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Home
Stocks
Hecla Mining Company
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall80
Excellent — top fifth of the marketHigh FlyerF 8/9SafeBetter than 80% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
33
40.4x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
83
51.2%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
88
21.1%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
95
—2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
21
0.08%▼2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
54
92.4%▲2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
40
4▲3Around median
HL

HL Hecla Mining Company

Hecla Mining Company · NYSE
Market Closed
19.78
▼ ⁦-1.20%⁩ (-0.24)
Market Cap$13.3B
Beta1.33
52w Low52w High
8.0234.17
Last Week
⁦+3.51%⁩
Last Month
⁦+19.59%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+11.31%⁩
Last Year
⁦+146.33%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$20
Analyst target · 2 analysts
$23
⁦+16%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$21–$27⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$9.50
⁦-52%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦10.3⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$9.50–$23⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 2 analysts setting price target
$23.44
⁦+18.5%⁩
Current Price $19.78·Median $23.00
Low
$21.00
High
$26.75
Current price
$19.78
Average target
$23.44
Street summary

Hecla Mining (HL) Price Target Analysis

Hecla Mining stock has seen volatility in its average price target over the past thirty days; the consensus rose by 10.62% compared to the previous month to reach 23.44, despite a slight decline of 2.01% in the last week. The stock is currently trading at 21.43, a level very close to the lower bound of the targets at 21, indicating a narrow margin between the current price and the most conservative analyst expectations, amid a decrease in the number of covering analysts from 3 to 2.

As of 2026-08-27
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+10.6%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.50
Buy
Analyst coverage
⁦10 (-1)⁩
Buy conviction
40%
Mixed
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
29%
Analyst ratings over time10 analysts rating
1
3
6
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.40 → 3.50
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-20
    Jefferies
    Hold
  • = Reiterate2026-05-06
    H.C. Wainwright
    —· $26.75
  • = Reiterate2026-04-29
    Canaccord Genuity
    —· $24.00
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    40.37x
    4.94x39.51x
    Above average
  • Forward P/E
    20.79x
    3.70x29.59x
    Above average
  • EV / EBITDA
    13.67x
    2.62x20.92x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    3.9%
    -21.3%8.9%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    51.2%
    -21.2%90.4%
    Above average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    188.2%
    -249.5%198.4%
    Strong
  • Gross Margin
    56.2%
    7.6%58.9%
    Strong
  • ROIC
    21.1%
    -52.6%20.2%
    Exceptional
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    0.1%
    0.2%5.5%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    3.2%
    4.7%147.8%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    17.22
    -11.4212.56
    Exceptional
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-05 data

Company Overview

Hecla Mining Company operates as a silver producer in North America, generating revenue from its Greens Creek, Lucky Friday, and Keno Hill mines, with gold and base metals contributing as by-products. In Q2 FY2026, mine revenues totaled $323 million; silver accounted for 68%, gold for 14%, and the remainder came from base-metal by-products. The company produced 4.2 million ounces of silver, including 2.1 million ounces at Greens Creek, a record 1.5 million ounces at Lucky Friday, and 625 thousand ounces at Keno Hill.

Revenue from continuing operations totaled $334 million in Q2 FY2026, compared with the record $411 million in Q1 FY2026, due to lower metals prices and the timing of sales of silver concentrates produced at Greens Creek. Continuing operations generated net income of $118 million, or $0.18 per share, and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization of $199 million, more than double the $94 million recorded a year earlier. Operating cash flow totaled $175 million and free cash flow totaled $136 million, with 90% of the realized silver price converted into margin during the quarter.

