44.50
⁦+1.0%⁩
Current Price $44.04·Median $43.00
Low
$41.00
High
$50.00
Current price
$44.04
Average target
$44.50
Street summary

Slight Increase in Consensus with Clear Divergence

The consensus price target rose from 43.6 to 44.5 over the last 7 days, and from 42.6 to 44.5 over the last 30 days, while remaining unchanged over the last day. The 30-day increase coincided with a rise in the number of analysts from two to three, which partially supports the improvement in consensus, but the current price of 44.04 remains very close to the consensus. The range between 41 and 50 also reflects noticeable dispersion, with a median of 43, indicating differing estimates of fair value.

As of 2026-09-11
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+4.5%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.63
Buy
Analyst coverage
⁦16 (+1)⁩
New coverage
Buy conviction
44%
Mixed
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
20%
Analyst ratings over time16 analysts rating
4
3
8
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.63 → 3.63
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-10
    RBC Capital
    Sector Perform
  • = Reiterate2026-09-04
    Citigroup
    Neutral
  • = Reiterate2026-08-20
    Morgan Stanley
    Underweight
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    —
    —
  • Forward P/E
    33.22x
    3.36x26.89x
    Expensive
  • EV / EBITDA
    7.67x
    2.12x16.98x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    7.2%
    -21.0%15.7%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    16.6%
    -19.7%63.1%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -314.7%
    -141.8%256.7%
    Weak
  • Gross Margin
    9.6%
    7.8%72.1%
    Weak
  • ROIC
    0.1%
    -12.7%20.6%
    Near median
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    2.17x
    0.40x3.19x
    Near median
  • Dividend Yield
    0.6%
    0.4%10.1%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    2.11
    -1.814.34
    Above average
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-06 data

Company Overview

Helmerich & Payne provides onshore and offshore drilling solutions through three operating segments: North America Solutions, International Solutions, and Offshore Solutions. The company relies on its high-specification FlexRig fleet and automation technologies such as FlexRobotics and automated drilling applications, generating revenue and margins from rig operations, performance-based contracts, and offshore asset management contracts. North America Solutions was the most important operating driver in Q3 fiscal 2026, while Argentina, Saudi Arabia, and Bahrain added international diversification, and the offshore business provided stable cash flows with limited capital requirements.

In Q3 fiscal 2026, revenue exceeded $1 billion, up 11% sequentially, while net income reached $75.7 million and diluted earnings per share were $0.74. However, the sale of Utica Square supported the reported result; after excluding this effect and certain other items, the company recorded an adjusted loss of $0.11 per share. Free cash flow was $98 million, adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization were $236 million, and total capital expenditures were $70 million.

North America Solutions direct margin reached $241 million, with an average of 142 contracted rigs and a daily margin of $18.7 thousand, up more than $1,000 sequentially. International Solutions generated a direct margin of $31 million, supported by Latin America, while Offshore Solutions recorded $29 million with a contribution from performance bonuses, three active rigs, and 30 management contracts. All three operating segments exceeded the midpoint of their direct-margin guidance ranges during Q3 fiscal 2026.

