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Stocks
Hinge Health, Inc.
HNGE

HNGE Hinge Health, Inc.

Hinge Health, Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
88.59
▲ ⁦+0.37%⁩ (+0.33)
Market Cap$6.9B
Beta1.28
52w Low52w High
30.0895.57
Last Week
⁦-1.59%⁩
Last Month
⁦+9.65%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+61.22%⁩
Last Year
⁦+60.66%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall38
Weak — below market medianHigh FlyerF 4/8Better than 38% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
16
66.6x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
95
49.8%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
98
33.9%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
79
—2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
50
—2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
95
44.2%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
38
9▲3Bottom tier
Fair Value
Current price$89
Analyst target · 6 analysts
$105
⁦+19%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$65–$125⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$88
⁦-0%⁩
Sees it fairly priced
⁦10.1⁩% discount · ⁦12⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$88–$105⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 6 analysts setting price target
$98.92
⁦+11.7%⁩
Current Price $88.59·Median $105.00
Low
$65.00
High
$125.00
Current price
$88.59
Average target
$98.92
Street summary

Price Forecast Analysis for Hinge Health (HNGE) Stock

Bullish tilt

HNGE stock has seen a notable improvement in analyst sentiment over the past 30 days, with the average price target rising by 12.02% to reach $97.46, coinciding with the number of analysts covering the stock doubling from 3 to 6. This momentum reflects optimism regarding revenue growth, which is expected to reach $1.67 billion by 2029, with stable positive ratings (Overweight/Outperform) from major institutions such as Barclays and RBC Capital.

As of 2026-08-31
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+1.5%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.38
Buy
Analyst coverage
⁦16 (+3)⁩
New coverage
Buy conviction
94%
High
Target dispersion
68%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time16 analysts rating
7
8
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.38 → 4.38
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-05
    Barclays
    Overweight
  • = Reiterate2026-08-05
    Evercore ISI Group
    Outperform
  • = Reiterate2026-08-05
    RBC Capital
    Outperform
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    66.61x
    3.94x44.30x
    Expensive
  • Forward P/E
    30.60x
    4.64x37.16x
    Near median
  • EV / EBITDA
    69.11x
    3.77x30.13x
    Very expensive
  • FCF Yield
    4.0%
    -138.2%7.8%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    49.8%
    -56.9%93.8%
    Strong
  • EPS Growth YoY
    111.6%
    -160.1%130.2%
    Strong
  • Gross Margin
    84.5%
    12.8%90.7%
    Strong
  • ROIC
    33.9%
    -155.3%16.0%
    Exceptional
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-04 data

Company Overview

Hinge Health provides a digital platform that automates healthcare delivery, with musculoskeletal disorder treatment and digital physical therapy remaining its core business. The company links its revenue to three variables: the average number of eligible members, the utilization rate or yield, and the average selling price per member. It then recognizes revenue over the subscription term, while billings reflect member engagement. The company serves approximately 3,000 clients, including more than half of the Fortune 100 companies, and is expanding its unified platform into Migraine, GI, HingeSelect with surgery, and Balance, leveraging its existing sales teams and partnerships with health plans and pharmacy benefit managers.

In Q2 of fiscal year 2026, revenue reached $213 million, up 53% year over year from $139 million and exceeding the company's guidance range of $200–202 million. Calculated billings for the last twelve months reached $862 million, up 52%, and non-GAAP gross margin was 87% versus 83% a year earlier, benefiting by approximately 100 basis points from a one-time customs refund. The company generated non-GAAP operating income of $62 million and an operating margin of 29%, and generated free cash flow of $100 million at a 47% margin, compared with $33 million and a 23% margin in Q2 of fiscal year 2025.

The growth mix reflects digital physical therapy's continued dominance of utilization, as management said the expected utilization rate of 4.45% in fiscal year 2026 comes almost entirely from it, while Migraine is still in the early stages of its contribution and the company is targeting a contribution of 10–20 basis points to the utilization rate during fiscal year 2027. As for GI, which Hinge Health will enter through the proposed $105 million cash acquisition of Cylinder Health, it is expected to add only $7–8 million to revenue during the approximately four remaining months of fiscal year 2026, ahead of a broader rollout in 2027 and greater acceleration that management expects in 2028.

