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Home
Stocks
Hyatt Hotels Corporation
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall23
Poor — bottom quartile of the marketMomentum TrapF 3/8DistressBetter than 23% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
21
196.5x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
17
5.8%▼7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
45
3.8%▼4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
38
5.3x▼2.6xBottom tier
▸
Capital Return
35
0.36%▼2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
58
30.8%▲2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
46
15▲3Around median
H

H Hyatt Hotels Corporation

Hyatt Hotels Corporation · NYSE
Market Closed
163.07
▲ ⁦+1.04%⁩ (+1.68)
Market Cap$15.3B
Beta1.35
52w Low52w High
134.18206.86
Last Week
⁦+0.32%⁩
Last Month
⁦-8.84%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-9.16%⁩
Last Year
⁦+13.20%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$163
Analyst target · 6 analysts
$201
⁦+23%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$180–$221⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$-8.62
⁦-105%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦10.4⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$-8.62–$201⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 6 analysts setting price target
$197.69
⁦+21.2%⁩
Current Price $163.07·Median $201.00
Low
$180.00
High
$221.00
Current price
$163.07
Average target
$197.69
Street summary

Hyatt price targets stable with a limited positive bias

Bullish tilt

Price target expectations were unchanged over one or seven days, while consensus over the last 30 days rose slightly from 197.09 to 197.67, an increase of 0.58 or 0.29%, with the number of analysts remaining at 6. The consensus and median of 197.67 and 201.5, compared with the current price of 158.24, indicate a positive outlook, but the target range between 180 and 221 reflects notable variation in valuations.

As of 2026-09-09
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+0.3%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.74
Buy
Analyst coverage
23
Buy conviction
61%
Mixed
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
25%
Analyst ratings over time23 analysts rating
3
11
9
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.67 → 3.74
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-02
    Wolfe Research
    Outperform
  • = Reiterate2026-08-11
    Susquehanna
    Neutral
  • = Reiterate2026-07-31
    Deutsche Bank
    Hold
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    196.47x
    4.56x36.49x
    Very expensive
  • Forward P/E
    36.92x
    3.79x30.29x
    Expensive
  • EV / EBITDA
    26.83x
    2.75x22.03x
    Very expensive
  • FCF Yield
    1.6%
    -30.9%16.2%
    Above average
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    5.8%
    -13.8%31.9%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -81.2%
    -156.9%135.6%
    Below average
  • Gross Margin
    11.3%
    12.0%66.5%
    Weak
  • ROIC
    3.8%
    -23.8%21.5%
    Above average
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    5.26x
    0.65x5.48x
    Near median
  • Dividend Yield
    0.4%
    0.1%5.9%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    72.2%
    8.9%99.8%
    Moderate
  • Altman Z-Score
    1.78
    -2.656.14
    Above average
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-30 data

Company Overview

Hyatt Hotels Corporation operates a global portfolio focused on luxury, lifestyle, and full-service hotels, alongside essential brands and all-inclusive resorts. Its model increasingly relies on management, franchise, and licensing fees rather than real estate ownership, while the owned and leased hotels segment and the distribution segment continue to contribute; every addition to the hotel network expands the fee base and opportunities for the World of Hyatt program.

In Q2 of fiscal year 2026, revenue reached $1.8 billion, net income was $110 million, and earnings per share were $1.14, compared with revenue of $1.7 billion, net income of $38 million, and earnings per share of $0.40 in Q1 of fiscal year 2026. System-wide RevPAR increased 5.9%, total fees grew 8% to $324 million, and adjusted EBITDA for the owned and leased hotels segment rose 16% after excluding the impact of asset sales, while adjusted EBITDA for the distribution segment declined due to closures in Jamaica and weaker demand in Mexico and at four-star hotels.

The 2026 trailing twelve-month figures show revenue of $7.2 billion, net income of $79 million, and earnings per share of approximately $0.82, after fiscal year 2025 recorded revenue of $7.1 billion, a net loss of $52 million, and negative earnings per share of $0.55. This reflects a return to profitability, but net income remains limited relative to the scale of revenue, while operating strength is concentrated more in fee growth and demand for upscale hotels than in an overall accounting margin, which the data did not provide.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Hyatt raised its system-wide RevPAR growth forecast for fiscal year 2026 to a range of 3.5%–4.5%, after it grew 5.9% in Q2 of fiscal year 2026; it is also targeting growth of between 3% and 4% within the United States.
  • World of Hyatt membership reached approximately 69 million members by the end of Q2 of fiscal year 2026, up 17% year over year, and the collaboration with Air Canada added new options for earning and redeeming rewards across the two loyalty programs.
  • The development pipeline reached a record level of approximately 154 thousand rooms, up 10% year over year, and Hyatt signed a master franchise agreement with Dossen Group to launch Hyatt Select in mainland China, alongside the openings of Miraval the Red Sea and The Barai during the quarter.
  • Management expects total fees of between $1.305 billion and $1.335 billion in fiscal year 2026, representing growth of 9%–11%, adjusted EBITDA of between $1.155 billion and $1.205 billion, representing growth of 13%–18%, and adjusted free cash flow of between $580 million and $630 million, representing growth of 20%–30%.
  • Upscale demand supported performance, as transient leisure RevPAR increased approximately 7% and group RevPAR rose more than 7% in Q2 of fiscal year 2026, while the luxury and lifestyle portfolios gained nearly three points in the market share index during the first half of fiscal year 2026.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +The shift toward a more asset-light model enhances revenue quality, as total fees grew 8% to $324 million in Q2 of fiscal year 2026, and management expects total fee growth of 9%–11% for the full year.
  • +The record development pipeline of 154 thousand rooms provides a foundation for fee expansion, with the pipeline growing 10% year over year and net room growth targeted at approximately 6% in fiscal year 2026 despite the possibility of delays to some openings.
  • +The strength of the upscale brands is evident in RevPAR growth of 6.7% within the United States and approximately 5% outside it in Q2 of fiscal year 2026, or 7.5% outside the United States when excluding the Middle East.
  • +Improved cash generation supports the capacity to return capital; Hyatt expects adjusted free cash flow of between $580 million and $630 million in fiscal year 2026 and returns of between $325 million and $375 million through share repurchases and dividends.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