What's Driving the Stock

  • The company raised its average North America Solutions rig guidance for fiscal 2026 to a range of 140–144 rigs and expects an average of between 145 and 151 rigs and a direct margin of between $245 million and $255 million in Q4 fiscal 2026, after exiting the previous quarter with 147 rigs operating in the contiguous United States.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • Utilization of the super-spec rig fleet reached approximately 95%, and Helmerich & Payne added ten rigs in Q3 fiscal 2026 while increasing daily margin to $18.7 thousand. It still has approximately ten rigs that can be returned to work quickly with maintenance capital expenditures of $1 million or less per rig, theoretically allowing it to reach 160 operating rigs in the contiguous United States or move some of them to international markets.
  • The company is expanding in Vaca Muerta from nine operating rigs and an approximately 25% market share to 15 contracted FlexRig rigs; the tenth and eleventh rigs were planned to begin operating by the end of August 2026, followed by the export of three rigs from the United States under multiyear contracts. The company also drilled a well in the basin 13% faster than the operator's previous record and 15% below its budget, and deployed the AutoSlide application without any manual sliding operations.
  • FlexRobotics continued its transition to commercial operations, with the second package entering service on a rig for a major global oil customer in the Permian. Management reported that the first robotic rig became the best-performing rig in the customer's fleet, which numbers in the high twenties, with a plan to reach five deployed robotic rigs by February 2027.
  • The company signed agreements for three additional rigs in geothermal energy projects within the United States and expects approximately six rigs in its U.S. operations, alongside existing activity in Europe and margins comparable to those in the contiguous United States. It also secured a contract for a third rig in Australia and renewed an offshore contract in Norway for four years worth several million dollars.
  • Enterprise improvement initiatives target an annualized reduction of $40 million in corporate costs and proceeds of more than $160 million from asset sales by the end of fiscal 2027. The company repaid a $400 million term loan ahead of schedule and is focused on repaying a $350 million note due at the end of 2027 and reducing net debt to one times earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case5 pts

    • +A tight super-spec rig market, with utilization near 95% and U.S. activity increasing to an expected range of between 145 and 151 rigs in Q4 fiscal 2026, provides a foundation for improved pricing and the sustainability of North America Solutions margin near $250 million per quarter under management's framework.
    • +The contracted expansion in Vaca Muerta represents a clear international driver; the company is moving from nine operating rigs to 15 FlexRig rigs under multiyear contracts, with documented performance from a well completed 13% faster and 15% below budget.
    • +FlexRobotics and automated drilling give the company a way to differentiate its fleet beyond increasing the number of rigs, as the first robotic rig became the customer's best-performing rig, while AutoSlide was used in Vaca Muerta without manual sliding operations.
    • +Free cash flow of $98 million in Q3 fiscal 2026 supports the deleveraging plan, while annual corporate savings of $40 million and asset sales exceeding $160 million could provide additional capacity to repay the $350 million 2027 note.
    • +Portfolio diversification reduces some of the cyclicality of U.S. activity; International Solutions generated a direct margin of $31 million and Offshore Solutions generated $29 million in Q3 fiscal 2026, with a Norwegian offshore contract renewed for four years and expansion in Argentina and geothermal energy.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −The company's underlying profitability remains weaker than its reported net income; despite recording $75.7 million and earnings per share of $0.74 in Q3 fiscal 2026, excluding the gain from the sale of Utica Square and certain items resulted in an adjusted loss of $0.11 per share. The net loss for the twelve months ended in 2026 was also approximately $375.4 million, following an annual loss of $163.7 million in fiscal 2025.
    • −International activity remains exposed to conflict in the Middle East and supply-chain constraints; rigs in Iraq and Bahrain remained suspended during Q3 fiscal 2026, and rig reactivations in Saudi Arabia slowed. The wide international direct-margin guidance range for Q4 fiscal 2026, between $25 million and $45 million, reflects the variation in potential outcomes associated with the conflict.
    • −Some of the strength in Q3 fiscal 2026 margins depends on irregular performance bonuses; these bonuses contributed to North America Solutions' daily margin of $18.7 thousand and to the offshore segment exceeding the high end of its guidance range. Management acknowledged that the timing of bonuses is volatile, which could make the repeatability of quarterly profitability less clear even as the number of rigs rises.
    • −Expectations for continued U.S. activity and improvement in fiscal 2027 depend on commodity prices remaining supportive, while management described visibility as limited due to oil volatility and the conflict in the Middle East. The price sensitivity of private and smaller operators could renew pressure on demand if their budget assumptions weaken.
    • −The deleveraging plan requires the simultaneous execution of several elements, including repaying a $350 million note at the end of 2027, reducing corporate costs by an annualized $40 million, and completing asset sales exceeding $160 million by the end of fiscal 2027. Expected cash tax payments for fiscal 2026 were also raised to a range of $150–180 million, while capital expenditure guidance remained between $270 million and $310 million.

