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Helix Energy Solutions Group, Inc.
HLX

HLX Helix Energy Solutions Group, Inc.

Helix Energy Solutions Group, Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
10.60
▲ ⁦+2.91%⁩ (+0.30)
Market Cap$1.6B
Beta1.17
52w Low52w High
6.0210.75
Last Week
⁦+6.32%⁩
Last Month
⁦+15.22%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+5.16%⁩
Last Year
⁦+76.67%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall90
Excellent — top fifth of the marketTurnaroundF 6/9Grey zoneBetter than 90% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
69
39.3x▼17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
52
10.3%▲7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
45
2.5%▼4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
75
—2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
82
—2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
92
53.3%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
50
2▼3Around median
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$11
Analyst target · 1 analysts
$14
⁦+32%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$14–$14⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$23
⁦+113%⁩
Sees it clearly undervalued
⁦9.5⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods broadly agree — estimate range ⁦$14–$23⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 1 analysts setting price target
$14.00
⁦+32.1%⁩
Current Price $10.60·Median $14.00
Low
$14.00
High
$14.00
Street summary

Price Forecast Analysis for Helix Energy (HLX)

Helix Energy stock shows a state of complete stability in price targets during recent periods (1, 7, and 30 days), with the average price target stabilizing at 14 dollars. However, the analytical gap lies in the decrease in the number of analysts following the stock currently to only one analyst according to available data, which eliminates any Dispersion in expectations but simultaneously raises concentration risks and reduces the comprehensiveness of the market consensus view.

As of 2026-05-22
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.40
Buy
Analyst coverage
5
Buy conviction
80%
High
Target dispersion
0%
Analyst ratings over time5 analysts rating
3
1
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.40 → 4.40
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-04-24
    TD Cowen
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2025-10-24
    TD Cowen
    Buy
  • ⬇ Downgrade2024-10-24
    BTIG
    BuyNeutral
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Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    39.26x
    3.56x28.47x
    Expensive
  • Forward P/E
    22.93x
    3.36x26.89x
    Above average
  • EV / EBITDA
    5.84x
    2.12x16.98x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    15.1%
    -21.0%15.7%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    10.3%
    -19.7%63.1%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -15.6%
    -141.8%256.7%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    13.4%
    7.8%72.1%
    Weak
  • ROIC
    2.5%
    -12.7%20.6%
    Near median
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    2.11
    -1.814.34
    Above average
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-29 data

Company Overview

Helix Energy Solutions Group provides specialized offshore services for deepwater energy fields, including well intervention, robotics and remotely operated vehicles, trenching for subsea pipelines and cables, and well abandonment work in shallow water. The company generates revenue by operating vessels and technical equipment and providing field lifecycle services, with a presence in the United States, the North Sea, Brazil, West Africa, and Asia-Pacific.

In Q2 FY2026, Helix recorded revenue of $304.0 million, gross profit of $56.2 million, net income of $22.7 million, and earnings per share of $0.15. The calculated gross margin was approximately 18.5%, compared with approximately 3.1% in Q1 FY2026, when revenue was $287.9 million and the net loss was $13.4 million; this reflects a clear recovery in profitability following the impact of winter seasonality and the cost of the Thunder Hawk field work in the previous quarter.

Trailing twelve-month revenue was $1.3 billion, with gross profit of $140.4 million and net income of $14.3 million. The business mix is based on well intervention, offshore robotics, trenching, and well abandonment, while the merger with Hornbeck Offshore aims to add marine transportation and high-specification support vessels to an integrated offering serving offshore energy, defense, and renewable energy.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Helix shareholders approved the proposals required for the merger with Hornbeck Offshore on August 31, 2026, in an all-stock transaction, a key procedural step in the deal that will give Helix shareholders approximately 45% of the combined entity and Hornbeck shareholders approximately 55%.
  • The transaction targets at least $75 million in annual cost savings and revenue synergies within three years of closing through the cross-selling of integrated services, improved asset utilization, reduced reliance on chartering third-party vessels, and efficiencies in maintenance, procurement, and operations.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • The announced backlog of the two companies is approximately $2 billion, of which nearly $1 billion belongs to Helix and covers a significant portion of FY2026 and extends into the following year, while Hornbeck’s backlog includes long-term contracts with military entities and specialized vessels.
  • Helix maintained its FY2026 guidance of revenue between $1.2 billion and $1.4 billion, adjusted EBITDA between $230 million and $290 million, free cash flow between $100 million and $160 million, and capital expenditures between $70 million and $80 million.
  • Management said on the July 29, 2026 call that trenching activity includes booked work in 2026 and 2027, with some bookings extending to 2030 and an opportunity pipeline through 2032, while building a new ROV takes approximately six months, after which another vehicle can be added each month under a sequential build program.
  • Hornbeck adds a growth platform that includes 71 existing vessels and two MPSVs under construction that are expected to enter service in 2027, in addition to 23 vessels available for reactivation at a cost management described as limited, while the combined liquidity cited for the transaction is $717 million.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +Helix moved from a net loss of $13.4 million in Q1 FY2026 to net income of $22.7 million in Q2 FY2026, alongside an increase in the calculated gross margin from approximately 3.1% to 18.5%.
    • +The Hornbeck merger could expand Helix’s scope from well intervention and robotics to an integrated offering that includes support vessels and marine transportation, with an annual synergy target of at least $75 million within three years and a combined backlog of approximately $2 billion.
    • +Helix ended Q1 FY2026 with $501 million in cash and $612 million in liquidity, compared with only $10 million of funded debt, providing it with a strong financial position before combining Hornbeck’s balance sheet.
    • +Demand indicators include the deployment of two North Sea vessels, improved activity and pricing in the region, long-term contracts in Brazil, higher utilization in robotics and trenching operations, and opportunities related to defense, renewable energy, and deepwater offshore construction.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −The economic return from the merger depends on achieving at least $75 million in revenue and cost synergies within three years, but management did not disclose the exact split between the two on the call and said that the majority of the benefit is likely to come from revenue synergies and cost efficiencies; this makes execution, cross-selling, and fleet utilization critical factors.
    • −Hornbeck will own approximately 55% of the combined entity, compared with approximately 45% for Helix shareholders, while the discussion indicated that Hornbeck’s net debt is approximately $380 million; therefore, the ownership and leverage structure of the new entity will differ from Helix’s standalone position, which included $501 million in cash and only $10 million of funded debt at the end of Q1 FY2026.
    • −Helix’s earnings remain seasonal and volatile; gross profit fell to $8.8 million and the company recorded a net loss of $13.4 million in Q1 FY2026 due to winter conditions in the North Sea and the Gulf of America shelf and the cost of the Thunder Hawk work, while management also expects the first and fourth quarters to remain affected by winter weather.
    • −FY2026 guidance includes a wide range for adjusted EBITDA between $230 million and $290 million and for free cash flow between $100 million and $160 million, with pressure from the Thunder Hawk work and Siem Helix 1 entering dry dock, indicating that results are sensitive to operations, working capital timing, and vessel maintenance.
    • −Despite the improving environment in the North Sea, management described current pricing in the Gulf as relatively stable and did not expect increased rig activity to translate into higher pricing before the end of 2027; therefore, the conversion of expected supply tightness into tangible pricing growth may be delayed.
    • −Trailing twelve-month net income was only $14.3 million on revenue of $1.3 billion, and earnings per share were $0.0975, while the data do not provide a valid price-to-earnings ratio; this makes the stock’s valuation more dependent on achieving future cash flows and synergies than on a strong current earnings base.

