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Stocks
W.W. Grainger, Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall86
Excellent — top fifth of the marketHigh FlyerF 7/9SafeBetter than 86% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
30
32.6x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
46
7.8%▲7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
81
30.6%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
84
0.7x▲2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
42
0.81%▼2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
83
30.0%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
82
13▲3Top tier
GWW

GWW W.W. Grainger, Inc.

W.W. Grainger, Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
1,280.00
▲ ⁦+0.67%⁩ (+8.51)
Market Cap$60.4B
Beta1.05
52w Low52w High
906.521,419.91
Last Week
⁦-0.38%⁩
Last Month
⁦-1.69%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-2.86%⁩
Last Year
⁦+28.66%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$1280
Analyst target · 5 analysts
$1355
⁦+6%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$1125–$1428⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$467
⁦-64%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦9.0⁩% discount · ⁦3⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$467–$1355⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 5 analysts setting price target
$1312.00
⁦+2.5%⁩
Current Price $1280.00·Median $1355.00
Low
$1125.00
High
$1428.00
Current price
$1280.00
Average target
$1312.00
Street summary

W.W. Grainger (GWW) Price Target Analysis

The average price target for GWW stock settles at $1300.89, which is nearly identical to the current trading price of $1300.34, indicating that the stock has reached its fair valuation according to analyst estimates. Over the past thirty days, the consensus has risen slightly by 0.92%, driven by an increase in the number of analysts from 4 to 5, with expectations remaining flat over the last seven days.

As of 2026-08-20
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+0.8%⁩
Average rating
★ 2.95
Hold
Analyst coverage
⁦19 (+1)⁩
New coverage
Buy conviction
16%
Target dispersion
24%
Analyst ratings over time19 analysts rating
3
14
2
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months2.90 → 2.95
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-11
    Barclays
    Underweight
  • = Reiterate2026-08-05
    Oppenheimer
    Outperform
  • = Reiterate2026-07-16
    RBC Capital
    Sector Perform
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    32.63x
    5.69x45.54x
    Near median
  • Forward P/E
    25.89x
    4.57x36.58x
    Above average
  • EV / EBITDA
    20.95x
    3.43x27.47x
    Above average
  • FCF Yield
    2.5%
    -32.7%11.5%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    7.8%
    -10.7%43.4%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -0.5%
    -128.3%132.7%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    39.4%
    8.6%54.6%
    Above average
  • ROIC
    30.6%
    -25.3%19.6%
    Exceptional
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    0.74x
    0.55x4.37x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    0.8%
    0.1%4.8%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    26.5%
    6.6%80.8%
    Moderate
  • Altman Z-Score
    12.78
    -5.667.97
    Exceptional
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-04 data

Company Overview

W.W. Grainger operates as a distributor of maintenance, repair, and operations supplies, serving customers through its High-Touch Solutions and Endless Assortment segments. High-Touch Solutions relies on direct customer relationships and provides solutions for inventory management, safety, and operational needs, while Endless Assortment includes the Zoro and MonotaRO digital platforms. In Q2 fiscal 2026, High-Touch Solutions generated sales growth of 11.9%, while Endless Assortment sales rose 13.5% on a reported basis and 20.6% on an organic daily, constant-currency basis.

In Q2 fiscal 2026, revenue was $5.0 billion, gross profit was $2.0 billion, net income was $570 million, and diluted earnings per share were $12.01. Reported sales increased 10.3%, or 13.7% on an organic daily, constant-currency basis, and gross margin reached 39.5%, up 100 basis points, while operating margin reached 16.1%, up 120 basis points. Gross margin benefited by approximately 90 basis points from the refund of IEEPA tariffs, while higher volume and operating leverage in Endless Assortment supported profitability.

