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Stocks
Global Ship Lease, Inc.
GSL

GSL Global Ship Lease, Inc.

Global Ship Lease, Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
45.82
▲ ⁦+0.61%⁩ (+0.28)
Market Cap$1.6B
Beta0.85
52w Low52w High
27.2846.50
Last Week
⁦+1.53%⁩
Last Month
⁦+7.96%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+25.67%⁩
Last Year
⁦+53.86%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall98
Excellent — top fifth of the marketSuper StockF 5/9Better than 98% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
95
4.4x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
33
6.0%▼7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
77
14.8%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
83
0.5x▲2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
89
4.62%▲2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
93
44.7%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
22
2▼3Bottom tier
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$46
Analyst target · 1 analysts
$50
⁦+9%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$50–$50⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$119
⁦+161%⁩
Sees it clearly undervalued
⁦8.1⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods broadly agree — estimate range ⁦$50–$119⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 1 analysts setting price target
$50.00
⁦+9.1%⁩
Current Price $45.82·Median $50.00
Low
$50.00
High
$50.00
Street summary

Global Ship Lease (GSL) Price Target Analysis

Bullish tilt

The stock has seen a positive revision to its price target over the past thirty days, with the average forecast rising from $45 to $50, an increase of 11.11%. This stability at the higher target reflects analyst optimism, especially with the current price ($41.48) remaining below the consensus target, indicating a potential growth gap identified by analysts.

As of 2026-08-13
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.00
Buy
Analyst coverage
3
Buy conviction
100%
High
Target dispersion
0%
Analyst ratings over time3 analysts rating
3
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.67 → 4.00
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-06
    Jefferies
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-08-06
    B. Riley
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-04-24
    Jefferies
    Buy· $45.00
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    4.41x
    5.69x45.54x
    Very cheap
  • Forward P/E
    4.85x
    4.57x36.58x
    Very cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    3.51x
    3.43x27.47x
    Very cheap
  • FCF Yield
    17.6%
    -32.7%11.5%
    Exceptional
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    6.0%
    -10.7%43.4%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -3.5%
    -128.3%132.7%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    51.8%
    8.6%54.6%
    Strong
  • ROIC
    14.8%
    -25.3%19.6%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    0.51x
    0.55x4.37x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    4.6%
    0.1%4.8%
    High
  • Payout Ratio
    20.4%
    6.6%80.8%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-05 data

Company Overview

Global Ship Lease, Inc. is a containership owner that generates revenue by chartering mid-sized and smaller vessels to liner companies under time-charter contracts. Its fleet ranges from 2,200 to just over 11,000 TEU and primarily serves non-mainlane routes, which account for about 75% of global container trade volumes. As of June 30, 2026, contracted future revenue exceeded $3.2 billion, with a weighted average coverage of 3.3 years and coverage of 100% of revenue days in 2026 and 90% in 2027.

In Q2 fiscal 2026, revenue was $198.69 million and earnings per share were $2.48, beating analysts' estimates by 5.98%. The data did not provide a figure for quarterly net income or profit margin, or a quantitative breakdown of revenue by customer, but annual results show fiscal 2025 revenue rising to $766.5 million from $711.1 million in fiscal 2024, and net income growing to $416.5 million from $353.6 million.

The business mix relies on chartering existing vessels, adding new vessels under long-term contracts, and selling older non-core assets when management believes a sale creates more value than retaining them. During the first half of 2026, the company agreed to sell four older vessels for $65.5 million, with an expected total book gain of approximately $33 million, while continuing to benefit from the earnings of these vessels until their delivery to buyers between the end of 2026 and the end of 2027.

