EL7.AI
Strategy BuilderCOT DataAdvanced NewsResearchNewEarnings CalendarEconomic Calendar
We use cookiesPrivacy Policy
EL7.AIEL7.AI

AI Financial Intelligence
Professional analysis of central bank decisions

© 2026 EL7.AI. All rights reserved.

Markets

  • News
  • Forex
  • Stocks
  • Crypto
  • Gold
  • Commodities
  • Indices
  • ETFs

Analysis

  • Fed
  • ECB
  • BLS
  • COT
  • Economic Calendar

Learn

  • Service Guide
  • Oil

Company

  • About
  • Contact
  • Data Methodology
  • AI Disclosure
  • Pricing
  • Enterprise
  • Terms
  • Privacy
  • Security
  • WhatsApp
Status data is currently unavailable

The information provided on EL7.AI is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.

Home
Stocks
HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital, Inc.
HASI

HASI HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital, Inc.

HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital, Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
37.37
▼ ⁦-0.64%⁩ (-0.24)
Market Cap$4.8B
Beta1.42
52w Low52w High
27.2844.13
Last Week
⁦-6.18%⁩
Last Month
⁦-7.89%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-8.85%⁩
Last Year
⁦+33.42%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall44
Weak — below market medianMomentum TrapF 4/9Better than 44% of Market stocks, per EL7's modelUnsustainable dividend (payout > 100%)
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
38
56.6x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
58
26.5%▲7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
33
——Bottom tier
▸
Safety
37
——Bottom tier
▸
Capital Return
44
4.47%▲2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
69
44.9%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
67
10▲3Top tier
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$37
Analyst target · 4 analysts
$51
⁦+36%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$44–$60⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$-25.66
⁦-169%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦10.7⁩% discount · ⁦1⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$-25.66–$51⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

Compare in the screener
Premium content

Get Your Premium Account Now

  • Stock Deep Analysis
  • The Advanced News Platform
Recommended
Annual plan
$17/mo
Monthly plan
$29/mo

Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 4 analysts setting price target
$51.40
⁦+37.5%⁩
Current Price $37.37·Median $51.00
Low
$44.00
High
$60.00
Current price
$37.37
Average target
$51.40
Street summary

ارتفاع إجماع الأهداف مع تباين إشارات المحللين

ارتفع إجماع السعر المستهدف خلال آخر 30 يوماً من 47.86 إلى 51.4، بزيادة 3.54 أو 7.4%، مع ارتفاع عدد المحللين من اثنين إلى أربعة. لكنه تراجع خلال آخر سبعة أيام من 51.75 إلى 51.4 بنسبة 0.68%، بالتزامن مع اتساع العينة بإضافة ثلاثة محللين، بينما استقر خلال اليوم الأخير دون تغير في الإجماع أو عدد المحللين. وتتراوح الأهداف الحالية بين 44 و60، بوسيط 51، ما يعكس تبايناً ملحوظاً حول التقييم.

As of 2026-09-11
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+7.4%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.13
Buy
Analyst coverage
⁦16 (+2)⁩
New coverage
Buy conviction
88%
High
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 1↓
Target dispersion
43%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time16 analysts rating
4
10
2
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.13 → 4.13
Recent analyst moves
  • ⬇ Downgrade2026-09-04
    UBS
    BuyNeutral
  • = Reiterate2026-08-18
    Morgan Stanley
    Overweight
  • = Reiterate2026-08-18
    Bank of America Securities
    Buy
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    56.62x
    3.16x25.26x
    Very expensive
  • Forward P/E
    11.55x
    2.76x22.06x
    Near median
  • EV / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • FCF Yield
    3.9%
    -19.9%19.1%
    Above average
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    26.5%
    -36.3%104.2%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -58.8%
    -99.4%194.2%
    Below average
  • Gross Margin
    27.7%
    23.5%98.3%
    Weak
  • ROIC
    -0.8%
    -36.5%24.6%
    Above average
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    4.5%
    0.6%9.0%
    Moderate
  • Payout Ratio
    253.2%
    9.8%97.8%
    High
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-05-08 data

Company Overview

HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital, trading under the ticker HASI, operates as an investor and provider of capital solutions for infrastructure projects related to the energy transition in the United States. The company generates returns from recurring investment income, gains on investment sales, and upfront and ongoing fees associated with assets it manages directly or through CCH1 and securitization structures; assets under management reached $16.4 billion in Q1 FY2026, up 13% year over year. Its core opportunities include grid-connected projects, residential and behind-the-meter solar, renewable natural gas, and the other sustainable infrastructure category.