For the twelve months ended in 2026, Grainger recorded revenue of $18.8 billion, gross profit of $7.4 billion, and net income of $1.9 billion, compared with revenue of $17.9 billion and net income of $1.7 billion in fiscal 2025. During Q2 fiscal 2026, High-Touch Solutions' operating margin was approximately 17.3%, versus 11.5% for Endless Assortment; within the digital segment, MonotaRO's margin was approximately 14% and Zoro's margin was approximately 7.6%. These results reflect the contribution of the higher-margin direct business alongside faster growth in the digital platforms.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Grainger raised its fiscal 2026 outlook following a strong first half; it now expects organic daily, constant-currency sales growth of between 11.5% and 13%, an operating margin of between 15.8% and 16.2%, and earnings per share of between $45.50 and $47.25, representing growth of more than 17% at the midpoint.
  • High-Touch Solutions accelerated in Q2 fiscal 2026, with sales growth of 11.9% on a reported basis and 11.7% on a daily, constant-currency basis, supported by manufacturing, government, contractors, and retail. Project spending added approximately 90 basis points to the segment's growth rate, with contributions from work related to data center construction and electrical infrastructure.
  • Endless Assortment generated organic daily, constant-currency growth of 20.6% in Q2 fiscal 2026; Zoro U.S. grew 18.4% on a daily basis, while MonotaRO grew 24% on a local-day, local constant-currency basis. Zoro was supported by increased business customer retention and improved marketing efficiency, while MonotaRO benefited from growth in enterprise customers, the acquisition of small and medium-sized businesses, and repeat purchases.
  • The new technology-enabled distribution center in the Northwestern United States in Oregon began outbound operations in July 2026, expanding Grainger's ability to position products closer to customers and fulfill their needs more quickly. This comes alongside improvements in service, the website, and end-market diversity in Canada, where management said operating margin recovered to its highest level in nearly a decade.
  • Early indicators showed continued momentum following the end of Q2 fiscal 2026; July 2026 sales growth exceeded 13% on an organic daily, constant-currency basis. Accordingly, the company projected revenue of more than $5 billion in Q3 fiscal 2026 and growth of more than 12% on the same basis.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Grainger combines double-digit growth with strong profitability; in Q2 fiscal 2026, reported sales increased 10.3%, diluted earnings per share rose more than 20% to $12.01, and operating margin increased 120 basis points to 16.1%.
  • +Concurrent growth in High-Touch Solutions and Endless Assortment provides more than one operating driver; the segments grew 11.9% and 13.5%, respectively, in Q2 fiscal 2026, with the digital segment's organic daily, constant-currency growth reaching 20.6%.
  • +Strong cash flow supports the company's ability to return capital to shareholders and invest in its network; operating cash flow was $444 million in Q2 fiscal 2026, and Grainger returned $341 million through dividends and share repurchases.
  • +Management raised its fiscal 2026 outlook by more than $1 at the midpoint of the previous earnings-per-share range and set the new range at between $45.50 and $47.25. It also raised the operating margin range to 15.8%–16.2%, based on sales momentum and improved operating leverage.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The analyst consensus on GWW is "Neutral," with an average price target of $1,312, a high of $1,428, and a low of $1,125; the $303 spread between the high and low reveals meaningful divergence in estimates of the earnings and margin trajectory. The average target is below the 52-week range high of $1,419.91, while the high target roughly overlaps with that peak, and the raised fiscal 2026 outlook must be weighed against the nonrecurring nature of most of the IEEPA tariff refund and mix and freight pressures in the second half.

HoldAnalyst target: $1,312(+2.5%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-27; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove GWW's results in Q2 fiscal 2026?

Grainger's revenue in Q2 fiscal 2026 was approximately $5.0 billion, net income was $570 million, and diluted earnings per share were $12.01. Reported sales increased 10.3%, or 13.7% on an organic daily, constant-currency basis, supported by growth in High-Touch Solutions and Endless Assortment. Operating margin rose to 16.1%, with gross margin benefiting by approximately 90 basis points from the refund of IEEPA tariffs.

What is Grainger's fiscal 2026 outlook following the August 4, 2026 update?

Grainger raised its outlook on August 4, 2026, targeting organic daily, constant-currency growth of between 11.5% and 13% in fiscal 2026. It expects an operating margin of between 15.8% and 16.2% and earnings per share of between $45.50 and $47.25, representing growth of more than 17% at the midpoint. It also indicated that Q3 fiscal 2026 revenue is expected to exceed $5 billion, with growth of more than 12% on an organic daily, constant-currency basis.

