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Stocks
Hercules Capital, Inc.
HCXY

HCXY Hercules Capital Inc

Hercules Capital Inc · NYSE
Market Open
25.02
▲ ⁦+0.32%⁩ (+0.08)
Market Cap$3.1B
Beta0.79
52w Low52w High
24.3625.71
Last Week
⁦-0.32%⁩
Last Month
⁦-0.16%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-0.24%⁩
Last Year
⁦-1.03%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall62
Balanced — near the middle of the marketHigh FlyerF 4/9Better than 62% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
48
12.3x▲17.6xAround median
▸
Growth
75
12.1%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
89
——Top tier
▸
Safety
62
——Around median
▸
Capital Return
31
7.22%▲2.15%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
56
-0.9%▼2.3%Around median
▸
Sentiment
2
1▼3Bottom tier
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$25
Analyst target
No data
vs
DCF (estimate)
$-17.07
⁦-168%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦5⁩% growth

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    12.29x
    3.11x24.86x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    12.62x
    2.72x21.78x
    Near median
  • EV / EBITDA
    15.91x
    3.03x24.25x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    0.2%
    -17.7%19.3%
    Near median
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    12.1%
    -36.8%103.3%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    34.4%
    -99.6%194.1%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    93.5%
    23.3%98.3%
    Strong
  • ROIC
    9.9%
    -36.5%24.6%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    5.23x
    0.25x7.21x
    Near median
  • Dividend Yield
    7.2%
    0.6%9.1%
    High
  • Payout Ratio
    87.9%
    9.8%98.0%
    High
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-05-05 data

Company Overview

Hercules Capital operates in private lending to venture-backed and growth-stage companies, with a focus on the life sciences and technology sectors. The company generates its income primarily from interest on its debt portfolio and prepayment fees, in addition to the contribution from the private credit funds business managed by Hercules Adviser; assets under management across the platform reached approximately $6.1 billion in fiscal Q1 2026, up 21.8% from the comparable period. The asset portfolio was divided nearly equally between life sciences and technology, with no subsector accounting for more than 25%, while debt investments were spread across 139 companies.

EDGAR data for fiscal Q2 2026 showed revenue of $138.0 million, net income of $130.2 million, and earnings per share of $0.67, compared with revenue of $136.4 million, net income of $42.5 million, and earnings per share of $0.23 in fiscal Q1 2026. Fiscal Q2 net income was equivalent to approximately 94.3% of revenue, noting that the provided data does not present a separate figure for gross profit or its margin. In fiscal 2025, the company recorded revenue of $507.9 million, net income of $339.7 million, and earnings per share of $1.85.

The May 5, 2026 call indicated that total investment income in fiscal Q1 2026 reached a record $141.5 million and that net investment income was $88.1 million, or $0.48 per share. Net investment income covered the base distribution by 120% and the full distribution, including the supplemental distribution of $0.07, by 102%. The effective portfolio yield was 12.8% and the core yield was 12.2%, while Hercules Adviser contributed approximately $6.7 million to net investment income through distributions of $2.1 million and expense reimbursements of $4.6 million.

What's Driving the Stock

  • In fiscal Q1 2026, Hercules recorded more than $1.81 billion in new debt and equity commitments and more than $706 million in total fundings, both record levels, adding $298 million to the debt portfolio on a net basis and supporting an 18.4% increase in total investment income from the comparable period.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • Closed commitments between the end of fiscal Q1 and May 1, 2026 totaled approximately $79.2 million, while completed fundings reached $32.3 million, in addition to $506.1 million in pending commitments under signed, non-binding term sheets; these figures support the lending pipeline, but do not represent guaranteed revenue.
  • The shift toward more defensive opportunities resulted in approximately 56% of fiscal Q1 2026 commitments and 60% of fundings being allocated to life sciences companies, while approximately 44% of commitments went to technology companies. The company funded 34 companies during the quarter, including 13 new borrowing relationships, while maintaining approximately 89% of exposure in senior-ranking positions.
  • Credit quality remained stable in fiscal Q1 2026; loans rated 4 and 5 together accounted for only 0.9% of the portfolio, the lowest level since fiscal Q2 2022. Non-accrual status was limited to one loan with a cost value of $10.7 million and a fair value of $3.7 million, equivalent to 0.2% and 0.1% of the total portfolio, respectively.
  • PIK interest income declined to 9.1% of revenue in fiscal Q1 2026 from 10.5% in fiscal 2025, and the company collected $15.3 million in cash from outstanding PIK balances. In addition, 91% of PIK income came from original underwriting terms, and more than 98% came from loans rated 1 through 3, limiting the negative credit signal from this income.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +Growth in assets under management to $6.1 billion, alongside record commitments of $1.81 billion in fiscal Q1 2026, provides a broader base for generating interest and fee income across both the BDC and the institutional funds managed by Hercules Adviser.
    • +Credit indicators support the quality thesis; all income-producing debt investments were current on principal and scheduled interest payments according to the latest disclosure on the May 5, 2026 call, while loans rated 4 and 5 accounted for no more than 0.9% of the portfolio.
    • +Liquidity totaled $454.5 million within the BDC and more than $1 billion across the platform at the end of fiscal Q1 2026, and Hercules issued $300 million of unsecured institutional notes bearing interest at 5.35% and maturing in 2029. This liquidity gives the company the capacity to fund existing companies and capitalize on lending opportunities during market volatility.
    • +Distribution coverage enhances the appeal of the income model; net investment income covered the base distribution by 120% and the full distribution by 102% in fiscal Q1 2026, while accumulated undistributed earnings totaled $149.1 million, or $0.80 per outstanding share, at the end of the period.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Artificial intelligence disruption poses a direct risk to part of the technology portfolio, and management acknowledged on the May 5, 2026 call that changing business models and profit margins will create winners and losers. Software lending opportunities were also below their level in the second half of fiscal 2025, which could reduce qualified opportunities or increase underwriting risks if technological displacement accelerates.
    • −GAAP leverage increased to 115.4% in fiscal Q1 2026 from 104.4% in the previous quarter, reaching the upper end of the customary historical range of 100% to 115%. Interest and fee expenses rose to $30.8 million from $28.2 million, with management expecting them to increase again in fiscal Q2 2026 following growth in the debt portfolio.
    • −Management projected prepayments ranging from $350 million to $500 million in fiscal Q2 2026, compared with $225.8 million in fiscal Q1, alongside expectations that new loan originations would moderate and be concentrated in the latter part of the quarter. A timing mismatch between redeploying this liquidity and receiving repayments could temporarily pressure interest income, while the timing and valuation of acquisition transactions involving portfolio companies have become more volatile.
    • −Net asset value per share declined 1.9% during fiscal Q1 2026 to $11.90, and investments recorded a net unrealized depreciation of $45 million. This included $31.1 million on debt investments, of which $7.9 million came from fair-value reductions on two previously distressed loans, in addition to $12.3 million on public and private equity positions.
    • −Approximately half of Hercules' assets are linked to the life sciences sector, and management noted on the May 5, 2026 call the disruption and uncertainty associated with FDA actions. This regulatory exposure could affect portfolio companies' funding needs or the timing of their progress, even as management continues to observe positive clinical results and drug approvals within the sector.