What's Driving the Stock

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

The company raised its fiscal year 2026 revenue guidance to $856–860 million, with a midpoint of $858 million and expected growth of 46%, and raised its non-GAAP operating income guidance to $236–244 million at a 28% margin at the midpoint, compared with prior guidance of $217–227 million and a 27% margin.
  • The Q2 fiscal year 2026 revenue beat came from an improved utilization rate, not from the number of eligible members or average selling price; the company now expects an annual utilization rate of approximately 4.45% versus 3.9% in fiscal year 2025, driven by clinically targeted enrollment campaigns, member referrals, and members returning for additional care.
  • Migraine recorded more than 450 clients whose subscriptions cover more than 5 million members, and more than 10 health plans activated the program for their clients. Management expects the program to add 10–20 basis points to the utilization rate in fiscal year 2027, with additional research on its impact to be published during 2027.
  • The proposed $105 million acquisition of Cylinder Health expands the platform into GI; Cylinder has approximately 100 clients and 2 million eligible members, has treated 150 thousand people cumulatively, and has partnerships with two of the three largest pharmacy benefit managers and three of the five largest national health plans. Management said the transaction saves 18–24 months compared with building from scratch and expects to complete product integration approximately by summer 2027.
  • The active sales pipeline remained ahead of the prior year, and win rates reached their highest levels according to management; the company won a contract with a Fortune 15 company covering approximately 300 thousand members after displacing a competitor. The number of members in the small and medium-sized business segment also increased by more than 100% during the first half of fiscal year 2026, and a large national health plan selected it as a default solution for its clients with fewer than 3,000 members starting in early 2027.
  • Cash generation supports expansion and capital return options; the company ended Q2 of fiscal year 2026 with $476 million in cash and cash equivalents before paying for Cylinder, repurchased approximately 480 thousand shares for $26 million, and the board subsequently approved a new $300 million share repurchase authorization.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +Operating performance in Q2 of fiscal year 2026 combined 53% revenue growth with a 1,000-basis-point expansion in non-GAAP operating margin to 29%, alongside $100 million in free cash flow, giving the company a demonstrated ability to fund products, acquisitions, and share repurchases.
    • +A base of approximately 3,000 clients and more than half of the Fortune 100 companies provides a ready channel for selling additional products; this was demonstrated by Migraine reaching more than 450 clients and 5 million members in a short period, while using the same application and not charging two separate subscriptions for a member who uses Migraine and MSK together.
    • +The improved utilization rate represents a growth lever within the existing and new client base; it increased from 3.9% in fiscal year 2025 to an expected 4.45% in fiscal year 2026, while management sees broader theoretical potential for digital physical therapy because only approximately 9% receive physical therapy annually compared with its estimate of total need at 12%–15%.
    • +Cylinder adds an established foothold in GI instead of building the business from the beginning, with approximately 100 clients, 2 million members, and distribution partners that overlap with Hinge Health's network; additionally, 52 of Cylinder's clients are already Hinge Health clients, creating a clear cross-selling opportunity after integration.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −The acquisition of Cylinder Health entails tangible execution and profitability risks; the target company operates at a modest loss, and bringing it closer to Hinge Health's margins will take between one and two years, while product integration extends approximately nine months through summer 2027 and may involve integration spending. The microbiome testing component also remains under evaluation.
    • −Hinge Health faces direct competition in the digital care market; one analyst cited a competitor claiming a 70.5% win rate in the fiscal year 2026 selling season. Although management said Hinge Health's win rates are at an all-time high and that it displaced competitors in prominent contracts, conflicting market-share and win-rate claims highlight the intensity of competition and the difficulty of verifying comparisons.
    • −Guidance indicates an expected growth slowdown after the strong quarter; the midpoint of Q3 fiscal year 2026 revenue guidance of $224 million represents annual growth of 45%, compared with 53% growth in Q2, while the guided operating margin is 28% at the midpoint versus 29% in the previous quarter.
    • −The 87% gross margin in Q2 of fiscal year 2026 included a one-time benefit of approximately 100 basis points from a customs refund, so the full improvement does not represent a recurring operating baseline. Management explained that the remaining impact in the second half is limited and immaterial.
    • −The contribution from new products depends on execution through subsequent selling seasons; GI will add only approximately $7–8 million during four months of fiscal year 2026, and management expects its greater expansion to begin in 2028 after a full selling season, while Migraine's expected contribution to the fiscal year 2027 utilization rate remains limited at 10–20 basis points.
    • −Net insider transactions during the three months ended with the latest transaction on August 26, 2026, were approximately negative $1.6 billion, with zero purchases and 398 sales, which is a negative trading signal in terms of scale. However, insider sales may have been prearranged, and the data do not establish their motivations, so this remains a weaker concern than integration risks and the operating slowdown.

