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Home
Stocks
The Home Depot, Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall43
Weak — below market medianFalling StarF 5/9Congress sellingBetter than 43% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
49
22.5x▼18.2xAround median
▸
Growth
26
2.5%▼7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
83
22.6%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
57
2.6x2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
52
2.86%▲2.10%Around median
▸
Momentum
25
-15.1%▼2.9%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
41
21▲3Around median
HD

HD The Home Depot, Inc.

The Home Depot, Inc. · NYSE
Market Open
313.70
▼ ⁦-2.29%⁩ (-7.35)
Market Cap$320.1B
Beta0.96
52w Low52w High
289.10426.75
Last Week
⁦-4.99%⁩
Last Month
⁦-10.25%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+0.94%⁩
Last Year
⁦-23.80%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$321
Analyst target · 9 analysts
$377
⁦+17%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$340–$425⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$171
⁦-47%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦8.6⁩% discount · ⁦1⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$171–$377⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 9 analysts setting price target
$378.62
⁦+20.7%⁩
Current Price $313.70·Median $377.00
Low
$340.00
High
$425.00
Current price
$313.70
Average target
$378.62
Street summary

Analysis of Home Depot (HD) Price Target Revisions

The average price target for Home Depot stock saw a decline of 1.05% over the last week to reach $378.62, compared to $382.64 on August 19. This decline coincided with two analysts exiting the coverage range, reducing the number of analysts from 11 to 9. This cautious outlook was reinforced by Jefferies downgrading the stock from "Buy" to "Hold" on August 17, while other institutions such as UBS and Bernstein maintained their current ratings unchanged, indicating a state of wait-and-see and neutrality among analysts.

As of 2026-08-26
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+1.3%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.69
Buy
Analyst coverage
⁦36 (-2)⁩
Buy conviction
58%
Mixed
Rating activity · 30d
1↑ · 2↓
Target dispersion
27%
Analyst ratings over time36 analysts rating
4
17
15
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.73 → 3.69
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-19
    Bernstein
    Market Perform
  • = Reiterate2026-08-19
    UBS
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-08-19
    KeyBanc
    Sector Weight
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    22.45x
    4.75x38.04x
    Near median
  • Forward P/E
    20.59x
    3.92x31.36x
    Near median
  • EV / EBITDA
    15.97x
    2.82x22.58x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    4.7%
    -31.0%15.4%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    2.5%
    -13.8%31.9%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -2.9%
    -156.9%134.5%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    33.2%
    12.0%66.5%
    Near median
  • ROIC
    22.6%
    -23.8%21.5%
    Exceptional
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    2.59x
    0.65x5.45x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    2.9%
    0.1%5.4%
    Moderate
  • Payout Ratio
    64.3%
    8.9%100.2%
    Moderate
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-18 data

Company Overview

The Home Depot operates through a home improvement ecosystem that combines stores, digital platforms, and delivery services, selling building materials, tools, appliances, and maintenance, repair, garden, and storage products. The company serves individual DIY customers and professional Pro customers, while SRS and GMS expand the range of products and services available to builders, contractors, and commercial customers; 90% of stores closed at least one transaction through the SRS catalog during the twelve months ended August 18, 2026.

In the second quarter of fiscal 2027, reported on August 18, 2026, sales reached 47.9 billion dollars, up 5.7%, while comparable sales increased 1.7% overall and 1.3% in the United States. Gross margin was 33.7%, equivalent to approximate gross profit of 16.1 billion dollars, while operating margin was 14.3%, equivalent to approximate operating profit of 6.9 billion dollars. Diluted earnings per share were 4.79 dollars, or 4.92 dollars excluding intangible asset amortization, representing adjusted growth of 5.1%.

Performance was broad-based; 13 of 16 merchandise departments posted positive comparable sales, Pro outperformed DIY, and Canada, Mexico, and SRS performed above the company average. Comparable average ticket increased 2.8% and transaction count declined 1%, while transactions exceeding 1,000 dollars increased 2.4%. Sales through digital platforms rose 11%, marking the fifth consecutive quarter of double-digit year-over-year growth.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Results for the second quarter of fiscal 2027 exceeded the company’s expectations, with sales growing 5.7% to 47.9 billion dollars and comparable sales rising from 1.2% in May 2026 to 1.5% in June and 2.3% in July, demonstrating improvement throughout the quarter.
  • The digital channel became a meaningful growth driver after its sales rose 11% year over year and traffic and conversion increased, while Magic Apron receives millions of questions monthly and helps customers and associates find products and answer project-related questions in stores.
  • On August 18, 2026, Home Depot announced the nationwide rollout of Express Delivery in the United States for tens of thousands of products within three hours or less, while more than 65% of in-stock product parcels were arriving the same day or the next day, and most Express orders were completed in less than one hour.
  • Delivery lead times for large and bulky products in the United States declined by approximately 45% during the eighteen months ended August 2026, and about 55% of in-stock large products were arriving within two days; next-day delivery of a selected range of appliances also covered approximately 60% of the population.
  • Management reaffirmed its fiscal 2026 guidance for total sales growth of between 2.5% and 4.5%, comparable sales growth of between zero and 2%, and mid-single-digit organic growth at SRS. The plan includes opening approximately 15 new stores and 40 to 50 new SRS branches, with expected contributions from GMS, stores and branches, and additional small acquisitions.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +The core business demonstrated breadth beyond seasonal categories, as 13 of 16 departments posted positive comparable sales, and only three of the top 20 categories contributing to positive performance were seasonally related.
  • +The focus on Pro provides a path to capture a larger share of spending; Pro posted positive comparable sales and outperformed DIY, while all SRS verticals were positive and its comparable sales exceeded the company average in the second quarter of fiscal 2027.
  • +Investments in digital fulfillment and delivery support conversion and engagement, with digital growth of 11%, more than 65% of parcels delivered the same day or the next day, and a 45% reduction in lead times for large and bulky products over 18 months.
  • +The company retains a strong ability to generate returns despite investment; return on invested capital was 24.8% during the twelve months ended with the quarter, and it invested approximately 880 million dollars in capital expenditures and paid approximately 2.3 billion dollars in dividends during the same quarter.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The average analyst price target is 378.62 dollars within a wide range of 340 to 425 dollars, with a consensus Buy rating, and the highest target is close to the top of the 52-week range of 426.75 dollars, while the average is approximately 11.3% below it. The price-to-earnings ratio of 24.1 times indicates a valuation that relies on execution quality and growth in Pro and the digital channel, but it appears more sensitive given fiscal 2026 earnings per share growth guidance of between zero and 4% and housing and cost pressures.