Hecla ended Q2 FY2026 with $483 million in cash, net cash of approximately $472 million, and no long-term debt other than capital leases, along with a nearly undrawn $225 million revolving credit facility and a $75 million expansion option. All three of its mines recorded positive free cash flow; Greens Creek generated a site record of $130 million, Lucky Friday generated a record $88 million, and Keno Hill approached $15 million.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Hecla increased silver production in Q2 FY2026 by 8% from the previous quarter to 4.2 million ounces, driven by record production of 1.5 million ounces at Lucky Friday and production of 2.1 million ounces at Greens Creek.
  • The company raised its FY2026 Greens Creek production guidance to between 8 and 8.3 million ounces of silver, set gold guidance at 51 thousand to 55 thousand ounces, and improved cash cost guidance to a range of negative $12.50 to negative $12 per ounce after by-product credits.
  • The proposed pyrite concentrate circuit at Greens Creek could add approximately 1 million to 1.2 million ounces of silver and 10 thousand to 15 thousand ounces of gold annually after the ramp-up is completed, against estimated initial capital spending of approximately $40 million to $60 million and additional annual operating costs of between $10 million and $15 million. The company is targeting production startup between Q4 FY2027 and the first half of FY2028, with a ramp-up period of approximately one year, but the figures remain subject to engineering studies.
  • The dry-stack tailings facility at Greens Creek contains 51 million ounces of silver and 600 thousand ounces of gold, and the company estimated the in-situ value of the metals at approximately $6.1 billion based on June 30, 2026 prices before accounting for recovery, processing, and capital spending. The specialist contractor was scheduled to begin the third phase of metallurgical testing in August 2026 and complete it within the same quarter to determine the project's path forward.
  • Strong liquidity supports Hecla's leverage to metals prices; management's FY2026 estimates indicate free cash flow of approximately $500 million at silver prices of $50 and gold prices of $3,500, rising to approximately $700 million at $75 and $4,500, respectively, and to approximately $800 million in the bullish scenario of $100 silver and $5,500 gold.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +The positive case is supported by a strong balance sheet comprising $483 million in cash and net cash of approximately $472 million at the end of Q2 FY2026, giving Hecla the capacity to fund its organic projects without immediately relying on new long-term debt.
  • +The existing mines have demonstrated their cash-generating capacity, with consolidated free cash flow reaching $136 million in Q2 FY2026 and Greens Creek and Lucky Friday recording site-record free cash flows of $130 million and $88 million, respectively.
  • +The pyrite concentrate circuit offers a relatively low-capital-intensity growth path; the company expects additional annual production of up to 1.2 million ounces of silver and 15 thousand ounces of gold and believes the project's return could significantly exceed its internal benchmark of 12% to 15% for return on invested capital.
  • +Exploration has revealed asset-specific growth options; the high-grade silver trend at Keno Hill was extended to 800 feet and remained open in both directions, while drilling in the Pogo-Sinter area at Midas identified two new high-grade gold and silver veins as part of a restart assessment that relies on existing infrastructure.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The analyst consensus on HL is Neutral, with an average price target of $23.44 and a target range between $21 and $26.75. Both the average target and the highest target are below the 52-week range high of $34.17, while the full annual range extends from $8.42 to $34.17; this divergence reflects the valuation's sensitivity to silver prices, cash-flow strength, and the risk of delays at Keno Hill. The available data do not provide a valid earnings multiple on which to rely, so the valuation assessment is based on the target range, the Neutral consensus, and the annual range.

HoldAnalyst target: $23.44(+18.5%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-29; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove Hecla's Q2 FY2026 results?

Revenue from continuing operations totaled $334 million, net income totaled $118 million, and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization totaled $199 million. The company produced 4.2 million ounces of silver, up 8% from the previous quarter, and Lucky Friday recorded a record 1.5 million ounces. Free cash flow totaled $136 million, with site records of $130 million at Greens Creek and $88 million at Lucky Friday.

Why did Hecla's revenue decline from Q1 FY2026?

Revenue from continuing operations declined from the record $411 million in Q1 FY2026 to $334 million in Q2 FY2026. Management attributed the difference to lower metals prices and the timing of the shipment of a significant quantity of silver concentrates produced at Greens Creek. Those inventories were shipped in early August 2026, and management said they would appear in Q3 FY2026 results, so it did not characterize the decline as a production issue.

