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Home
Stocks
Home Bancshares, Inc.
HOMB

HOMB Home Bancshares, Inc.

Home Bancshares, Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
29.97
▲ ⁦+0.67%⁩ (+0.20)
Market Cap$6.0B
Beta0.68
52w Low52w High
25.5031.66
Last Week
⁦-0.10%⁩
Last Month
⁦-2.57%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+12.04%⁩
Last Year
⁦+0.71%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall60
Balanced — near the middle of the marketSuper StockF 6/9Better than 60% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
65
12.3x▲17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
23
2.0%▼7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
65
——Around median
▸
Safety
24
——Bottom tier
▸
Capital Return
76
2.70%▲2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
70
3.5%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
43
6▲3Around median
Fair Value
Current price$30
Analyst target · 3 analysts
$33
⁦+10%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$31–$36⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$32
⁦+8%⁩
Sees it undervalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods broadly agree — estimate range ⁦$32–$33⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Annual plan
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Monthly plan
$29/mo

Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 3 analysts setting price target
$33.25
⁦+10.9%⁩
Current Price $29.97·Median $33.00
Low
$31.00
High
$36.00
Current price
$29.97
Average target
$33.25
Street summary

Slight Increase in Targets with Limited Variation

Bullish tilt

The consensus price target rose to 33.25 from 33.00 over the last 7 days, an increase of 0.76%, and to 33.25 from 32.67 over the last 30 days, an increase of 1.78%. The number of analysts also increased over 30 days from two to three, while remaining unchanged over the last week. The current consensus indicates an upside of approximately 11.9% compared with the current price of 29.71, with a target range between 31 and 36.

As of 2026-09-09
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+1.8%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.44
Hold
Analyst coverage
⁦9 (+1)⁩
New coverage
Buy conviction
33%
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
17%
Analyst ratings over time9 analysts rating
1
2
6
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.50 → 3.44
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-08
    Hovde Group
    Outperform
  • = Reiterate2026-08-19
    Cantor Fitzgerald
    Overweight
  • = Reiterate2026-07-21
    Citigroup
    Neutral
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    12.28x
    3.16x25.26x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    11.65x
    2.76x22.06x
    Near median
  • EV / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • FCF Yield
    —
    —
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    2.0%
    -36.3%104.2%
    Below average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    11.4%
    -99.4%194.2%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    —
    —
  • ROIC
    —
    —
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    2.7%
    0.6%9.0%
    Moderate
  • Payout Ratio
    33.1%
    9.8%97.8%
    Moderate
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-16 data

Company Overview

Home Bancshares operates through Centennial Bank and specialized lending platforms including CCFG and Shore Premier Finance. Its model is based on gathering deposits, funding loans, and benefiting from the spread between loan yields and funding costs, alongside fees from services, wealth management, mortgage banking, and investments. In Q2 fiscal 2026, the average loan yield, excluding event income, was 6.96%, versus 2.38% for the cost of interest-bearing deposits and 1.85% for the total cost of deposits, supporting a reported net interest margin of 4.51% and a core margin of 4.47%.

In Q2 fiscal 2026, the company reported revenue of $295 million, up 10.6% from $266.7 million in the previous quarter, record adjusted net income of $128.1 million, and adjusted earnings per share of $0.64. Adjusted return on assets was 2.09%, return on tangible equity was 16.82%, and adjusted pre-tax, pre-provision revenue reached a record $171 million, while the adjusted efficiency ratio was 40.46%.