    Valuation

    The Hercules valuation target based on the 52-week range lies between $24.36 and $25.71, a relatively narrow range with a spread of approximately 5.5% between its endpoints. Compared with net asset value of $11.90 per share in fiscal Q1 2026, this range represents approximately 2.0 to 2.2 times net asset value, a premium that requires continued strong return on equity and distribution coverage. This is counterbalanced by the risk of a 1.9% decline in net asset value and an increase in leverage to 115.4% during the same quarter.

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-31; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    How does Hercules Capital generate its revenue?

    Hercules generates its income primarily from interest on loans provided to growth-stage life sciences and technology companies, in addition to prepayment fees and PIK income. Hercules Adviser also manages institutional private credit funds and contributed approximately $6.7 million to the BDC's net investment income during fiscal Q1 2026. Total investment income in that quarter reached a record $141.5 million, while core income after excluding the impact of prepayments was $134.9 million.

    What drove HCXY's results in fiscal Q2 2026?

    EDGAR data showed revenue of $138.0 million, net income of $130.2 million, and earnings per share of $0.67 in fiscal Q2 2026. These results compare with revenue of $136.4 million, net income of $42.5 million, and earnings per share of $0.23 in fiscal Q1 2026. The provided data does not include details on the reasons for the jump in fiscal Q2 net income, so it cannot be attributed to a specific operating item.

    How strong is the credit quality of Hercules' loan portfolio?

    The average internal credit rating was 2.11 in fiscal Q1 2026, compared with 2.20 in the previous quarter, and loans rated 1 and 2 increased to 70.5% from 66.6%. Loans rated 4 and 5 declined to 0.9% of the portfolio, the lowest level since fiscal Q2 2022. Non-accrual status was limited to one loan with a cost of $10.7 million and a fair value of $3.7 million.

    How does artificial intelligence affect Hercules' portfolio?

    Management stated on the May 5, 2026 call that artificial intelligence could change business models and profit margins and create winners and losers across multiple sectors. Conversely, it reported that several portfolio companies use artificial intelligence to improve efficiency, accelerate innovation, and speed their access to market. Hercules responded by updating its modeling assumptions and underwriting criteria and placing greater priority on loan duration, collateral, and covenants instead of pursuing a limited increase in yield.

    Do Hercules' earnings cover its distributions?

    Net investment income covered the base distribution by 120% in fiscal Q1 2026 and covered the full distribution, including the supplemental distribution of $0.07, by 102%. This was the twenty-third consecutive quarter in which the company provided a supplemental distribution alongside the quarterly base distribution. It also ended the period with accumulated undistributed earnings of $149.1 million, equivalent to $0.80 per outstanding share at the end of the quarter.

    What is the expected impact of prepayments on Hercules?

    Management projected on the May 5, 2026 call that prepayments would range from $350 million to $500 million in fiscal Q2 2026, up from $225.8 million in fiscal Q1. Most of the increase is linked to known acquisition transactions and could lead to higher prepayment fees and the cash collection of PIK balances. Conversely, the sustained impact on income depends on the speed at which the funds are redeployed, particularly given expectations that new loan originations would moderate and be concentrated in the latter part of the quarter.

    −
    The share price ranged between $24.36 and $25.71 over 52 weeks, while net asset value per share was $11.90 in fiscal Q1 2026; therefore, the endpoints of the range equal approximately 2.0 and 2.2 times net asset value. This valuation premium makes sustaining the 16.9% return on equity and high credit quality important to its justification, and increases valuation sensitivity to any further decline in net asset value or investment income.