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Stocks
Hafnia Limited
HAFN

HAFN Hafnia Limited

Hafnia Limited · NYSE
Market Closed
9.38
▲ ⁦+0.21%⁩ (+0.02)
Market Cap$4.7B
Beta-0.15
52w Low52w High
5.179.60
Last Week
⁦+5.04%⁩
Last Month
⁦+25.23%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+20.57%⁩
Last Year
⁦+60.62%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall95
Excellent — top fifth of the marketSuper StockF 5/9Better than 95% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
91
7.2x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
31
14.4%▲7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
64
15.7%▲4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
83
0.6x▲2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
84
—2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
92
23.9%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
24
1▼3Bottom tier
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$9.38
Analyst target · 2 analysts
$10
⁦+7%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$10–$10⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$16
⁦+68%⁩
Sees it clearly undervalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods broadly agree — estimate range ⁦$10–$16⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 2 analysts setting price target
$10.00
⁦+6.6%⁩
Current Price $9.38·Median $10.00
Low
$10.00
High
$10.00
Street summary

Hafnia Limited (HAFN) Stock Forecast Analysis

Hafnia stock shows a state of complete stability in price targets at $10, with zero dispersion among analysts as the low and high targets are identical. However, recent movements indicate a decline in optimism; Pareto downgraded the stock rating to 'Hold' in May 2026, reflecting a more conservative outlook despite the positive price gap between the current price and the target.

As of 2026-06-03
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.00
Buy
Analyst coverage
1
Buy conviction
100%
High
Target dispersion
0%
Analyst ratings over time1 analysts rating
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.00 → 4.00
Recent analyst moves
  • ⬇ Downgrade2026-05-27
    Pareto
    Hold
  • = Reiterate2024-08-23
    BTIG
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2024-04-12
    BTIG
    Buy· $10.00
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    7.16x
    5.69x45.54x
    Very cheap
  • Forward P/E
    9.93x
    4.57x36.58x
    Very cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    6.23x
    3.43x27.47x
    Very cheap
  • FCF Yield
    10.8%
    -32.7%11.5%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    14.4%
    -10.7%43.4%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    52.3%
    -128.3%132.7%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    23.0%
    8.6%54.6%
    Near median
  • ROIC
    15.7%
    -25.3%19.6%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    0.63x
    0.55x4.37x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-28 data

Company Overview

Hafnia Limited owns and operates product tankers, generating the majority of its income from deploying its fleet in the shipping market, alongside the commercial management of vessel pools, technical management, bunkering, and adjacent activities. At the end of Q2 FY 2026, the company owned 103 vessels and time-chartered 9 vessels, with an average age of 9.7 years for the owned fleet, and commercially managed approximately 60 third-party-owned vessels. Its platform also includes Seascale Energy, a bunkering joint venture with Cargill, and an investment in TORM that generated dividend income of $9.9 million during the quarter.

In Q2 FY 2026, Hafnia recorded time charter equivalent revenue TCE of $372.9 million and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization of $287.3 million, while fee-based activities contributed $8.8 million. Net profit reached $277.8 million, compared with $75.3 million a year earlier, marking the strongest quarterly performance since Q3 FY 2022; however, profit included a $39.3 million gain from the sale of six vessels. Net profit for the first half of FY 2026 was approximately $457.5 million, with an annualized return on equity of 44.6% and a return on invested capital of 35.2% in the quarter.