  • −

Valuation

The average analyst price target is $197.18, between a low target of $180 and a high target of $221, and the average is below the 52-week range high of $206.86, while the highest target exceeds that peak; the range low is $134.18. The neutral consensus and wide target range reflect differing views on the ability of fee and cash flow growth to offset weakness in the Middle East and Mexico and delays to some openings, and the data do not provide a published price-to-earnings ratio that could serve as an additional valuation anchor.

HoldAnalyst target: $197.18(+20.9%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-29; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What were the key results for H stock in Q2 of fiscal year 2026?

Hyatt generated revenue of $1.8 billion and net income of $110 million in Q2 of fiscal year 2026. Earnings per share were $1.14, and system-wide RevPAR increased 5.9%. Total fees also rose 8% to $324 million, and adjusted EBITDA for the owned and leased hotels segment increased 16% after excluding the impact of asset sales.

What is Hyatt's outlook for fiscal year 2026?

Hyatt expects system-wide RevPAR growth of between 3.5% and 4.5% and net room growth of approximately 6% in fiscal year 2026. It is targeting total fees of between $1.305 billion and $1.335 billion and adjusted EBITDA of between $1.155 billion and $1.205 billion. It also expects adjusted free cash flow of between $580 million and $630 million and capital returns of between $325 million and $375 million through share repurchases and dividends.

How are disruptions in the Middle East and Mexico affecting Hyatt?

RevPAR in the Middle East declined 36% in Q2 of fiscal year 2026 due to conflict in the region, and the company estimated the impact on annual fees at approximately $10 million. In Mexico, demand for all-inclusive resorts did not recover as much as expected following the security incident, adding a negative impact of approximately $15 million compared with the previous forecast. As a result, Hyatt expects net package RevPAR in Q3 of fiscal year 2026 to be moderately below the prior-year level.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

Hyatt faces tangible regional pressure: RevPAR in the Middle East declined 36% in Q2 of fiscal year 2026, and the company expects this to reduce annual fees by approximately $10 million, while weakness in Mexico added a negative impact of approximately $15 million to fees compared with the previous forecast.
  • −Net package RevPAR in the all-inclusive resort portfolio declined 1.2% in Q2 of fiscal year 2026, and management expects it to remain moderately below the prior-year level in Q3 of fiscal year 2026 due to the aftermath of the security incident in Mexico, weak airline capacity, and hotel closures in Jamaica following Hurricane Melissa.
  • −The company lowered its net room growth forecast to approximately 6% for fiscal year 2026, after growth reached only 4.4% in Q2 when excluding adjusted Playa rooms; more than half of the year's openings are concentrated in the fourth quarter, and some complex projects may slip into 2027 due to improvement requirements and permits.
  • −The adjusted EBITDA forecast depends on strong acceleration in the second half of fiscal year 2026, including improvement in the distribution segment in the fourth quarter and comparison with the Hurricane Melissa disruptions in Q4 of fiscal year 2025; at the same time, the company expects distribution segment EBITDA to decline by approximately $25 million year over year for the full year.
  • −Hyatt no longer expects to close the sale of Hyatt Grand Central New York during fiscal year 2026, delaying a step in its program to unlock the value of owned assets while retaining them within the system under long-term management or franchise agreements.
  • −Analyst consensus indicates a neutral rating rather than a buy, with a wide target range between $180 and $221, while insiders recorded net sales of $52.6 million over three months through 32 sales and no purchases through August 17, 2026; insider sales may have been prearranged, so they remain a weaker signal than operating and guidance risks.
  • How important are World of Hyatt and the development pipeline to the company's growth?

    World of Hyatt ended Q2 of fiscal year 2026 with approximately 69 million members, up 17% from the previous year. The development pipeline reached a record level of approximately 154 thousand rooms, up 10% year over year, and the expansion included the Hyatt Select agreement with Dossen Group in mainland China. However, more than half of the year's openings are scheduled for the fourth quarter, and some openings may shift to 2027 due to improvement requirements and permits.

    Is demand for Hyatt's luxury hotels still strong?

    Transient leisure RevPAR increased approximately 7% and group RevPAR rose more than 7% in Q2 of fiscal year 2026, supported by high-spending travelers. RevPAR increased 6.7% in the United States and more than 10% in Asia Pacific excluding Greater China, while Greater China recorded growth of 7.2%. The luxury and lifestyle portfolios also increased the RevPAR index by approximately three points during the first half of fiscal year 2026, indicating market share gains.