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Stocks
HDFC Bank Limited
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall76
Strong — clearly above market medianContrarianF 6/7Better than 76% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
94
4.6x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
84
122.4%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
79
——Top tier
▸
Safety
20
——Bottom tier
▸
Capital Return
91
—2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
6
-33.7%▼2.9%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
50
2▼3Around median
HDB

HDB HDFC Bank Limited

HDFC Bank Limited · NYSE
Market Closed
23.34
▲ ⁦+6.87%⁩ (+1.50)
Market Cap$119.7B
Beta0.42
52w Low52w High
21.7737.45
Last Week
⁦+0.56%⁩
Last Month
⁦+0.21%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+0.60%⁩
Last Year
⁦-33.31%⁩
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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target
—
Current Price $23.34
Average rating
★ 4.25
Buy
Analyst coverage
4
Buy conviction
100%
High
Analyst ratings over time4 analysts rating
1
3
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.25 → 4.25
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2024-07-22
    JP Morgan
    OverweightNeutral
  • = Reiterate2019-09-09
    Bernstein
    OutperformMarket Perform
  • = Reiterate2019-09-08
    Bernstein
    OutperformMarket Perform
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    4.55x
    3.16x25.26x
    Very cheap
  • Forward P/E
    —
    —
  • EV / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • FCF Yield
    —
    —
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    122.4%
    -36.3%104.2%
    Exceptional
  • EPS Growth YoY
    519.3%
    -99.4%194.2%
    Exceptional
  • Gross Margin
    —
    —
  • ROIC
    —
    —
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-18 data

Company Overview

HDFC Bank Limited operates as a diversified bank serving more than 100 million customer relationships through approximately 9,700 branches. It gathers deposits and deploys them into retail loans, mortgages, vehicle financing, personal loans, business loans, and gold loans, in addition to financing small and medium-sized enterprises and corporations. The economics of the business depend on net interest income, which is affected by asset yields and the cost of deposits and borrowings, with the low-cost CASA mix playing an important role; in Q1 FY2027, retail accounted for 52% of assets, while management is targeting a longer-term level of approximately 60%.

In FY2025, revenue increased to $2,190.1 billion from $1,853.9 billion in FY2024, an increase of 18.1%, and net income rose to $673.5 billion from $622.7 billion, an increase of 8.2%, while earnings per share climbed to 89.63 from 88.31. Compared with FY2023, which recorded revenue of $1,131.2 billion and net income of $495.4 billion, the FY2025 figures reflect a significant expansion in the bank's scale, but earnings growth remained slower than revenue growth.

In Q1 FY2027, reported profit growth was 5%, or 9.8% after adjusting for HDB gains and non-recurring provisions in the comparison period, and both rates remained below balance-sheet growth of approximately 13% to 14%. The margin was approximately 3.4%, corporate and wholesale loans grew by approximately 18%, and the largest component of the small and medium-sized enterprise segment, business banking, grew by 22.3%, while retail accounted for 52%, mortgage disbursements recorded year-over-year growth of approximately 14%, and vehicle and unsecured loan disbursements grew by approximately 20%. This composition reflects the quarter's reliance on wholesale and small and medium-sized enterprises for momentum, with retail disbursements beginning to improve, while funding costs and the deposit mix continued to pressure the margin.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Broad-based credit acceleration is the clearest operating driver in Q1 FY2027; corporate and wholesale loans grew by approximately 18%, business banking grew by 22.3%, and ECLGS 5.0 program disbursements reached approximately INR 14,000 crore through June 30, 2026.
  • Retail disbursements began to show greater strength, as vehicle, personal, and business loan disbursements grew by approximately 20% year over year, mortgage disbursements rose by approximately 14%, and gold loans and Dukandar financing also began contributing from a smaller base.
  • Funding restructuring represents an opportunity for the margin; borrowings account for approximately 11% of the mix, compared with an industry level cited by management of 5% to 6%, and replacing maturing bonds with term deposits could save approximately 100 to 125 basis points on the replaced portion, with approximately INR 40,000 to 50,000 crore maturing during the two years following the July 18, 2026 call.
  • The customer acquisition initiative aims to increase the number of accounts and improve CASA after the ratio reached approximately 34%, compared with 38% after the merger and 40% before it; this is supported by a network of approximately 9,700 branches, although approximately 40% of them are less than five years old. Average business per branch rose to approximately INR 330 crore from INR 266 crore in 2023, indicating improving productivity from previous investments.
  • The bank continues to invest in redesigning digital journeys, analytics, and security, and intends to move several GenAI-based pilot programs into production during FY2027. On August 6, 2026, HDFC Bank was named among the early users of Microsoft’s largest data center in India, located in Hyderabad, consistent with management's focus on artificial intelligence and digital security.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +The bank achieved strong, multi-channel growth in Q1 FY2027, including 18% in corporate and wholesale lending and 22.3% in business banking, alongside retail disbursement growth ranging from approximately 14% to 20%.
  • +A customer base exceeding 100 million and a branch network of approximately 9,700 branches provide scope to deepen relationships; only 14% of customers have term deposits with the bank, leaving a clear opportunity to increase product and deposit penetration within the existing base.
  • +The maturation of new branches and the replacement of some high-cost borrowings could support efficiency and the margin; average business per branch rose to INR 330 crore, while replacing borrowings with term deposits could save more than 100 basis points on the replaced funding.
  • +The annual statements demonstrate the ability to expand earnings, with net income rising from $326.0 billion in FY2021 to $673.5 billion in FY2025, alongside an increase in revenue from $782.4 billion to $2,190.1 billion.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The 52-week range of $22.66 to $37.45 represents a spread of approximately 65% between its endpoints, while the analyst consensus is “Neutral,” reflecting a balance between credit growth and opportunities to reduce funding costs on one hand, and margin pressure and the lawsuit on the other. The context does not provide a consensus price target or a comparable earnings multiple, so the valuation assessment is based on this wide range and the slowdown in FY2025 net income growth to 8.2% versus revenue growth of 18.1%.