The quarterly results reflect a direct benefit from higher tanker freight rates and disruptions to oil trade routes; fleetwide average TCE reached $44,093 per day, while average spot rates approached $50 thousand per day. In the available annual financial statements, FY 2024 revenue increased to $2.9 billion, gross profit reached $1.4 billion, net income was $774.0 million, and earnings per share were $1.50. On the balance sheet at the end of Q2 FY 2026, cash amounted to $271 million, net debt declined to $527 million, and the net loan-to-value ratio improved to 13% from 20.2% in the previous quarter.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Disruptions in the Arabian Gulf and renewed Red Sea bottlenecks lengthened shipping routes and reduced fleet efficiency, supporting an average TCE of $44,093 per day and net profit of $277.8 million in Q2 FY 2026.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • Market data presented by management forecasts global oil demand recovering from 99.3 million barrels per day in Q2 FY 2026 to 106 million barrels per day by Q4 FY 2026, alongside an expected rebuilding of approximately 260 million barrels of OECD inventories by mid-2027, including more than 100 million barrels in Q1 FY 2027.
  • Effective product tanker supply remained constrained; Hafnia estimated that the effective clean tanker fleet had declined 3% since the beginning of FY 2026 and that clean LR2 vessel availability was approximately 27% below the normal average because vessels had shifted into dirty product trades.
  • Revenue coverage provided some visibility for the second half of FY 2026; as of August 17, 2026, 80% of earning days in Q3 were covered at $30,716 per day, while 53% of second-half earning days were covered at $28,917 per day, both above the operating cash flow breakeven point according to management.
  • Available earning days are expected to increase as dry-docking and off-hire days decline from 392 days in Q2 FY 2026 to approximately 225 days in Q3 and approximately 110 days in Q4, despite the impact of vessel sales, deliveries, and changes in chartered vessels.
  • Deleveraging strengthened the company’s capacity to return capital; the net loan-to-value ratio fell to 13%, triggering the maximum payout ratio of 90% of net profit and resulting in a distribution of $250 million, or $0.5003 per share, for Q2 FY 2026.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +Hafnia combines high cyclical profitability with a stronger balance sheet; it generated $277.8 million in net profit in Q2 FY 2026, while net debt declined to $527 million and total liquidity increased to approximately $631 million, including $360 million of undrawn facilities.
    • +Scarcity of effective capacity supports freight rates, as effective clean fleet supply declined 3% since the beginning of FY 2026, while vessels that may be scrapped or remain outside mainstream trade totaled 72 million deadweight tons from 2026 to 2029, compared with an orderbook of approximately 60 million deadweight tons.
    • +The company has demonstrated proven commercial positioning capabilities; it concentrated MR vessels in the U.S. Gulf region from the end of 2025 and moved LR1 vessels from east to west early in FY 2026, helping both segments outperform during Q2 FY 2026.
    • +The distribution framework supports shareholder returns when leverage is low; the company declared a distribution equal to 90% of Q2 FY 2026 net profit, bringing total first-half distributions to $0.788 per share, while also marking the eighteenth consecutive quarter in which Hafnia paid distributions.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Earnings strength depends on geopolitical disruptions that reduce the efficiency of tanker movements; management explained that a return to normal traffic through the Strait of Hormuz and the Red Sea could eliminate the impact of longer routes, ship-to-ship transfer services, and extended ballast voyages that currently absorb supply.
    • −Seaborne volumes remain below pre-crisis levels; global clean product departures stood at 18.4 million barrels per day at the end of July 2026, approximately 10% lower, while dirty volumes east of Suez remained approximately 30% lower in July, and improvement depends on the return of Arabian Gulf exports and the availability of oil for transportation.
    • −Coverage indicates a clear decline from the quarter’s strong levels; 80% of earning days in Q3 FY 2026 were covered at $30,716 per day, compared with an average TCE of $44,093 per day in Q2, which could pressure earnings if uncovered rates do not improve.
    • −Clean tanker supply could increase in later years; the Handysize-to-LR2 vessel orderbook totals approximately 60 million deadweight tons for the period from 2026 to 2029, and management believes its net impact could become stronger beginning in 2028, while the return of LR2 vessels from dirty trades would add capacity to the clean market.
    • −Q2 FY 2026 net profit includes a non-operating gain of $39.3 million from the sale of one LR1 vessel, two MR vessels, and three Handy vessels, so the entire $277.8 million net profit amount does not represent repeatable earnings from fleet operations.
    • −The ten-vessel MR newbuilding program adds capital commitments, with payments beginning in Q3 FY 2026; consequently, starting in 2027, Hafnia will calculate its net loan-to-value ratio on a full-commitment basis, including unpaid shipyard installments.