    Valuation

    The average analyst price target is $97.46, within a wide range of $65 to $125, and the stock carries a consensus “Buy” rating; the average target sits slightly above the top of the 52-week range of $95.57, while the highest target is clearly above that peak and the lowest target falls within the range. No reliable positive P/E ratio is available, as EDGAR data show a net loss of $510.3 million for the last twelve months and negative earnings per share of $6.19. Valuation therefore depends more heavily on continued revenue growth, non-GAAP cash flow, and the successful integration of Cylinder, with a wide 52-week range between $30.08 and $95.57 reflecting high sensitivity to expectations.

    BuyAnalyst target: $97.46(+10.0%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-30; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    How did Hinge Health perform in Q2 of fiscal year 2026?

    Revenue reached $213 million, up 53% from $139 million in Q2 of fiscal year 2025 and exceeding guidance of $200–202 million. Calculated billings for the last twelve months reached $862 million, up 52%, and the revenue beat was driven by an improved utilization rate, while the number of eligible members and average selling price came in as expected. Non-GAAP operating income was $62 million at a 29% margin, and free cash flow was $100 million at a 47% margin.

    What does Hinge Health's acquisition of Cylinder Health include?

    Hinge Health signed a definitive agreement to acquire Cylinder Health for $105 million in cash, with closing expected in late August or early September 2026. Cylinder has approximately 100 clients and 2 million eligible members, has treated 150 thousand people cumulatively, and shares 52 clients with Hinge Health's client base. The company expects a contribution of $7–8 million during the approximately four remaining months of fiscal year 2026, completion of product integration by summer 2027, and then greater expansion in 2028.

    How large is Hinge Health's Migraine opportunity?

    The Migraine program recorded more than 450 clients whose subscriptions cover more than 5 million members as of the August 4, 2026 call, and more than 10 health plans activated the program for their clients. Migraine operates within the same Hinge Health application, and a member can use it alongside the MSK program without being counted as two separate subscriptions. Management expects a contribution of 10–20 basis points to the utilization rate during fiscal year 2027 and intends to publish additional research on the program's impact in 2027.

    What is Hinge Health's guidance for the remainder of fiscal year 2026?

    The company is guiding to revenue of between $223 and $225 million in Q3 of fiscal year 2026, with the $224 million midpoint representing annual growth of 45%. It also expects non-GAAP operating income of between $61 and $63 million and a 28% margin at the midpoint. For fiscal year 2026, it raised revenue guidance to $856–860 million and operating income guidance to $236–244 million, with an expected utilization rate of approximately 4.45%.

    How is Hinge Health expanding its business beyond large enterprise clients?

    The number of members in the small and medium-sized business segment increased by more than 100% during the first half of fiscal year 2026 compared with the corresponding period, benefiting from distribution investments that began in late 2025. A large national health plan selected Hinge Health as a default solution for the segment of companies with fewer than 3,000 members, using a model that automatically enrolls clients unless they opt out, with the addition of those clients scheduled to begin in early 2027. Among large enterprises, the company won a contract with a Fortune 15 company covering approximately 300 thousand members after displacing a competitor.

    What are the main risks to monitor in HNGE stock?

    Integrating Cylinder requires approximately nine months through summer 2027, and the target company was operating at a loss, while Hinge Health expects it to take between one and two years to bring Cylinder to its margin profile. Q3 fiscal year 2026 guidance also indicates 45% growth, slower than 53% in Q2, and the previous quarter's margin included a nonrecurring customs benefit of approximately 100 basis points. Additional risks include the wide 52-week range between $30.08 and $95.57, the absence of a positive P/E ratio because of the $510.3 million loss for the last twelve months, and $1.6 billion in net insider sales over three months, some of which may have been prearranged.