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Stocks
Hayward Holdings, Inc.
HAYW

HAYW Hayward Holdings, Inc.

Hayward Holdings, Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
13.11
▲ ⁦+1.79%⁩ (+0.23)
Market Cap$2.8B
Beta1.12
52w Low52w High
12.8417.73
Last Week
⁦-3.82%⁩
Last Month
⁦-15.04%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-6.42%⁩
Last Year
⁦-19.07%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall82
Excellent — top fifth of the marketContrarianF 9/9Better than 82% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
72
17.7x17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
45
7.8%▲7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
72
10.1%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
83
—2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
94
—2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
28
-2.8%▼2.9%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
45
6▲3Around median
Fair Value
Current price$13
Analyst target · 7 analysts
$17
⁦+26%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$11–$19⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$16
⁦+22%⁩
Sees it clearly undervalued
⁦9.3⁩% discount · ⁦1⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods broadly agree — estimate range ⁦$16–$17⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 7 analysts setting price target
$15.75
⁦+20.1%⁩
Current Price $13.11·Median $16.50
Low
$11.00
High
$19.00
Current price
$13.11
Average target
$15.75
Street summary

Valuation Stability Analysis for Hayward Holdings (HAYW) Stock

Target valuations for Hayward Holdings stock have remained completely stable over the past thirty days, with the average price target holding steady at $15.75, which is approximately 2.7% below the current price of $16.19. This stability, coupled with recent "Neutral" ratings from major institutions such as Goldman Sachs and KeyBanc in July 2026, reflects a state of anticipation and caution among analysts regarding the stock's ability to achieve immediate additional gains above its current levels.

As of 2026-08-05
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.30
Hold
Analyst coverage
10
Buy conviction
30%
Target dispersion
61%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time10 analysts rating
3
7
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.45 → 3.30
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-07-29
    Goldman Sachs
    Neutral
  • = Reiterate2026-07-20
    KeyBanc
    Sector Weight
  • = Reiterate2026-07-06
    Cantor Fitzgerald
    Neutral
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    17.72x
    5.69x45.54x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    13.98x
    4.57x36.58x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    8.98x
    3.43x27.47x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    7.8%
    -32.7%11.5%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    7.8%
    -10.7%43.4%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    25.4%
    -128.3%132.7%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    47.1%
    8.6%54.6%
    Strong
  • ROIC
    10.1%
    -25.3%19.6%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-29 data

Company Overview

Hayward Holdings manufactures swimming pool equipment and technologies, and the resilience of its business model is supported by a large installed product base and aftermarket, replacement, and upgrade sales. Demand drivers cited by management include salt chlorine generators, automation systems, and lighting, alongside the connected OmniX platform and OmniPro app. The company also serves commercial pool and industrial flow control activities. Revenue is further supported by the dealer network and Hayward hub training centers, while management said that approximately 90% of products sold in the United States were manufactured or assembled at its domestic facilities as of July 29, 2026.

In Q2 fiscal 2026, net sales rose 6% to $318 million, and gross profit increased 8% to $155 million, while gross margin declined 50 basis points to 48.7%. Adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization rose 5% to $93 million, and its margin declined 40 basis points to 29.1%, while adjusted diluted earnings per share grew 8% to $0.26. For the first half of fiscal 2026, sales and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization each rose 9%, and adjusted diluted earnings per share increased 18%.

North America accounted for most of the Q2 fiscal 2026 mix, generating $278 million in sales, up 9%, driven by a 7% price increase and 2% volume growth. In contrast, sales in Europe and the Rest of World declined 8% to $41 million; Europe fell 4% and the Rest of World declined 16% amid disruptions related to conflicts in the Middle East. EDGAR data for fiscal 2025 show revenue of $1.1 billion and net income of $151.6 million, compared with $1.1 billion and $160.6 million, respectively, during the twelve-month period ended in 2026.