In Q1 FY2026, the financial statements reported revenue of $124.2 million and a GAAP net loss of $72.0 million, equivalent to a loss of $0.57 per share, while the provided data did not include a figure for gross profit or gross margin. By contrast, adjusted earnings per share reached $0.77 versus $0.64 in the same period of the previous year, and adjusted earnings rose 31% to $102 million, while adjusted return on equity reached a quarterly record of 15.7%. Management attributed the gap between the GAAP and adjusted results to an accounting loss related to the timing of distributions of tax credit sale proceeds to tax equity investors, and said on May 8, 2026, that it expected the loss to reverse fully in the following quarter.

Adjusted recurring net investment income reached $101 million in Q1 FY2026, growing 29% year over year, compared with $23 million in gains on sales and $9 million in upfront and advisory fees. Investments closed during the quarter totaled $637 million, of which $462 million was designated to be retained through CCH1 and the balance sheet, while the portfolio yield rose 90 basis points year over year to 9.2%. A report published on August 7, 2026, stated that Q2 FY2026 revenue grew 41% year over year and earnings exceeded estimates, as management raised its adjusted earnings per share outlook through FY2028.

What's Driving the Stock

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

Q2 FY2026 showed operational acceleration, as an August 7, 2026, update reported 41% year-over-year revenue growth and earnings above analyst estimates, along with an increase in the adjusted earnings per share outlook through FY2028.
  • HASI closed $637 million of investments in Q1 FY2026 and maintained a twelve-month opportunity pipeline exceeding $6.5 billion; most opportunities involved grid-connected projects with partners the company had previously worked with, and were primarily focused on preferred equity in solar projects.
  • HASI and Ameresco established the Neogenyx biofuels venture, with HASI committing an initial $400 million in exchange for 30% ownership and priority in cash distributions until a specified return is achieved; approximately $100 million will go to existing operating projects, while $300 million will be invested as additional projects are developed.
  • Yields on newly closed assets remained above 10.5% for the eighth consecutive quarter, lifting the portfolio yield to 9.2% in Q1 FY2026; this was accompanied by 130% year-over-year growth in fee-generating assets to $1.1 billion.
  • Financing efficiency supported adjusted earnings per share, as the company issued no shares through its at-the-market program during Q1 FY2026. It also raised $1 billion from notes, used part of the proceeds to redeem $450 million of notes carrying an 8% coupon, and increased the average maturity of corporate debt, excluding the prefunded 2026 maturity, from 7.9 years to 12.8 years.
  • The company's available liquidity stood at $2.3 billion on May 8, 2026, with a portion allocated to repay the remaining $600 million of notes due in June 2026. After that maturity, the company's next note maturity is not due until 2028, supporting its ability to fund its targeted investment range of $2 billion to $3 billion during FY2026.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case5 pts

    • +HASI combines 13% growth in assets under management to $16.4 billion with 29% growth in adjusted recurring net investment income to $101 million in Q1 FY2026, increasing the weight of recurring income in earnings relative to volatile gains on sales.
    • +Portfolio economics improved as yields on newly closed assets remained above 10.5% for eight consecutive quarters and the portfolio yield rose to 9.2%, while the average annual realized loss rate remained below 10 basis points and 98% of the portfolio was in risk rating 1.
    • +The financing structure has become less dependent on equity issuance; HASI did not use its at-the-market program during Q1 FY2026, and management explained that its targeted funding range of $2 billion to $3 billion could allow the model to be self-funding under its current expectations.
    • +The opportunity pipeline exceeding $6.5 billion and the $400 million Neogenyx agreement provide 2 clear growth avenues, one in grid-connected solar projects and the other in renewable natural gas and biofuels in partnership with Ameresco.
    • +Q2 FY2026 results published on August 7, 2026, support the continued-growth thesis, following a 41% year-over-year increase in revenue, earnings above estimates, and an increase in the adjusted earnings per share outlook through FY2028.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −HASI recorded a GAAP net loss of $72.0 million and a loss of $0.57 per share in Q1 FY2026 despite generating adjusted earnings of $102 million and adjusted earnings of $0.77 per share; management attributed this to accounting related to the timing of tax credit proceeds and expected it to reverse in the following quarter, but the large gap between the 2 results adds complexity to assessing earnings quality.
    • −The earnings model includes irregular gains on sales; they totaled $23 million in Q1 FY2026, and management explained that gains on sales do not grow quarter after quarter and that the remaining levels during the year would likely be lower, even with full-year totals expected to be similar to the previous year.
    • −Limited credit warning signs appeared within the portfolio, as 2 assets were moved from risk rating 1 to risk rating 2 due to technical challenges with equipment at one project and its need for additional investment, while the company also observed a slight increase in delinquencies in the residential solar sector. The risk is mitigated by 98% of the portfolio remaining in risk rating 1 and 100% of residential-sector loans continuing to perform as of May 8, 2026.
    • −The tax credit market faces regulatory uncertainty related to foreign entity of concern rules for technology-neutral credits in 2026, and management said some banks and tax equity investors were awaiting clearer guidance from the Internal Revenue Service and the Treasury Department. The company had not seen a direct impact on its opportunity pipeline as of May 8, 2026, but continued uncertainty could affect funding liquidity across the industry.
    • −The Neogenyx investment increases capital commitments and execution risk, as HASI committed $400 million in exchange for a 30% stake, including approximately $300 million associated with developing additional projects. Management also did not disclose the venture's expected cash flows or its specified return, and described the long-term exit strategy as premature during the May 8, 2026, call.