BuyAnalyst target: $378.62(+20.7%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-25; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

How did HD stock perform in the second quarter of fiscal 2027?

Sales reached 47.9 billion dollars in the second quarter of fiscal 2027, up 5.7%, while comparable sales increased 1.7%. Diluted earnings per share were 4.79 dollars, while adjusted earnings per share were 4.92 dollars, up 5.1%. Gross margin was 33.7% and operating margin was 14.3%, with U.S. comparable sales growing 1.3%.

What is Home Depot’s guidance for fiscal 2026?

The company expects total sales growth of between 2.5% and 4.5% and comparable sales growth of between zero and 2% in fiscal 2026. It expects gross margin of approximately 33.1%, operating margin of between 12.4% and 12.6%, and adjusted operating margin of between 12.8% and 13%. It also expects diluted and adjusted earnings per share growth of between zero and 4%, with capital expenditures equivalent to approximately 2.5% of sales.

How do digital commerce and delivery support HD’s growth?

Sales through Home Depot’s digital platforms rose 11% year over year in the second quarter of fiscal 2027, marking the fifth consecutive quarter of double-digit growth. On August 18, 2026, the company announced the rollout of Express Delivery for tens of thousands of products within three hours or less, while most service orders arrived in less than one hour. More than 65% of in-stock product parcels were also arriving the same day or the next day, and Magic Apron receives millions of questions monthly.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • −Housing affordability and high interest rates remain obstacles to large projects; management said on August 18, 2026 that housing turnover had remained at historically low levels for four years and had shown no inflection point, while large discretionary projects remained under pressure.
  • −Comparable sales growth was driven more by transaction value than customer traffic, as average ticket increased 2.8% but transaction count declined 1% in the second quarter of fiscal 2027, making continued growth sensitive to pricing and purchase mix.
  • −Operating margin declined to 14.3% from 14.5%, while adjusted operating margin decreased to 14.7% from 14.8%. Gross margin benefited by approximately 85 net basis points from the IEEPA tariff refund after incremental costs, but management expects fuel, energy, and product input pressures to offset the refund benefit over the full year and expects fourth-quarter gross margin to be near its year-ago level.
  • −The financial outlook for fiscal 2026 is tied to relatively limited growth, as management expects comparable sales of only between zero and 2%, diluted and adjusted earnings per share growth of between zero and 4%, and a full-year operating margin of between 12.4% and 12.6%.
  • −Inventory increased by approximately 2 billion dollars year over year to 26.8 billion dollars, and inventory turns declined to 4.5 times from 4.6 times, while return on invested capital fell to 24.8% from 27.2%, indicators that warrant monitoring capital efficiency as SRS and GMS expand.
  • −Valuation represents a risk if the frozen housing market persists or transaction growth slows, as data from August 18, 2026 indicated a price-to-earnings ratio of 24.1 times despite guidance for earnings per share growth of only between zero and 4%. The wide 52-week range of between 289.10 and 426.75 dollars demonstrates the stock’s sensitivity to changes in housing and margin expectations.
  • How important are Pro, SRS, and GMS to the Home Depot investment thesis?

    The Pro business posted positive comparable sales and outperformed DIY in the second quarter of fiscal 2027, with strength in portable power, lumber, pipes, fasteners, and concrete. SRS comparable sales exceeded the company average, and all its verticals were positive, while management is targeting mid-single-digit organic growth for SRS in fiscal 2026. Adding the SRS and GMS catalogs to QuoteCenter enables the sale of a broader assortment to builders and contractors, and 90% of stores closed a transaction through SRS during the twelve months ended August 2026.

    What is Ted Decker’s leadership status at Home Depot?

    Home Depot announced on August 12, 2026 that Ted Decker would take a temporary medical leave. The company said during its August 18, 2026 call that it looked forward to his return within a few months and would disclose any material developments as needed. During the leave, Ann-Marie Campbell oversees daily operations, while Richard McPhail manages financial operations in accordance with the announcement.