What's Driving the Stock

  • On July 29, 2026, management maintained its fiscal 2026 guidance, targeting approximately 5% growth in net sales and a 9% to 13% increase in adjusted diluted earnings per share to a range of $0.84–$0.87, in addition to free cash flow of approximately $200 million.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • Market-share gains support Hayward's growth in its core market; North America sales increased 9% in Q2 fiscal 2026, and sales volumes grew 2%, while management said that sell-through of Hayward products through its largest trade partners exceeded the approximately 3% growth of the broader equipment category.
  • New product vitality increased to 23% alongside higher investment in research and development and engineering, and the OmniX platform is leading expansion in the connected-products ecosystem, particularly in the aftermarket. The commercial pool and industrial flow control businesses also recorded double-digit growth in the first half of fiscal 2026.
  • In Q2 fiscal 2026, the company refinanced a $960 million term loan, extending its maturity from 2028 to 2033 and reducing the interest spread by 61 basis points, lowering annual interest expense by approximately $6 million. Net leverage declined to 1.5 times, its lowest level since the initial public offering in 2021, with total liquidity exceeding $900 million.
  • Hayward uses artificial intelligence in North American customer service; on July 29, 2026, it said that 98% of calls were being answered within one second and that 80% were resolved without escalation to a technical service representative, combining improved responsiveness with greater operational efficiency.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +The aftermarket model tied to the installed product base provides a degree of resilience, as demonstrated by 6% sales growth in Q2 fiscal 2026 despite economic and geopolitical pressures, with solid demand for salt chlorine generators, automation, and lighting.
    • +The company combines revenue growth with high profitability; the 48.7% gross margin in Q2 fiscal 2026 was its second-highest quarterly margin since going public, despite inflation in specialty metals, freight, and resin costs.
    • +The improved balance sheet expands capital-allocation options, as cash and short-term investments reached $483 million at the end of Q2 fiscal 2026, and total liquidity exceeded $900 million, while the company repurchased 4.4 million shares for approximately $64 million during the first half.
    • +The OmniX platform, new product vitality of 23%, and Hayward hub centers provide specific tools for sustaining market-share gains through connected products, dealer training, and converting new dealers in targeted markets.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −The business is heavily concentrated in North America, which represented approximately 87% of Q2 fiscal 2026 sales, at $278 million out of $318 million, making results highly sensitive to demand, pricing, and distribution-channel inventories in this region.
    • −Sales in Europe and the Rest of World declined 8% to $41 million in Q2 fiscal 2026, including a 16% decline in the Rest of World due to disruptions related to conflict in the Middle East; this shows that the international recovery is uneven and that geopolitical risks are pressuring volumes.
    • −Margin protection partly depends on passing inflation through to customers; in Q2 fiscal 2026, most growth came from pricing, and gross margin declined 50 basis points to 48.7% due to higher specialty metals, freight, and resin costs and the timing of mitigation actions. Management acknowledged that significant price increases had entered the market over more than three years, which may limit the ease of continuing to raise prices.
    • −Quarterly sales growth slowed to 6% in Q2 fiscal 2026 compared with 9% growth for the entire first half, while fiscal 2026 guidance assumes annual growth of only approximately 5%; this implies a slower pace in the second half compared with the strong first-half performance.
    • −Cash flow from operations declined to $172 million in the first half of fiscal 2026 from $188 million a year earlier, despite free cash flow reaching $154 million, warranting monitoring of earnings-to-cash conversion as expected capital expenditures increase to approximately $40 million.
    • −The analyst consensus on HAYW is Neutral, with a wide target-price range of $11 to $19, reflecting a meaningful divergence in valuation estimates. Insiders also recorded net sales of 105,210 shares during the three months ended with the latest transaction on August 17, 2026, through two sales and no purchases; this remains a weak signal on its own because insider sales may be prearranged unless proven otherwise.

    Valuation

    The average analyst price target is $15.75 within a wide range of $11 to $19, and the average lies within the 52-week range of $12.93–$17.73, while standing approximately 11% below its high. The highest target exceeds the top of the 52-week range, while the lowest target is below its bottom, and with a Neutral consensus and no price-to-earnings ratio available in the data, the valuation reflects a balance between North American growth and balance-sheet improvement on one hand, and margin pressure and weakness in international markets on the other.

    HoldAnalyst target: $15.75(+20.1%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-31; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What is driving Hayward's growth in fiscal 2026?

    Net sales rose 6% to $318 million in Q2 fiscal 2026, following 9% growth during the first half. North America led the performance with sales of $278 million and 9% growth, split between a 7% price increase and 2% volume growth. Demand sources identified by management include salt chlorine generators, automation, and lighting, in addition to the OmniX platform and double-digit growth in commercial pools and industrial flow control during the first half.

    What is Hayward's guidance for fiscal 2026?

    On July 29, 2026, management reaffirmed its expectation for approximately 5% net sales growth in fiscal 2026. It expects adjusted diluted earnings per share to increase between 9% and 13% to a range of $0.84–$0.87. It also maintained its free cash flow forecast near $200 million, with net interest expense of approximately $45 million, a normalized tax rate of approximately 24%, and capital expenditures of approximately $40 million.

    Is Hayward maintaining its margins despite inflation?

    Gross margin was 48.7% in Q2 fiscal 2026, down 50 basis points, but it was the second-highest quarterly margin since the initial public offering. Adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization margin declined 40 basis points to 29.1%, while the value of those earnings rose 5% to $93 million. Management expects fiscal 2026 gross margin to remain near the fiscal 2025 level, supported by pricing, productivity, and cost-reduction actions.

    What do Hayward's debt and liquidity look like after the refinancing?

    Hayward reduced net leverage to 1.5 times at the end of Q2 fiscal 2026, compared with 2.1 times a year earlier, its lowest level since going public in 2021. It refinanced a $960 million term loan to mature in 2033 instead of 2028, reducing the interest spread by 61 basis points and providing annual savings of approximately $6 million. Cash and short-term investments reached $483 million, while total liquidity exceeded $900 million after including the credit facility.

    What are the main risks to HAYW stock?

    The first risk is geographic concentration, as approximately 87% of Q2 fiscal 2026 sales came from North America, while Europe and the Rest of World declined 8%. Inflation in specialty metals, freight, and resin also pressured gross margin by 50 basis points, and the company needs pricing and productivity to offset it. The 16% decline in Rest of World sales due to disruptions in the Middle East, along with the wide range of analyst targets between $11 and $19, adds a notable degree of operational and valuation uncertainty.

    How does Hayward use the OmniX platform and artificial intelligence to support its market share?

    Hayward's new product vitality increased to 23% as of July 29, 2026, and the OmniX platform is leading expansion in connected products and the replacement and upgrade market. The company also supports dealers through the OmniPro app and Hayward hub training centers, with Q4 fiscal 2026 targeted for opening the sixth center in Atlanta. In North American customer service, the company said that 98% of calls are answered within one second by an artificial intelligence agent and that 80% are resolved without escalation to a technical representative.