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Stocks
Garmin Ltd.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall87
Excellent — top fifth of the marketHigh FlyerF 7/9Better than 87% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
26
29.1x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
70
13.5%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
84
19.8%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
93
—2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
50
1.22%▼2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
78
29.8%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
42
5▲3Around median
GRMN

GRMN Garmin Ltd.

Garmin Ltd. · NYSE
Market Closed
282.67
▲ ⁦+3.85%⁩ (+10.47)
Market Cap$52.5B
Beta0.89
52w Low52w High
186.67314.28
Last Week
⁦+1.98%⁩
Last Month
⁦-8.81%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+18.48%⁩
Last Year
⁦+19.80%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$283
Analyst target · 3 analysts
$311
⁦+10%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$289–$370⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$194
⁦-31%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦8.3⁩% discount · ⁦4⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$194–$311⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 3 analysts setting price target
$320.25
⁦+13.3%⁩
Current Price $282.67·Median $311.00
Low
$289.00
High
$370.00
Current price
$282.67
Average target
$320.25
Street summary

Stable Targets with Clear Divergence

Consensus price-target estimates did not change over 1, 7, or 30 days, remaining at $320.25, with the number of analysts holding steady at three. The range is between $289 and $370, reflecting a notable divergence in views, while the consensus remains above the current price of $277.03.

As of 2026-09-07
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 2.75
Hold
Analyst coverage
8
Buy conviction
25%
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
29%
Analyst ratings over time8 analysts rating
2
4
2
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months2.50 → 2.75
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-02
    KeyBanc
    Sector Weight
  • = Reiterate2026-08-06
    Tigress Financial
    Strong Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-05-20
    Tigress Financial
    Strong Buy· $325.00
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    29.05x
    6.87x54.92x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    26.36x
    5.19x41.53x
    Near median
  • EV / EBITDA
    22.97x
    4.52x36.15x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    3.3%
    -54.8%10.8%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    13.5%
    -18.1%66.5%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    19.7%
    -155.3%193.7%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    60.1%
    12.9%79.5%
    Strong
  • ROIC
    19.8%
    -63.6%26.5%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    1.2%
    0.0%3.9%
    Moderate
  • Payout Ratio
    35.4%
    4.4%96.7%
    Moderate
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-29 data

Company Overview

Garmin Ltd. operates through five segments that combine specialized hardware, software, and services: fitness, outdoor, aviation, marine, and auto OEM. The company generates revenue from watches and wearable devices, navigation, communication, and sonar products, cockpit systems, and control units supplied to automakers; it is also expanding its services revenue through Garmin Connect and the TrainingPeaks and TrainHeroic platforms, which it acquired to support the training experience between athletes and coaches.

In Q2 fiscal 2026, revenue rose 11% to $2.022 billion, operating income increased 30% to $616 million, GAAP EPS reached $2.80, and adjusted EPS reached $2.81. Gross margin expanded 360 basis points to 62.4%, while operating margin increased 440 basis points to 30.4%, supported by product mix and a $21 million tariff refund; therefore, the full improvement does not represent a recurring operating gain.

The fitness segment was the largest contributor to Q2 fiscal 2026 revenue, generating $757 million and growing 25%, followed by outdoor at $483 million, down 2%, marine at $341 million, up 14%, aviation at $269 million, up 8%, and auto OEM at $172 million, up 1%. According to EDGAR figures, revenue for the twelve-month period ending in 2026 was approximately $7.5 billion, with gross profit of $4.4 billion, net income of $1.7 billion, and EPS of approximately $8.97.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Garmin raised its fiscal 2026 outlook following first-half outperformance and now expects revenue of approximately $8.05 billion instead of $7.9 billion, adjusted EPS of $10.00 instead of $9.65, gross margin of approximately 59.7%, and operating margin of approximately 27%.
  • The fitness segment led growth in Q2 fiscal 2026, with revenue rising 25% to $757 million and its operating margin reaching 37%, supported by demand for advanced devices and the launches of Forerunner 70 and Forerunner 175.
  • CIRQL Smart Ring expanded Garmin's market for wearable health devices through a screen-free device that provides core health and fitness features without a subscription; management said on July 29, 2026, that initial registrations exceeded its expectations and that the order backlog extended to a shipping window of between five and eight weeks.
  • Marine and aviation supported diversified growth, with segment revenue rising 14% to $341 million and 8% to $269 million, respectively, in Q2 fiscal 2026. Product catalysts include the enhanced LiveScope Plus system, which won the Best Electronics award at ICAST, and the AXIS platform, which integrates navigation, communication, and audio to reduce the cost and complexity of cockpit installation.
  • Garmin generated free cash flow of $276 million in Q2 fiscal 2026 and ended the period with approximately $4.4 billion in cash and marketable securities. Management expects free cash flow of approximately $1.4 billion in fiscal 2026, compared with expected capital expenditures of approximately $550 million.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Revenue growth of 11% combined with operating income growth of 30% in Q2 fiscal 2026 reflects both sales expansion and improved operating leverage, even after excluding the portion of the improvement resulting from the $21 million tariff refund.
  • +Segment diversification provides support beyond sports devices alone; fitness, marine, and aviation grew 25%, 14%, and 8%, respectively, in Q2 fiscal 2026, while revenue grew across all three regions, with growth of 13% in Europe, the Middle East, and Africa, 12% in the Americas, and 7% in Asia Pacific.
  • +The new product cycle supports growth opportunities through Forerunner 70, Forerunner 175, CIRQL, LiveScope Plus, and AXIS, with a strong early indication of demand for CIRQL and the company continuing to expect the fitness segment to be the largest contributor to fiscal 2026 growth.
  • +The $4.4 billion balance of cash and securities strengthens Garmin's flexibility to fund the Thailand facility, strategic acquisitions, dividends, and share repurchases; $448 million remained under the authorized repurchase program through December 2028.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The analyst consensus on GRMN is “Neutral,” with an average target of $320.25 and a wide range between $289 and $370; the average is only approximately 1.9% above the 52-week range high of $314.28, while the highest target exceeds that high by approximately 17.7%. The stock's 52-week range between $186.67 and $314.28, together with the absence of a P/E multiple in the provided data, suggests that the assessment should balance the raised fiscal 2026 outlook against memory-cost risks and weakness in auto OEM, instead of relying on the average target alone.