How important are Zoro and MonotaRO to GWW's growth?

Zoro and MonotaRO are the two drivers of Endless Assortment, which recorded organic daily, constant-currency growth of 20.6% in Q2 fiscal 2026. Zoro U.S. grew 18.4% on a daily basis, and its operating margin reached 7.6% after improving by 180 basis points, supported by higher business customer retention and improved marketing. MonotaRO grew 24% on a local-day, local constant-currency basis and achieved a 14% margin, but its sales included approximately $45 million of advance purchases whose impact has ended.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

−
MonotaRO's growth in Q2 fiscal 2026 included approximately $45 million of advance purchases of petroleum-related products, particularly personal protective equipment and gloves, ahead of an expected shortage due to the conflict in the Middle East. This behavior ended completely, so management's outlook reflects slower MonotaRO growth in the second half of fiscal 2026.
  • −Margins face pressure from the sales mix, as higher volumes of lower-margin products and project spending support revenue but reduce gross margin. Management expected Q3 fiscal 2026 operating margin to decline to the mid-15% range from 16.1% in Q2, as most of the tariff refund benefit expires and cost pressures increase ahead of September 2026 pricing.
  • −Gross margin in Q2 fiscal 2026 benefited by approximately 90 basis points from the refund of IEEPA tariffs, but most of this benefit was recorded in that quarter, and management expects the remaining amount in the second half to be immaterial. For fiscal 2026, the tariff refund represents only approximately 23 basis points before mix, fuel, and freight pressures reduce it to a net benefit of approximately 15 basis points.
  • −Pressures from freight, product, and raw material costs associated with the conflict in the Middle East continue, alongside adjustments to Section 232 tariffs and Section 301 tariffs. Grainger plans price increases in September 2026 that will add approximately one percentage point on an annual basis, but the delayed cost recovery leaves Q3 fiscal 2026 margin exposed to temporary pressure.
  • −Project spending added approximately 90 basis points to High-Touch Solutions' growth in fiscal 2026, but management said this level is not typically sustained and that Grainger does not intend to become a project-focused company. Direct exposure to data centers is also less than 1%, limiting the scale of this direct driver despite its broader impact on the contracting and manufacturing ecosystem.
  • −The neutral analyst consensus and the lack of a clear buy majority reflect caution toward potential returns, while the target range is wide at between $1,125 and $1,428. The average target of $1,312 is below the 52-week range high of $1,419.91, indicating that some valuation scenarios do not assume a full return to the annual high.
  • How do data centers and large projects affect Grainger?

    Projects related to data centers and electrical infrastructure supported contractor and retail sales at High-Touch Solutions in Q2 fiscal 2026. Management estimated that project spending added approximately 90 basis points to High-Touch Solutions' growth, while remaining profitable at the operating-margin level despite reducing gross margin. However, direct exposure to data centers is less than 1%, and management emphasized that Grainger is not transitioning to a project-focused model.

    How are tariffs and inflation affecting GWW's margins during fiscal 2026?

    The refund of IEEPA tariffs added approximately 90 basis points to gross margin in Q2 fiscal 2026, but its full-year impact is approximately 23 basis points before offsetting pressures. The company faces higher freight, fuel, and certain product and raw material costs associated with the conflict in the Middle East, in addition to changes in Section 232 tariffs and Section 301 tariffs. It therefore intends to implement additional pricing in September 2026 that will add approximately one percentage point annually, while expecting Q3 fiscal 2026 operating margin to decline to the mid-15% range.

    What executive finance change was announced on the August 4, 2026 call?

    Grainger announced that Dee Merriwether will step down as Chief Financial Officer to pursue another opportunity, effective September 4, 2026. Laurie Thomson, Vice President, Controller, and Principal Accounting Officer, was appointed Interim Chief Financial Officer effective September 5, 2026, while retaining her current oversight responsibilities. The company said the transition does not affect daily operations and that it will immediately begin searching for its next Chief Financial Officer.