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus is Buy, with an average price target of $53.25 and a range of $50 to $60; the average is approximately 21% above the 52-week range high of $44.13, while the highest target is approximately 36% above it. The provided data does not offer a valid price-to-earnings ratio for comparison, so the valuation rests on HASI's ability to convert recurring-income growth and adjusted return on equity into stable GAAP earnings, balanced against the Q1 FY2026 loss and volatility in gains on sales.

    BuyAnalyst target: $53.25(+42.5%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-30; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What is driving HASI's earnings growth in FY2026?

    Adjusted recurring net investment income reached $101 million in Q1 FY2026, up 29% year over year, while assets under management grew 13% to $16.4 billion. The portfolio yield rose 90 basis points to 9.2% after yields on newly closed assets remained above 10.5% for the eighth consecutive quarter. Fee-generating assets also reached $1.1 billion, an increase of 130% year over year. On August 7, 2026, Q2 FY2026 results reported 41% year-over-year revenue growth and earnings above estimates.

    What is the significance of the Neogenyx joint venture with Ameresco for HASI stock?

    Neogenyx is a biofuels joint venture created through the separation of Ameresco's business in this field, and HASI will own 30% of it. HASI's initial commitment totals $400 million, of which approximately $100 million is associated with existing operating projects and $300 million will be invested as additional projects are developed. HASI receives priority in cash distributions until a specified return is achieved, and management expects a higher long-term return than on its typical investments. The initial plan focuses on organic growth, benefiting from a relationship of more than 20 years and more than 60 investments between HASI and Ameresco.

    What does the credit quality of HASI's portfolio look like in Q1 FY2026?

    98% of the portfolio remained in risk rating 1, and the average annual realized loss rate was below 10 basis points. 2 assets were moved to risk rating 2, with management linking one of them to technical equipment challenges requiring additional investment to restore the project's original economics. The company also noted a slight increase in delinquencies in the residential solar sector, but said 100% of loans in that sector were performing as of May 8, 2026. Therefore, signs of stress appear limited in the provided data, but warrant monitoring because of the rating change and increase in residential delinquencies.

    Does HASI need to issue shares to fund its investment pipeline?

    HASI issued no shares through its at-the-market program during Q1 FY2026. Management explained that the targeted investment range of $2 billion to $3 billion during FY2026 could allow for minimal equity issuance, and potentially no issuance depending on actual funding volume. CCH1 supports this shift, as its assets reached $2.3 billion and HASI owns 50% of its equity, while its total capacity is estimated at approximately $5 billion. Subordinated notes and reinvestment of portfolio cash flows also provide funding sources that reduce reliance on new equity.

    Why did HASI record a GAAP loss despite strong adjusted earnings?

    The Q1 FY2026 financial statements showed a net loss of $72.0 million and a loss of $0.57 per share. By contrast, adjusted earnings reached $102 million, an increase of 31% year over year, and adjusted earnings per share reached $0.77 versus $0.64 in the comparable period. Management attributed the difference to an accounting loss related to the timing of the distribution of tax credit sale proceeds to tax equity investors. It said during the May 8, 2026, call that it expected this impact to reverse fully in the following quarter.

    What are HASI's financial targets through FY2028?

    Management reaffirmed FY2028 guidance on May 8, 2026, for adjusted earnings per share of $3.50 to $3.60 and an adjusted return on equity of 17%. In Q1 FY2026, adjusted return on equity reached 15.7%, the highest quarterly level in the company's history according to management. An August 7, 2026, update then reported that the company raised its adjusted earnings per share outlook through FY2028 after Q2 FY2026 revenue grew 41% year over year. Achieving these targets depends on continued execution of high-yield investments, growth in CCH1, and maintaining financing efficiency without significant shareholder dilution.

  • −The valuation carries the risk of elevated expectations; the average analyst target of $53.25 exceeds the 52-week range high of $44.13 by approximately 21%, while the target range extends from $50 to $60. The provided data does not include a usable price-to-earnings ratio, while results diverge between a quarterly GAAP loss and strong adjusted earnings, making the achievement of analyst targets dependent on continued recurring-income growth and reaching FY2028 guidance.