The business mix expanded in Q2 fiscal 2026 after adding approximately $1.5 billion in loans and deposits from Mountain Commerce Bank in Tennessee, while the legacy Centennial Bank portfolio generated organic growth of $26 million instead of the expected decline of $600 million. Loan production exceeded $1.4 billion, with nearly $1 billion coming from the community bank network, and noninterest income exceeded $53 million, supported by loan recoveries, CCFG fees, and SBIC investments. The latest available EDGAR figures, for Q1 fiscal 2026, showed revenue of $353.8 million, net income of $118.2 million, and earnings per share of $0.60.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Mountain Commerce Bank began contributing to earnings earlier and more strongly than management expected in Q2 fiscal 2026, after adding approximately $1.5 billion in loans and deposits; the company expects annual savings of approximately $5.5 million, or about 20% of the acquired bank's cost base, following the conversion scheduled for November 2026.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • The company turned an expected decline of $600 million in legacy loans into actual growth of $26 million in Q2 fiscal 2026, an improvement of $626 million versus expectations. Loan production also exceeded $1.4 billion, and the loan committee approved facilities totaling approximately $350 million after quarter-end, with reported activity concentrated in South Florida.
  • The reported net interest margin remained stable at 4.51% in Q2 fiscal 2026, while the core margin was 4.47%. The company's asset-liability management model showed an approximately 6% increase in net interest income under a scenario involving a 100-basis-point rise in interest rates, making the direction of interest rates an important earnings factor.
  • Noninterest income increased to more than $53 million in Q2 fiscal 2026, compared with an adjusted level of approximately $44 million in the previous quarter. The improvement included a $2.4 million increase from equity investments within SBIC, along with improved loan recoveries, CCFG fees, wealth management activities, and trust services.
  • The company increased the pace of share repurchases from 500,000 shares in Q1 to 1.5 million shares at a cost of $40.4 million in Q2 fiscal 2026. As of June 30, 2026, the remaining authorization exceeded 15 million shares, with approximately $450 million in liquidity at the parent company.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +Q2 fiscal 2026 results combined high profitability with strong operating efficiency; adjusted net income was $128.1 million, adjusted return on assets was 2.09%, return on tangible equity was 16.82%, and the adjusted efficiency ratio was 40.46%.
    • +The balance sheet maintained substantial capital and credit cushions as of June 30, 2026, with a common equity tier 1 capital ratio of 16.4%, total risk-based capital of 19%, and reserves equal to 1.92% of total loans. Tangible book value per share also increased by $0.45 to $15.32, equivalent to annual growth of 12.1%.
    • +The Mountain Commerce Bank integration began adding income before the conversion was completed, and the company is targeting approximately $5.5 million in annual savings after November 2026. The Mountain Commerce transaction was also described as nondilutive to shareholders, alongside the repurchase of 1.5 million shares during Q2 fiscal 2026.
    • +Asset quality indicators improved in Q2 fiscal 2026; nonperforming loans declined by 8 basis points, nonperforming assets declined by 4 basis points, early-stage delinquencies remained below 50 basis points, and reserve coverage of nonperforming loans increased to 177%.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −The company faces a clear challenge in achieving consistent loan growth; management expects repayments in Q3 fiscal 2026 that could exceed $1 billion and stated that keeping balances flat would require additional work despite an improving pipeline. The announced projects in Florida may also fund within 60 days or take up to six months, making the timing of loan growth unpredictable.
    • −Competition on loan pricing and terms has intensified, with management observing offers in the mid-to-high 5% range, while Home Bancshares' production yield was approximately 6.75% to 6.76% in Q2 fiscal 2026. The company's commitment to margin and credit discipline may protect asset quality, but it could also result in lost deals and constrain loan growth if competitors continue lowering prices and easing terms.
    • −The net interest margin remains exposed to deposit cost pressure; the company has approximately $1.25 billion of certificates of deposit maturing in the second half of fiscal 2026 at an average cost in the mid-3% range, in addition to approximately $300 million of Mountain Commerce Bank certificates. Management also noted competition for deposits at rates above 4%, which could reduce the expected benefit from repricing certificates.
    • −Not all of the increase in noninterest income in Q2 fiscal 2026 necessarily represents a recurring level; it included a $2.4 million increase from SBIC investments and approximately $0.9 million from accelerated purchase accounting accretion due to early loan repayments. Management estimated the longer-term level at approximately $50 million per quarter, compared with more than $53 million in the quarter.
    • −Despite improved credit indicators, the largest nonperforming loan remained just under $100 million in Q2 fiscal 2026, and no income from it was recognized during the quarter. Management expects no additional loss to be recorded on it, but resolving the exposure still requires work and depends on developments in negotiations with the counterparty.