    Valuation

    The average analyst price target is $43.6, within a relatively narrow range of $41 to $50, and the average is close to the upper end of the 52-week range of $45, while the consensus remains Neutral. No meaningful price-to-earnings multiple is available in the data because the net result for the twelve months ended in 2026 was a loss of $375.4 million and earnings per share were approximately negative $3.76; therefore, the valuation depends more heavily on a recovery in earnings and free cash flow and the execution of debt and cost reductions than on stable realized earnings.

    HoldAnalyst target: $43.6(-1.0%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-31; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What drove the improvement in HP's Q3 fiscal 2026 results?

    Revenue exceeded $1 billion, up 11% sequentially, and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization reached $236 million. North America Solutions led the improvement with an average of 142 rigs and a direct margin of $241 million, including a daily margin of $18.7 thousand. International Solutions also added $31 million of direct margin, and Offshore Solutions added $29 million. Nevertheless, reported earnings per share of $0.74 benefited from the sale of Utica Square, while the adjusted loss was $0.11 per share after excluding selected items.

    How important is Helmerich & Payne's expansion in Vaca Muerta?

    The company was operating nine rigs in Vaca Muerta with an approximately 25% market share at the August 6, 2026 call. It contracted the last idle FlexRig rig in Argentina and three additional rigs that will be exported from the United States, raising the planned total to 15 rigs. Operating efficiency supports this expansion, as a well was completed 13% faster than the operator's previous record and 15% below its budget. The company also deployed AutoSlide in a way that eliminated manual sliding operations in the cited application.

    How could FlexRobotics affect HP's business?

    The second FlexRobotics package had moved to a rig belonging to a major global oil customer in the Permian by Q3 fiscal 2026. According to management, the first robotic rig exceeded the targeted median performance level and became the best-performing rig for a customer operating a fleet numbering in the high twenties. The company aims to deploy five robotic rigs by February 2027. If the same field performance continues, it could support technology adoption and performance-based contracts without relying exclusively on adding conventional rigs.

    What are the main risks to HP's business in the Middle East?

    The conflict in the region affected personnel movements, logistics, and the pace of rig reactivations during Q3 fiscal 2026. The rigs in Iraq and Bahrain remained suspended during that quarter, and some rig reactivations in Saudi Arabia were delayed, although the number of operating rigs there reached 22 after five reactivated rigs began operating. The two Bahrain rigs resumed operations in Q4 fiscal 2026, but the company did not include the sixth and seventh Saudi rigs in its guidance for that quarter. It therefore provided expected international direct-margin guidance of between $25 million and $45 million for Q4 fiscal 2026.

    What is HP's plan to reduce debt and improve cash flow?

    The company repaid a $400 million term loan ahead of schedule, then shifted its focus to a $350 million note due at the end of 2027. Management aims to reduce net debt to one times earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, supported by free cash flow of $98 million in Q3 fiscal 2026. The plan includes reducing corporate costs by an annualized $40 million and generating more than $160 million from asset sales by the end of fiscal 2027. Conversely, the company expects cash tax payments of between $150 million and $180 million and capital expenditures of between $270 million and $310 million in fiscal 2026.

    How do analysts view HP's stock valuation?

    The analyst consensus is Neutral, and the average price target is $43.6 within a range of $41 to $50. The average target is close to the high end of the 52-week range of $45, reflecting expectations of operating improvement while retaining a degree of caution. The price-to-earnings multiple does not provide a useful anchor because the net loss for the twelve months ended in 2026 was $375.4 million and earnings per share were approximately negative $3.76. Therefore, justification for the valuation depends on converting growth in rigs and margins into sustainable underlying earnings while reducing debt and delivering cost savings.

  • −The analyst consensus on the stock is Neutral, not Buy, and net insider transactions during the three months ended August 20, 2026, amounted to $5.4 million in sales across eight sale transactions with no purchases. Insider sales remain a weak standalone signal because they may have been prearranged, and the context does not specify whether these transactions were executed under predetermined selling plans.