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus is “Buy,” and the average price target is $14, with both the highest and lowest targets matching at $14; this alignment means that the available estimate range provides no dispersion that can be used to measure uncertainty. The target is approximately 30% above the 52-week range high of $10.75, while the range extends to a low of $6.03, reflecting the broad repricing associated with earnings volatility and the Hornbeck transaction. No valid price-to-earnings ratio is available in the data, and trailing twelve-month earnings per share are only $0.0975, so achieving synergies and free cash flow remains central to justifying the target.

    BuyAnalyst target: $14(+32.1%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-01; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What drove the improvement in HLX’s Q2 FY2026 results?

    Revenue increased to $304.0 million in Q2 FY2026, compared with $287.9 million in Q1 FY2026. Net income shifted from a loss of $13.4 million to a profit of $22.7 million, while gross profit increased from $8.8 million to $56.2 million. This equates to a calculated gross margin of approximately 18.5%, after approximately 3.1% in the previous quarter, which was affected by winter seasonality and the Thunder Hawk work.

    What is the expected impact of the merger between Helix and Hornbeck Offshore?

    The merger combines Helix’s well intervention, robotics, and trenching services with Hornbeck’s specialized, high-specification vessels. The parties are targeting at least $75 million in annual revenue and cost synergies within three years of closing, with a combined backlog of approximately $2 billion. Helix shareholders approved the required proposals on August 31, 2026, and Helix shareholders will own approximately 45% of the combined entity, compared with approximately 55% for Hornbeck shareholders.

    What is Helix’s guidance for FY2026?

    The company maintained its revenue forecast of between $1.2 billion and $1.4 billion for FY2026. It expects adjusted EBITDA between $230 million and $290 million, free cash flow between $100 million and $160 million, and capital expenditures between $70 million and $80 million. Guidance drivers include the utilization of Q4000 and Q7000 in the second half, strong robotics activity, and stable shallow-water well abandonment operations.

    How much visible demand is there for Helix’s offshore and robotics services?

    Helix’s backlog was nearly $1 billion and covers a significant portion of FY2026 while extending into the following year. Management said on July 29, 2026 that trenching work is booked in 2026 and 2027, with bookings extending to 2030 and an opportunity pipeline reaching 2032. It also noted that the ROV market is tight and that building a new vehicle takes approximately six months, with the ability to add one vehicle per month after launching a sequential build program.

    What are the main financial and operational risks facing an HLX shareholder?

    Q1 FY2026 results demonstrated the sensitivity of earnings to seasonality, as gross profit was $8.8 million and the company recorded a net loss of $13.4 million. A significant part of the merger rationale depends on delivering annual synergies of at least $75 million, without detailed disclosure on the call about their allocation between revenue and costs. The merger will also add Hornbeck’s balance sheet, whose net debt management discussed at approximately $380 million, to Helix, which had only $10 million of funded debt at the end of Q1 FY2026.

    How do the company’s liquidity and ability to fund growth look?

    Helix ended Q1 FY2026 with $501 million in cash and $612 million in liquidity, compared with $10 million of funded debt. Transaction data indicate combined liquidity of $717 million, while approximately $50 million of spending remains to complete the two MPSVs expected to be delivered in 2027. Hornbeck also has 23 vessels that can be reactivated, giving the combined entity options to increase capacity if demand strengthens.