    Valuation

    Analyst consensus on HOMB is Hold, with an average price target of $33, a low of $31, and a high of $36. The average target is above the 52-week range high of $31.7, while the target range extends from within the 52-week range of $25.5–$31.7 to a level above it; the dispersion in targets reflects a balance between strong profitability and efficiency and uncertainty surrounding loan growth and competitive pressure on margins.

    HoldAnalyst target: $33(+10.1%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-30; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What drove HOMB's earnings in Q2 fiscal 2026?

    Adjusted net income was $128.1 million and adjusted earnings per share were $0.64 in Q2 fiscal 2026, with revenue of $295 million. Results benefited from the integration of Mountain Commerce Bank, a stable net interest margin of 4.51%, and an increase in noninterest income to more than $53 million. Adjusted pre-tax, pre-provision revenue also reached a record $171 million, and the adjusted efficiency ratio was 40.46%. Reported results absorbed approximately $12.7 million in merger-related expenses.

    What impact did Mountain Commerce Bank have on Home Bancshares?

    Mountain Commerce Bank added approximately $1.5 billion in loans and deposits in Q2 fiscal 2026, and its income contribution began earlier and was stronger than management expected. The legacy company conversion was completed in June 2026, while the Mountain Commerce Bank conversion was scheduled for November 2026. Management expects annual savings of approximately $5.5 million, equal to about 20% of the acquired bank's cost base, with part of the impact appearing in Q4 fiscal 2026. Merger-related expenses totaled approximately $12.7 million during Q2 fiscal 2026.

    Can HOMB sustain loan growth?

    The bank generated organic growth of $26 million in legacy loans during Q2 fiscal 2026, instead of the expected decline of $600 million. Loan production exceeded $1.4 billion, with nearly $1 billion coming from the community bank network, and the loan committee approved approximately $350 million in facilities after quarter-end. Conversely, repayments may exceed $1 billion in Q3 fiscal 2026, so management did not provide a numerical growth target. Management emphasized that it would not lower credit standards or compromise loan structure to increase volume.

    What is the status of HOMB's net interest margin and deposit costs?

    The reported net interest margin was 4.51%, and the core margin was 4.47% in Q2 fiscal 2026. The average loan yield, excluding event income, was 6.96%, versus a cost of 2.38% for interest-bearing deposits and 1.85% for total deposits. The company has approximately $1.25 billion of certificates of deposit maturing in the second half of fiscal 2026 at an average cost in the mid-3% range, in addition to approximately $300 million of Mountain Commerce Bank certificates. Management sees an opportunity to lower some of these costs, but competition for deposits at rates above 4% remains the main risk to the margin.

    Did Home Bancshares' asset quality improve in Q2 fiscal 2026?

    Nonperforming loans declined by 8 basis points, and nonperforming assets declined by 4 basis points in Q2 fiscal 2026, while early-stage delinquencies remained below 50 basis points. Allowance for loan loss coverage of nonperforming loans increased to 177%, and the allowance-to-total-loans ratio was 1.92%. The largest nonperforming loan remained just under $100 million, and the company did not recognize income from it during the quarter. Management reiterated its expectation that no additional loss would be recorded on it, while work to resolve the exposure continues.

    What do HOMB's capital and share repurchase policies look like?

    Home Bancshares repurchased 1.5 million shares for $40.4 million in Q2 fiscal 2026, compared with half a million shares in the previous quarter. As of June 30, 2026, the remaining authorization exceeded 15 million shares, and liquidity at the parent company was approximately $450 million. The company ended the quarter with a common equity tier 1 capital ratio of 16.4% and total risk-based capital of 19%. Tangible book value per share increased to $15.32, up $0.45 sequentially and representing calculated annual growth of 12.1%.

    −
    Analyst consensus indicates a Hold rather than a Buy, with an average target of $33 and a range of $31 to $36. Insiders also recorded net sales of 894,796 shares during the three months ending with the latest transaction on August 11, 2026, through three sales and no purchases; this is a weak signal on its own because such sales may be prearranged unless disclosures state otherwise.