HoldAnalyst target: $320.25(+13.3%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-27; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove Garmin's results in Q2 fiscal 2026?

Revenue rose 11% to $2.022 billion, driven primarily by fitness growth of 25% to $757 million and marine growth of 14% to $341 million. Operating income increased 30% to $616 million, and operating margin expanded to 30.4%. The new product mix and a $21 million tariff refund helped raise gross margin to 62.4%.

What is Garmin's fiscal 2026 outlook following the second-quarter results?

On July 29, 2026, the company raised its revenue forecast to approximately $8.05 billion, compared with its previous forecast of $7.9 billion. It raised its adjusted EPS forecast to $10.00 from $9.65, with expected gross margin of approximately 59.7% and operating margin of approximately 27%. It also expects free cash flow of approximately $1.4 billion and capital expenditures of approximately $550 million during fiscal 2026.

Why is CIRQL Smart Ring important to Garmin's business?

CIRQL expands Garmin's presence from sports watches into a screen-free smart ring that provides core health and fitness data without a subscription. Users can add Connect Plus features, including AI functions and nutrition tracking, but the core features expected from Garmin devices are available through Garmin Connect. On the July 29, 2026 call, management said reception exceeded its expectations and that the displayed shipping window ranged between five and eight weeks because strong demand coincided with supply constraints.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • −Auto OEM faces a gap between programs; after revenue grew just 1% to $172 million and operating margin reached 2% in Q2 fiscal 2026, management expects revenue to decline and the segment to return to an operating loss in the second half of fiscal 2026 before the major Mercedes-Benz program begins in 2027.
  • −Outdoor revenue declined 2% to $483 million in Q2 fiscal 2026 because of the consumer automotive device and adventure watch categories, showing that growth is not broad-based across all product lines despite management's expectation of improvement in the second half due to launch timing.
  • −Margins could face pressure from higher memory chip costs in the second half of fiscal 2026; management explained that strategic inventory delayed the impact from appearing in results and that AI-related demand is also pressuring other component categories to a lesser extent.
  • −The 62.4% gross margin in Q2 fiscal 2026 included a $21 million tariff refund, from which marine margin benefited in particular; the full-year gross margin outlook of 59.7% does not include any additional refunds, limiting the repeatability of the quarter's full increase.
  • −Inventory rose to approximately $2 billion, and accounts receivable increased to nearly $1.2 billion at the end of Q2 fiscal 2026, while capital expenditures increased $82 million year over year to $128 million to fund the Thailand facility; this increases working-capital and execution sensitivity if demand slows or the commissioning of new capacity is delayed.
  • −Net insider transactions during the three months ending with the latest transaction on August 18, 2026, totaled negative $5.6 million, with 18 sales and no purchases. This remains a weak trading signal on its own because insider sales may be prearranged, and it does not outweigh margin and operating-segment risks.
  • How is Garmin's business distributed outside the fitness segment?

    In Q2 fiscal 2026, outdoor generated $483 million in revenue and a 34% operating margin despite a 2% revenue decline. Marine recorded $341 million, up 14%, while aviation generated $269 million, up 8%, supported by OEM and aftermarket channels. Auto OEM generated $172 million and a 2% operating margin, with revenue expected to decline and the segment expected to return to an operating loss in the second half before the Mercedes-Benz program in 2027.

    What are the main risks that could affect Garmin's earnings during fiscal 2026?

    The company expects higher memory costs to begin pressuring second-half fiscal 2026 results after strategic inventory delayed their impact. In addition, $21 million in tariff refunds supported second-quarter margins, and the full-year outlook assumes no additional refunds. The 2% decline in outdoor and the gap between auto OEM programs, together with inventory of approximately $2 billion, add risks to growth and working capital.

    Why did Garmin acquire TrainingPeaks and TrainHeroic?

    Garmin described the two platforms as connecting endurance and strength coaches with athletes seeking to improve the impact of their training. The company aims to create an integrated experience in which Garmin devices record user data and then transfer it to the training platform so the coach can review it and provide recommendations that modify the athlete's behavior. Management confirmed on the Q2 fiscal 2026 call that the focus at this stage is on integrating the product and service experience, not on traditional operating synergies.