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Stocks
HUTCHMED (China) Limited
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall17
Poor — bottom quartile of the marketValue TrapF 5/9Better than 17% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
53
9.3x▲17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
18
-12.7%▼7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
44
-4.4%▼4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
53
—2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
78
—2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
29
-26.6%▼2.9%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
82
4▲3Top tier
HCM

HCM HUTCHMED (China) Limited

HUTCHMED (China) Limited · NASDAQ
Market Closed
12.82
▼ ⁦-2.29%⁩ (-0.30)
Market Cap$2.2B
Beta0.43
52w Low52w High
9.9518.30
Last Week
⁦+6.48%⁩
Last Month
⁦+2.48%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+9.39%⁩
Last Year
⁦-19.52%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$13
Analyst target · 7 analysts
$16
⁦+27%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$14–$45⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
N/A (negative FCF)

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 7 analysts setting price target
$22.78
⁦+77.7%⁩
Current Price $12.82·Median $16.25
Low
$13.60
High
$45.00
Current price
$12.82
Average target
$22.78
Street summary

Higher Target Price Consensus with High Dispersion

Bullish tilt

The target price consensus rose to 22.78 from 15.37 over seven days, an increase of 48.21%, and to 22.78 from 13.80 over 30 days, an increase of 65.07%. The consensus was unchanged over the last day, while the number of analysts increased from 7 to 13 during the 30-day comparison period, before currently stabilizing at 7 analysts; therefore, part of the improvement is related to a change in the analyst base included. The current price of 13.12 is below the minimum target of 13.6 and below the median of 16.25, while the highest target is 45, reflecting a very wide range of estimates.

As of 2026-09-10
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+65.1%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.85
Buy
Analyst coverage
⁦13 (-6)⁩
Buy conviction
69%
High
Rating activity · 30d
2↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
245%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time13 analysts rating
2
7
4
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.80 → 3.85
Recent analyst moves
  • ⬆ Upgrade2026-09-08
    HSBC
    HoldBuy
  • ⬆ Upgrade2026-09-03
    Daiwa
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-05-28
    Morgan Stanley
    —· $13.60
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    9.35x
    3.94x44.30x
    Very cheap
  • Forward P/E
    —
    —
  • EV / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • FCF Yield
    -2.4%
    -138.2%7.8%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    -12.7%
    -56.9%93.8%
    Below average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -127.2%
    -160.1%130.2%
    Below average
  • Gross Margin
    44.3%
    12.8%90.7%
    Near median
  • ROIC
    -4.4%
    -155.3%16.0%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-03-05 data

Company Overview

HUTCHMED (China) Limited is an oncology pharmaceutical company that relies on a mix of product sales in China, revenue associated with the commercialization of FRUZAQLA outside China through Takeda, and research and development revenue, upfront payments, and contractual milestones. Total oncology revenue reached $286 million in fiscal year 2025, including $71 million from upfront payments and research and development milestone revenue, while the company recorded $366 million in ex-China in-market sales of FRUZAQLA, up 26%, with availability in more than 38 countries.

According to EDGAR filings, total revenue declined to $548.5 million in fiscal year 2025 from $630.2 million in fiscal year 2024 and $838.0 million in fiscal year 2023. Gross profit fell to $212.2 million from $281.3 million, representing a gross margin of approximately 38.7% versus about 44.6% in fiscal year 2024. In contrast, net income rose to $456.9 million and earnings per share to 0.52, but $416 million of the profit came from a one-time gain on the sale of SHPL; management confirmed that the core operations remained profitable after excluding it.

Fiscal year 2025 Q4 results showed a clear divergence across markets and products. ELUNATE in-market sales in China declined 13% during fiscal year 2025 due to a weak first half and a reduction in the sales team, before growing 33% in the second half, while ORPATHYS and SULANDA together represented 11% of total in-market sales and remained under competitive pressure. At the same time, the company spent $148 million on research and development and ended fiscal year 2025 with approximately $1.4 billion in liquidity to support ATTC programs and potential licensing and acquisition opportunities, without announcing a specific acquisition target.