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-26; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove HDFC Bank's results in Q1 FY2027?

Momentum came mainly from approximately 18% growth in corporate and wholesale loans and 22.3% growth in business banking. ECLGS 5.0 disbursements reached approximately INR 14,000 crore through June 30, 2026, while vehicle, personal, and business loan disbursements grew by approximately 20% annually. In contrast, reported profit growth was 5% and adjusted profit growth was 9.8%, remaining below balance-sheet growth of approximately 13% to 14%.

Can HDFC Bank improve its interest margin after it reached approximately 3.4%?

Management sees a long-term opportunity from reducing funding costs, but said on the July 18, 2026 call that improvement will not happen quickly. Borrowings represent approximately 11% of the mix, and replacing them with term deposits could save approximately 100 to 125 basis points on the replaced portion. The bank also aims to increase the retail mix from 52% toward approximately 60% over the longer term, because a higher-yielding asset mix could support the margin.

Why is the CASA ratio important for HDB stock?

The CASA ratio was approximately 34% in Q1 FY2027, compared with approximately 38% after the merger and 40% before it. At the same time, the share of wholesale deposits increased from 17% to 20%, a mix that tends to cost more than current and savings accounts. The bank is relying on increasing customer numbers through approximately 9,700 branches and improving account quality, but noted that household deposit growth in the system remained in the single digits.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

−
The class-action lawsuit filed on August 14, 2026 creates potential legal and reputational risk, alleging that HDFC Bank made misleading statements, concealed material facts, and disguised payments as marketing expenses rather than higher interest paid to a government-owned company in exchange for attracting deposits; these are legal allegations, not established findings in the provided information.
  • −The margin remains under pressure at approximately 3.4% in Q1 FY2027, with the cost of non-retail deposits rising and borrowings remaining at approximately 11% of the mix. Management explained that the potentially available 40 to 50 basis points of funding-cost improvement will not materialize quickly and that assessing the margin floor on a quarterly basis is not possible.
  • −The conversion of balance-sheet growth into earnings is slowing; reported profit grew by 5% and adjusted profit by 9.8% in Q1 FY2027, compared with balance-sheet growth of approximately 13% to 14%. FY2025 net income also rose by only 8.2% despite revenue growth of 18.1%, highlighting the continued growth gap between scale and profitability.
  • −The CASA ratio declined to approximately 34% from 38% after the merger and 40% before it, while the share of wholesale deposits rose from 17% to 20%. This shift increases reliance on higher-cost funding sources, and the bank's strategy does not assume that household deposit growth will return from 8% to 9% to 15%.
  • −Competition is intense in corporate lending, where management described credit spreads as extremely tight and had to be selective. In retail, card balance growth remained at approximately 2% to 3% and unsecured personal loans in the single digits, despite stronger disbursement growth, meaning that improved disbursements do not immediately translate into comparable balance growth.
  • −The expected credit loss methodology takes effect on April 1, 2027, with a minimum provision of 1% for Stage 1 unsecured assets and 5% for Stage 2. Management believes current reserves are sufficient and that the ongoing impact will not be material, but it acknowledged some increase in credit costs, alongside the risks of El Niño disruptions and geopolitical tensions in West Asia during FY2027.
  • How important are HDFC Bank's branch network and customer base?

    The bank has more than 100 million customer relationships and approximately 9,700 branches, with approximately 40% of the branches less than five years old. Average business per branch rose to approximately INR 330 crore from INR 266 crore in 2023 and less than INR 200 crore in earlier periods. Only 14% of customers have term deposits with the bank, giving HDFC Bank an opportunity to increase its wallet share within the existing base.

    What are the main legal and regulatory risks facing HDB?

    On August 14, 2026, a class-action lawsuit was filed alleging that HDFC Bank made misleading statements, concealed material facts, and disguised payments as marketing expenses; these remain unresolved allegations in the provided information. From a regulatory perspective, the expected credit loss methodology takes effect on April 1, 2027 and includes a minimum provision of 1% for Stage 1 unsecured assets and 5% for Stage 2. Management says current provisions are sufficient and that the ongoing impact will not be material, but it expects some increase in credit costs.

    How does HDFC Bank use artificial intelligence and technology?

    Management said on July 18, 2026 that the bank is redesigning digital journeys and analytics and preparing several GenAI-based pilot programs to enter production during FY2027. Expected uses include improving operations and reducing product and service delivery times, alongside using artificial intelligence to strengthen security defenses. On August 6, 2026, HDFC Bank was named among the early users of Microsoft’s new data center in Hyderabad, the company's largest center in India according to the provided report.