    Valuation

    The average analyst target is $10, which is also the uniform target at both the high and low ends, versus a consensus rating of “Buy”; this target is slightly above the 52-week range high of $9.535, while the range low is $5.17. No usable price-to-earnings multiple is available within the provided data, and the absence of variation among the targets makes the consensus less representative of the range of scenarios, particularly given earnings sensitivity to freight rates and the inclusion of vessel-sale gains in the quarterly results.

    BuyAnalyst target: $10(+6.6%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-31; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What drove HAFN’s earnings in Q2 FY 2026?

    Hafnia benefited from record freight rates and disruptions to oil flows through the Arabian Gulf and the Red Sea, lifting the fleet’s average TCE to $44,093 per day and average spot rates to nearly $50 thousand per day. TCE revenue was approximately $372.9 million, and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization were $287.3 million. Net profit reached $277.8 million, compared with $75.3 million a year earlier, but included a $39.3 million gain from the sale of six vessels.

    Can Hafnia sustain its Q2 FY 2026 earnings?

    Partial coverage provides good visibility, as 80% of earning days in Q3 FY 2026 were covered as of August 17, 2026, at $30,716 per day. However, this rate is below the Q2 average TCE of $44,093 per day, indicating that repeating the same level may be difficult unless uncovered rates increase. Conversely, the company expects dry-docking and off-hire days to decline from 392 days in Q2 to approximately 225 days in Q3 and 110 days in Q4, increasing available earning days.

    How sustainable are HAFN’s dividend distributions?

    The decline in the net loan-to-value ratio to 13% at the end of Q2 FY 2026 placed Hafnia below the lowest threshold in its distribution framework, so it applied the maximum payout of 90% of net profit. This resulted in a distribution of $250 million, or $0.5003 per share, bringing total first-half distributions to $0.788 per share. This payment marked the eighteenth consecutive quarter of distributions, but the size of future payments will remain tied to cyclical earnings and leverage.

    How do the Hormuz and Red Sea disruptions affect HAFN?

    The disruptions during the six months ended August 2026 constrained volumes east of Suez, lengthened shipping routes, and increased ballast voyages and ship-to-ship transfer services. Seaborne clean products remained 12% below the pre-conflict level, a shortfall equivalent, according to the company, to the capacity of approximately 180 MR vessels. These factors currently support freight rates, but reopening the corridors to normal traffic could reduce the distances and inefficiencies that absorb tanker capacity.

    What is Hafnia’s plan for fleet renewal and deleveraging?

    During Q2 FY 2026, Hafnia sold one LR1 vessel, two MR vessels, and three Handy vessels, realizing a gain of $39.3 million, then completed the sale of its 50% interest in two MR vessels within the Andromeda joint venture in Q3 for a gain of $13.3 million. At the end of Q2, the company owned 103 vessels and time-chartered 9 vessels, while the average age of its owned fleet was 9.7 years. At the same time, the newbuilding program includes ten MR vessels, with capital payments beginning in Q3 FY 2026, so the company will include full newbuilding commitments in its leverage metric beginning in 2027.

    What are the details of the chief executive officer transition at Hafnia?

    Hafnia announced on June 30, 2026, that Søren Steenberg Jensen would assume the role of chief executive officer effective September 1, 2026, after having been part of the company since 2010 and serving as Head of Asset Management. The Q2 FY 2026 earnings call, held on August 28, 2026, was Mikael Skov’s final earnings call as chief executive officer. The company stated that Mikael Skov’s expected appointment to the Board of Directors is subject to shareholder approval at an extraordinary general meeting to be held later in the quarter, while the company remains focused on commercial discipline, operational efficiency, and prudent balance sheet management.