What's Driving the Stock

  • HUTCHMED is targeting oncology revenue of between $330 million and $450 million in fiscal year 2026, and management said the midpoint of the range represents approximately 36% growth compared with fiscal year 2025 performance; this depends on growth in Chinese products, expansion into additional indications, and the continued rollout of FRUZAQLA outside China, with licensing revenue potentially contributing toward the upper end of the range.
  • FRUZAQLA in-market sales outside China reached $366 million in fiscal year 2025, up 26%, following launches in markets including Portugal, Belgium, and South Korea, and strong performance in Japan and some European markets. Management expects availability in more than 38 countries and a full year of market penetration to support fiscal year 2026 growth, despite pressure from the Medicare Part D redesign in the United States.
  • Savolitinib data could represent an important catalyst during fiscal year 2026; the company expects the SAFFRON readout in mid-2026 and the SANOVO readout in the second half of 2026 or early 2027. The SACHI study published in 2026 showed overall survival of 22.9 months versus 7.9 months among patients in the full analysis set who did not subsequently receive a MET inhibitor, with a hazard ratio of 0.32.
  • The company is advancing in hematological diseases through sovleplenib, whose application for the treatment of ITP in China was resubmitted and granted Breakthrough Therapy Designation and Priority Review. In three-year follow-up, median exposure exceeded 86 weeks and more than 51% of patients achieved a durable response, while the company estimated the actively treated ITP patient market in China at more than 250 thousand patients and the addressable market value at between $500 million and $700 million.
  • The ATTC platform has progressed from discovery to clinical development; A251 began a global Phase 1 study in China and the United States, candidate 580 entered Phase 1, and the company expects to advance 830 into global Phase 1 during 2026. A251 targets HER2-expressing solid tumors and showed preclinical HER2-dependent activity with an IC50 concentration of approximately 0.2 nanomolar and a bystander effect designed to address heterogeneous HER2 expression.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Liquidity of approximately $1.4 billion at the end of fiscal year 2025 provides the capacity to fund the global expansion of ATTC programs and evaluate licensing opportunities for late-stage assets or assets complementary to the portfolio, without the company announcing a specific acquisition target.
  • +The commercial growth engine combines the expansion of FRUZAQLA outside China with the recovery of ELUNATE within China; FRUZAQLA in-market sales grew 26% in fiscal year 2025, while Chinese ELUNATE sales shifted from first-half weakness to 33% growth in the second half, with a focus on major cities and hospitals and renewal of its NRDL listing without a price reduction.
  • +The portfolio offers several defined regulatory and clinical opportunities, including the review of the RCC indication for ELUNATE, Priority Review of the sovleplenib application for ITP, the savolitinib application for MET-amplified gastric cancer, and the SAFFRON and SANOVO readouts. This diversity reduces the growth thesis's dependence on a single experimental asset, while each opportunity remains subject to approval and data risks.
  • +According to management, the core business remained profitable in fiscal year 2025 even after excluding the $416 million gain on the sale of SHPL, and the company is targeting sustained profitability while increasing research investment. This gives HUTCHMED a stronger financial starting point for funding its programs compared with its net loss of $360.8 million in fiscal year 2022.

Valuation

The analysts' average price target is $13.8, within a narrow range of $13.6 to $14, versus a 52-week share-price range of $9.77 to $18.3; the average target is therefore approximately 24.6% below the top of the 52-week range. The consensus is “Buy,” but the absence of a comparable price-to-earnings ratio and the dependence of fiscal year 2025 net income on the $416 million gain from the sale of SHPL require the stock to be assessed based on recurring operating earnings and clinical portfolio outcomes rather than reported net income alone.

BuyAnalyst target: $13.8(+7.6%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-01; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What will drive HCM's growth in fiscal year 2026?

HUTCHMED is guiding for oncology revenue of between $330 million and $450 million in fiscal year 2026, compared with oncology revenue of $286 million in fiscal year 2025. The plan is based on the expansion of FRUZAQLA outside China, growth in Chinese products, and the addition of new indications such as RCC for ELUNATE. Management said the midpoint of the guidance range represents approximately 36% growth, with licensing agreements potentially contributing part of the increase toward the upper end.

Why did HUTCHMED's net income rise sharply in fiscal year 2025?