What is the significance of the pyrite concentrate project at Greens Creek?

Hecla estimates that the new circuit could add 1 million to 1.2 million ounces of silver and 10 thousand to 15 thousand ounces of gold annually once the ramp-up is complete. Estimated initial capital spending is $40–60 million, with additional annual operating costs of $10–15 million. The company is targeting production startup between Q4 FY2027 and the first half of FY2028, but it emphasized that engineering, costs, and concentrate payment terms are still being finalized.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • −A large portion of Hecla's economics depends on silver and metals prices, as silver represented 68% of mine revenues in Q2 FY2026, while revenue from continuing operations declined from $411 million in the previous quarter to $334 million partly because of lower metals prices. Management's scenarios also illustrate the wide sensitivity of FY2026 free cash flow, ranging from approximately $500 million to approximately $800 million under different metals-price assumptions.
  • −Keno Hill presents clear execution and regulatory risks; the company reduced its FY2026 production guidance to 2.2–2.6 million ounces of silver, and the mine has met only one of the five commercial production criteria. Increasing production to higher levels requires permits for water, tailings, and waste dumps, as well as infrastructure investment, and management expects the ramp-up to begin around the end of 2029 if it receives the critical permits by mid-2029.
  • −The record performance at Lucky Friday may not recur because Q2 FY2026 production benefited from planned mining through a higher-grade zone, and management confirmed that this grade will not persist throughout the remainder of FY2026. At the same time, the company expects all-in sustaining costs of between $20.50 and $26 per ounce, modestly higher because of increased planned sustaining capital investment.
  • −Several growth projects remain at an early stage or are contingent on testing and drilling; the pyrite circuit figures are subject to change as engineering progresses, the Greens Creek tailings reprocessing project needs to demonstrate recoveries and identify a suitable processing facility, and the Midas restart depends on defining a sufficient resource and may require a new permit for the mine portal. The existing Aurora mill, with a capacity of 600 tons per day, is not in good condition and may require reinvestment or a new mill if drilling justifies project development.
  • −The neutral analyst consensus reflects limited bullish conviction; the average target of $23.44 is approximately 31% below the 52-week range high of $34.17, while the target range extends only from $21 to $26.75. This makes the success of growth projects and continued strong metals prices important factors in justifying a return to the upper levels of the annual range.
  • −Insider activity recorded four sales and no purchases during the three months ending with the latest transaction on August 20, 2026, for net sales of approximately $996 thousand. This is a weak signal on its own because insider sales may be prearranged, and the context provides no evidence to the contrary.
Why has the Keno Hill production ramp-up been delayed?

Hecla is focusing on permitting and infrastructure expansion instead of pushing production before the site is ready, and it reduced FY2026 guidance to 2.2–2.6 million ounces of silver. The mine needs sufficient capacity for water treatment, tailings storage, and waste dumps, and as of August 2026 it had met only the silver recovery criterion among the five commercial production criteria. Management expects the ramp-up to higher levels to begin around the end of 2029 if the critical permits arrive by mid-2029 and the infrastructure projects are completed during the preceding two or three years.

How do Hecla's liquidity and ability to fund growth look?

The company ended Q2 FY2026 with $483 million in cash and net cash of approximately $472 million. It had no long-term debt outside capital leases, while its $225 million revolving facility was nearly undrawn and had a $75 million expansion option. This liquidity supports a record FY2026 exploration and early-stage development budget of $55 million, including $24 million near the mines, $16 million in Nevada, and $10 million for early-stage and generative exploration.

What does the Neutral analyst consensus mean for HL shares?

The average analyst price target is $23.44, with the lowest target at $21 and the highest at $26.75, while the consensus rating is Neutral. These targets are below the 52-week range high of $34.17, while the range low is $8.42. This indicates that analysts are balancing strong cash flows and the Greens Creek projects on one side against metals-price sensitivity and the delay in the Keno Hill production ramp-up until around the end of 2029 on the other.