What's Driving the Stock

  • The fleet renewal program, valued at approximately $1.3 billion, is the most prominent strategic driver; the company ordered 15 new, mid-sized containerships with high refrigerated-container capacity and secured multi-year charter contracts for them from delivery.
  • The company expects contracted adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization to cover more than $1 billion, or more than 75% of the price of the new vessels, over a weighted average of 7.1 years, representing approximately no more than the first quarter of their economic lives.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • Contracted future revenue increased to more than $3.2 billion after adding approximately $1.45 billion during the first half of 2026, and contractual coverage reached 100% for 2026 and approximately 90% for 2027, strengthening cash flow visibility.
  • The company ended Q2 fiscal 2026 with $649 million in cash, of which $140 million was restricted, while debt declined from $950 million at the end of 2022 to just under $600 million as of June 30, 2026, and leverage fell from 8.4 times in 2018 to 0.4 times.
  • GSL's mid-sized and smaller vessels benefit from trade-route disruptions; avoidance of the Red Sea and Suez Canal since the 2023 disruptions has absorbed approximately 10% of effective containership capacity, while idle capacity and scrapping have remained near zero.
  • On August 6, 2026, Jefferies raised its price target from $45 to $50 and maintained its Buy rating after the company reported earnings per share of $2.48 in Q2 fiscal 2026 and beat expectations by 5.98%.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +Existing contracts provide strong revenue protection, with contracted future revenue exceeding $3.2 billion and averaging 3.3 years, including full coverage for 2026 and 90% coverage for 2027.
    • +The investment in new vessels appears relatively de-risked because more than 75% of its approximately $1.3 billion cost is covered by contracted adjusted earnings and more than half of the payments are deferred until vessel delivery.
    • +The financial position improved alongside business growth; debt declined by more than $350 million between the end of 2022 and June 30, 2026, borrowing costs fell from 7.56% in 2018 to 4.43%, and cash liquidity reached $649 million.
    • +Fiscal 2025 revenue increased by approximately 7.8% to $766.5 million, and net income rose by approximately 17.8% to $416.5 million, while the company also raised its annual dividend to $2.50 per share.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −The business remains sensitive to the economic cycle and charter rates; management assumed re-chartering rates for the new vessels below long-term historical averages, but returns after the initial contracts expire will remain tied to container-market conditions at that time.
    • −The order for 15 new vessels carries a substantial capital commitment of approximately $1.3 billion; although 50% to 60% of the price is not due until delivery, the company will need to fund the payments through a potential mix of cash and debt, which could increase risk if markets weaken or financing costs rise.
    • −Geopolitical disruptions remain an operational risk even if they support vessel demand; management described conditions in the Red Sea, Gulf of Aden, and Strait of Hormuz as dynamic and unpredictable, with severe restrictions at Gulf ports and direct risks to seafarer safety.
    • −A normalization of shipping routes could release capacity currently absorbed by longer voyages; avoiding the Suez Canal has absorbed approximately 10% of effective capacity, and any broad return to the shorter route could ease vessel shortages and pressure charter rates.
    • −The global orderbook-to-fleet ratio was 39%, reaching 55% for vessels larger than 10,000 TEU and approximately 25% for the mid-sized and smaller categories associated with GSL; if scrapping falls below management's expectations, supply and competition for contracts could increase.
    • −Insider activity recorded net sales of $3.6 million during the three months ended with the latest transaction on August 27, 2026, through three sales and no purchases; this is a weak signal on its own because insider sales may be prearranged unless the data states otherwise.

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus is “Buy,” with an average target of $50, and there is no reported dispersion because both the highest and lowest targets are $50. This target is approximately 10% above the 52-week range high of $45.45, while the range extends from $27.28 to $45.45; Jefferies raised its target from $45 to $50 on August 6, 2026, after Q2 fiscal 2026 earnings beat expectations, but charter-rate cyclicality and the approximately $1.3 billion new-vessel commitment remain important factors in assessing this target.

    BuyAnalyst target: $50(+9.1%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-01; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    How does Global Ship Lease generate its revenue?

    Global Ship Lease generates its revenue primarily by chartering mid-sized and smaller containerships to liner companies under time-charter contracts. Its vessels range in size from 2,200 to just over 11,000 TEU, and these vessel classes operate across diverse global routes. As of June 30, 2026, the company had more than $3.2 billion in contracted future revenue, with weighted average coverage of 3.3 years.

    What are the key Q2 fiscal 2026 figures for GSL stock?

    Q2 fiscal 2026 revenue was approximately $198.69 million. The company reported earnings per share of $2.48, beating analysts' expectations by 5.98%. Following the results, Jefferies raised its price target from $45 to $50 on August 6, 2026, while maintaining its Buy rating.

    Why is GSL spending approximately $1.3 billion on new vessels?

    The company ordered 15 latest-generation, mid-sized containerships with high refrigerated-container capacity to renew its fleet and replace aging vessels. The vessels are tied to fixed charter contracts from delivery, with a weighted average of 7.1 years, and the company expects earnings from these contracts to cover more than 75% of their price. In addition, between 50% and 60% of the payments are not due until delivery, making the capital expenditure schedule back-end loaded.

    How visible are GSL's revenues in 2026 and 2027?

    Revenue days were contractually covered at 100% in 2026 and 90% in 2027, according to data as of June 30, 2026. Contracted future revenue exceeded $3.2 billion after adding $1.45 billion during the first half of 2026. This coverage provides high visibility, but it does not eliminate market risks when contracts expire and vessels are re-chartered.

    What does GSL's balance sheet and ability to fund expansion look like?

    Cash stood at $649 million at the end of Q2 fiscal 2026, of which $140 million was restricted. Debt declined from $950 million at the end of 2022 to just under $600 million as of June 30, 2026, while leverage reached 0.4 times compared with 8.4 times in 2018. During the quarter, the company also secured a $55.5 million, five-year facility from Bank of America at SOFR plus 140 basis points.

    What are the main risks to monitor for GSL?

    The main risks are the cyclicality of vessel charter rates, the approximately $1.3 billion commitment to build 15 vessels, and the possibility that substantial shipping capacity could be released if vessels return to the Suez Canal route. Rerouting around the Cape of Good Hope has absorbed approximately 10% of effective capacity, while the orderbook for mid-sized and smaller vessels is approximately 25% of the relevant fleet. Instability in the Red Sea, Gulf of Aden, and Strait of Hormuz also increases operational complexity and risks to seafarer safety despite currently supporting demand for maritime capacity.