Net income reached $456.9 million and earnings per share were 0.52 in fiscal year 2025, compared with $37.7 million and earnings per share of 0.04 in fiscal year 2024. Of fiscal year 2025 net income, $416 million came from a one-time gain on the sale of SHPL. Management confirmed that the core operations remained profitable after excluding this gain, but the reported figure does not fully represent recurring operating profit.

How important is FRUZAQLA to HUTCHMED's business?

FRUZAQLA generated ex-China in-market sales of $366 million in fiscal year 2025, up 26%, and reached more than 38 countries. Growth accelerated in the second half, supported by launches in Portugal, Belgium, and South Korea, in addition to performance in Japan and some European markets. In contrast, the product faced pressure in the United States related to the Medicare Part D redesign, so continued growth also depends on expansion outside the U.S. market.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

  • −Total revenue declined from $838.0 million in fiscal year 2023 to $630.2 million in fiscal year 2024 and then to $548.5 million in fiscal year 2025, while gross profit fell from $453.6 million to $281.3 million and then to $212.2 million over the same periods. This trajectory indicates contraction in the reported financial base despite the recovery of some in-market sales in the second half of fiscal year 2025.
  • −The quality of fiscal year 2025 net income depended heavily on a non-recurring gain; of the $456.9 million in net income, $416 million came from the sale of SHPL. Therefore, reported net income alone does not represent a recurring earnings level on which subsequent periods can be based.
  • −The commercial portfolio faced product- and market-specific pressures; ELUNATE in-market sales in China declined 13% during fiscal year 2025, while ORPATHYS and SULANDA, which represented 11% of in-market sales, remained weak due to intense competition. SULANDA also faces multiple nuclear PRRT treatment options under clinical development within a limited patient population, while FRUZAQLA faced pressure in the United States from the Medicare Part D redesign.
  • −Fiscal year 2026 oncology revenue guidance ranges from $330 million to $450 million, a wide range with a $120 million difference between its endpoints. Management explained that the upper end could benefit from potential licensing opportunities, while fiscal year 2025 revenue included $71 million in upfront payments and milestone revenue, making the timing and scale of non-operating revenue a source of uncertainty.
  • −HUTCHMED intends to increase annual research and development investment in the following years from $148 million in fiscal year 2025 to a targeted level of between $250 million and $300 million. This could pressure earnings and margins if commercial revenue does not grow quickly enough, particularly because A251 and 580 remain in Phase 1 and no final timeline for their data has been announced.
  • −Key catalysts remain tied to trial and approval risks; the SAFFRON readout moved to mid-2026, and SANOVO, SAFFRON, and the sovleplenib and savolitinib applications remain subject to clinical outcomes or regulatory decisions. The savolitinib and osimertinib combination also faces treatment competition from J&J's RYBREVANT, and its adoption depends partly on MET testing practices and physician preferences.
What are HUTCHMED's key clinical and regulatory catalysts during 2026?

The company expects the SAFFRON readout in mid-2026 and the SANOVO readout in the second half of 2026 or early 2027, both related to the development of savolitinib. The sovleplenib application for the treatment of ITP in China is also undergoing Priority Review after being resubmitted, while the savolitinib application for MET-amplified gastric cancer was accepted for Priority Review. On the ATTC platform, A251 and 580 entered clinical development, and the company expects 830 to enter global Phase 1 during 2026.

What distinguishes the ATTC platform and candidate A251?

The ATTC platform was designed to combine the precision delivery of antibodies with the efficacy of targeted inhibitors, with the aim of delivering the payload directly to the tumor and reducing off-tumor toxicity. A251 consists of a PI3K and PIKK inhibitor linked to a HER2 antibody, and showed preclinical HER2-dependent activity with an IC50 concentration of approximately 0.2 nanomolar and a bystander effect on nearby cells. The candidate began a global Phase 1 study in China and the United States in patients with HER2-expressing solid tumors, but the company has not specified a final date for the data readout.

What do HUTCHMED's liquidity and research spending plan look like?

Liquidity reached approximately $1.4 billion at the end of fiscal year 2025, compared with research and development spending of $148 million during the same year. Management intends to increase research investment in the following years to an annual level of between $250 million and $300 million as the ATTC programs and Phase 3 trials advance. The company says it will balance this spending with commercial income to maintain sustained profitability, and it is also evaluating licensing and acquisition opportunities without announcing a specific target.